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Tytuł:
Cyclic Bayesian Network : Markov Process Approach
Autorzy:
Kłopotek, M. A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/92928.pdf
Data publikacji:
2006
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Przyrodniczo-Humanistyczny w Siedlcach
Tematy:
Bayesian networks
Markov process
Opis:
The paper proposes a new interpretation of the concept of cyclic Bayesian Networks, based on stationary Markov processes over feature vector state transitions.
Źródło:
Studia Informatica : systems and information technology; 2006, 1(7); 47-55
1731-2264
Pojawia się w:
Studia Informatica : systems and information technology
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Availability of AIS binary data transmission based on dynamic measurements performed
Autorzy:
Jaskólski, K.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/320538.pdf
Data publikacji:
2013
Wydawca:
Polskie Forum Nawigacyjne
Tematy:
AIS
Markov process
availability
Opis:
The problem of determining coordinates for the requirements of maritime navigation, considered only in terms of measurement error, seems to be solved on a global scale. In view of the above, the operational characteristics of radio navigation systems such as availability are equally important. This paper analyses the problem of AIS binary transmission availability. An attempt was made to assess the availability of the AIS service transmission channel based on dynamic measurements. For this purpose, the theory of Markov processes defined on a discrete state space was applied. The Criterion of state system availability was adopted, stochastic matrix of probabilities of transitions between the states of the availability and accessibility of states limit the probability of AIS. In this paper, the author proposed a model for the assessment of AIS Service availability. To meet the objective of the research, recorded data derived from the Southern Baltic and Danish Straits Base Stations were used.
Dokładności, jakie zapewniają współczesne systemy satelitarne, sprawiają, że problem wyznaczania współrzędnych pozycji dla celów żeglugi morskiej w kategoriach minimalizacji błędów pomiaru wydaje się być rozwiązany w skali globalnej. Wobec powyższego równie ważna staje się operacyjna charakterystyka systemów radionawigacyjnych w oparciu o takie wielkości, jak na przykład dostępność. W artykule przedstawiono analizę zagadnienia dostępności transmisji binarnej w systemie AIS. Badania przeprowadzono dla oszacowania dostępności kanału transmisji AIS w oparciu o pomiary z obiektu ruchomego. W tym celu zastosowano teorię procesów Markova zdefiniowanych na dyskretnej przestrzeni stanów. Adaptowano kryterium stanu dostępności systemu opisane stochastyczną matrycą prawdopodobieństw przejść między stanami. Autor zaproponował model dla oszacowania dostępności AIS. Badania wykonano na danych zarejestrowanych na południowym Bałtyku oraz w cieśninach bałtyckich.
Źródło:
Annual of Navigation; 2013, 20; 25-36
1640-8632
Pojawia się w:
Annual of Navigation
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Safety and risk evaluation of Stena Baltica ferry in variable operation conditions
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069680.pdf
Data publikacji:
2009
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
safety function
operation process
semi-markov process
Opis:
Basic safety structures of multi-state systems of components with degrading safety states related to their variable operation conditions are defined. For these systems the conditional and unconditional multi-state safety functions are determined. A semi-markov process for the considered systems operation modelling is applied. Further, the paper offers an approach to the solution of a practically important problem of linking the multi-state systems safety models and the systems operation processes models. Theoretical definitions and results are illustrated by the example of their application in the safety and risk evaluation of the Stena Baltica ferry operating at the Baltic Sea. The ferry transportation system has been considered in varying in time operation conditions. The system safety structure and its components safety functions were changing in variable operation conditions.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2009, 2; 231--240
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Semi-Markov processes: application in system reliability and maintenance
Autorzy:
Grabski, F.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069404.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
reliability
maintenance
semi-Markov process
semi-Markov perturbed processes
Opis:
The author’s monograph “Semi-Markov Processes: Application in System Reliability and Maintenance” which will be published by Elsevier in 2014 is presented. The paper is composed of an introduction, the monograph contents, conclusions and the references the monograph contents is based on.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2014, 5, 1; 57--62
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
The random failure rate
Autorzy:
Grabski, F.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069577.pdf
Data publikacji:
2007
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
reliability
random failure rate
semi-Markov process
Opis:
A failure rate of the object is assumed to be a stochastic process with nonnegative, right continuous trajectories. A reliability function is defined as an expectation of a function of a random failure rate process. The properties and examples of the reliability function with the random failure rate are presented in the paper. A semi-Markov process as the random failure rate is considered in this paper.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2007, 1; 143--149
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A theoretical framework for determining the appropriate level of subsidy in an economy
Autorzy:
Osagiede, A. A.
Ekhosuehi, V. U.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/406643.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Politechnika Wrocławska. Oficyna Wydawnicza Politechniki Wrocławskiej
Tematy:
entropy
Markov process
per capita income
subsidy
Opis:
A framework has been developed for determining the subsidy that, in the long run, serves to equalize the per capita income shares across income classes. The framework characterizes the income dynamics by the Markov process and uses the principle of maximum entropy for selecting among alternative subsidy schemes. The study provides a means to forecast the per capita income shares at any instant of time and serves as an objective tool to decide on the appropriate level of subsidy.
Źródło:
Operations Research and Decisions; 2015, 25, 2; 19-35
2081-8858
2391-6060
Pojawia się w:
Operations Research and Decisions
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A stochastic model of changes in the operational states of means of transport
Autorzy:
Landowski, B.
Perczyński, D.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/949491.pdf
Data publikacji:
2018
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
homogeneous Markov process
operation process
operational state
transport means
Opis:
In the article, application of a Markov process for modelling the process of transport means operational state changes whose duration times can be estimated by Erlang distribution is presented. The research object is a system of city bus transport operation, used in a selected agglomeration. A homogenous Markov process was assumed a mathematical model of the process of transport means operation. Transformation of a stochastic process, for which distributions of random variables denoting duration times of the states are Erlang distributions, into a stochastic process characterized by exponential distribution of the state duration times, was performed at the costs of the state space extension. The use of a homogeneous Markov process for mathematical modelling of the operation process was dictated by the fact that the process reflects adequately, from the point of view of the research goal, the real operation process. In order to illustrate the process, a hypothetical, simplified calculation example was provided. Reliability of technical objects needs to be maintained at appropriate level, which is the responsibility of the repair and maintenance subsystem ensuring. This subsystem consists of two subsystems. The main tasks of the mobile emergency teams include providing vehicles, that is, buses that are outside the depot with the serviceability state as quickly as possible or hauling damaged buses to technical service stations.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2018, 25, 2; 223-230
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Preliminary statistical identification and prediction of the container gantry crane operation process
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069653.pdf
Data publikacji:
2010
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
semi-Markov process
system operation process
sojourn time
estimation
Opis:
In the paper a Semi-markov process is used to construct a general model of complex industrial systems’ operation processes. Main parameters of this model are defined and its main characteristics are determined as well. In particular case, for a gantry crane, the operation states are defined, the relationships between them are fixed and particular model of its operation process is constructed and finally its main characteristics are determined.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2010, 1, 1; 173--180
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Model-building adaptive critics for semi-Markov control
Autorzy:
Gosavi, A.
Murray, S.
Hu, J.
Ghosh, S.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/91878.pdf
Data publikacji:
2012
Wydawca:
Społeczna Akademia Nauk w Łodzi. Polskie Towarzystwo Sieci Neuronowych
Tematy:
adaptive critics
learning algorithm
semi-Markov process
decision process
Opis:
Adaptive (or actor) critics are a class of reinforcement learning algorithms. Generally, in adaptive critics, one starts with randomized policies and gradually updates the probability of selecting actions until a deterministic policy is obtained. Classically, these algorithms have been studied for Markov decision processes under model-free updates. Algorithms that build the model are often more stable and require less training in comparison to their model-free counterparts. We propose a new model-building adaptive critic, which builds the model during the learning, for a discounted-reward semi-Markov decision process under some assumptions on the structure of the process. We illustrate the use of our algorithm with numerical results on a system with 10 states and a real-world case-study from management science.
Źródło:
Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Soft Computing Research; 2012, 2, 1; 43-58
2083-2567
2449-6499
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Soft Computing Research
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
The upper bound of the number of eigenvalues for a class of perturbed Dirichlet forms
Autorzy:
Cupała, Wiesław
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1289649.pdf
Data publikacji:
1995
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Instytut Matematyczny PAN
Tematy:
eigenvalue asymptotics
Dirichlet form
Markov process
Lie group
Opis:
The theory of Markov processes and the analysis on Lie groups are used to study the eigenvalue asymptotics of Dirichlet forms perturbed by scalar potentials.
Źródło:
Studia Mathematica; 1995, 113, 2; 109-125
0039-3223
Pojawia się w:
Studia Mathematica
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Asymptotics of thermal dispersion in periodic media
Autorzy:
Timofte, C.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/279607.pdf
Data publikacji:
1999
Wydawca:
Polskie Towarzystwo Mechaniki Teoretycznej i Stosowanej
Tematy:
Markov process
central limit theorem
asymptotic dispersion coefficient
Źródło:
Journal of Theoretical and Applied Mechanics; 1999, 1; 95-108
1429-2955
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Theoretical and Applied Mechanics
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Attempts at calculating chosen contributors with regard to the Semi- Markov process and the Weibull function distribution
Autorzy:
Zajac, M.
Kierzkowski, A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069531.pdf
Data publikacji:
2011
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
Semi Markov process
exponential distribution
availability
transient probabilities
Opis:
The main aim of this article is the presentation of the way of making calculation with the application of the semi-Markov processes, with the continuous time t, where non-exponential distribution function is going to be applied. These type of calculations were published but the time there was approaching infinity. Engineering practice proves that the lack of solutions of this issue leads to obtainment of solutions that are encumbered with errors. This article is the first attempt of the error analysis.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2011, 2, 1; 217--222
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A general model of industrial systems operation processes related to their environment and infrastructure
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069711.pdf
Data publikacji:
2008
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
system operation process
semi-markov process
system in varying operation
Opis:
The operation process of the complex industrial system is considered and its operation states are introduced. The semi-markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the considered complex industrial system operation process. To build this model the vector of probabilities of the system operation process initials operation states, the matrix of probabilities of the system operation process transitions between the operation states, the matrix of conditional distribution functions and the matrix of conditional density functions of the system operation process conditional sojourn times in the operation states are defined. To describe the system operation process conditional sojourn times in the particular operation states the uniform distribution, the triangle distribution, the double trapezium distribution, the exponential distribution, the Weibull distribution and the normal distribution are suggested. Under these all assumptions from the constructed general model the main characteristics of the system operation process are find. The mean values of the system operation process conditional sojourn times in particular operation states having these distributions are calculated. Moreover, the unconditional distribution functions of the system operation process unconditional sojourn times in the particular operation states, the mean values of the system operation process unconditional sojourn times in the particular operation states, the limit values of the transient probabilities of the system operation process at the particular operation states and the mean values of the system operation process total sojourn times in the particular operation states are determined.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2008, 2; 223--226
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Complex technical systems safety prediction
Autorzy:
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069501.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
safety function
complex system
Semi-Markov process
system operation process
Opis:
There are presented general safety analytical models of complex multistate technical systems related to their operation processes. They are the integrated general models of complex technical systems, linking their multistate safety models and their operation processes models and considering variable at the different operation states safety structures and their components safety parameters. The conditional safety functions at the system particular operation states and independent of the system particular operation states the unconditional safety function and the risk function of the complex technical systems are defined. These joint models of the safety and the variable in time system operation processes are constructed for multistate series, parallel, “m out of n”, consecutive “m out of n: F”, series-parallel, parallel-series, series-“m out of k”, “mi out of li”-series, series-consecutive “m out of k: F” and consecutive “mi out of li: F”-series systems. The joint models are applied to determining safety characteristics of these systems related to their varying in time safety structures and their components safety characteristics. Under the assumption that the considered systems are exponential, the unconditional safety functions of these systems are determined. The proposed models and methods are applied to the safety analysis, evaluation and prediction of the one subsystem of the port grain transportation system related to varying in time their operation processes, structures and components safety parameters.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2014, 5, 2; 127--142
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Monte Carlo approach to identification of maritime ferry operation process
Autorzy:
Otremba, Z.
Soszyńska, J.
Targowski, W.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069652.pdf
Data publikacji:
2010
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
operation process
semi-Markov process
complex systems
Monte Carlo simulation
Opis:
The paper is concerned with the identification of operation processes of complex technical systems. The convenient tools suggested for analyzing these complex technical systems operation processes are semi-markov modeling and Monte Carlo simulation. The paper describes the proposed approach as well as the possibility of its practical application to identification of the operation process of a maritime ferry.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2010, 1, 1; 187--192
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Conception of valuation of combustion engine operation
Autorzy:
Girtler, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/244104.pdf
Data publikacji:
2008
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
heat
operation
energy
work
semi-Markov process
combustion engine
Opis:
The work provides a proposal of interpretation showing operation in terms of values being compared to a physical quantity with the unit of measure called joule-second, just like operations of Hamilton and Maupertius demonstrated in classical mechanics. Operation in this interpretation is also considered in quantum mechanics, referring to body electromagnetic radiation source of which operation is characterized by Planck constant. An original method of analysis and evaluation of machine operation is herein presented in the energetic aspect, as the result of applying the theory of semi-Markov processes. In order to give grounds for usability of such interpreted operation it has been employed the model describing changes in energy of combustion engines, in the form of state-discrete and time-continuous semi-Markov process. The process is thus a semi-Markov model of getting worse combustion engine operation run with the lapse of time and regaining the initial energetic state of the engine after its refurbishment. The limiting distribution of the process has been determined with probabilities of occurring the distinguished energetic states of mentioned engines. The paper shows that the proposed interpretation for the operation enables making a graph of operation, which demonstrates engine operation in the form of field. The attention is paid that the engine operation in the presented version has got the advantage that can be expressed as a quantity with the joule-second as a unit of measure and as a graph in the form of operation field. The coordinate system for presenting the operation as a field, proposed in this paper, refers to the known in thermodynamics possibility of expressing the energy conversion sorts like work and heat (according to the conception of Clapeyron and Belpaire) in the form of fields.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2008, 15, 2; 89-96
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
The semi-Markov model of energy state changes of the main marine internal combustion engine and method for evaluating its operation during ship voyage
Autorzy:
Girtler, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/260072.pdf
Data publikacji:
2011
Wydawca:
Politechnika Gdańska. Wydział Inżynierii Mechanicznej i Okrętownictwa
Tematy:
operation
energy
semi-Markov process
piston internal combustion engine
Opis:
The article presents a method for evaluating the operation of internal combustion engines used as the main engines in the propulsion systems of sea-going ships in various operating conditions. This method enables calculating the engine operation value based on the theory of semi-Markov processes and mathematical statistics. What is noteworthy, the operation of the examined internal combustion engines is compared to a physical quantity which is expressed in the form of a number with the measure unit called joule-second. a model having the form of a semi-Markov process is proposed to describe the energy state changes taking place in the main engines during their operation. Also proposed is the use of the point and interval estimation at a given confidence level â for determining the value of the energy converted in the engine during its operation for the known and unknown standard energy deviation treated as the random variable. The semi-Markov model of changes of the energy converted in the engine during its operation is presented in a general form. The above model was used for determining the ship’s main engine operation, which is in the examined case a function of the energy converted in particular energy states, the expected value of the time of duration of these states and the probability of their existence. These probabilities compose the limiting distribution of the semi-Markov process, the values of which are the specified main engine energy states.
Źródło:
Polish Maritime Research; 2011, 4; 36-42
1233-2585
Pojawia się w:
Polish Maritime Research
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Systems reliability analysis in variable operation conditions
Autorzy:
Soszyńska, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069605.pdf
Data publikacji:
2007
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
reliability function
semi-markov process
large multi state system
Opis:
The semi-markov model of the system operation process is proposed and its selected parameters are defined. There are found reliability and risk characteristics of the multi-state series- “m out of k ” system. Next, the joint model of the semi-markov system operation process and the considered multi-state system reliability and risk is constructed. The asymptotic approach to reliability and risk evaluation of this system in its operation process is proposed as well.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2007, 2; 319--330
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Identification of complex technical systems operation processes (part 2)
Autorzy:
Soszyńska, J.
Kołowrocki, K.
Blokus-Roszkowska, A.
Guze, S.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069634.pdf
Data publikacji:
2010
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
system operation
semi-markov process
statistical identification
transportation systems
Opis:
There is presented the contents of the training course addressed to industry. The curriculum of the course includes the methods, algorithms and procedures for identification of the unknown parameters of the operations processes of the complex technical systems and their application in practice. It is based on theoretical backgrounds concerned with the semi-markov modelling of the complex technical systems operations processes, the statistical methods of identification of the complex technical systems operation processes. The illustrations of the proposed methods and procedures practical application in port, shipyard and maritime transport sector are included.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2010, 1, 2; 309--328
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Identification of complex technical systems operation processes
Autorzy:
Soszyńska, J.
Kołowrocki, K.
Blokus-Roszkowska, A.
Guze, S.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069640.pdf
Data publikacji:
2010
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
system operation
semi-Markov process
statistical identification
transportation systems
Opis:
There is presented the contents of the training course addressed to industry. The curriculum of the course includes the methods, algorithms and procedures for identification of the unknown parameters of the operations processes of the complex technical systems and their application in practice. It is based on theoretical backgrounds concerned with the semi-markov modelling of the complex technical systems operations processes, the statistical methods of identification of the complex technical systems operation processes. The illustrations of the proposed methods and procedures practical application in port, shipyard and maritime transport sector are included.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2010, 1, 2; 287--308
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Analysis of operation efficiency of selected transport systems
Autorzy:
Muślewski, Ł.
Lewalski, M.
Aleksandrowicz, P.
Landowski, B.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/245072.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
transport system
efficiency
operation process
maintenance process
semi-Markov process
simulation tests
Opis:
This study deals with the problems connected with evaluation of technical systems efficiency of particular transport systems. The main goal of such a system operation is its effective functioning, through rational control of its particular activities and subsequent processes. A literature analysis of the definition of the efficiency term has been made. A real transport system has been accepted to be the research object. The system belongs to the group of sociotechnical systems in which evaluation of its operation efficiency depends on performance of operators, transport means and the impact of environmental factors. Criteria and methods of operation efficiency evaluation have been determined in this study as well as assessment indexes for transport systems. It has been shown that evaluation of a repair efficiency has a large influence on the efficiency of the whole system operation, especially the influence of secondary failure repairs, on the values of particular efficiency indexes. A semi-markov model of operation and maintenance of transport means used in the research object has been developed. This model provides the basis for evaluation of the influence of the processes involved in preparing transport means for service on the system operation efficiency. Moreover, the research also describes how to verify the developed model and present its simulation tests. The study is summarized with conclusions formulated based on the evaluation of the influence of the operation and maintenance processes on the investigated transport system operation efficiency.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2016, 23, 3; 351-358
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Analysis of the change of qualitative states of transportation system operation
Autorzy:
Muślewski, Ł
Knopik, L.
Woropay, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/247633.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
transport
system operation quality
model
Markov chain
semi-Markov process
expected coast
Opis:
This paper deals with the problems connected with evaluation of a technical system and its being later used for decision making in order to provide complex technical systems with appropriate operation quality. The research object is a real municipal transportation system. The assessment quality of the systems operation is based on the changes of the systems features values. The features describe the operation of the systems operators, controlled technical objects and the environment influence. The assessment and the support the demand quality of the systems operation from the safety, efficiency, economic and reliability point of view is the basic factor of the executed exploitation process. The notion of a system operation quality has been defined, a scheme of an assessment model has been presented and a random process, providing the basis for evaluation of a technical system, has been developed. On the basis of carried out experimental tests there have been distinguished four states of a system operation quality reflecting intervals of values of grades that were characteristic for given time moments. A model of system operation qualitative state changes, based on Markov chain, has been considered in this paper. A system of equations has been determined for a distinguished Markov chain on the basis of which a mathematical model for assessment and control of selected types of transportation systems will be developed.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2014, 21, 3; 251-257
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Semi-Markov model of quality state changes of a selected transport system
Autorzy:
Landowski, B.
Muślewski, Ł.
Knopik, L.
Bojar, P.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/241811.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
transport system
efficiency
operation process
maintenance process
semi-Markov process
simulation tests
Opis:
The study deals with the problems connected with evaluation and analysis of transport systems operational quality. The research object is a real, sociotechnical system (of the type H-M-E) whose functional quality is affected by: operators, equipment and technical state of he operated vehicles and the environmental impact. A scheme of an assessment model was built on the basis of a developed concept of a system operational quality and a random process was defined to be used for the analysis. The assessment process involves investigating the variability degree of properties included in the resultant model in a given time and determining whether and to what degree the obtained values meet the requirements of the system appropriate operational quality. On the basis of the above assumptions and in result of experimental tests, four qualitative states of a transport system functioning, which represent intervals of values of the obtained grades in given time moments, were distinguished. The study presents a model of system operation qualitative state changes developed with the use of Markov chain inserted into a certain semi-Markov process. A graph and a matrix for probability of transition between the states were created and boundary distributions of the process were determined on the basis of experimentally obtained data. A system of equations was determined for the distinguished Markov chain, on the basis of which a mathematical model for assessment and control of operational quality of selected types of transport systems will be built.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2017, 24, 4; 141-148
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Markov Model of Cyber Attack Life Cycle Triggered by Software Vulnerability
Autorzy:
Hoffmann, Romuald
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1844613.pdf
Data publikacji:
2021
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
Tematy:
Markov model
cyber-attack
vulnerability
life cycle
homogenous Markov process
continuous time Markov chain
Opis:
Software vulnerability life cycles illustrate changes in detection processes of software vulnerabilities during using computer systems. Unfortunately, the detection can be made by cyber-adversaries and a discovered software vulnerability may be consequently exploited for their own purpose. The vulnerability may be exploited by cyber-criminals at any time while it is not patched. Cyber-attacks on organizations by exploring vulnerabilities are usually conducted through the processes divided into many stages. These cyber-attack processes in literature are called cyber-attack live cycles or cyber kill chains. The both type of cycles have their research reflection in literature but so far, they have been separately considered and modeled. This work addresses this deficiency by proposing a Markov model which combine a cyber-attack life cycle with an idea of software vulnerability life cycles. For modeling is applied homogeneous continuous time Markov chain theory.
Źródło:
International Journal of Electronics and Telecommunications; 2021, 67, 1; 35-41
2300-1933
Pojawia się w:
International Journal of Electronics and Telecommunications
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Prediction of complex technical systems operation processes
Autorzy:
Soszyńska, J.
Kołowrocki, K.
Blokus-Roszkowska, A.
Guze, S.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069638.pdf
Data publikacji:
2010
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
system operation
semi-Markov process
system operation prediction
transportation systems
Opis:
There is presented the contents of the training course addressed to industry. The curriculum of the course includes the methods, algorithms and procedures for prediction of the operation processes of the complex technical systems and their application in practice. It is based on the theoretical backgrounds concerned with the semi-markov modelling of the complex technical systems operation processes and on the methods of these processes prediction. The illustrations of the proposed methods and procedures practical application in port, shipyard and maritime transport sector and are included.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2010, 1, 2; 497--510
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Application of the theory of semi-Markov processes to the development of a reliability model of an automotive vehicle
Zastosowanie teorii procesów semi-Markowa do opracowania modelu niezawodnościowego samochodu
Autorzy:
Girtler, J.
Ślęzak, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1364785.pdf
Data publikacji:
2012
Wydawca:
Sieć Badawcza Łukasiewicz. Przemysłowy Instytut Motoryzacji
Tematy:
niezawodność
proces semimarkowski
samochód
automotive vehicle
reliability
semi-Markov process
Opis:
A possibility of applying the theory of semi-Markov (semimarkovian) processes to the description of the reliability of an automotive vehicle has been presented, with taking a passenger car as an example. In the car considered, such constructional systems (functional components) as engine with fuel, lube oil, and coolant feeding systems, clutch, gearbox, drive shaft, driving axle, steering and suspension system, braking system, electrical system, body with chassis, and measuring and monitoring equipment have been distinguished. A reliability model of the car has been developed in the form of a semi-Markov process, which is a single-state model. The set of reliability states has been built as consisting of one state of car serviceability and ten states of the functional components as specified above. A graph of changes in these states has been shown and an initial distribution and a functional matrix representing changes in the said reliability states of the car have been defined. Formulas have been derived that define the boundary distribution of the process of changes in the technical states of such a car. This distribution represents the probability of the car being serviceable and unserviceable due to a failure of any of the functional components mentioned above. The possibility of using statistics to estimate the probabilities of changes in the said car reliability states has been presented. A possibility of applying the theory of semi-Markov processes to the investigation of car reliability in the case of defining the instantaneous distribution of the process of changes in the car reliability states has also been mentioned.
W artykule przedstawiono możliwość zastosowania teorii procesów semi-Markowa (semimarkowskich) do opisu niezawodności samochodu, na przykładzie samochodu osobowego. W rozważaniach uwzględniony został samochód, w którym wyróżniono takie węzły konstrukcyjne (zespoły funkcjonalne) jak: silnik z układami zasilania czynnikami energetycznymi (paliwem, olejem smarowym i cieczą chłodzącą), sprzęgło, skrzynia biegów, wał napędowy, most napędowy, zespół kierowniczy z zawieszeniem, zespół hamulcowy, zespół urządzeń elektrycznych, nadwozie wraz z podwoziem i zespół urządzeń kontrolno-pomiarowych. Opracowano model niezawodnościowy samochodu w formie procesu semimarkowskiego, który jest modelem jedenastostanowym. Do zbioru stanów niezawodnościowych samochodu zakwalifikowano stan zdatności samochodu oraz dziesięć stanów niezdatności wymienionych zespołów funkcjonalnych. Przedstawiono graf zmian tych stanów oraz określono rozkład początkowy i macierz funkcyjną odwzorowującą zmiany wymienionych stanów niezawodnościowych samochodu. Wyprowadzone zostały wzory określające rozkład graniczny procesu zmian stanów technicznych takiego samochodu. Rozkład ten stanowią prawdopodobieństwa przebywania samochodu w stanie zdatności oraz w stanach niezdatności wskutek uszkodzenia dowolnego z wymienionych jego zespołów funkcjonalnych. Przedstawiono możliwość zastosowania statystyki do oszacowania prawdopodobieństw zmiany wspominanych stanów niezawodnościowych samochodu. Zasygnalizowano także możliwość zastosowania teorii procesów semimarkowskich do badań niezawodności samochodów w przypadku opracowania rozkładu chwilowego procesu zmian ich stanów niezawodnościowych.
Źródło:
Archiwum Motoryzacji; 2012, 2; 15-27
1234-754X
2084-476X
Pojawia się w:
Archiwum Motoryzacji
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Reliability analysis of a system subjected to two-state operation process
Autorzy:
Kuligowska, E.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/358995.pdf
Data publikacji:
2013
Wydawca:
Akademia Morska w Szczecinie. Wydawnictwo AMSz
Tematy:
reliability analysis
simulation methods
operation states
semi-Markov process
modeling
Opis:
The paper presents analytical and Monte Carlo simulation methods applied to the reliability evaluation of a system operating at two different operation states. A semi-Markov process is applied to construct the system operation model and its main characteristics are determined. Analytical linking of this operation model with the system reliability model is proposed to get a general reliability model of the system operating at two varying operation conditions and to find its reliability characteristics. The application of Monte Carlo simulation based on this general model to the reliability evaluation of this system is proposed as well. The results obtained from those two considered methods are evaluated.
Źródło:
Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie; 2013, 36 (108) z. 1; 100-104
1733-8670
2392-0378
Pojawia się w:
Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Concept of semi-Markov process
Koncepcja procesu semi-Markowa
Autorzy:
Grabski, F.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/221956.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Akademia Marynarki Wojennej. Wydział Dowodzenia i Operacji Morskich
Tematy:
semi-Markov process
probabilities matrix
proces semi-Markova
macierz prawdopodobieństw
Opis:
This paper provides the definitions and basic properties related to a discrete state space semi-Markov process. The semi-Markov process is constructed by the so called Markov renewal process that is a special case the two-dimensional Markov sequence. The Markov renewal process is defined by the transition probabilities matrix, called the renewal kernel and an initial distribution or by another characteristics which are equivalent to the renewal kernel. The counting process corresponding to the semi-Markov process allows to determine concept of the process regularity. In the paper are also shown the other methods of determining the semi-Markov process. The presented concepts are illustrated a simple example.
Artykuł przedstawia definicje i podstawowe cechy procesu semi-Markowa dyskretnego stanu przestrzeni. Proces semi-Markova jest zbudowany przez tzw. proces odnawiania Markova, który jest specjalnym przypadkiem dwuwymiarowego ciągu Markova. Proces odnawiania Markova jest zdefiniowany przez macierz prawdopodobieństw przejściowych, zwaną jądrem odnawiania, i początkowy rozkład lub przez inne charakterystyki, które są równe jądru odnawiania. Proces obliczeniowy odpowiadający procesowi semi-Markova pozwala na określenie koncepcji regularności procesu. W artykule przedstawiono również pozostałe metody określania procesu semi-Markova. Przedstawione koncepcje są zaprezentowane na prostym przykładzie.
Źródło:
Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Marynarki Wojennej; 2016, R. 57 nr 3 (206), 3 (206); 25-36
0860-889X
Pojawia się w:
Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Marynarki Wojennej
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Analysis of the process of operating an aircraft from aspect of flight safety and effectiveness
Autorzy:
Żurek, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/245779.pdf
Data publikacji:
2009
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
transport
air transport
durability
relibility
semi-Markov process
availability factor
Opis:
This paper presents the method of evaluation of a technical object as immersed in a logistic system with regard to its durability, the operational availability/readiness and the utilisation factor. These factors decide upon the object's effectiveness. For this evaluation probabilistic models from the theory of reliability and of the semi-Markov process were used. For the purpose of this paper as a technical object serves an aircraft. The process of operating an aircraft consists in using its resources to function accumulated during the process of its manufacture and resulting from a periodic regeneration of these resources in order to maintain its capability of being further operated. For the sake of better understanding our discussion we will refer to the sald 'flying craft' as an aircraft (including also other 'means of transport' into this notion). The paper in principle concerns on analysis of safe durability and aircraft availability/readiness analysis. The availability factor of an object in a logistic system expresses the prospective possibility of an effective action. The degree of utilisation of this „potential" for apassenger plane is represented by the occupancy factor. A product ctors of availability and occupancy can describe the overall effectiveness indicator, which characterises the availability and the market demand.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2009, 16, 3; 527-536
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Stochastic model of the load spectrum for main engines of sea-going ships
Autorzy:
Girtler, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/243406.pdf
Data publikacji:
2007
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
semi-Markov process
load
diesel engine
main engine
sea ship
Opis:
The paper presents possibility of applying the theory of semi-Markov processes for probabilistic description of load spectrum for diesel engines employed for ship propulsion, so for main engines. The considerations include output power characteristics for this kind of engines. The characteristics have enabled formulating a four-member set of states of the process of load on the engines. The theory of semi-Markov processes has been applied for describing the real process of loads on the mentioned engines. This theory has made possible building a model of the engine loads in form of a continuous-time semi-Markov process with a four-state set of values. Properties of a Darboux continuous function, which allow considering the engine loads as the discrete-states and continuous-time processes, have been used to build the model. In consequence a limiting distribution of the occurring process of successive states of engine loads could be determined. The distribution is the probabilities of staying a sea-going ship main engine in successive states of load. The distribution is characterized by the spectrum of loads on this kind of engines. The presented model can be developed by taking into account many states of the process of main engines loading as the need is to make such a probabilistic description of the process that provides possibility of rational control of the operating process.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2007, 14, 3; 187-193
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Zastosowanie teorii procesów Markowa do modelowania procesów eksploatacji układu izolacyjnego urządzeń elektroenergetycznych
Application of Markov theory for modeling of exploitation process of insulated system of electrical power devices
Autorzy:
Moskwa, S.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/268912.pdf
Data publikacji:
2008
Wydawca:
Politechnika Gdańska. Wydział Elektrotechniki i Automatyki
Tematy:
eksploatacja
modelowanie
proces Markowa
układ izolacyjny
exploitation
modeling
Markov process
Opis:
Urządzenia elektroenergetyczne są narażone w trakcie eksploatacji na działanie różnych czynników o charakterze losowym. Proces ich eksploatacji obejmujący tryb pracy, przestoju, obsługi oraz naprawy, można modelować jako proces losowy. Dzięki wykorzystaniu możliwości obliczeniowych komputerów można prowadzić symulacje procesów z wieloma zmiennymi wykorzystujących ich modele matematyczne. W artykule przedstawiono model matematyczny procesu eksploatacji urządzeń elektroenergetycznych, wykorzystujący teorię procesów losowych Markowa. Wyniki symulacji komputerowych opartych na prezentowanym modelu pozwalają na optymalizację czasu obsługi urządzeń oraz nakładów z tym związanych.
The paper presents the possibility of exploitation procedure modelling based on statistical exploitation data and probabilistic approach. With regard to the random character of states changes and damage of electrical power devices, model of these processes based on Markov random processes theory have been proposed. Particularly Markov random processes are introduced and discussed and some theoretical example is elaborated as a presentation.
Źródło:
Zeszyty Naukowe Wydziału Elektrotechniki i Automatyki Politechniki Gdańskiej; 2008, 25; 95-98
1425-5766
2353-1290
Pojawia się w:
Zeszyty Naukowe Wydziału Elektrotechniki i Automatyki Politechniki Gdańskiej
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Consensus for multiple unmanned surface vehicle (MUSV) systems with Markov switching topologies
Autorzy:
Wang, Liyuan
Yue, Wei
Zhang, Rubo
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/259744.pdf
Data publikacji:
2019
Wydawca:
Politechnika Gdańska. Wydział Inżynierii Mechanicznej i Okrętownictwa
Tematy:
consensus
unmanned surface vehicle (USV)
Markov process
wave-induced disturbance
Opis:
This paper is concerned with sampled-data leader following consensus of multiple unmanned surface vehicle (MUSV) systems with random switching network topologies and wave-induced disturbance. By modelling the switching of network topologies with the use of a Markov process and considering the effect of wave-induced disturbance, a new sampleddata consensus control protocol is proposed. By employing an appropriate Lyapunov-Krosovskii function method and the weak infinitesimal operation, a novel stability criterion is derived, which ensures that the MUSV system can reach robustly leader-following consensus with H∞ performance satisfied. Based on this criterion, the Markov dependent switching consensus controller gains are obtained by solving a set of linear matrix inequalities. Finally, an illustrative example is given to verify the effectiveness of the proposed control scheme for MUSV systems.
Źródło:
Polish Maritime Research; 2019, 1; 145-152
1233-2585
Pojawia się w:
Polish Maritime Research
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Application of theory of semi-Markov processes to determining distribution of probabilistic process of marine accidents resulting from collision of ships
Autorzy:
Girtler, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/260618.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Politechnika Gdańska. Wydział Inżynierii Mechanicznej i Okrętownictwa
Tematy:
critical manoeuvre
port
probability
semi-Markov process
sea-going ship
Opis:
In this paper is presented possible application of the theory of semi-Markov processes to elaborating an eight-state model of the process of occurrence of serviceability state and unserviceability states of sea-going ships making critical manoeuvres during their entering and leaving the ports. In the analysis it was taken into account that sea-going ships are in service for a very long time t (t → ∞). The model was elaborated to determine the probability (P0) of correct execution of critical manoeuvres during ship’s entering and leaving the port as well as the probabilities Pj(j = 1, 2, 3, …, 7) of incorrect execution of critical manoeuvres by a ship, that leads to marine accidents. It was assumed that such accidents result from: ship’s grounding on port approaching fairway, collision with a ship on port approching fairway, collision with a pierhead during passing through port entrance, collision with a hydrotechnical structure during ship’s passing through port channels, collision with a port quay during coming alongside it and collision with a ship already moored to the quay. The probability (P0) was assumed a measure of safe execution of a critical manoeuvre. The probability characterizes possibility of avoiding any collision during ship’s entering and leaving the port. The probability Pa = 1 – P0 was assumed a measure of occurrence of a collsion and - consequently - marine accident. The probability Pa was interpreted as a sum of the probabilities Pj(j = 1, 2, 3, …, 7) of occurrence of all the selected events. In summing up the paper, attention was drawn to its merits which - in opinion of this author - are crucial for research on real process of accidents during entering the port and leaving it by sea-going ship in difficult navigation conditions.
Źródło:
Polish Maritime Research; 2014, 1; 9-13
1233-2585
Pojawia się w:
Polish Maritime Research
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Non-renewal multistate system with Semi-Markov components
Autorzy:
Grabski, F.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069483.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
Semi-Markov process
multistate system
multistate reliability functions
binary representation
Opis:
The paper deals with non-renewal multistate monotone systems consisting of multistate components which are modeled by the semi-Markov processes. In the case of a non-renewal system the multistate reliability functions of the system components and the whole system are discussed. All presented concepts and models are illustrated by simple numerical examples.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2014, 5, 1; 63--70
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Four-state stochastic model of changes in the reliability states of a motor vehicle
Model stochastyczny czterostanowy zmian stanów niezawodnościowych samochodu
Autorzy:
Girtler, J.
Ślęzak, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1366153.pdf
Data publikacji:
2013
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Polskie Naukowo-Techniczne Towarzystwo Eksploatacyjne PAN
Tematy:
niezawodność
proces semimarkowski
samochód
reliability
semi-Markov process
motor vehicle
Opis:
The properties of semi-Markov processes have been generally characterized and the applicability of the theory of such processes to the determining of the reliability of motor cars and other road vehicles has been explained. A formal description of the process of changes in the motor vehicle technical states considered as reliability states and a model of this process in the form of a one-dimensional stochastic process have been presented. The values of this process are the technical states of the motor vehicle in question that have significant practical importance. A four-state set of states interpreted as follows has been adopted: full (complete) serviceability, partial (incomplete) serviceability, task-limiting serviceability,and complete (total) unserviceability. Based on the initial distribution adopted and the functional matrix worked out, the boundary distribution of the process of changes in the technical (reliability) states of the motor vehicle has been defined. The probability of the vehicle being fully serviceable has been considered a measure of the vehicle reliability for a long period of vehicle operation. A possibility of defining the vehicle reliability in the form of a probability that a task would also be fulfilled by the vehicle being partially serviceable has also been indicated.
W artykule scharakteryzowano ogólnie własności procesów semimarkowskich i uzasadniono możliwości ich zastosowania do określenia niezawodności samochodów i innych pojazdów drogowych. Przedstawiono formalny opis procesu zmian stanów technicznych samochodów uznanych za stany niezawodnościowe oraz model tego procesu w postaci jednowymiarowego procesu stochastycznego. Wartościami tego procesu są występujące w czasie eksploatacji stany techniczne samochodów, mające istotne znaczenie praktyczne. Przyjęto czterostanowy zbiór stanów o następującej interpretacji: stan zdatności pełnej (całkowitej), stan zdatności częściowej (niepełnej, niecałkowitej), stan niepełnej zdatności zadaniowej i stan niezdatności pełnej (całkowitej). Na podstawie przyjętego rozkładu początkowego i opracowanej macierzy funkcyjnej został określony rozkład graniczny procesu zmian stanów technicznych (niezawodnościowych) samochodu. Prawdopodobieństwo istnienia stanu zdatności pełnej (całkowitej) samochodu zostało uznane za miarę jego niezawodności w długim okresie czasu eksploatacji. Wskazano też na możliwość określenia niezawodności samochodu w formie prawdopodobieństwa, w którym uwzględniony został przypadek wykonania zadania przez samochód także wtedy, gdy znajduje się on w stanie zdatności częściowej.
Źródło:
Eksploatacja i Niezawodność; 2013, 15, 2; 156-160
1507-2711
Pojawia się w:
Eksploatacja i Niezawodność
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Metoda diagnozowania przydatności obiektów technicznych do użytkowania w systemie eksploatacji
Usefulness diagnosis method of the technical objects to be used in the maintenenace system
Autorzy:
Woropay, M.
Landowski, B.
Perczyński, D.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/328624.pdf
Data publikacji:
2004
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Polskie Towarzystwo Diagnostyki Technicznej PAN
Tematy:
diagnozowanie
jednorodny proces Markowa
proces eksploatacji
diagnosis
homogenous Markov process
maintenance process
Opis:
W artykule przedstawiono metodę diagnozowania przydatności obiektów technicznych do realizacji zadań przyjętych przez podsystem sterujący badanego systemu eksploatacji. Obiektem badań, na którym zilustrowano rozważania przedstawione w niniejszej pracy, jest system eksploatacji autobusów komunikacji miejskiej w wybranej aglomeracji miejskiej. W celu rozwiązania omawianego problemu przyjęto założenie, że matematycznym modelem procesu eksploatacji autobusów jest jednorodny proces Markowa. Jako kryterium wyboru (zakupu) określonej marki autobusu do eksploatacji przyjęto wskaźnik wykorzystania potencjału użytkowego. W artykule nie rozważa się aspektów ekonomicznych związanych z realizacją zakupu obiektu technicznego.
This paper presents the usefulness diagnosis method of the technical objects to realise the tasks received by the controlling subsystem. The investigation object being the basis to illustrate the considerations presented herein, is a municipal-transport bus maintenance system in a selected urban agglomeration. In order to solve the discussed problem it has been assumed that the mathematical model of the bus maintenance process is homogenous Markov process. As a criterion to select (purchase) a specific bus type to be maintained, the usefulness potential usage rate. The paper does not cover investigation of the economic aspects related to the purchase of a specific bus type.
Źródło:
Diagnostyka; 2004, 32; 95-100
1641-6414
2449-5220
Pojawia się w:
Diagnostyka
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
An importance measure for multi-component systems with Semi-Markov dynamics
Autorzy:
Hellmich, M.
Berg, H. P.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069417.pdf
Data publikacji:
2012
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
multi-component system
importance measure
Semi-Markov process
state space model
Opis:
We consider semi-Markov reliability models of multi-component systems with a discrete state space, general enough to include systems with maintenance or repair. We assume that for all system states the functioning or failure of each component is specified. In this setup we propose a component importance measure which is close in spirit to the classical steady state Barlow–Proschan importance measure for repairable binary coherent systems. We discuss our importance measure to some extent, highlighting the relation to the classical Barlow–Proschan measure, and present formulas expressing it in terms of quantities easily obtained from the building blocks of the semi-Markov process. Finally an example of a two-component cold standby system with maintenance and repair is presented which illustrates how our importance measure can be used in practical applications.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2012, 3, 1; 147--156
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Identifying the issue of reducing the emission of harmful compounds in the exhaust gas from marine main engines and description of the emission process of these compounds in probabilistic approach
Autorzy:
Łosiewicz, Z.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/258884.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Politechnika Gdańska. Wydział Inżynierii Mechanicznej i Okrętownictwa
Tematy:
ship’s main engine
semi-Markov process
Diesel engine
harmful substance
Opis:
The article discusses the results of actions performed by marine engine manufacturers towards the reduction of emission of harmful substances in the exhaust gas from these engines. The discussion is limited to main engines produced by MAN B&W. A model is proposed to describe the process of emission of harmful substances from Diesel engines based on the semi-Markov process, discrete in states and continuous in the operating time. The states of this process are: engine ability state (s1) and engine inability state (s2). A method to calculate probabilities P1 and P2 of the appearance of states s1 and s2 is proposed. State s1 is interpreted as corresponding to the inequality ekek(dop), where ek represents the mass of harmful substances emitted by the engine during its operation and ek(dop) is the maximum mass of emission of these substances permitted by relevant regulations.
Źródło:
Polish Maritime Research; 2017, 2; 89-95
1233-2585
Pojawia się w:
Polish Maritime Research
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Random Failure Rate
Autorzy:
Grabski, F.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069123.pdf
Data publikacji:
2012
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
reliability
random failure rate
semi-Markov process
random-walk
Poisson process
Furry-Yule process
Opis:
The reliability function defined by a failure rate which is a stochastic process with nonnegative and right continuous trajectories is presented in this paper. The reliability function with an at most countable state space semi-Markov failure rate process is investigated. A theorem concerning of equations for a conditional reliability function with a semi-Markov process as a failure rate is presented in this paper. The solutions of the proper renewal equations allow getting the reliability functions for the finite space semi-Markov random walk, for the Poisson process and for the Furry-Yule process as a failure rate.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2012, 3, 2; 209--216
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Modelling environment and infrastructure of shipyard transportation systems and processes
Autorzy:
Blokus-Roszkowska, A.
Kołowrocki, K.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069554.pdf
Data publikacji:
2008
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
ship transportation system
ship operation process
semi-markov process
system in varying operation
Opis:
In the paper an analytical model of port transportation systems environment and infrastructure influence on their operation processes is constructed and presented in an example of shipyard rope transportation systems in Naval Shipyard in Gdynia. A general semi-markov model of a system operation process is proposed and the methods of its parameters statistical identification are presented. Further, the shipyard rope transportation system and the ship rope elevator operation processes are analyzed and their operation states are defined. A preliminary collection of statistical data necessary to the ship transportation systems’ operation processes identification is included.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2008, 1; 77--84
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Random fuzzy continuous-time Markov chains
Autorzy:
Guo, R.
Nyirenda, J.
Dunne, T.
Guo, D.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069696.pdf
Data publikacji:
2009
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
stochastic semigroup
rate matrix
credibility measure
repairable system
random fuzzy Markov process
Opis:
Continuous-time Markov chains is an important subclass in stochastic processes, which have facilitated many applications in business decisions, investment risk analysis, insurance policy making and reliability modeling. It should be fully aware that the existing continuous-time Markov chains theory is merely an ideology under which the random uncertainty governs the phenomena. However, the real world phenomena are often revealing the randomness and vagueness co-existence reality and thus the probabilistic continuous-time Markov chains modeling practices may be not adequate. In this paper, we define the random fuzzy continuous-time Markov chains, explore the related average chance distributions, and propose a scheme for the parameter estimation and a simulation scheme as well. It is expecting that a foundational work can be established for reliability modeling and risk analysis, particularly, repairable system modeling.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2009, 1; 123--132
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
The use of the start-up process analysis in the estimation of the technical state of diesel engine
Wykorzystanie analizy procesu rozruchu w ocenie stanu technicznego silnika o zapłonie samoczynnym
Autorzy:
Droździel, P.
Krzywonos, L.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/329064.pdf
Data publikacji:
2007
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Polskie Towarzystwo Diagnostyki Technicznej PAN
Tematy:
rozruch silnika
zapłon samoczynny
proces Markowa
diesel engine start-up
Markov process
Opis:
This article presents the propositions and the assumptions of the estimation method of the diesel engine technical state. The proposed evaluation method uses the analysis of the diesel engine start-up stages and is based on the calculation of the probability value of the successful start-up modeling as the homogeneous discrete Markov process with continuous time.
Niniejszy artykuł przedstawia propozycję i założenia metody oceny stanu technicznego samochodowego silnika o zapłonie samoczynnym. Proponowana metoda oceny wykorzystuje analizę etapów rozruchu tego silnika oraz opiera się na określeniu wartości prawdopodobieństwa udanego rozruchu modelowanego jako jednorodny, dyskretny proces Markowa.
Źródło:
Diagnostyka; 2007, 3(43); 11-14
1641-6414
2449-5220
Pojawia się w:
Diagnostyka
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Probabilistic concept of defining the situations possible to occur during operation of floating docks
Autorzy:
Girtler, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/260295.pdf
Data publikacji:
2005
Wydawca:
Politechnika Gdańska. Wydział Inżynierii Mechanicznej i Okrętownictwa
Tematy:
floating dock
safety
model
reliability
technical object
semi-Markov process
technical state
Opis:
In this paper possibility to assess safety of floating docks as a result of application of the theory of semi-Markov processes both in the phase of their designing and operating, is outlined. Formal description of the situations which may occur during service of floating docks both those intended for building and repairing the ships, was presented. The following situations were distinguished : normal, complicated, hazardous, emergency and disastrous. A model of changing the distinguished situations was proposed in the form of a semi - Markov process with discrete set of states, and continuous with time. The mentioned situations are values of the process. An operational safety measure for dock was formulated in the form of the probability of the event consisting in occurrence of normal or complicated situation. It was proved that assessment of probability of occurrence of particular situations is possible.
Źródło:
Polish Maritime Research; 2005, S 1; 34-38
1233-2585
Pojawia się w:
Polish Maritime Research
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Application of perturbed semi-Markov processes in reliability
Autorzy:
Grabski, F.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069156.pdf
Data publikacji:
2013
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
semi-markov perturbed process
approximate reliability function
asymptotic
Opis:
The paper is concerned with the application of perturbed semi-Markov (SM) processes in reliability problems. There are two kinds of perturbed SM processes presented in the paper. First of them was defined by Shpak and the second one was introduced by Pavlov and Ushakov. Shpak’s concept of perturbed SM is applied for calculating the approximate reliability function of many tasks operation process and Pavlov and Ushakov concept of that one is used to obtain the approximate reliability function of a repairable cold standby system with a switch.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2013, 4, 2; 179--188
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Semi-Markov decision process as a safety and reliability model of a sea transport operations
Autorzy:
Grabski, F.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069650.pdf
Data publikacji:
2010
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
safety reliability
semi-Markov decision process
transport operation
Opis:
A problem of optimization of a sea transport operation in safety and reliability aspect is discussed in the paper. To describe and solve this problem, a semi-Markov decision processes theory is applied. The semi-Markov decision process as a model of the sea transport operation is constructed. An algorithm which Allowi to compute the optimal strategy of the operation in safety and reliability aspect is presented.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2010, 1, 1; 99--104
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Limiting distribution of the three-state semi-Markov model of technical state transitions of ship power plant machines and its applicability in operational decision-making
Autorzy:
Girtler, Jerzy
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/258958.pdf
Data publikacji:
2020
Wydawca:
Politechnika Gdańska. Wydział Inżynierii Mechanicznej i Okrętownictwa
Tematy:
decision
probability
ship power plant machine
semi-Markov process
ship internal combustion engine
Opis:
The article presents the three-state semi-Markov model of the process {W(t): t > 0} of state transitions of a ship power plant machine, with the following interpretation of these states: s1 – state of full serviceability, s2 – state of partial serviceability, and s3 – state of unserviceability. These states are precisely defined for the ship main engine (ME). A hypothesis is proposed which explains the possibility of application of this model to examine models of real state transitions of ship power plant machines. Empirical data concerning ME were used for calculating limiting probabilities for the process {W(t): t > 0}. The applicability of these probabilities in decision making with the assistance of the Bayesian statistical theory is demonstrated. The probabilities were calculated using a procedure included in the computational software MATHEMATICA, taking into consideration the fact that the random variables representing state transition times of the process {W(t): t > 0} have gamma distributions. The usefulness of the Bayesian statistical theory in operational decision-making concerning ship power plants is shown using a decision dendrite which maps ME states and consequences of particular decisions, thus making it possible to choose between the following two decisions: d1 – first perform a relevant preventive service of the engine to restore its state and then perform the commissioned task within the time limit determined by the customer, and d2 – omit the preventive service and start performing the commissioned task.
Źródło:
Polish Maritime Research; 2020, 2; 136-144
1233-2585
Pojawia się w:
Polish Maritime Research
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Zastosowanie zasady Bellmana do optymalizacji dynamicznej procesu - przykład
Application of Bellmans principle for dynamic optimization of a process - example
Autorzy:
Szparaga, Ł.
Tarnowski, W.
Bartosik, P.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/155147.pdf
Data publikacji:
2010
Wydawca:
Stowarzyszenie Inżynierów i Techników Mechaników Polskich
Tematy:
proces Markowa
zasada optymalności
optymalizacja wieloetapowa
Markov process
optimality principle
multi level optimization
Opis:
Celem pracy jest omówienie i porównanie metody analitycznej oraz numerycznej rozwiązywania zagadnień optymalizacji wieloetapowych procesów decyzyjnych Markowa. Procedury obliczeniowe zilustrowane są na przykładzie zadania optymalizacji izotermicznej kaskady reaktorów. Opisana została również procedura numeryczna umożliwiająca optymalizację procesu opartą na zasadzie optymalności Bellmana. Wskazane są również wady i zalety każdej z metod jak i zakres ich stosowalności.
The aim of this work is to present and to compare the analytical and numerical method of optimization multilevel Markov processes. For the sake of the integrity of the work an essence of optimality principle for Markov processes and short derivation of Bellman's equation is given. Calculation procedures are illustrated on an example of isotherm cascade of reactor optimization. Analytical solution of the problem was given by S. Sieniutycz and Z. Szwast [5]. The main goal of this work is to present a simple numerical optimization procedure based on Bellman's principle and to compare the numerical results with an analytical solution from the literature [5]. Tables 1-3 shows respectively a comparison of values of state and decision variables and values of optimal functions for the 3-level process obtained in the numerical and in the analytical way. Figure 2 shows an evolution of the state variable for different initial states and known fixed final state. Obtained numerical results comply with analytical ones. The sim-plicity of the presented method is an undeniable advantage and gives a great opportunity of application.
Źródło:
Pomiary Automatyka Kontrola; 2010, R. 56, nr 6, 6; 610-612
0032-4140
Pojawia się w:
Pomiary Automatyka Kontrola
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
On certain ‘tools’for research into the perception and creation of music and the complex ways in which they affect one another
Autorzy:
Humięcka-Jakubowska, Justyna
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/780287.pdf
Data publikacji:
2011
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet im. Adama Mickiewicza w Poznaniu
Tematy:
perception
musical structure
modelling
entropy
probability
Markov process
mutual information
parse
expectation
surprise
Opis:
Perception is a constructive mental process, which cannot be considered impersonally. Similarly, music cannot be cognised solely on the basis of its score, since its coming into being is strictly connected to the activation of human memory and sound imagination. The patterns that emerge from the sounds of heard music enable the listener to draw conclusions regarding the structures those sounds embody. However, such conclusions are accompanied by a degree of uncertainty, which concerns not just the perceived moment of the heard music, but also the way in which it is represented in the listener’s memory. Perception is an inferential, multi-layered, uncertain process, in which particular patterns seem more likely than others. Mental representations of those probabilities lie behind such essential musical phenomena as surprise, tension, expectation and pitch identification, which are fixed elements of theperception of music. The aim of the present article is to describe the essence of three selected types of music modelling, based on spectral anticipation (Shlomo Dubnov), based on memory (Rens Bod), and exploiting the dynamic character of music to obtain information (Samer Abdallah and Mark Plumbley). All these models take account of the element of uncertainty that accompanies the perception of music; hence they make use the foundations of information theory and statistical analysis as measurement ‘tools’. The use of these tools makes it possible to obtain numerical rates, which inform us of the degree of predictability of the musical structures being analysed. One crucial advantage of these methods is the possibility of evaluating them in respect to the use of real musical structures, deriving from actual music, and not abstract structures formed for the purposes of research. We obtain cognitive insight into the analysed music by employing methods of a mathematical provenance, and so we have the possibility of examining music whilst taking account of the role of the listener, but with the use of objectivised methods.
Źródło:
Interdisciplinary Studies in Musicology; 2011, 10; 61-76
1734-2406
Pojawia się w:
Interdisciplinary Studies in Musicology
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A model of fuel combustion process in the marine reciprocating engine work space taking into account load and wear of crankshaft-piston assembly and the theory of semi-Markov processes
Autorzy:
Girtler, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/259557.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Politechnika Gdańska. Wydział Inżynierii Mechanicznej i Okrętownictwa
Tematy:
engine load
marine internal combustion engine
probability
semi-Markov process
crankshaft-piston assembly
Opis:
The article analyses the operation of reciprocal internal combustion engines, with marine engines used as an example. The analysis takes into account types of energy conversion in the work spaces (cylinders) of these engines, loads of their crankshaft-piston assemblies, and types of fuel combustion which can take place in these spaces during engine operation. It is highlighted that the analysed time-dependent loads of marine internal combustion engine crankshaftpiston assemblies are random processes. It is also indicated that the wear of elements of those assemblies resulting from their load should also be considered a random process. A hypothesis is formulated which explains random nature of load and the absence of the theoretically expected detonation combustion in engines supplied with such fuels as Diesel Oil, Marine Diesel Oil, and Heavy Fuel Oil. A model is proposed for fuel combustion in an arbitrary work space of a marine Diesel engine, which has the form of a stochastic four-state process, discrete in states and continuous in time. The model is based on the theory of semi-Markov processes.
Źródło:
Polish Maritime Research; 2016, 3; 50-57
1233-2585
Pojawia się w:
Polish Maritime Research
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Wyświetlanie 1-50 z 135

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