Informacja

Drogi użytkowniku, aplikacja do prawidłowego działania wymaga obsługi JavaScript. Proszę włącz obsługę JavaScript w Twojej przeglądarce.

Wyszukujesz frazę "house prices" wg kryterium: Temat


Wyświetlanie 1-7 z 7
Tytuł:
Monetary Policy and House Price Volatility
Autorzy:
Wesołowski, Grzegorz
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2075308.pdf
Data publikacji:
2021
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
Tematy:
monetary policy
house prices
model uncertainty
Opis:
House prices are of special importance for monetary policy since their sudden falls are usually associated with credit crunch followed by long-lasting and painful recessions. Despite several spectacular episodes of such events, each time house prices exhibit long-lasting growth trend with little volatility around it, it is argued that this pattern is a “new normal”. This paper shows that a central bank following this view would increase the volatility of inflation and output as compared to a policy that assumes high volatility of house prices. In the former case the monetary authority would conduct too accommodative monetary policy during abrupt house price expansions significantly increasing output and inflation fluctuations. In the latter situation, in turn, the policy would work well irrespective of the realized house price volatility
Źródło:
Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics; 2021, 4; 359-379
2080-0886
2080-119X
Pojawia się w:
Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A global perspective on inflation and propagation channels
Autorzy:
Gattini, Luca
Pill, Huw
Schuknecht, Ludger
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/565646.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Warszawski. Wydawnictwo Naukowe Wydziału Zarządzania
Tematy:
VAR
global inflation
global house prices
global money
Opis:
This paper revisits the evidence on monetary policy transmission. It extends the existing literature in three dimensions. First, we attempt to internalise potential international channels of transmission by taking a global perspective. More specifically, we explore global aggregates covering a broader set of countries (ca. 70% per cent of the world economy) and a longer time span (from 1960 to 2013) than previous studies. Second, we broaden the set of transmission channels considered, notably by exploring interactions among monetary variables, inflation and asset prices (including residential property prices). Third, we look at the potential role of public debt in driving price developments, on the grounds underpinned by fiscal theories of the price level. On the basis of a VAR analysis, we find that: (1) global money demand shocks affect global inflation and global commodity prices (which, in turn, impact on inflation); (2) global asset price dynamics respond to financing cost shocks and (very modestly) to shocks to global money demand; and (3) positive house price shocks exert a significant influence on inflation. From a global perspective, the study suggests that an understanding of inflation requires recognition of the externalities that global commodity and asset price developments exert over domestic inflation.
Źródło:
Journal of Banking and Financial Economics; 2015, 1(3); 50-76
2353-6845
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Banking and Financial Economics
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Zjawisko flippingu na polskim rynku mieszkaniowym
Flipping on the Polish housing market
Autorzy:
Czerniak, Adam
Milewska-Wilk, Hanna
Bojęć, Tomasz
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2197276.pdf
Data publikacji:
2021
Wydawca:
Kancelaria Sejmu. Biuro Analiz Sejmowych
Tematy:
house flipping
housing market in Poland
house prices
macroeconomic stability
Opis:
In this article the authors analyse the rise of house flipping in Poland in recent years. Firstly, drawing on the findings from desk research and qualitative inquiries, they describe how state-of-the-art flipping transactions are performed and financed. Secondly, with the use of a large microdata panel of housing transactions from eight major cities over the 2006–2020 period, the size and the main characteristics of house flipping in Poland are analysed. According to the findings, the share of flips in housing transactions gradually increased between 2016 and 2020, reaching on average 5.9% and – in some smaller cities with a shallow primary market – even double-digit shares. This is an alarming result, as such high flippers’ activity characteries periods of housing booms and may signal an overvaluation of prices.
Źródło:
Studia BAS; 2021, 2(66); 195-213
2080-2404
2082-0658
Pojawia się w:
Studia BAS
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Macroprudential Debt-to-Income Ratio and Monetary Policy Rules
Autorzy:
Filiani, Pasquale
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2119897.pdf
Data publikacji:
2022
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
Tematy:
household debt
house prices
loss function
macroprudential policy
monetary policy
Opis:
We consider a monetary DSGE model featuring a borrowing constraint such that the amount of debt cannot be larger than a fraction – the debt-to-income (DTI) limit – of borrowers’ labor income and the DTI limit is endogenous. The coexistence of financial amplification mechanisms warranted by this model provides a role for a specific macroprudential tool: a countercyclical DTI limit. Conditional on the pre-crisis sample and in a more recent out-of- sample period, our ex-post normative analysis shows that when this policy is implemented the cooperation between central bank and macroprudential authority in pursuing the “two instruments for two goals” strategy delivers an efficient performance in terms of macroeconomic stabilization, significantly outperforming the central bank’s policy of “leaning against the wind”. This implies that a central bank should only be focused on its standard objectives (inflation and output stabilization) while financial stability be monitored by a macroprudential authority.
Źródło:
Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics; 2022, 2; 161-198
2080-0886
2080-119X
Pojawia się w:
Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Monetary Determinants of House Prices in Central and Eastern European Countries
Czynniki monetarne cen nieruchomości w krajach Europy Środkowej i Wschodniej
Autorzy:
Shevchuk, Viktor
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2158930.pdf
Data publikacji:
2022
Wydawca:
Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
Tematy:
house prices
interest rate
exchange rate
Central and Eastern Europe
Opis:
This research aimed at the empirical estimation of the monetary determinants of house prices in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Romania. The application of quarterly panel data for the period 2010-2019 indicates that a central bank policy rate increase was responsible for the fall in house prices, with a similar effect on house prices by a higher consumer inflation and nominal (real) exchange rate undervaluation. There was no reaction of house prices to the business cycle. However, the housing boom had a positive contribution to cyclical changes in output, while not affecting consumer prices and exchange rate.
Przeprowadzone badanie ma na celu oszacowanie empiryczne czynników monetarnych dla cen nieruchomości w Republice Czeskiej, na Węgrzech, w Polsce i w Rumunii. Wykorzystując kwartalne dane panelowe z lat 2010-2019, stwierdzono, że wzrost stopy procentowej banku centralne- go powoduje spadek cen nieruchomości, przy podobnym oddzialywaniu inflacji konsumenckiej i nie- doszacowanego kursu walutowego w ujęciu nominalnym i realnym. Ceny nieruchomości nie zależą od cyklu koniunkturalnego, ale boom na rynku nieruchomości pozytywnie oddziałuje na cykliczne zmiany dochodu, nie mając jednocześnie wpływu na ceny konsumenckie i kurs walutowy.
Źródło:
Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu; 2022, 66, 4; 132-146
1899-3192
Pojawia się w:
Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Socio-economic factors associated with house prices. Evidence based on key macroeconomic aggregates globally
Autorzy:
Lewandowska, Gabriela
Taracha, Michal
Maciuk, Kamil
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/27314398.pdf
Data publikacji:
2023
Wydawca:
Politechnika Lubelska. Wydawnictwo Politechniki Lubelskiej
Tematy:
GDP
inflation
human population
economic activity
real estate
apartment
macroeconomics
OECD
house prices
Pearson correlation coefficient
Opis:
The aim of this paper is to assess the association between macroeconomic factors and house prices in selected OECD countries. In this paper, authors describe selected socioeconomic factors, adapt a transparent methodology based on the OECD database and derive results shedding a light on the main drivers shaping the trends of the real estate prices. Two main economic aggregates, inflation and gross domestic product (GDP) were analysed for the OECD member and non-member countries for which complete data have been made available for the period of 1990-2020. The OECD provides data for 60 countries in total, out of which 38 are members of the organization. Nevertheless, due to missing observations in certain countries, the analysis was carried out in 19 of them. The aim of the study was to determine how GDP and inflation dynamics are correlated with changes in property prices. Among the analysed countries, Japan and South Africa could be distinguished as outliers in terms of inflation, whereas in the case of GDP, Italy, Japan, Ireland and Norway stood out. Additionally, 12 representative countries were described in detail. These countries comprised four groups of three countries divided across two dimensions: the first, based on the highest and the lowest correlation coefficient, and the second, based on the measure used to calculate the correlation coefficient (correlation of the house prices with GDP and correlation of the house price with inflation). On the basis of the analyses, it was shown that the association between GDP and house prices is stronger than that between inflation and house prices – in most cases, prices increased at a similar rate as GDP. A particularly high correlation between GDP and house prices was found for Norway, New Zealand and Sweden, indicating a potentially higher marginal housing consumption responsiveness to changes in housing wealth in these highly developed countries, characterised by particularly low housing transaction costs and efficient mortgage market. It was deduced that such characteristics lead to a higher wealth elasticity of demand for new houses.
Źródło:
Budownictwo i Architektura; 2023, 22, 3; 45--58
1899-0665
Pojawia się w:
Budownictwo i Architektura
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Housing prices during the COVID-19 pandemic: insights from Sweden
Ceny mieszkań podczas pandemii COVID-19: spostrzeżenia ze Szwecji
Autorzy:
André, Christophe
Chalaux, Thomas
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/19987214.pdf
Data publikacji:
2023-03-31
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:
COVID-19
housing preferences
house prices
macro-prudential policy
pandemic
Sweden
preferencje mieszkaniowe
ceny domów
polityka makroostrożnościowa
pandemia
Szwecja
Opis:
The COVID-19 pandemic triggered a major global economic recession, to which policymakers around the world responded with massive fiscal and monetary support. While housing prices generally fall during economic downturns, they have risen during the pandemic in all OECD countries. A number of factors may have contributed, including expansionary monetary policy, the lifting of some macro-prudential constraints and a shift in housing preferences. This paper uses monthly data to examine the behaviour of real house and flat prices during the pandemic in Sweden, at the national level and in the three biggest cities. While a model containing usual determinants of housing prices tracked price developments well before the pandemic, it underestimates house prices and generally overestimates flat prices in the pandemic period. This suggests a preference shift from flats towards houses, which is consistent with findings from the recent literature on other countries. The introduction of mortgage amortisation requirements in 2016 and 2018 is estimated to have lowered housing prices. However, their lifting during the pandemic seems to have had a relatively minor effect on housing prices.
Pandemia COVID-19 wywołała poważną globalną recesję gospodarczą, na którą decydenci na całym świecie zareagowali, udzielając ogromnego wsparcia fiskalnego i monetarnego. Podczas gdy ceny mieszkań zazwyczaj spadają w okresach spowolnienia gospodarczego, w czasie pandemii wzrosły we wszystkich krajach OECD. Przyczyniło się do tego wiele czynników, w tym ekspansywna polityka pieniężna, zniesienie niektórych ograniczeń makroostrożnościowych oraz zmiana preferencji mieszkaniowych. W niniejszym opracowaniu wykorzystano dane miesięczne do zbadania zachowania rzeczywistych cen domów i mieszkań w czasie pandemii w Szwecji, na poziomie krajowym i w trzech największych miastach. Podczas gdy model zawierający typowe determinanty cen mieszkań śledzi zmiany cen na długo przed pandemią, to w okresie pandemii zaniża on ceny domów i generalnie zawyża ceny mieszkań. Sugeruje to przesunięcie preferencji z mieszkań w kierunku domów, co jest zgodne z ustaleniami z najnowszej literatury dotyczącej innych krajów. Szacuje się, że wprowadzenie wymogów dotyczących amortyzacji kredytów hipotecznych w latach 2016 i 2018 obniżyło ceny mieszkań. Wydaje się jednak, że ich zniesienie w czasie pandemii miało stosunkowo niewielki wpływ na ceny mieszkań.
Źródło:
Kwartalnik Nauk o Przedsiębiorstwie; 2023, 67, 1; 137-154
1896-656X
Pojawia się w:
Kwartalnik Nauk o Przedsiębiorstwie
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
    Wyświetlanie 1-7 z 7

    Ta witryna wykorzystuje pliki cookies do przechowywania informacji na Twoim komputerze. Pliki cookies stosujemy w celu świadczenia usług na najwyższym poziomie, w tym w sposób dostosowany do indywidualnych potrzeb. Korzystanie z witryny bez zmiany ustawień dotyczących cookies oznacza, że będą one zamieszczane w Twoim komputerze. W każdym momencie możesz dokonać zmiany ustawień dotyczących cookies