Temat: regional climate change - Katalog OPAC zbiorów

Skocz do pozycji: 1.

Tytuł:: Solar Energy Supply Fluctuations to Earth and Climate Effects
Autorzy:: Zurbenko, Igor G.
Potrzeba-Macrina, Amy L.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1065091.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2019
Wydawca:: Przedsiębiorstwo Wydawnictw Naukowych Darwin / Scientific Publishing House DARWIN
Tematy:: Kolmogorov-Zurbenko filter
regional climate change
separation of scales
spectral analysis
sunspots numbers
total solar irradiation
Opis:: A major source of energy on Earth is solar irradiation. This paper uses the Kolmogorov-Zurbenko filter to smooth and examine sunspot numbers and proves that solar irradiation levels near Earth are strictly proportional to sunspot numbers. This paper also examines the transport of that energy through the atmosphere to Earth’s surface. Long term air temperatures on the surface of Earth perfectly follow the cosine square law along latitudes. Time components of long term temperatures have oscillations which follow oscillations in sunspot numbers, but due to the regular delays in energy transmission they are delayed 4-7 years. Cloud formations and vapor accumulations also contribute to those delays, which have a well-organized time-space structure. The main purpose of this paper is the numerical identification of human influence over changes in solar activities, which may allow researchers to identify the effects of various sources of those influences. This evaluation can only be achieved by separating the scales in order to avoid any false influence from other scales. The clear separation of scales can only be achieved using the Kolmogorov-Zurbenko filter.
Źródło:: World Scientific News; 2019, 120, 2; 111-131
2392-2192
Pojawia się w:: World Scientific News
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

Artykuł

Zmień widok

na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 2.

Tytuł:: Influence of climate change on the ice conditions of the Curonian Lagoon
Autorzy:: Jakimavicius, D.
Sarauskiene, D.
Kriauciuniene, J.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2079290.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2020
Wydawca:: Polska Akademia Nauk. Instytut Oceanologii PAN
Tematy:: climate change
regional climate
Curonian Lagoon
ice condition
hydrometeorological parameter
Opis:: The Curonian Lagoon is a shallow freshwater lagoon of significant environmental value in the south-eastern part of the Baltic Sea. The objective of the study was to evaluate changes of ice indices (duration, thickness and breakup dates) of this lagoon and to assess their possible tendencies in the 21st century. A methodology was developed combining the assessment of past changes (1960–2017) of ice indices and their projections in the near (2021–2040) and far (2081–2100) future periods using a hydrometeorological database, statistical methods and regression analysis as well as regional climate models and RCP scenarios. Climate change has a considerable impact on ice conditions in the Curonian Lagoon. During the historical period of 1960–2017, the Curonian Lagoon was covered with ice for 72 days a year, ice thickness reached 23 cm, whereas ice breakup was observed in the middle of March on average. According to the different scenarios, in the near and far future periods, ice duration will last 35–45 and 3–34 days, respectively. Ice thickness is projected to be 13–15 cm in the near future, whereas, at the end of the century, it is expected to decline to 0–13 cm. In the past, the lagoon ice cover remained until the middle of the third decade of February. At the end of the 21st century, RCP8.5 scenario projects the most drastic shifts: the permanent ice cover might be absent, whereas short-term ice cover is expected to melt already in the beginning of January.
Źródło:: Oceanologia; 2020, 62, 2; 164-172
0078-3234
Pojawia się w:: Oceanologia
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

Artykuł

Zmień widok

na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 3.

Tytuł:: Quality assessment of atmospheric surface fields over the Baltic Sea from an ensemble of regional climate model simulations with respect to ocean dynamics
Autorzy:: Meier, H.E.M.
Hoglund, A.
Doscher, R.
Andersson, H.
Loptien, U.
Kjellstrom, E.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/48250.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2011
Wydawca:: Polska Akademia Nauk. Instytut Oceanologii PAN
Tematy:: atmosphere-ocean coupling
Baltic region
climate change
climate model
ecosystem
global warming
hydrographic change
regional climate
regional climate modelling
sea ice
temperature
water temperature
Opis:: Climate model results for the Baltic Sea region from an ensemble of eight simulations using the Rossby Centre Atmosphere model version 3 (RCA3) driven with lateral boundary data from global climate models (GCMs) are compared with results from a downscaled ERA40 simulation and gridded observations from 1980 –2006. The results showed that data from RCA3 scenario simulations should not be used as forcing for Baltic Sea models in climate change impact studies because biases of the control climate significantly affect the simulated changes of future projections. For instance, biases of the sea ice cover in RCA3 in the present climate affect the sensitivity of the model’s response to changing climate due to the ice-albedo feedback. From the large ensemble of available RCA3 scenario simulations two GCMs with good performance in downscaling experiments during the control period 1980–2006 were selected. In this study, only the quality of atmospheric surface fields over the Baltic Sea was chosen as a selection criterion. For the greenhouse gas emission scenario A1B two transient simulations for 1961 –2100 driven by these two GCMs were performed using the regional, fully coupled atmosphere-ice-ocean model RCAO. It was shown that RCAO has the potential to improve the results in downscaling experiments driven by GCMs considerably, because sea surface temperatures and sea ice concentrations are calculated more realistically with RCAO than when RCA3 has been forced with surface boundary data from GCMs. For instance, the seasonal 2 m air temperature cycle is closer to observations in RCAO than in RCA3 downscaling simulations. However, the parameterizations of air-sea fluxes in RCAO need to be improved.
Źródło:: Oceanologia; 2011, 53, (1-TI)
0078-3234
Pojawia się w:: Oceanologia
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

Artykuł

Zmień widok

na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 4.

Tytuł:: A modeling framework to assess the impact of climate change on river runoff
Autorzy:: Kuchar, L.
Iwański, S.
Jelonek, L.
Szalińska, W.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/108599.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2014
Wydawca:: Instytut Meteorologii i Gospodarki Wodnej - Państwowy Instytut Badawczy
Tematy:: climate change
spatial weather generator
regional hydrology
distributed rainfall-runoff model
Opis:: Global climate change is anticipated to have consequences on water resources and the environment both at global and local/regional levels. Efforts towards proper management of future water resources and resolving potential water-related conflicts require the formulation of appropriate techniques to downscale the output of global climate models (GCM) to local conditions for hydrologic prediction. The paper presents an integrated framework for modeling the impact of climate change on river runoff that combines methodology for downscaling climate change scenarios for a basin scale with a hydrological model to estimate the impact of climate change on a river runoff. The modeling framework uses long-term observations of meteorological and hydrological variables together with a climate change scenario to provide a projection of future flows for the specified time horizon. The framework is based on a spatial weather generator and a distributed rainfall-runoff model. Such a configuration enables a reflection of the uncertainty of future conditions by running multiple realizations of future conditions, and also take into account the spatial variability of hydrological properties in the catchment by maintaining the physical details at a given grid size. The performance of the framework was presented for the Kaczawa basin that is one of the main left bank tributaries of the Odra River – the second biggest river in Poland. The results show simulated changes of the future river flow regime caused by climatic changes for two time horizons: 2040 and 2080.
Źródło:: Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management. Research and Operational Applications; 2014, 2, 2; 49-63
2299-3835
2353-5652
Pojawia się w:: Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management. Research and Operational Applications
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

Artykuł

Zmień widok

na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 5.

Tytuł:: Temporal variation of extreme precipitation events in Lithuania
Autorzy:: Rimkus, E.
Kazys, J.
Bukantis, A.
Krotovas, A.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/48347.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2011
Wydawca:: Polska Akademia Nauk. Instytut Oceanologii PAN
Tematy:: atmospheric circulation
CCLM model
climate condition
dynamics
heavy rain
Lithuania
negative change
precipitation
regional modelling
spatial distribution
Opis:: Heavy precipitation events in Lithuania for the period 1961–2008 were analysed. The spatial distribution and dynamics of precipitation extremes were investigated. Positive tendencies and in some cases statistically significant trends were deter- mined for the whole of Lithuania. Atmospheric circulation processes were derived using Hess & Brezowski’s classification of macrocirculation forms. More than one third of heavy precipitation events (37%) were observed when the atmospheric circulation was zonal. The location of the central part of a cyclone (WZ weather condition subtype) over Lithuania is the most common synoptic situation (27%) during heavy precipitation events. Climatic projections according to outputs of the CCLM model are also presented in this research. The analysis shows that the recurrence of heavy precipitation events in the 21st century will increase significantly (by up to 22%) in Lithuania.
Źródło:: Oceanologia; 2011, 53, (1-TI)
0078-3234
Pojawia się w:: Oceanologia
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

Artykuł

Zmień widok

na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 6.

Tytuł:: Territorial differences of climate change impact on Romanian crop production
Autorzy:: Szocs, E.
Biro, B.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/572418.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2009
Wydawca:: Szkoła Główna Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie. Wydawnictwo Szkoły Głównej Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie
Tematy:: climate change
Romania
crop production
crop yield
regional differentiation
territorial differentiation
agriculture
meteorological factor
regression analysis
statistical relationship
econometric model
crop structure
climatic factor
agricultural product
Opis:: Effects of the climate change appear in several fields of the economy and agriculture can be considered as one of the most affected among them. In a country, where almost 10% of the total GDP is produced by the agricultural sector and more than 30% of the total work force is employed in this field, these changes may have severe economic impacts. As in Romania almost 65% of the agricultural production is represented by vegetal production, we concentrate our investigations on this agricultural sector. Our aim is to present, basing on econometric modeling, how the climate changes will affect the Romanian crop production in the next 20 years, highlighting the territorial differences which appear between the Romanian NUTS2 development regions. This paper presents some of the first results of the FP6 research project “CLAVIER – Climate Change and Variability: Impact on Central and Eastern Europe”, contract no. 037013 (2006-2009).
Źródło:: Zeszyty Naukowe Szkoły Głównej Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie. Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego; 2009, 06(21)
2081-6960
Pojawia się w:: Zeszyty Naukowe Szkoły Głównej Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie. Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

Artykuł

Zmień widok

na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 7.

Tytuł:: Problematyka zmian klimatu w regionalnych strategiach innowacji (RSI)
Climate change problems in regional innovation strategies (RSI)
Autorzy:: Michalak, D.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/324357.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2017
Wydawca:: Politechnika Śląska. Wydawnictwo Politechniki Śląskiej
Tematy:: zmiany klimatu
Krajowe Inteligentne Specjalizacje
Regionalne Inteligentne Specjalizacje
działania adaptacyjne
działania zapobiegawcze
działania dostosowawcze
climate change
National Smart Specialization
Regional Intelligent Specializations
adaptive actions
prevention
preventive actions
Opis:: Punktem wyjścia rozważań podjętych w niniejszym artykule jest Strategia na rzecz inteligentnego i zrównoważonego rozwoju, w której określono cele oraz priorytety Unii Europejskiej na lata 2010-2020. W odpowiedzi na ww. strategie Ministerstwo Rozwoju w Polsce wyodrębniono Krajowe Inteligentne Specjalizacje (KIS), ich ideą jest wskazanie kluczowych branż dla rozwoju społeczno- gospodarczych kraju i ich wsparcie finansowe środkami pochodzącymi z Unii Europejskiej. Odpowiedzią na KIS są Regionalne Strategie Innowacji (RSI). Celem analizy zaprezentowanej w artykule jest odpowiedź na pytanie czy RSI promuje działania służące zapobieganiu pogłębiania się zmian klimatu, a także tych które ułatwiają dostosowanie się do nowych warunków atmosferycznych.
The Strategy for Intelligent and Sustainable Development, which sets out the objectives and priorities of the European Union for the years 2010-2020, is the starting point for the deliberations of this article. In response to the aforementioned Strategies The Ministry of Development in Poland has distinguished National Intelligence Specialization (pol. KIS), the idea of which is to identify key sectors for socio-economic development of the country and their financial support from the European Union. The purpose of the analysis presented in this paper is to answer the question whether RSI promotes measures to prevent the degradation of climate change, and those that facilitate adaptation to new atmospheric conditions.
Źródło:: Zeszyty Naukowe. Organizacja i Zarządzanie / Politechnika Śląska; 2017, 112; 241-254
1641-3466
Pojawia się w:: Zeszyty Naukowe. Organizacja i Zarządzanie / Politechnika Śląska
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki