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Wyszukujesz frazę "weather hazards" wg kryterium: Temat


Wyświetlanie 1-9 z 9
Tytuł:
Integrated Impact Model on Critical Infrastructure Safety Related to Climate-Weather Change Process Including Extreme Weather Hazards
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068792.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate change process
weather hazards
impact
model
safety
Opis:
In the paper a general safety analytical model of complex technical system related to the climateweather change process in its operating area is defined. First, the system operation at climate-weather variable conditions is given. Additionally, the semi-Markov approach is used. Further, the safety model of the multistate system at climate-weather variable conditions is introduced. The notions of the conditional safety functions at the climate-weather particular states, the unconditional safety function and the risk function of the complex system at changing in time climate-weather conditions are presented. The other safety indices like mean lifetime up to the exceeding a critical safety state, the moment when the risk function value exceeds the acceptable safety level, the intensities of ageing of the critical infrastructure and its components and the coefficients of the climate-weather impact on the critical infrastructure and its components intensities of ageing are defined.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 4; 21--32
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for critical infrastructure operating area
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068981.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather states
climate-weather change process
modelling
extreme weather hazards
Opis:
The climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area is considered and its states are introduced. The semi-Markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area. To build this model the vector of probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the initials climate-weather states, the matrix of probabilities of the climate-weather change process transitions between the climate-weather states, the matrix of conditional distribution functions and the matrix of conditional density functions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states are defined. To describe the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states the uniform distribution, the triangular distribution, the double trapezium distribution, the quasi-trapezium distribution, the exponential distribution, the Weibull distribution, the chimney distribution and the Gamma distribution are suggested and introduced.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 149--154
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
General Approach to Modelling Operation Threats and Extreme Weather Hazards Impact on Critical Infrastructure Safety
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068804.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
modelling
operation threats
extreme weather hazards
critical Infrastructure
safety
Opis:
The paper presents the theoretical, general approach to safety modelling of operation threats and extreme wather hazards impact on Critical Infrastructures. To achieve this aim, the scheme of the operation and climate-weather influence on CI is presented and described. Furthermore, the basic critical infrastructure safety indicators and IMCISM Model 1 are introduced.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 3; 1--8
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Critical infrastructure operation process related to operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068860.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
critical infrastructure
operation
prediction
environment threats
extreme weather hazards
Opis:
Considering a significant influence of the critical infrastructure operating environment threats on its operation process and safety, more precise and convergent to reality model of the critical infrastructure operation process related to critical infrastructure operating environment threats is built. The method of defining the parameters of this operation process is presented and a new procedure of their determining in the case when the critical infrastructure operating threats are not explicit separated in this process is proposed.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 41--58
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Identification and prediction of climate-weather change process for port oil piping transportation system operating area
Autorzy:
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068856.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather change process
identification
prediction
piping operating area
extreme weather hazards
Opis:
The paper is concerned with an application of the climate-weather change process for a critical infrastructure operating area model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system operating area. For the considered piping operating area, there are distinguished three different climate-weather change processes and their states. Further, there are identified the unknown parameters of those processes, i.e. the probabilities of the climate-weather change processes staying at the initial climate-weather states, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the mean values of the climate-weather change processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 107--112
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Risks and consequences of weather hazards on railway infrastructure
Autorzy:
Berg, H. P.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068913.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
weather hazards
risk assessment
hazard management
climate change
railway systems
Opis:
Weather-related hazards are already among the factors most frequently causing disturbances for railways. Flooding and storm are considered major threats to the system. Climate change might in the long run produce new kinds of hazards and threats to the railway system, but the climate change will principally involve a strengthening of the already known threats, in terms of increased frequency as well as increased intensity. Based on examples of natural hazards’ impact on railways, possible approaches of vulnerability assessment are described which could also address potential consequences of climate change. In order to reduce the effects of weather hazards technical countermeasures are necessary, but also an appropriate risk management as, e.g., required for flooding in the European Union.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 1; 1--12
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Tsunamis and sea rise in the North and Baltic Sea and potential consequences for nuclear facilities
Autorzy:
Iancu, A.
Berg, H, P.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068930.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
weather-related hazards
hazard assessment
climate change
North and Baltic Sea
nuclear facilities
Opis:
Weather-related hazards are among the most frequent causes for disturbances of critical infrastructures. Flooding, tsunamis and sea level rise are examples of major threats to all types of nuclear facilities located at the seaside or at rivers. We report about exemplary investigations concerning weather-related hazards for the North Sea and the Baltic Sea. Climate change is expected to increase the already known threats but, in the long term, may also lead to new kinds of hazards. A possible future climate evolution, e.g. from warm (interglacial) to cold (glacial) periods, is not only a topic for seaside industrial facilities but also of concern in the long term safety assessment of deep geological nuclear waste repositories, in particular for high level waste, on the Baltic sea.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 1; 55--66
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Current status of Early Warning Systems for severe environmental threats in the Polish National Meteorological Service
Autorzy:
Bąkowski, R.
Achimowicz, J.
Mazur, A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/108492.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Instytut Meteorologii i Gospodarki Wodnej - Państwowy Instytut Badawczy
Tematy:
early warning system
hazards
incidents
warning
weather forecast
Opis:
The current state of the art and dedicated applications in Early Warning Systems (EWS) of hydrological and meteorological threats are presented herein. Special emphasis is placed on systems based on the post-processing of deterministic numerical weather forecasts in the real-time mode. The importance of climate and weather forecasting models in providing warnings against slow and rapid onset rates e.g. drought and dispersion of atmospheric pollutants respectively, is discussed. It is strongly suggested that there is a need for systems, corresponding to crisis situations in the field of environmental hazards and/or human activities in general, that would be able to provide support and information about further possible scenarios with a projected state of both the environment and the possibility of the negative impact of various factors on the population (human communities). Since there are highly developed plans for the construction of a nuclear power plant in Poland, there is an urgent need to prepare adequate tools that will help avoid crisis situations, or at least to minimize their negative effects. The Early Warning System should be considered one such tool, to be used not only for its economic benefits, but also for pro-social areas of services responsible for the appropriate reaction to crisis events.
Źródło:
Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management. Research and Operational Applications; 2014, 2, 2; 35-42
2299-3835
2353-5652
Pojawia się w:
Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management. Research and Operational Applications
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Project RIOT – “Ring of Threats” as an example of a Decision Support System (DSS). Concept and realization
Autorzy:
Mazur, A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/108617.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Instytut Meteorologii i Gospodarki Wodnej - Państwowy Instytut Badawczy
Tematy:
decision support system
hazards
incidents
warning
weather forecast
Opis:
The current state of knowledge and the latest trends and examples of decision support systems (DSSs) are presented in this paper. Special emphasis was placed on a DSS proposal based on post-processed numerical weather forecasts operating in a real time. There is an essential need for decision support systems that can react to any incidents – including those that pose a risk to the natural environment or human activity in general. For this purpose an exemplary system has been prepared, which was – from its conception to implementation – the original idea of the author. The system enables communication with the user via a graphical user interface that controls the operation of the program, the course of the algorithm and the data flow. The system is modular, allowing the connection of other applications to carry out the work of a DSS. A basic view of the operating window and working panels have been designed for proper demonstration of various types of information and visualizations – the substantial products and results of the system. Further research in the field of DSS of this kind should be the implementation within the RIOT system of mechanisms of notification and response to crisis events related to extreme weather phenomena (whirlwinds, intensive rains, strong frosts or heats).
Źródło:
Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management. Research and Operational Applications; 2015, 3, 2; 39-47
2299-3835
2353-5652
Pojawia się w:
Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management. Research and Operational Applications
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
    Wyświetlanie 1-9 z 9

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