- Tytuł:
- Modeling hazard-related interactions between the processes realized in and around the Baltic Sea Region ports
- Autorzy:
- Malinowski, J.
- Powiązania:
- https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068894.pdf
- Data publikacji:
- 2017
- Wydawca:
- Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
- Tematy:
-
probabilistic modeling
hazard-related events
processes interaction
cascading effect
risk calculation - Opis:
- This paper presents a probabilistic model of hazard-related interdependence between the operations carried out in the ports of the Baltic Sea region and in their neighborhoods. Each single operation, considered w.r.t. its hazardous aspect, will be defined as a point process consisting of undesired events (emergencies and/or accidents). Thus, the interdependence between these processes can be regarded as interaction between such events. The developed model will specify the impact of hazard related events occurring within one process on the risk of occurrence of such events in the other processes. This model will be a basis for the analysis of inter-process dependencies, including the feedback and cascading effects, as implied by the cause-effect relationships between the events occurring in different processes. Furthermore, it is envisaged to be used for assessing the potential effects of accidents or catastrophic events, and for developing the appropriate prevention measures. The procedures derived from the model will be applied to analyzing the mutual impacts between the processes realized in the oil and container terminals, forecasting negative effects of these impacts along with assessing their costs, and planning preventive actions aimed at avoiding such effects.
- Źródło:
-
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 1; 87--96
2084-5316 - Pojawia się w:
- Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
- Dostawca treści:
- Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł