Wszystkie pola: Semi-Markov Model - Katalog OPAC zbiorów

Skocz do pozycji: 1.

Tytuł:: Semi-Markov model of system damage process
Autorzy:: Grabski, F.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069526.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2011
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:: reliability
multi-state
semi-Markov
damages processes
Opis:: The reliability characteristics and parameters of multi-state systems modelled by the finite states regress characteristics and parameters of multi-state systems modelled by the finite states regress semi-Markov processes are investigated in the paper. Presented here models deal with un-repairable systems. The essential concepts of discrete states and continuous time semi-Markov process theory deliver. Mathematical apparatus for models constructions and analysis. Multi-state reliability functions and corresponding expectations, second moments and standard deviations are calculated for the presented systems.
Źródło:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2011, 2, 1; 101--108
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 2.

Tytuł:: Semi-Markov model of multi-modal transport operation
Autorzy:: Grabski, F.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/242572.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2017
Wydawca:: Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:: semi-Markov model
multistage transport operation
reliability function
mean time to failure
Opis:: Multi-modal transport means the transport of the objects through at least two different carriers of any combination of simple tasks of transport carriers (by truck, by train, by ship or by plane). A Semi-Markov (SM) model of multi-modal transport operation is presented in the article. The SM process is defined by the renewal kernel of that one. In our model, time to failure of the operation is represented by a random variable that denotes the first passage time from the given state to the subset of states. The duration of one operation cycle is a random variable representing the return time to the initial state. The appropriate theorems of the Semi-Markov processes theory allow us to calculate characteristics and parameters of the transport operation model. The article presents the example of the transport operation final part of container with cargo from Warsaw to Stockholm, where from Warsaw to Gdynia, the container is transported by lorry, from Gdynia to Karlscorona by ferry and from Karlscorona to Stockholm by truck.
Źródło:: Journal of KONES; 2017, 24, 4; 47-54
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:: Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 3.

Tytuł:: A semi-Markov model of fuel combustion process in a diesel engine
Autorzy:: Girtler, J.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/963463.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2007
Wydawca:: Politechnika Gdańska. Wydział Inżynierii Mechanicznej i Okrętownictwa
Opis:: A four-state model of the combustion process in working spaces (cylinders) of a diesel engine is presented in the form of a semi-Markov process, discrete in states and continuous in time. The values in this process are the states : s1, s2, s3, s4 corresponding to commonly accepted types of combustion in those engines, namely : s1 - the process state which corresponds to total (complete and perfect) combustion, s2 - the process state which corresponds to incomplete combustion, s3 - the process state which corresponds to imperfect combustion, and s4 - the process state which corresponds to both incomplete and imperfect combustion. It is also mentioned that proper use of diesel engines can secure a correct course of the combustion process, if it is properly attended and shaped. During this course the state s4 does not take place. Formulas are given which make it possible to determine the probability of staying of the combustion process in the above named states, along with the interpretation of the probability P1 = P(s1) as the probability of correct (reliable) engine operation.
Źródło:: Polish Maritime Research; 2007, S 1; 58-61
1233-2585
Pojawia się w:: Polish Maritime Research
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 4.

Tytuł:: Semi-Markov model of quality state changes of a selected transport system
Autorzy:: Landowski, B.
Muślewski, Ł.
Knopik, L.
Bojar, P.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/241811.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2017
Wydawca:: Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:: transport system
efficiency
operation process
maintenance process
semi-Markov process
simulation tests
Opis:: The study deals with the problems connected with evaluation and analysis of transport systems operational quality. The research object is a real, sociotechnical system (of the type H-M-E) whose functional quality is affected by: operators, equipment and technical state of he operated vehicles and the environmental impact. A scheme of an assessment model was built on the basis of a developed concept of a system operational quality and a random process was defined to be used for the analysis. The assessment process involves investigating the variability degree of properties included in the resultant model in a given time and determining whether and to what degree the obtained values meet the requirements of the system appropriate operational quality. On the basis of the above assumptions and in result of experimental tests, four qualitative states of a transport system functioning, which represent intervals of values of the obtained grades in given time moments, were distinguished. The study presents a model of system operation qualitative state changes developed with the use of Markov chain inserted into a certain semi-Markov process. A graph and a matrix for probability of transition between the states were created and boundary distributions of the process were determined on the basis of experimentally obtained data. A system of equations was determined for the distinguished Markov chain, on the basis of which a mathematical model for assessment and control of operational quality of selected types of transport systems will be built.
Źródło:: Journal of KONES; 2017, 24, 4; 141-148
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:: Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 5.

Tytuł:: A semi-Markov model of the variability of power generation from renewable sources
Autorzy:: Malinowski, J.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/406476.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2013
Wydawca:: Politechnika Wrocławska. Oficyna Wydawnicza Politechniki Wrocławskiej
Tematy:: renewable power generation
forecasting of environmental conditions
semi-Markov modeling
Laplace transform
Opis:: The paper presents a new approach to modeling the variability of power generation from a renewable source such as wind or flowing water. The force of the power generating agent is assumed to change according to the semi-Markov process with finite state space. For the purpose of its construction, the range of possible values expressing the agent’s force is divided into a finite number of subintervals. It is natural to assume that the time during which the agent’s force remains within one such interval, and the probabilities of transitions to neighboring intervals depend to some extent on the agent’s earlier behavior. The model’s accuracy is determined by the number of subintervals used and the assumed degree to which the agent’s force depends on its history. This degree is expressed by the number of the most recently entered subintervals relevant to predicting the agent’s future behavior. According to the presupposed accuracy level, an appropriately complex state-space and a diagram of the inter-state transitions for the modeled process have been constructed. Subsequently, it is demonstrated how certain parameters of this process, related to forecasting power generation, can be calculated by means of the calculus of the Laplace transforms.
Źródło:: Operations Research and Decisions; 2013, 23, 2; 81-90
2081-8858
2391-6060
Pojawia się w:: Operations Research and Decisions
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 6.

Tytuł:: Evaluation of the maintenance system readiness using the semi-Markov model taking into account hidden factors
Autorzy:: Kozłowski, Edward
Borucka, Anna
Oleszczuk, Piotr
Jałowiec, Tomasz
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/27322964.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2023
Wydawca:: Polska Akademia Nauk. Polskie Naukowo-Techniczne Towarzystwo Eksploatacyjne PAN
Tematy:: maintenance
semi-Markov model
hidden factors
system readiness
Opis:: Modelling the time that the system remains in a given state using classical distributions is not always possible. In many cases, empirical distributions are multimodal due to the influence of external, hidden factors and the selection of the best classical distributions may lead to erroneous results. In the article the method of diagnosis of influence of hidden factors into sojourn time of semi-Markov models was presented. In order to capture hidden factors, the authors proposed to model the distributions of the sojourn time with a mixture of distributions, which is a significant novelty in relation to the studies presented in the literature. Hidden factors directly affect the reliability of technical systems. Detecting the existence of these factors enables more accurate modeling of system readiness. Paying attention to irregularities caused by hidden factors makes it possible to reduce system maintenance costs. Such a system model providescomplete information and enables a reliable assessment of the system readiness and maintenance.
Źródło:: Eksploatacja i Niezawodność; 2023, 25, 4; art. no. 172857
1507-2711
Pojawia się w:: Eksploatacja i Niezawodność
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 7.

Tytuł:: Reliability and maintainability characteristics in semi-Markov models
Autorzy:: Grabski, F.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069172.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2016
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:: semi-Markov model
reliability characteristics
Opis:: The characteristics of semi-Markov process we can translate on the reliability characteristics in the semi-Markov reliability model. The cumulative distribution functions of the first passage time from the given states to subset of states, expected values and second moments corresponding to them which are considered in this paper allow to define reliability function of the system. The equations for many reliability characteristics and parameters are here presented.
Źródło:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 1; 79--86
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 8.

Tytuł:: Semi-Markov Reliability Model of System Composed of Main Subsystem, Cold Backup Component and Switch
Autorzy:: Grabski, F.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068910.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2017
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:: semi-Markov model
reliability characteristics
Opis:: Probabilistic model of a system composed of a main component, an emergency backup component and the automatic switch are discussed in this paper. The reliability model is semi-Markov process describing evolution of the system. Conditional time to failure of the system is represented by a random variable denoting the first passage time of the process from the given state to the subset of states. The appropriate theorems of the Semi-Markov processes theory allow us to evaluate the reliability function and some reliability characteristics. To calculate the reliability function and mean time to failure of the system we apply theorems of the Semi-Markov processes theory concerning the conditional reliability functions.
Źródło:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 1; 47--54
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 9.

Tytuł:: Application isssues of the semi-markov reliability model
Autorzy:: Rudnicki, J.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/259667.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2015
Wydawca:: Politechnika Gdańska. Wydział Inżynierii Mechanicznej i Okrętownictwa
Tematy:: service speed
shipping lines
preliminary design
Opis:: Predicting the reliability of marine internal combustion engines, for instance, is of particular importance, as it makes it possible to predict their future reliability states based on the information on the past states. Correct reliability prediction is a complex process which consists in processing empirical results obtained from operating practice, complemented by analytical considerations. The process of technical state changes of each mechanical device is stochastic and continuous in states and time, hence the need to divide this infinite set of engine states into a finite number of subsets (classes), which can be clearly and permanently identified using the existing diagnosing system. Using the engine piston-crankshaft system as an example, the article presents a proposal for a mathematical model of reliability which, on the one hand, takes into account random nature of phenomena leading to the damage, and at the same time reveals certain application flexibility and the resultant practical usability.
Źródło:: Polish Maritime Research; 2015, 1; 55-64
1233-2585
Pojawia się w:: Polish Maritime Research
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 10.

Tytuł:: Semi-Markov Model of the Operation and Maintenance Process of City Buses
Semimarkowski model procesu eksploatacji i obsługi autobusów miejskich
Autorzy:: Szubartowski, M.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/223492.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2013
Wydawca:: Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
Tematy:: public transport bus
maintenance process
semi-Markov model
autobusowa komunikacja miejska
eksploatacja autobusów
model semi-Markowa
ocena gotowości systemu
Opis:: This paper presents a model of the operation and maintenance process of the technical objects within the urban transport bus system. All the investigations have been presented on the basis of the selected real operation and maintenance system of the city buses. Basing on the identification of the system under investigation and on the process being realized within it a model of the operation and maintenance process of the city buses was built, assuming that the model of this process is the homogeneous semi-Markov process X(t). For this purpose, crucial states of operation and maintenance process in selected transport system were determined as well as possible transfers between those states. Based on this, an event-based model of the operation and maintenance process of the city buses was built, assuming that its model is the homogenous semi-Markov process. For operation data obtained after research conducted in an authentic transport system, values of unconditional periods of duration of process states, values of stationary distribution included in the Markov chain as well as values of probabilities of limit distribution of the semi-Markov process were determined. Based on this, an analysis of the city buses operation and maintenance process in question was performed. Presented in this article the semi-Markov model operation and maintenance process of city buses is the first stage of the creation of the availability model of the urban transport bus system.
W artykule przedstawiono model procesu eksploatacji obiektów technicznych w systemie autobusowej komunikacji miejskiej. Całość rozważań przedstawiono na przykładzie wybranego rzeczywistego systemu eksploatacji autobusów miejskich. Na podstawie identyfikacji badanego systemu i realizowanego w nim procesu zbudowano model procesu eksploatacji autobusów miejskich, zakładając, że modelem tego procesu jest jednorodny proces semi-Markowa X(t). W tym celu wyznaczono istotne stany procesu eksploatacji realizowanego w wybranym systemie transportowym oraz możliwe przejścia między wyróżnionymi stanami. Na tej podstawie zbudowano zdarzeniowy model procesu eksploatacji autobusów miejskich, a następnie matematyczny model tego procesu, zakładając, że jego modelem jest jednorodny proces semi-Markowa. Dla danych eksploatacyjnych, uzyskanych z badań przeprowadzonych w rzeczywistym systemie transportowym, wyznaczono wartości bezwarunkowych czasów trwania stanów procesu, wartości rozkładu stacjonarnego włożonego w proces łańcucha Markowa oraz wartości prawdopodobieństw rozkładu granicznego procesu semi-Markowa. Na tej podstawie dokonano analizy rozpatrywanego procesu eksploatacji autobusów miejskich. Prezentowany w artykule semimarkowski model procesu eksploatacji autobusów miejskich jest pierwszym etapem budowy modelu oceny gotowości systemu autobusowej komunikacji miejskiej.
Źródło:: Archives of Transport; 2013, 25-26, 1-2; 109-116
0866-9546
2300-8830
Pojawia się w:: Archives of Transport
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 11.

Tytuł:: Forecasting the readiness of special vehicles using the semi-Markov model
Prognozowanie gotowości pojazdów specjalnych na podstawie modelu semi-Markowa
Autorzy:: Borucka, Anna
Niewczas, Andrzej
Hasilova, Kamila
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1365303.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2019
Wydawca:: Polska Akademia Nauk. Polskie Naukowo-Techniczne Towarzystwo Eksploatacyjne PAN
Tematy:: vehicle exploitation system
special vehicles
readiness
semi-Markov model
system eksploatacji samochodów
pojazdy specjalne
gotowość
model semi-Markowa
Opis:: The vehicle exploitation system, consisting of statistically identical objects that perform intervention tasks, not subject to systematic changes, can be modelled as a stationary stochastic process. Such a model allows to determine the probabilistic indicators of current and boundary readiness of the system. This article presents the use of the semi-Markov process, based on three operating states: operation, ready-to-be-used and repair, to study a transport system consisting of special vehicles. On the example of a sample consisting of police patrol cars, experimental studies of the intensity of fleet utilization, time of failure-free operation of vehicles were carried out, and it was demonstrated that the examined transport system is characterized by a satisfactory, stationary readiness coefficient. The developmental possibilities of the presented modelling method were emphasized.
System eksploatacji samochodów, które realizują zadania interwencyjne, niepodlegający systematycznym zmianom może być modelowany jako stacjonarny proces stochastyczny. Taki model pozwala wyznaczyć probabilistyczne wskaźniki bieżącej i granicznej gotowości systemu. W niniejszym artykule, do modelowania systemu eksploatacji pojazdów specjalnych, wykorzystano proces semi-Markowa, oparty na trzech stanach eksploatacyjnych: użytkowania, postoju użytkowego i naprawy. Na przykładzie próby radiowozów policyjnych przeprowadzono doświadczalne badania intensywności użytkowania floty, czasu bezawaryjnej pracy pojazdów a także wykazano, że badany system transportowy charakteryzuje się zadowalającym, stacjonarnym współczynnikiem gotowości. Podkreślono rozwojowe możliwości przedstawionej metody modelowania.
Źródło:: Eksploatacja i Niezawodność; 2019, 21, 4; 662-669
1507-2711
Pojawia się w:: Eksploatacja i Niezawodność
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 12.

Tytuł:: A computational tool for general model of industrial systems operations processes
Autorzy:: Lumanpauw, E.
Habibullah, M. S.
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska, J.
Xie, M.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069655.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2009
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:: stochastic process
semi-Markov model
computational tool
reliability
Opis:: The complexities of real industrial systems operation processes require computational methods that can analyze the large data and evaluate the behaviours of these systems. The use of methods such as Bayesian Network, Formal Safety Assessment and Statistical-Model based method were discussed as possibilities. Of which, a computational tool, based on the Semi-Markov model, was developed. This tool was then applied to analyze the behaviour of the operation processes of the oil transportation system in Dębogórze, Poland. The analyses showed that the computational solutions generated compared favorably well with the analytical calculations, enabling possible extensions of the tool to include reliability and optimization evaluations to be explored.
Źródło:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2009, 2; 295--302
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 13.

Tytuł:: Method for assessment of transport means failures repairs
Autorzy:: Muślewski, Ł.
Woropay, M.
Neubauer, A.
Szubartowski, M.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/246101.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2011
Wydawca:: Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:: transport system
operation process
semi-Markov model
efficiency
Opis:: An analysis of experimental tests and a literature survey of the issue revealed that the problems connected with assessment of costs and effectiveness of transport means repairs has a significant influence on their operation efficiency. Operating factors affecting the elements of technical objects cause negative changes in their features resulting in failures. The failures are referred to as events which significantly impair the vehicle operation efficiency, safety and reliability. On the basis of experimental tests concerning times of failures occurrence, it was found that the set of failures can be divided into subsets of primary and secondary failures. The tests results revealed that the most frequent cause of secondary failures occurrence was improperly performed primary repairs. Primary failures are not related to each other and they appear randomly. However, secondary failures are related to each other as their occurrence is conditioned by the primary failure and results from an inappropriate performance of the successive secondary failure. Basing on an analysis of the author 's own tests results, it was established that failures of transport means used in real transport systems are the effect of impact of various forcing factors. Some failures result from the natural wear of machine elements, whereas, other failures can be caused by inappropriate repair of the previous damage. Thus, there occur the so called secondary failures in a short period of time. In connection with this, high efficiency of the repair performance is of primary importance as it largely affects efficiency of transport tasks accomplishment. In this article, there has been discussed a method developed for assessment of repair costs connected with elimination of secondary failures and its influence on the studied transport system operation efficiency. Familiarity with available technologies for repairs of primary failures as well as with costs of work and costs connected with technical equipment of the repair stations enables specification of the lowest costs necessary for reduction of the number of secondary failures and the average time of their repairs.
Źródło:: Journal of KONES; 2011, 18, 3; 299-307
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:: Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 14.

Tytuł:: Availability of a technical object determined in a finite time interval
Autorzy:: Woropay, M.
Migawa, K.
Bojar, P.
Szubartowski, M.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/247070.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2011
Wydawca:: Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:: transport system
operation process
semi-Markov model
availability
Opis:: In the article, a method for determination of the technical object availability, GO (r) in a finite time interval x, defined by the time of the transport task duration, has been discussed. All of the study has been presented on the example of a selected system of technical object operation - a system of transport means operation, in a big urban complex (more than 400 thousand inhabitants). Direct performance of the transport tasks in the analyzed system is the responsibility of an executive system consisting of elementary subsystems of the type operator- transport means. Availability of transport means elementary subsystems is crucial for efficient accomplishment of transport tasks. The presented method involves determination of the technical object availability, on the basis of a mathematical model of the operation process which takes place in the studied system, taking into consideration the technical object reliability characteristics. For this purpose, significant states of the transport means operation have been determined and they have been classified in terms of the availability criterion. Basing on this, an event and mathematical models of transport means operation process have been developed, with the semi Markov homogenous model serving as a mathematical model of the studied operation process. Also, values of the analyzed characteristics have been determined.
Źródło:: Journal of KONES; 2011, 18, 4; 555-562
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:: Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 15.

Tytuł:: Modelling of transport system operational reliability a Markov approach
Autorzy:: Smolarek, Leszek
Ziemska, Monika
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/243419.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2019
Wydawca:: Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:: transport
road transport
simulation
Markov model
semi-Markov model
Opis:: The workability of a transport system is associated with performance and operational reliability. Operational reliability provides a measure of the probability that a transport system will realize transport process as intended. Performance reliability is an adequacy measure of transport process realization under specific environmental and traffic conditions. Transport system can be modelled as repairable, multistate, non-homogenous rectangular or dendrite system. This article provides the Markov and semi Markov models for estimation of the operational and performance reliability of city transport system. The system is semi homogenous it means that serial subsystems have the same reliability function. The reliability of any serial subsystem is exponential. The distribution of the repair time is any probability distribution. In case where the probability distribution of the repair time is exponential, the Markov process is used to construct simulation model. The simulation model was applied at Microsoft Excel. Many stochastic models in engineering, logistic and even finance or insurance are setup in a spreadsheet for simulation. The semi Markov model of the multistate reliability of repaired system is applied to the street system. The embedded Markov chain was used to count stationary probabilities. The possibility of application of the results is illustrated by an example for the systems with rectangular or dendrite shaped accordingly, consist of three types of elements.
Źródło:: Journal of KONES; 2019, 26, 4; 227-234
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:: Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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