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Tytuł:
Wtórny rynek ubezpieczeń – problem optymalizacji
Viatical insurance market – optimization problem
Autorzy:
Heilpern, Stanisław
Dębicka, Joanna
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/588557.pdf
Data publikacji:
2018
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Katowicach
Tematy:
Model wielostanowy
Teoria perspektyw
Użyteczność
Użyteczność zależna od porządku
Wtórny rynek ubezpieczeń
Cumulative prospect theory
Multistate model
Rank-dependent utility
Utility
Viatical market
Opis:
Artykuł poświęcony jest problemowi optymalizacji przepływów finansowych powstających w wyniku realizacji umowy na wtórnym rynku ubezpieczeń, rozpatrywanych z punktu widzenia ubezpieczonego. Ubezpieczony chory na przewlekłą chorobę, chcąc uzyskać fundusze na leczenie, odsprzedaje inwestorowi część praw do świadczenia ubezpieczeniowego. Zadanie polega na wyborze tej części w taki sposób, aby zmaksymalizować oczekiwaną kwotę dostępnych środków. Zakłada się przy tym, że ubezpieczony postępuje na rynku racjonalnie, uwzględniając swoje podejście do ryzyka. W pracy wykorzystano model wielostanowy i rozpatrzono różne teorie podejmowania decyzji w warunkach ryzyka i niepewności: maksymalizację wartości oczekiwanej, oczekiwanej użyteczności, użyteczności zależnej od porządku oraz teorię perspektyw. Przeanalizowano też wpływ parametrów funkcji użyteczności i funkcji zniekształcającej prawdopodobieństwo na wartość optymalnego wyboru, w przypadku gdy ubezpieczony postępuje zgodnie z teorią perspektyw.
The paper is devoted to the optimization problem on the viatical insurence market from the insured point of view. The insured is terminally ill and he resell the part of his policy to the investor to obtain finance for treatment. The task is to select this part in such a way as to maximize the expected amount of available funds. We assume, that the insured acts rationally on the market, taking into account their approach to risk. The multistate model and the different theories of the decision-making under risk and uncertainty: the Utility Theory, the Rank-Dependent Expected Utility Theory and the Prospect Theory are used in the paper. The influence of the values of the utility function parameter and the parameter of function that distorts the probability on the values of the optimal resale parameter α, when the insured follows the prospect theory is studied, too.
Źródło:
Studia Ekonomiczne; 2018, 366; 86-102
2083-8611
Pojawia się w:
Studia Ekonomiczne
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
The optimization of insurance contracts on the viatical market
Autorzy:
Dębicka, Joanna
Heilpern, Stanisław
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/406657.pdf
Data publikacji:
2020
Wydawca:
Politechnika Wrocławska. Oficyna Wydawnicza Politechniki Wrocławskiej
Tematy:
viatical settlement
multistate model
Bernoulli principle
rank dependent expected utility theory
cumulative prospect theory
Opis:
We focus on ensuring the financial requirements of a person that has life insurance and needs money because of suffering from a terminal illness that requires costly diagnosis and treatment. On the secondary market of life insurance (the viatical market), companies offer purchase of rights to benefits after the death of the insured. The paper aims to analyse the problem of optimising the life settlement for the insured. We determine the amount of the nominal value of the benefit which the insured intends to sell in such a way so that the number of benefits and premiums maximise the average amount of funds available to the insured. We use various approaches of the insured to risk to find an optimal solution, which also allows taking into consideration the different kinds of human behaviour in risky conditions. The obtained theoretical results are illustrated with examples demonstrating the possibility of their application in practice.
Źródło:
Operations Research and Decisions; 2020, 30, 2; 5-27
2081-8858
2391-6060
Pojawia się w:
Operations Research and Decisions
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Safety of multistate ageing systems
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068950.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
safety function
risk function
multistate system
ageing
oil pipeline system
Opis:
Basic notions of the ageing multistate systems safety analysis are introduced. The system components and the system multistate safety functions are defined. The mean values and variances of the multistate systems lifetimes in the safety state subsets and the mean values of their lifetimes in the particular safety states are defined. The multi-state system risk function and the moment of exceeding by the system the critical safety state are introduced. The exemplary safety structures of the multistate systems with ageing components are defined and their safety functions are determined. As a particular case, the safety functions of the considered multistate systems composed of components having exponential safety functions are determined. Applications of the proposed multistate system safety models to the evaluation and prediction of the safty characteristics of the oil piping transportation system is presented as well.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 131--142
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Reliability of the exemplary multistate series system with dependent components
Autorzy:
Blokus-Roszkowska, A.
Kołowrocki, K.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069204.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
reliability
dependent components
local load sharing
ageing components
multistate series system
Opis:
In the paper a multistate approach to reliability analysis of series systems with dependent components according to the local load sharing rule is proposed. As a particular case, the reliability function of a multistate series system composed of dependent components having exponential reliability functions is determined. The mean values and standard deviations of the multistate system lifetimes in the reliability state subsets and the mean values of its lifetimes in the particular reliability states are determined. Application of the proposed model of components’ dependency to the reliability analysis of the exemplary system is presented. The exemplary system risk function and the moment of exceeding by the system the critical reliability state are given.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2015, 6, 1; 37--46
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Reliability of large port grain transportation system
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069510.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
reliability
multistate system
ageing
large system
operation process
grain transportation system
Opis:
The combination of the results on the reliability of complex multi-state systems related to their operation processes and the results concerning the limit reliability functions of the multistate systems is proposed, to obtain the results on the asymptotic approach to the evaluation of the large complex multi-state systems reliability at the variable operation conditions. The asymptotic approach to the large complex system reliability evaluation and the large complex system limit reliability function are defined. Limit reliability functions of selected large complex systems composed of components having Weibull reliability functions are fixed. The way of using this results is illustrated by their application to the evaluation of reliability characteristics of the large complex port grain transportation subsystem composed of three large multistate non-homogeneous series systems and changing its reliability structure and its components reliability parameters at variable operation conditions.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2014, 5, 2; 77--86
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Reliability of large and complex systems : state of art
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069522.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
reliability
two-state system
multistate system
ageing
operation process
complex system
optimization
applications
Opis:
The author’s latest monograph “Reliability of large and complex systems” published by Elsevier in 2014 is presented. The paper is composed of an introduction, the monograph contents, conclusions and the references the monograph contents is based on.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2014, 5, 2; 63--76
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Reliability of complex system under operation process influence : Monte Carlo simulation Approach
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069246.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
multistate system
operation process
complex system
reliability
Monte Carlo simulation method
Opis:
The paper presents Monte Carlo simulation method applied to the reliability evaluation of a multistate system subjected to a variable multistate operation process. The system operation process model is linked with the system reliability model and proposed to get a general reliability model of the complex system operating at varying in time operation conditions and to find its reliability characteristics. The Monte Carlo simulation algorithm based on the integrated general model of a complex multistate system reliability, linking its reliability model and its operation process model and considering variable at different operation states its reliability structure and its components reliability parameters is applied to the reliability evaluation of port grain transportation system. Next the results of this simulation method application are illustrated and compared with the results obtained by the analytical method.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2015, 6, 1; 145--154
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Reliability, availability and safety of complex technical systems : modelling – identification – prediction – optimization
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069542.pdf
Data publikacji:
2010
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
reliability
safety
multistate system
operation process
complex system
Opis:
There is presented a practically well grounded approach concerned with the identification, evaluation, prediction and optimization of reliability, availability and safety of technical systems related to their operation processes. The main emphasis of this approach is on multi-state systems composed of ageing components and changing during the operation processes their structures and their components reliability and safety characteristics. There are proposed the convenient tools for analyzing these systems in the form of semi-markov modeling the systems’ operation processes and multistate modeling the systems’ reliability. There are described theoretical results of the proposed approach to reliability and safety analysis of multistate systems with degrading components in their operation processes and the possibility of their practical applications to the reliability and safety analysis and optimization of the complex technical port and maritime transportation systems.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2010, 1, 1; 133--158
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Reliability and risk function improvement of bulk cargo transportation system
Autorzy:
Kwiatuszewska-Sarnecka, B.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069059.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
reliability
reliability improvement
multistate system
large system
Opis:
In the paper the basic notions of the ageing multistate systems reliability analysis are introduced. The multistate system reliability functions are defined and the mean values of the multistate system lifetimes in the reliability state subsets and in the particular reliability states are determined. The notion of the multistate system risk function and the moment of the system exceeding the critical reliability state are introduced. Further, in the developed reliability models, it is assumed that the system’s components have the multistate Weibull reliability functions with various parameters in their different reliability state subsets. Under this assumption, the proposed multistate system reliability models are applied in maritime transport to the reliability analysis of a bulk cargo transportation system and its reliability function, moreover other main characteristics are determined.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2015, 6, 2; 81--88
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Reliability analysis of multistate series systems with dependent components
Autorzy:
Blokus-Roszkowska, A.
Kołowrocki, K.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069307.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
reliability
dependent components
local load sharing
ageing components
multistate series system
Opis:
In the paper an approach to the reliability analysis of multistate series systems assuming their components dependency according to the local load sharing rule is presented. There is introduced the local load sharing model of components dependency (of departures from the reliability states subsets) and the reliability function of a multistate series system with dependent components is determined. These results are also presented in case system components have exponential reliability functions and in this case basic reliability characteristics are given.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2015, 6, 1; 31--36
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Preliminary approach to safety analysis of critical infrastructures
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069426.pdf
Data publikacji:
2012
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
safety
multistate system
aging
operation process
dependability
critical infrastructure
Opis:
In the paper the new results of the safety investigations of the multistate complex systems with dependent components at variable operation conditions called critical infrastructures are presented. The multi-state safety function of the critical infrastructure system is defined and determined for an exemplary critical infrastructure. In the developed models, it is assumed that the system components have the multistate exponential safety functions with interdependent departures rates from the subsets of the safety states.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2012, 3, 1; 73--88
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Operation and reliability optimization of complex technical systems
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069477.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
reliability
multistate system
ageing
operation process
optimization
exemplary application
Opis:
Modelling and prediction of the operation and reliability of technical multistate ageing systems related to their operation processes called complex systems are briefly presented and applied to prediction of the operation processes and reliability characteristics of an exemplary complex non-homogeneous system composed of a series-parallel and a series-“m out of l” subsystems linked in series, changing its reliability structure and its components reliability parameters at variable operation conditions. Further, the linear programming is proposed to the operation and reliability optimization of complex technical systems operating at variable operation conditions. The method consists in determining the optimal values of limit transient probabilities at the system operation states that maximize the system lifetimes in the reliability state subsets. The proposed method is practically applied to the operation and reliability optimization of the considered exemplary complex system.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2014, 5, 1; 91--106
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
On safety of critical infrastructures modeling with application to port oil transportation system
Autorzy:
Kolowrocki, K.
Soszynska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069166.pdf
Data publikacji:
2013
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
safety
multistate system
ageing
operation process
dependability
critical infrastructure
piping transport
Opis:
A new approach to safety investigations of multistate complex systems with dependent components at variable operation conditions called critical infrastructures is proposed. The safety function of the critical infrastructure system is defined and determined for an exemplary “m out of l” critical infrastructure. In the developed model, it is assumed that the system components have the multistate exponential safety functions with interdependent departures rates from the subsets of the safety states. The approach is adapted to safety prediction of oil piping transportation system operating at a maritime port.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2013, 4, 2; 189--204
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Non-renewal multistate system with Semi-Markov components
Autorzy:
Grabski, F.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069483.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
Semi-Markov process
multistate system
multistate reliability functions
binary representation
Opis:
The paper deals with non-renewal multistate monotone systems consisting of multistate components which are modeled by the semi-Markov processes. In the case of a non-renewal system the multistate reliability functions of the system components and the whole system are discussed. All presented concepts and models are illustrated by simple numerical examples.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2014, 5, 1; 63--70
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
New reliability score for component strength using kullback-leibler divergence
Nowa metoda oceny niezawodności na podstawie wytrzymałości elementów z zastosowaniem dywergencji Kullbacka-Leiblera
Autorzy:
Gökdere, G.
Gürcan, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/301505.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Polskie Naukowo-Techniczne Towarzystwo Eksploatacyjne PAN
Tematy:
reliability
stress-strength model
multistate system model
Kullback-Leibler divergence
niezawodność
model typu obciążenie-wytrzymałość
model systemu wielostanowego
dywergencja Kullbacka-Leiblera
Opis:
The reliability of technical systems is one of the most important research subjects in the point reached by modern science. In many recent studies, this problem is solved by evaluation the operation performance of determined one or more components operating under stress. At this point, R=P(X
Niezawodność systemów technicznych jest jednym z najważniejszych tematów badawczych we współczesnej nauce. Wiele z ostatnich badań, problem ten rozwiązuje poprzez ocenę wydajności pracy jednego lub większej liczby wybranych elementów działających pod wpływem obciążenia. Za punkt wyjściowy przyjmuje się R=P(X
Źródło:
Eksploatacja i Niezawodność; 2016, 18, 3; 367-372
1507-2711
Pojawia się w:
Eksploatacja i Niezawodność
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł

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