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Wyszukujesz frazę "mean absolute percentage error" wg kryterium: Temat


Wyświetlanie 1-2 z 2
Tytuł:
The hazard function and its role in a non-parametric duration analysis of enterprises in the Łódzkie Voivodeship
Autorzy:
Mikulec, Artur
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/424857.pdf
Data publikacji:
2019
Wydawca:
Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
Tematy:
enterprises
duration analysis
hazard function
cumulative hazard function
mean absolute percentage error
Opis:
In a duration analysis of enterprises, as a rule there are determined four basic functions related to the time of their duration, i.e.: the density function; the distribution function; the survival function, and the hazard function. It turns out that the hazard function and its cumulative version are the key to understanding modern survival analysis. The aim of the paper is to indicate the best method of the estimation of the values of individual functions in survival analysis based on other functions. The paper provides compiled and classified information on particular functions used in the non-parametric duration analysis of enterprises. It examines some theoretical and practical problems related to the determination of, among others, the hazard function and the cumulative hazard function on the basis of data in cohort tables and the results of the estimation of the survival function with the use of the Kaplan- Meier method. The considerations included in the paper are illustrated with the results of analyses for enterprises established in the Łódzkie Voivodeship in 2001-2015 (including those which went into liquidation).
Źródło:
Econometrics. Ekonometria. Advances in Applied Data Analytics; 2019, 23, 3; 59-75
1507-3866
Pojawia się w:
Econometrics. Ekonometria. Advances in Applied Data Analytics
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Impact of information on the number of traffic accidents on the outcome of the forecast
Autorzy:
Gorzelanczyk, Piotr
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/22672802.pdf
Data publikacji:
2023
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Warmińsko-Mazurski w Olsztynie
Tematy:
forecasting
traffic accident
number of time series elements
mean absolute percentage error MAPE
Opis:
Every year, more and more vehicles appear on the world's roads. This leads to increased traffic on the roads. Road accidents have become a rapidly growing threat. They cause loss of human life and economic assets. This is due to the rapid growth of the world's human population and the very rapid development of motorization. The main problem in forecasting and analyzing data on the number of traffic accidents is the small size of the dataset that can be used for analysis in this regard. And on the other hand, road accidents cause, globally, millions of deaths and injuries annually is their density in time and space. It is worth noting that the pandemic has reduced the number of traffic accidents. However, the value is still very high. The purpose of the article is to assess the impact of information on the number of traffic accidents on the outcome of the forecast. To this end, using historical statistical data, the forecast of the number of traffic accidents for the following years was determined, and how this variability of the input data affects the value of the average percentage error of the forecast was determined. Based on the study, it can be concluded that a smaller number of input data, historical data on the number of accidents, instead of 32 years, 7 years, makes the determination of the forecast of the number of accidents for subsequent years, is at a satisfactory level, the average absolute percentage error of MAPE less than 7%. The article concludes with the determination of the forecast for future years. It is worth noting that the prevailing pandemic distorts the results obtained.
Źródło:
Technical Sciences / University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn; 2023, 26(1); 219--230
1505-4675
2083-4527
Pojawia się w:
Technical Sciences / University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
    Wyświetlanie 1-2 z 2

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