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Wyszukujesz frazę "extreme weather" wg kryterium: Temat


Tytuł:
Problems with the classification and prediction of extreme weather phenomena
Autorzy:
Warakomski, W.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/25927.pdf
Data publikacji:
1998
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Instytut Agrofizyki PAN
Tematy:
classification
prediction
weather phenomenon
extreme weather phenomenon
Źródło:
International Agrophysics; 1998, 12, 4
0236-8722
Pojawia się w:
International Agrophysics
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for critical infrastructure operating area
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068981.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather states
climate-weather change process
modelling
extreme weather hazards
Opis:
The climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area is considered and its states are introduced. The semi-Markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area. To build this model the vector of probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the initials climate-weather states, the matrix of probabilities of the climate-weather change process transitions between the climate-weather states, the matrix of conditional distribution functions and the matrix of conditional density functions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states are defined. To describe the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states the uniform distribution, the triangular distribution, the double trapezium distribution, the quasi-trapezium distribution, the exponential distribution, the Weibull distribution, the chimney distribution and the Gamma distribution are suggested and introduced.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 149--154
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
EU-CIRCLE : A pan-European framework for strengthening critical infrastructure resilience to climate change Project taxonomy and methodology – Climate-weather change terminology and methodology
Autorzy:
Blokus-Roszkowska, A.
Kołowrocki, K.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068903.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate change
extreme weather event
climate-weather state
climate-weather change process
Opis:
The paper presents climate-weather change terminology, selected from the fourth chapter of the report prepared in the scope of the EU-CIRCLE project. This project titled “A pan-European framework for strengthening Critical Infrastructure resilience to climate change – EU-CIRCLE” is realized under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program. The improved terms and definitions coming from this chapter are presented. Moreover, methodology related to climate-weather change in the scope of project issues is introduced.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 1; 217--230
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
General Approach to Modelling Operation Threats and Extreme Weather Hazards Impact on Critical Infrastructure Safety
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068804.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
modelling
operation threats
extreme weather hazards
critical Infrastructure
safety
Opis:
The paper presents the theoretical, general approach to safety modelling of operation threats and extreme wather hazards impact on Critical Infrastructures. To achieve this aim, the scheme of the operation and climate-weather influence on CI is presented and described. Furthermore, the basic critical infrastructure safety indicators and IMCISM Model 1 are introduced.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 3; 1--8
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Critical infrastructure operation process related to operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068860.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
critical infrastructure
operation
prediction
environment threats
extreme weather hazards
Opis:
Considering a significant influence of the critical infrastructure operating environment threats on its operation process and safety, more precise and convergent to reality model of the critical infrastructure operation process related to critical infrastructure operating environment threats is built. The method of defining the parameters of this operation process is presented and a new procedure of their determining in the case when the critical infrastructure operating threats are not explicit separated in this process is proposed.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 41--58
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Uwarunkowania powstawania strat finansowych na obszarach wiejskich powodowanych przez ekstremalne zjawiska pogodowe
Conditions of financial loss in rural areas caused by extreme weather
Autorzy:
Kocur-Bera, K.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/101125.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Stowarzyszenie Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich PAN
Tematy:
obszary wiejskie
ekstremalne zjawiska pogodowe
pogoda
rural areas
extreme weather events
weather
Opis:
Problematyka zmian klimatu oraz będących konsekwencją tych zmian ekstremalnych zjawisk pogodowych są obecnie tematem wielu badań a także działań rządów w zakresie przeciwdziałania zachodzącym zjawiskom. Obszary wiejskie i produkcja odbywająca się na tych terenach w Polsce uzależniona jest głównie od naturalnych uwarunkowań pogodowych, to powoduje iż w rolnicy ponoszą często duże straty finansowe z powodu występowania ekstremalnych zjawisk pogodowych. Pakiety ubezpieczeniowe oferowane prze firmy są kosztowne, więc rolnicy korzystają z nich cząstkowo albo wcale. W artykule podjęto temat strat finansowych, które miały miejsce w latach 2010-2014 na terenie 60 gmin województwa warmińsko-mazurskiego. W stosunku do każdej gminy zgromadzono 20 geoinformacji opisujących uwarunkowania przestrzenne, środowiskowe oraz ekonomiczne (straty finansowe). Dzięki wykorzystaniu metody regresji kroczącej wstecznej oraz analizy korelacji uzyskano cztery zmienne niezależne wpływające na wielkość powstałych strat. Należą do nich: powierzchnia, na której wystąpiły straty, powierzchnia która jest wykorzystywana rolniczo - z podziałem na grunty orne oraz łąki i pastwiska oraz wskaźnik warunków wodnych. Ten ostatni czynnik mówi o zdolności gleby do akumulacji wody, a więc ma istotne znaczenie w okresach małej ilości wód opadowych. Przeprowadzone badania pogłębiają problematykę związaną z zachodzącymi zmianami klimatycznymi, które na ternach wiejskich Polski są problematyką dopiero poruszaną.
The issue of climate change and as a consequence of these changes in extreme weather events are currently the subject of many studies and actions of governments in dealing with phenomena occurring. Rural areas and production takes place in these areas in Poland depends mainly on natural weather conditions, it causes that the farmers are often large financial losses because of extreme weather. Insurance packages offered by the company are expensive, so farmers use them piecemeal, or not at all. The article about the financial losses that took place in 2010-2014 in the 60 municipalities of the Warmia and Mazur Region. In relation to each municipality collected 20 geo-information describing spatial conditions, environmental and economic (financial losses). By using the method of moving backward regression and correlation analysis were obtained four independent variables affecting the size of the resulting losses. These include: surface on which the loss occurred, the surface of which is used for agriculture - divided on plowed land and meadows and pastures, and the rate of water conditions. Last variable speaks of the capacity of soil to accumulate water, thus is important in times of small amounts of rainwater. The study exacerbate the problems associated with ongoing climate change, which in rural areas Polish issues are very young.
Źródło:
Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich; 2016, I/1; 117-130
1732-5587
Pojawia się w:
Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Identification and prediction of climate-weather change process for port oil piping transportation system operating area
Autorzy:
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068856.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather change process
identification
prediction
piping operating area
extreme weather hazards
Opis:
The paper is concerned with an application of the climate-weather change process for a critical infrastructure operating area model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system operating area. For the considered piping operating area, there are distinguished three different climate-weather change processes and their states. Further, there are identified the unknown parameters of those processes, i.e. the probabilities of the climate-weather change processes staying at the initial climate-weather states, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the mean values of the climate-weather change processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 107--112
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for maritime ferry
Autorzy:
Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068960.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
extreme weather hazard states
maritime ferry
Opis:
The climate-weather change process for the maritime ferry operating at Port Gdynia and at Baltic Sea open waters between Gdynia bay and Karlskrona bay is considered and its states are defined. Further, the semi-Markov process is defined and used to create a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the maritime ferry operating at considered areas.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 41--46
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for port oil piping transportation system
Autorzy:
Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068975.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
extreme weather hazard states
port oil transportation syste
Opis:
The climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area is considered and its states are defined. Further, the semi-Markov process is used to create a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area. To construct this model the vector of probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the initials climate-weather states, the matrix of probabilities of the climate-weather change process transitions between the climate-weather states, the matrix of conditional distribution functions and the matrix of conditional density functions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states are defined. Preliminary applications of the proposed model to the climate-weather change process for the port oil transportation system operation area are presented.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 31--40
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Case-Study Modelling Analysis of Hydrodynamics in the Nearshore of the Baltic Sea Forced by Extreme Along-shore Wind in the Case of a Cross-shore Obstacle
Autorzy:
Sokolov, A.
Chubarenko, B.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/241305.pdf
Data publikacji:
2018
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Instytut Budownictwa Wodnego PAN
Tematy:
numerical modeling
extreme weather
storm surge
wind waves
currents
protective dam
Gulf of Finland
Opis:
In the current study we use a three-dimensional model with hydrodynamic and spectral wave modules operating in a coupled mode to simulate the response of currents and wind wave fields to winds of 20–25 m/sec offshore of the protective structure of the Saint Petersburg Flood Prevention Facility Complex. The model was calibrated against field data, which allowed us to obtain a tool describing storm situations in the eastern part of the Gulf of Finland with a satisfactory accuracy. The numerical modeling showed that the protective dam did not have a noticeable effect on the levels of stormsurge, significantwave height, or current speed in areas seaward of the dam. The increase in erosion processes on the southern shore of the easternmost part of the Gulf of Finland in recent past has most probably been related to other factors. We found that if a west or south-west wind of at least 25 m/s blows over the Baltic Sea for at least 16 hours, the level of storm surges seaward of the dam may reach 3 or more meters. An artificial strengthening of the coastline and the creation of shore protection structures are recommended.
Źródło:
Archives of Hydro-Engineering and Environmental Mechanics; 2018, 65, 3; 163-176
1231-3726
Pojawia się w:
Archives of Hydro-Engineering and Environmental Mechanics
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Methodology for Electric Cables Critical Infrastructure Network safety and resilience to climate change analysis
Autorzy:
Blokus-Roszkowska, A.
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069016.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
energy sector
critical infrastructure network
electric cable critical infrastructure
extreme weather
climate change
resilience
energy security
Opis:
In the paper the energy sector as a critical infrastructure is presented and basic terminology concerned with the energy critical infrastructure is given. The interactions and connections between critical infrastructures are described and the effects of power disruptions to other critical infrastructures are highlighted. Next, presented terminology and taxonomy refer to climate change and resilience to climate change of electric cable critical infrastructure. Finally, taxonomy of electric cable critical infrastructure network in Baltic Sea Region is given, especially in terms of climate change and resilience to climate change. Basic notions related to extreme weather events and climate change having impact on energy generation, transmission and distribution are introduced.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 2; 151--162
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Kryzysy żywnościowe a anomalie klimatyczne od XVII do połowy XIX wieku na przykładzie Małopolski
Autorzy:
Miodunka, Piotr
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2081180.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
Tematy:
kryzysy żywnościowe
klimat
ekstremalna pogoda
ceny
historia Polski
subsistence crises
climate
extreme weather
prices
history of Poland
Opis:
The article presents new interpretations of the cause of the economic crisis in Poland lasting from mid 17th to the mid 18th centuries. Opposite to the existing studies it investigates the subsistence crises and famines during the 17th, 18th and first half of the 19th centuries. The data on historical climate and extreme weather in Małopolska are also analysed as well their impact on births' dynamics.
Źródło:
Historyka studia metodologiczne; 2016, 46; 209-227
0073-277X
Pojawia się w:
Historyka studia metodologiczne
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Developing criteria for a stakeholder-centred evaluation of climate services: the case of extreme event attribution for storm surges at the German Baltic Sea
Autorzy:
Schwab, M.
Storch, H. von
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/108498.pdf
Data publikacji:
2018
Wydawca:
Instytut Meteorologii i Gospodarki Wodnej - Państwowy Instytut Badawczy
Tematy:
usługi klimatyczne
ekstremalne zdarzenia pogodowe
zmiana klimatu
climate service
extreme weather event
climate change
stakeholder-centered evaluation
Opis:
Science-based knowledge about climate-related hazards is an inevitable part of the knowledge basis needed for many stakeholders’ decision-making. Despite continuous advances in climate science, much of this knowledge is perceived to be hardly accessible, understandable, or relevant to stakeholders. One relatively new field where these aspects may become evident is extreme weather event attribution. It has received much attention in science in recent years, but its potential usefulness to stakeholders has rarely been addressed in the literature so far. This study has therefore developed criteria for evaluating potential climate services from a stakeholder perspective, using the example of findings from extreme event attribution. This is illustrated in an empirical mixed-method study about decision-makers dealing with storm surge risks at the German Baltic Sea Coast and (re)insurance sector representatives. The study builds on interviews and workshops with potential users of extreme event attribution. It reveals that there are three main groups of criteria which matter most to the stakeholders in question: 1) trustworthiness, 2) context-sensitivity and decision-relevance, 3) clarity and comprehensibility. Having appropriate evaluation categories, as well as processes to identify stakeholder-specific criteria, will facilitate the inclusion of values, knowledge contexts, and interests. Many stakeholders emphasized that they need a trustworthy knowledge broker who provides decision-oriented information which is intuitively accessible, understandable, and in their mother tongue. Being independent, scientifically competent, and in a continuous dialogue with both scientists and stakeholders, established regional and sector-specific climate services can facilitate the fulfilment of these requirements. A stakeholder-oriented evaluation will thereby help to make climate services more useful to potential user groups – even if a product is not in use yet, as is the case for extreme event attribution products.
Źródło:
Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management. Research and Operational Applications; 2018, 6, 1; 27-35
2299-3835
2353-5652
Pojawia się w:
Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management. Research and Operational Applications
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A preliminary assessment of climate change impacts – implications for mining activity in Polish coal regions
Autorzy:
Janson, Ewa
Markowska, Małgorzata
Łabaj, Paweł
Wrana, Aleksander
Zawartka, Paweł
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1853841.pdf
Data publikacji:
2020
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
Tematy:
zmiany klimatyczne
działalność górnicza
wydobycie węgla
climate change
mining activity
extreme weather events
climate change impacts on coal mining
transition of coal regions
Opis:
It is widely known and accepted that the global climate is changing with unprecedented speed. Climate models project increasing temperatures and changes in precipitation regimes which will alter the frequency, magnitude, and geographic distribution of climate-related hazards including flood, drought and heat waves. In the mining industry, climate change impacts are an area of research around the world, mostly in relation to the mining industry in Australia and Canada, where mining policies and mitigation actions based on the results of this research were adopted and applied. In Poland, there is still a lack of research on how climate change, and especially extreme weather events, impacts mining activity. This impact may be of particular importance in Poland, where the mining industry is in the process of intensive transition. The paper presents an overview of hazardous events in mining in Poland that were related to extreme weather phenomena. The needs and recommended actions in the scope of mitigating the impact of future climate change on mining in all stages of its functioning were also indicated. The presented analyses and conclusions are the results of the first activities in the TEXMIN project: The impact of extreme weather events on mining activities, identifying the most important factors resulting from climate change impact on mining.
Źródło:
Archives of Mining Sciences; 2020, 65, 3; 703-717
0860-7001
Pojawia się w:
Archives of Mining Sciences
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Safety problems of anchoring in restricted areas in extreme hydrometeorological conditions
Autorzy:
Kowalski, A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/135587.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Akademia Morska w Szczecinie. Wydawnictwo AMSz
Tematy:
extreme hydrometeorological weather conditions
manoeuvring area
port regulations
restricted area
safe anchoring clause
slewing on anchor
Opis:
The aim of the following article is to analyse the lying of a vessel at anchor in extreme hydrometeorological conditions. As an example it describes the situation of the Panamax type bulk carrier anchoring in Prince Rupert harbour restricted area. The investigation takes into consideration the impact of strong wind on the safety of anchoring in sheltered waters. The presented calculations concern problems of slewing which result in changes of heading. The analysis also includes a description of the wind and current forces. The final part focuses on conclusions whose aim is to improve anchoring safety standards in areas managed by harbour authorities.
Źródło:
Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie; 2016, 45 (117); 120-125
1733-8670
2392-0378
Pojawia się w:
Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł

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