On safety of critical infrastructures modeling with application to port oil transportation system

A new approach to safety investigations of multistate complex systems with dependent components at variable operation conditions called critical infrastructures is proposed. The safety function of the critical infrastructure system is defined and determined for an exemplary “m out of l” critical infrastructure. In the developed model, it is assumed that the system components have the multistate exponential safety functions with interdependent departures rates from the subsets of the safety states. The approach is adapted to safety prediction of oil piping transportation system operating at a maritime port.