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    Wyświetlanie 1-7 z 7
    Tytuł:
    Non-ergodic probabilistic seismic hazard methodology using physics-based ground motion prediction: the case of LAquila, Italy
    Autorzy:
    Aguirre, Jedidiah Joel
    Rubino, Bruno
    Vassallo, Maurizio
    Di Giulio, Giuseppe
    Visini, Francesco
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1950802.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2022-02-05
    Wydawca:
    Politechnika Gdańska
    Tematy:
    non-ergodic probabilistic seismic hazard analysis
    physics-based ground motionprediction
    modified time-weakening friction law
    peak ground acceleration
    hazard curve
    City of L’Aquila
    analiza zagrożeń sejsmicznych
    przewidywanie ruchu naziemnego
    zmodyfikowane prawo tarcia
    szczytowe przyspieszenie naziemne
    krzywa zagrożenia
    L'aquila
    Opis:
    A non-ergodic probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) utilizing the physics-based ground motion prediction was proposed in this study to minimize the increasing uncertainties in the use of empirical equations. The City of L’Aquila in Italy was used for illustrative purposes due to the availability of data and the historical seismicity of the site. A total of 28 seismic sources were identified in this study located within a 100 km radius from the city. Fault properties such as geometry and location were obtained from the literature, while the fault occurrence rates were obtained using the FiSH Code. A modified time-weakening friction law was proposed to model the seismic energy released by an earthquake. Uncertainties in different rupture scenarios were characterized through the Guttenberg-Richter Relations and the Characteristic Brownian Time Passage. Uncertainties in distances were characterized through probability mass functions, which were used to calculate the ground motion exceedance probabilities. The 1D elastodynamic equation coupled with the Hooke’s law was used to predict the peak ground acceleration (PGA), a measure of the ground shaking level. A hazard curve, which is a plot of PGA and its recurrence, was constructed and compared with the results of the study of Valentini, et al., AGU 100: Advancing Earth and Space Science (2019). The method proposed in this study predicts a higher hazard rates for PGAs less than 0.70 g, which implies that the ground motion was overestimated for very far sources. In contrast, lower hazard curves were observed for PGAs greater than 0.70g which can be attributed to fewer seismic sources considered in this study.
    Źródło:
    TASK Quarterly. Scientific Bulletin of Academic Computer Centre in Gdansk; 2020, 24, 2; 97-185
    1428-6394
    Pojawia się w:
    TASK Quarterly. Scientific Bulletin of Academic Computer Centre in Gdansk
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Non-ergodic probabilistic seismic hazard methodology using physics-based ground motion prediction: the case of LAquila, Italy - Appendices
    Autorzy:
    Aguirre, Jedidiah Joel
    Rubino, Bruno
    Vassallo, Maurizio
    Di Giulio, Giuseppe
    Visini, Francesco
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2035851.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2020
    Wydawca:
    Politechnika Gdańska
    Tematy:
    non-ergodic probabilistic seismic hazard analysis
    physics-based ground motion prediction
    modified time-weakening friction law
    peak ground acceleration
    hazard curve
    City of L’Aquila
    analiza zagrożeń sejsmicznych
    przewidywanie ruchu naziemnego
    zmodyfikowane prawo tarcia
    szczytowe przyspieszenie naziemne
    krzywa zagrożenia
    L'aquila
    Opis:
    A non-ergodic probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) utilizing the physics-based ground motion prediction was proposed in this study to minimize the increasing uncertainties in the use of empirical equations. The City of L’Aquila in Italy was used for illustrative purposes due to the availability of data and the historical seismicity of the site. A total of 28 seismic sources were identified in this study located within a 100 km radius from the city. Fault properties such as geometry and location were obtained from the literature, while the fault occurrence rates were obtained using the FiSH Code. A modified time-weakening friction law was proposed to model the seismic energy released by an earthquake. Uncertainties in different rupture scenarios were characterized through the Guttenberg-Richter Relations and the Characteristic Brownian Time Passage. Uncertainties in distances were characterized through probability mass functions, which were used to calculate the ground motion exceedance probabilities. The 1D elastodynamic equation coupled with the Hooke’s law was used to predict the peak ground acceleration (PGA), a measure of the ground shaking level. A hazard curve, which is a plot of PGA and its recurrence, was constructed and compared with the results of the study of Valentini, et al., AGU 100: Advancing Earth and Space Science (2019). The method proposed in this study predicts a higher hazard rates for PGAs less than 0.70 g, which implies that the ground motion was overestimated for very far sources. In contrast, lower hazard curves were observed for PGAs greater than 0.70g which can be attributed to fewer seismic sources considered in this study.
    Źródło:
    TASK Quarterly. Scientific Bulletin of Academic Computer Centre in Gdansk; 2020, 24, 2; 166-182
    1428-6394
    Pojawia się w:
    TASK Quarterly. Scientific Bulletin of Academic Computer Centre in Gdansk
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Non-ergodic probabilistic seismic hazard methodology using physics-based ground motion prediction: the case of LAquila, Italy - Part I Theoretical background
    Autorzy:
    Aguirre, Jedidiah Joel
    Rubino, Bruno
    Vassallo, Maurizio
    Di Giulio, Giuseppe
    Visini, Francesco
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2035834.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2020
    Wydawca:
    Politechnika Gdańska
    Tematy:
    non-ergodic probabilistic seismic hazard analysis
    physics-based ground motion prediction
    modified time-weakening friction law
    peak ground acceleration
    hazard curve
    City of L’Aquila
    analiza zagrożeń sejsmicznych
    przewidywanie ruchu naziemnego
    zmodyfikowane prawo tarcia
    szczytowe przyspieszenie naziemne
    krzywa zagrożenia
    L'aquila
    Opis:
    A non-ergodic probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) utilizing the physics-based ground motion prediction was proposed in this study to minimize the increasing uncertainties in the use of empirical equations. The City of L’Aquila in Italy was used for illustrative purposes due to the availability of data and the historical seismicity of the site. A total of 28 seismic sources were identified in this study located within a 100 km radius from the city. Fault properties such as geometry and location were obtained from the literature, while the fault occurrence rates were obtained using the FiSH Code. A modified time-weakening friction law was proposed to model the seismic energy released by an earthquake. Uncertainties in different rupture scenarios were characterized through the Guttenberg-Richter Relations and the Characteristic Brownian Time Passage. Uncertainties in distances were characterized through probability mass functions, which were used to calculate the ground motion exceedance probabilities. The 1D elastodynamic equation coupled with the Hooke’s law was used to predict the peak ground acceleration (PGA), a measure of the ground shaking level. A hazard curve, which is a plot of PGA and its recurrence, was constructed and compared with the results of the study of Valentini, et al., AGU 100: Advancing Earth and Space Science (2019). The method proposed in this study predicts a higher hazard rates for PGAs less than 0.70 g, which implies that the ground motion was overestimated for very far sources. In contrast, lower hazard curves were observed for PGAs greater than 0.70g which can be attributed to fewer seismic sources considered in this study.
    Źródło:
    TASK Quarterly. Scientific Bulletin of Academic Computer Centre in Gdansk; 2020, 24, 2; 97-137
    1428-6394
    Pojawia się w:
    TASK Quarterly. Scientific Bulletin of Academic Computer Centre in Gdansk
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Non-ergodic probabilistic seismic hazard methodology using physics-based ground motion prediction: the case of LAquila, Italy - Part II Methodology
    Autorzy:
    Aguirre, Jedidiah Joel
    Rubino, Bruno
    Vassallo, Maurizio
    Di Giulio, Giuseppe
    Visini, Francesco
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2035843.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2020
    Wydawca:
    Politechnika Gdańska
    Tematy:
    non-ergodic probabilistic seismic hazard analysis
    physics-based ground motion prediction
    modified time-weakening friction law
    peak ground acceleration
    hazard curve
    City of L’Aquila
    analiza zagrożeń sejsmicznych
    przewidywanie ruchu naziemnego
    zmodyfikowane prawo tarcia
    szczytowe przyspieszenie naziemne
    krzywa zagrożenia
    L'aquila
    Opis:
    A non-ergodic probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) utilizing the physics-based ground motion prediction was proposed in this study to minimize the increasing uncertainties in the use of empirical equations. The City of L’Aquila in Italy was used for illustrative purposes due to the availability of data and the historical seismicity of the site. A total of 28 seismic sources were identified in this study located within a 100 km radius from the city. Fault properties such as geometry and location were obtained from the literature, while the fault occurrence rates were obtained using the FiSH Code. A modified time-weakening friction law was proposed to model the seismic energy released by an earthquake. Uncertainties in different rupture scenarios were characterized through the Guttenberg-Richter Relations and the Characteristic Brownian Time Passage. Uncertainties in distances were characterized through probability mass functions, which were used to calculate the ground motion exceedance probabilities. The 1D elastodynamic equation coupled with the Hooke’s law was used to predict the peak ground acceleration (PGA), a measure of the ground shaking level. A hazard curve, which is a plot of PGA and its recurrence, was constructed and compared with the results of the study of Valentini, et al., AGU 100: Advancing Earth and Space Science (2019). The method proposed in this study predicts a higher hazard rates for PGAs less than 0.70 g, which implies that the ground motion was overestimated for very far sources. In contrast, lower hazard curves were observed for PGAs greater than 0.70g which can be attributed to fewer seismic sources considered in this study.
    Źródło:
    TASK Quarterly. Scientific Bulletin of Academic Computer Centre in Gdansk; 2020, 24, 2; 137-153
    1428-6394
    Pojawia się w:
    TASK Quarterly. Scientific Bulletin of Academic Computer Centre in Gdansk
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Non-ergodic probabilistic seismic hazard methodology using physics-based ground motion prediction: the case of LAquila, Italy - Part III Results and Discussion
    Autorzy:
    Aguirre, Jedidiah Joel
    Rubino, Bruno
    Vassallo, Maurizio
    Di Giulio, Giuseppe
    Visini, Francesco
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2035849.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2020
    Wydawca:
    Politechnika Gdańska
    Tematy:
    non-ergodic probabilistic seismic hazard analysis
    physics-based ground motion prediction
    modified time-weakening friction law
    peak ground acceleration
    hazard curve
    City of L’Aquila
    analiza zagrożeń sejsmicznych
    przewidywanie ruchu naziemnego
    zmodyfikowane prawo tarcia
    szczytowe przyspieszenie naziemne
    krzywa zagrożenia
    L'aquila
    Opis:
    A non-ergodic probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) utilizing the physics-based ground motion prediction was proposed in this study to minimize the increasing uncertainties in the use of empirical equations. The City of L’Aquila in Italy was used for illustrative purposes due to the availability of data and the historical seismicity of the site. A total of 28 seismic sources were identified in this study located within a 100 km radius from the city. Fault properties such as geometry and location were obtained from the literature, while the fault occurrence rates were obtained using the FiSH Code. A modified time-weakening friction law was proposed to model the seismic energy released by an earthquake. Uncertainties in different rupture scenarios were characterized through the Guttenberg-Richter Relations and the Characteristic Brownian Time Passage. Uncertainties in distances were characterized through probability mass functions, which were used to calculate the ground motion exceedance probabilities. The 1D elastodynamic equation coupled with the Hooke’s law was used to predict the peak ground acceleration (PGA), a measure of the ground shaking level. A hazard curve, which is a plot of PGA and its recurrence, was constructed and compared with the results of the study of Valentini, et al., AGU 100: Advancing Earth and Space Science (2019). The method proposed in this study predicts a higher hazard rates for PGAs less than 0.70 g, which implies that the ground motion was overestimated for very far sources. In contrast, lower hazard curves were observed for PGAs greater than 0.70g which can be attributed to fewer seismic sources considered in this study.
    Źródło:
    TASK Quarterly. Scientific Bulletin of Academic Computer Centre in Gdansk; 2020, 24, 2; 153-166
    1428-6394
    Pojawia się w:
    TASK Quarterly. Scientific Bulletin of Academic Computer Centre in Gdansk
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Estimating the probability of leaving unemployment for older people in Poland using survival models with censored data
    Autorzy:
    Grzenda, Wioletta
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/20311945.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2023-06-13
    Wydawca:
    Główny Urząd Statystyczny
    Tematy:
    employment
    older workers
    proportional hazard model
    time-dependent ROC curve
    Opis:
    Current demographic changes require greater participation of people aged 50 or older in the labour market. Previous research shows that the chances of returning to employment decrease with the length of the unemployment period. In the case of older people who have not reached the statutory retirement age, these chances also depend on the time they have left to retirement. Our study aims to assess the probability of leaving unemployment for people aged 50-71 based on their characteristics and the length of the unemployment period. We use data from the Labour Force Survey for 2019–2020. The key factors determining employment status are identified using the proportional hazard model. We take these factors into account and use the direct adjusted survival curve to show how the probability of returning to work in Poland changes as people age. Due to the fact that not many people take up employment around their retirement age, an in-depth evaluation of the accuracy of predictions obtained via the models is crucial to assess the results. Hence, in this paper, a time-dependent ROC curve is used. Our results indicate that the key factor that influences the return to work after an unemployment period in the case of older people in Poland is whether they reached the age of 60. Other factors that proved important in this context are the sex and the education level of older people.
    Źródło:
    Statistics in Transition new series; 2023, 24, 3; 241-256
    1234-7655
    Pojawia się w:
    Statistics in Transition new series
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Measuring and Explaining Income Inequalities in Poland: an Estimation of Lorenz Curves using Hazard Function Approach
    Autorzy:
    Landmesser, J.
    Orłowski, A.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1029578.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2018-06
    Wydawca:
    Polska Akademia Nauk. Instytut Fizyki PAN
    Tematy:
    income inequalities
    hazard function
    Lorenz curve
    Opis:
    In this study we compare the income distributions for men and women in Poland in 2014. To examine the differences in the entire range of income values we utilize the hazard function approach. A flexible hazard-function based estimator in the presence of covariates (education, age, etc.) is used to construct conditional density and cumulative distribution functions. Then, we decompose the differences between two distributions using the counterfactual distribution. We estimate also the Lorenz curves for incomes and decompose the differences between the values of the Gini coefficients.
    Źródło:
    Acta Physica Polonica A; 2018, 133, 6; 1445-1449
    0587-4246
    1898-794X
    Pojawia się w:
    Acta Physica Polonica A
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
      Wyświetlanie 1-7 z 7

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