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Tytuł:
Experimental Analysis of 31 Risk Estimation Tools Applied to Safety of Machinery
Autorzy:
Gauthier, F.
Lambert, S.
Chinniah, Y.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/90949.pdf
Data publikacji:
2012
Wydawca:
Centralny Instytut Ochrony Pracy
Tematy:
risk assessment
risk estimation tools
safety of machinery
Opis:
This article studies differences in the results of using different risk estimation tools in the same hazardous situations involving dangerous machinery. We investigated how (a) types of risk estimation parameters and methods of constructing tools, (b) the number of levels of each parameter, and (c) the number of risk levels influence the results. Consequently, 31 risk estimation tools were compared by using them to estimate risk levels associated with 20 hazardous situations. Risk estimation appears to be tool-dependent, as different tools give different results with identical hazardous situations. The scope of the tool, its use, and construction could explain these differences. This article also proposes a series of rules for constructing tools to alleviate many problems associated with the variability of risk estimations.
Źródło:
International Journal of Occupational Safety and Ergonomics; 2012, 18, 2; 245-265
1080-3548
Pojawia się w:
International Journal of Occupational Safety and Ergonomics
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Risk estimation and decision making in management (in selected areas of science)
Autorzy:
Galanc, Tadeusz
Kołwzan, Wiktor
Pieronek, Jerzy
Skowronek-Grądziel, Agnieszka
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/406314.pdf
Data publikacji:
2020
Wydawca:
Politechnika Wrocławska. Oficyna Wydawnicza Politechniki Wrocławskiej
Tematy:
risk estimation methods
risk categories
decision making
management
Opis:
Risk is a category that is inseparably connected with uncertainty and probability, which means that the nature of risk as a category of science is complex, and the concept of risk is very difficult to define by one conceptual system of modern science. Due to the above, the main research hypothesis of the work is oriented to the assumption that the complexity of the risk category is determined by the diversity (variety) of reality, as a result of which in science there is currently no uniform methodology for risk assessment and estimation. As a result, the main goal of the article is to describe the research area based on selected representative methods of risk estimation and logical decision-making schemes, as well as to systematise the knowledge about the methodology used in them. In the article, the authors illustrate risk estimation with examples developed by themselves and quoted from various fields of science, differing from one another in formal terms in quantitative and qualitative (numerical and content-verbally) dimensions. Strategic risk, risk of fraction estimation, Bayesian risk, Bayesian methods for estimation of population distribution parameters, risk of econometric model assessment, interest rate risk, banking risk, and adverse event as a measure of risk are here addressed. The article also focuses on the problem of risk estimation in terms of the theory of fractals. The work is to have not only cognitive but also practical meaning. The created source of knowledge should prove helpful for decision-makers in the area of management since effective process management requires the expertise of risk estimation in various dimensions and using various mathematical tools.
Źródło:
Operations Research and Decisions; 2020, 30, 1; 47-66
2081-8858
2391-6060
Pojawia się w:
Operations Research and Decisions
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Subjective risk estimation of the rare event
Autorzy:
Nguyen, Hoang
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/241939.pdf
Data publikacji:
2019
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
rare event
subjective risk estimation
intuitionistic fuzzy set
ship propulsion risk
Opis:
In the safety engineering, the most frequently disadvantage in risk estimation is the lack of data. In such cases, we have to rely on subjective estimations made by persons with practical knowledge in the field of interest, i.e. experts. However, in some realistic situations, they may have uncertainty in the perceiving and evaluation of the problem considered or limited knowledge of the rare events, such as the consequences of the seagoing ship propulsion failures. The probabilistic models of the risk estimation turn out to be insufficient in modelling the subjective uncertainty. The fuzzy methods are viewed to be powerful in dealing with ambiguity and uncertainty that can be used to handle with the subjective estimation. This article addresses the intuitionistic fuzzy method in the subjective estimation of the ship propulsion failure consequences as rare event risk. In the article, a subjective model of the ship propulsion risk is developed as scenarios of the different subsequent consequences of loss of ship propulsion function until a seriously severe accident resulting in loss of seaworthiness. The model proposes an approach combining AHP method and intuitionistic fuzzy method to assess the occurrence probability and severe probability of these rare events based on the expert opinions. In order to show the applicability of the proposed model, a study case of the propulsion risk of the container carrier operating on the North Atlantic lines is conducted.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2019, 26, 1; 103-110
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Wykorzystanie sieci bayesowskich w szacowaniu ryzyka innowacyjnego
Using bayesian networks to estimate the innovative risk
Autorzy:
Knosala, R.
Landwójtowicz, A
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/340109.pdf
Data publikacji:
2013
Wydawca:
Polskie Towarzystwo Zarządzania Produkcją
Tematy:
innowacje
ryzyko innowacyjne
szacowanie ryzyka
innovations
innovative risk
risk estimation
Bayesian networks
Opis:
Today, the advantage of enterprises is built by the process of innovations implementation. A decision concerning the innovations implementation is always difficult and risky because innovations are specific kinds of investments and are a potential source of many threats. This is why before taking a decision about an implementation of a given solution, it is extremely important to make an analysis of its consequences. A risk analysis becomes more and more important in this aspect because it makes it possible to estimate the level of dangers which can be caused by a new investment solution. This is why the process of estimating innovation risk with the use of Bayesian networks has been presented in this work. Data from projects carried out under the Operational Programme Innovative Economy for the years 2007-2013 in Opole Province and the NETICA programme have been used in order to work out an exemplary method. It has been shown how to determine the innovative risk level with taking into consideration the adopted assumptions. Exemplary factors of the analysed risk concerning both the enterprise and the sheer undertaking have been characterised. In the first step, the most important factors of innovation risk and their measuring indicators have been specified. Assuming that the risk is a probability of an undesirable state occurrence (according to a negative concept), the authors have chosen the following indicators to estimate the danger of an innovation failure: W 1. Period of using technology in the world. W 2. Time of carrying out the project expressed in months. W 3. Value of the whole project. W 4. Size of the enterprise. W 5. Own financial resources designed for making innovation. W 6. Financial risk. W 7. Decision about granting a subsidy. The chosen factors (sources) of risk are only an exemplary set and were chosen on purpose from the point of view of an area of the analysed risk. It is necessary to remember that each potential source of danger can become the basis of a subsequent risk connected with the project being carried out. In this context, an aspect of choosing appropriate and the most important risk sources, from the point of view of the innovation efficacy, appears. It is an extremely important stage because as we know it is impossible to take into consideration all factors because the assessment of accuracy of the estimated risk shall depend on it. In this case authors also highlight the role of an expert who mainly directs the risk estimation process. This step is a little subjective but in reality, the subjectivity is present in almost every step of risk analysis. The next step included the specification of dependencies between the enumerated factors and the probability of the analysed states occurrence. Thanks to that, the elaboration of a simple Bayesian network has become possible. It has been shown, on its basis, how the level of innovation risk an be estimated if the specific information and assumptions are available.
Źródło:
Zarządzanie Przedsiębiorstwem; 2013, 16, 1; 28-34
1643-4773
Pojawia się w:
Zarządzanie Przedsiębiorstwem
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Verojatnostnaja ocenka riska ostrogo profeccional'logo zabolevanija (otravlenija) rabotnikov sel'sko khozjajjstva pri obrashhenii s jadovitymi khimicheskimi beshhestvami
Probabilistic estimation of risk of acute professional disease (poisoning) of workers of agriculture at handling poisonous chemicals
Autorzy:
Gnatyuk, O.
Voynalovich, A.
Bilko, T.
Golod, V.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/76491.pdf
Data publikacji:
2013
Wydawca:
Komisja Motoryzacji i Energetyki Rolnictwa
Tematy:
risk estimation
poisoning
professional disease
agricultural worker
acute disease
technological process
Opis:
Проведена вероятностная оценка риска острого профессионального заболевания (отравления) работников сельского хозяйства, использующих в технологическом процессе различные ядовитые химические вещества. Определены наиболее значимые производственные факторы, влияющие на возникновение опасной ситуации, связанной с возможностью отравления работников, применяющих данные вещества.
The probabilistic estimation of risk of the sharp professional disease (poisoning) of workers of agriculture, using different poisonous chemicals in a technological process, is conducted. The most meaningful productive factors, influencing on the origin of the nearaccident, related to possibility of poisoning of workers applying these substances, are certain.
Źródło:
Motrol. Motoryzacja i Energetyka Rolnictwa; 2013, 15, 3
1730-8658
Pojawia się w:
Motrol. Motoryzacja i Energetyka Rolnictwa
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Baseline study in environmental risk assessment : site-specific model development and application
Autorzy:
Alam, Asifa
Mahmood, Adeel
Chaudhry, M. Nawaz
Ahmad, Sajid Rashid
Safa, Noor Ul
Alghamdi, Huda Ahmed
Alhamdi, Heba Waheeb
Ullah, Rizwan
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2203136.pdf
Data publikacji:
2022
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
Tematy:
baseline study
risk assessment models
risk management
mathematical approaches
landfills
dumping sites
environmental risk estimation
Opis:
Environmental risk assessment is one of the key tools in environmental engineering. This risk assessment can be qualitative or quantitative and it is based on preliminary studies i.e., baseline study for waste disposal sites. Even though the literature exists on baseline study in general, still there is a lack of guidance regarding development of a site-specific baseline study model for a waste disposal site. This study has two-fold aim, firstly, how to develop site-specific baseline study model for a selected dumping site, and secondly, how this site-specific baseline study can support the environmental engineering via mathematical risk estimation. Mahmood Booti Open Dumping Site (MBODS) is selected to demonstrate the development and application of site-specific baseline study model. This is followed by building a framework that shows how the output of the baseline study can lead to environmental engineering via mathematical risk estimation. The paper provides a mechanism of how to construct a bespoke baseline-study model that is readily useable, avoiding procurement of expensive computer software and yet smoothly connecting with the follow-on stages of the risk assessment. The work presented in this paper can be reproduced repeatedly to create site-specific baseline study models for risk assessment of other waste disposal sites in a cost-effective, consistent and cohesive manner.
Źródło:
Archives of Environmental Protection; 2022, 48, 3; 80--88
2083-4772
2083-4810
Pojawia się w:
Archives of Environmental Protection
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Risk estimation with the application of the matrix method during the operation of the forklift
Autorzy:
Kozińska, Monika
Radek, Norbert
Rozlach, Andrzej
Mazur, Magdalena
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1830703.pdf
Data publikacji:
2021
Wydawca:
Stowarzyszenie Menedżerów Jakości i Produkcji
Tematy:
matrix method
risk estimation
forklift
operation
metoda macierzowa
szacowanie ryzyka
wózek widłowy
eksploatacja
Opis:
The paper presents issues related to the analysis of the position of a forklift operator.Hazards at the workplace were presented and risk estimation was carried out using the matrix method on the position of a forklift operator. The risk assessment using the matrix method was performed in accordance with the PN-N-18002: 2011 standard. The hazards at the forklift operator's workplace were identified and the occupational risk was assessed. In addition, the employee's personal protective equipment and security factors are also presented, which have been defined to increase the safety of work with forklifts.
Źródło:
System Safety : Human - Technical Facility - Environment; 2021, 3, 1; 337-346
2657-5450
Pojawia się w:
System Safety : Human - Technical Facility - Environment
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy failure modes and effect analysis of the system failure risk estimation
Autorzy:
Nguyen, H.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/243789.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets
failure modes
effects analysis
system failure risk estimation
expert judgment
Opis:
Among the risk assessment methods, failure modes and effects analysis (FMEA) is a popular, widely used engineering technique in many areas. It can be used to identify and eliminate known or potential failure modes to enhance reliability and safety of complex systems. In practice, risk estimations encounter difficulties connected with shortage of data. In such cases, we have to rely on subjective estimations made by persons with practical knowledge in the field of interest, i.e. experts. However, in some realistic situations, the decision makers might be unable to assign the exact values to the evaluation judgments due to his/her limited knowledge. In other words, there is a certain degree of hesitancy in human cognition and his/her judgment, who may have insufficient knowledge of the problem domain or uncertainty in assigning the evaluation values to the objects considered. In order to deal with ambiguity and uncertainty in the imperfect information, there have been recently proposed many various such theories as fuzzy sets, interval-valued fuzzy sets, type-2 fuzzy sets, hesitant sets, grey sets, rough sets and intuitionistic fuzzy sets. They have drawn more and more attention of scholars and been adopted in many applications This article addresses the Atanassov’s interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets and FMEA methods in the risk estimation of the system failures based on the expert judgments.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2017, 24, 2; 159-166
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Modelling of safety distance between ships route and wind farm
Modelowanie bezpiecznej odległości pomiędzy trasą przepływu statków i farmą elektrowni wiatrowych
Autorzy:
Wawruch, R.
Stupak, T.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/223510.pdf
Data publikacji:
2011
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
Tematy:
bezpieczeństwo morskie
bezpieczeństwo żeglugi
farma elektrowni wiatrowych
ocena ryzyka
shipping safety
wind electric farm
risk estimation
Opis:
Building of the wind farms in the coastal area of the Polish maritime waters is planned in the near future. Their construction and exploitation will create new threat for safety of vessels operating in their vicinity. Paper presents different estimation methods of the risk of collision between wind turbine and sailing and drifting ships adopted in other countries and their utility assessment for estimation of threats created for safety of navigation and environment by wind farms planned for establishing in the Polish maritime areas.
W najbliższej przyszłości planuje się budowę farm elektrowni wiatrowych w obszarze polskich morskich wód przybrzeżnych. Ich budowa i eksploatacja stworzy nowe zagrożenie dla bezpieczeństwa jednostek pływających operujących w ich pobliżu. W referacie przeanalizowano różne metody szacowania ryzyka kolizji z turbiną wiatrową statku płynącego i dryfującego, stwarzanego przez farmy elektrowni wiatrowych planowanych do budowy w polskich obszarach morskich stosowane w innych państwach, a także ocenę przydatności tych metod do szacowania zagrożenia dla bezpieczeństwa żeglugi i środowiska naturalnego.
Źródło:
Archives of Transport; 2011, 23, 3; 413-420
0866-9546
2300-8830
Pojawia się w:
Archives of Transport
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
An application of intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process in ship system risk estimation
Autorzy:
Nguyen, H.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/244796.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
intuitionistic fuzzy sets
risk estimation
expert judgment
ship propulsion system
analytic hierarchy process (AHP)
sea transport
Opis:
In this paper, we extend the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method and the Atanassov’s intuitionistic fuzzy set (IFS) into the intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (IFAHP) with application in ship system risk estimation. In the safety engineering, risk estimation is in practice confronted with difficulties connected with shortage of data. In such cases, we have to rely on subjective estimations made by persons with practical knowledge in the field of interest, i.e. experts. However, in some realistic situations, the decision makers might be reluctant or unable to assign the crisp evaluation values to the comparison judgments due to his/her limited knowledge. In other words, there is a certain degree of hesitancy in human cognition and his judgment. Taking advantages of IFSs in dealing with ambiguity and uncertainty into account, the IFAHP can be used to handle with the subjective preferences of experts, who may have insufficient knowledge of the problem domain or uncertainty in assigning the evaluation values to the objects considered. This paper also develops a new knowledge-based ranking method to derive the priority vector of the hierarchy. An illustrative example of the propulsion risk estimation of container carriers operating on the North Atlantic line is given to show the applicability and effectiveness of the proposed method.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2016, 23, 3; 365-372
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Wyświetlanie 1-10 z 40

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