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Wyszukujesz frazę "forecast climate change" wg kryterium: Temat


Wyświetlanie 1-7 z 7
Tytuł:
Effect of the forecast climate change on the grapevine water requirements in the Bydgoszcz region
Autorzy:
Rolbiecki, S.
Piszczek, P.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/101426.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Stowarzyszenie Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich PAN
Tematy:
grapevine
water requirements
optimal precipitation
forecast climate change
Bydgoszcz region
Opis:
The present research has aimed at estimating the water requirements of grapevine in 2016-2050 in the Bydgoszcz region based on the anticipated temperature changes. . The paper draws on the forecasting of mean monthly temperature for the Bydgoszcz region in 2011-2050 according to the climate change scenario for Poland SRES: A1B (Bąk, Łabędzki 2014). The water requirements of the grapevine have been determined based on the indispensable precipitation determined by Kemmer and Schulz. The water requirements were calculated for the period January through December and May through September for each year in the 35-year period (2016- 2050). The reference period was made up by a 35-year period immediately preceding it (1981-2015). In the 2016-2050 period in the Bydgoszcz region, in the light of the anticipated temperature change scenarios, one can expect increased grapevine water requirements. Determined with the Kemmer and Schulz method, the required optimal annual (January-December) precipitation will increase for the grapevine from 440 mm to 576 mm (by 136 mm, namely by 31 %). The optimal precipitation trend equations demonstrate that in the reference period (1981-2015), calculated with the Kemmer and Schulz, the optimal annual precipitation was increasing in grapevine in each pentad by 2.2-2.6 mm. In the forecast period (2016-2050) the water requirements will increase, however, in each pentad in a much greater range (8.0-8.9 mm). In the summer period (May-September) determined by Kemmer and Schulz, the total precipitation optimal for the grapevine, expressing the water requirements, in 2016-2050 will increase by 68 mm.
Źródło:
Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich; 2016, IV/4; 1847-1856
1732-5587
Pojawia się w:
Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Effect of the forecast climate change on the apple tree water requirements in the Bydgoszcz region
Autorzy:
Rolbiecki, S.
Piszczek, P.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/101359.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Stowarzyszenie Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich PAN
Tematy:
apple tree
water requirements
optimal precipitation
forecast climate change
Bydgoszcz region
Opis:
The aim of the present research has been an attempt at evaluating the water requirements of apple trees over 2016-2050 in the Bydgoszcz region drawing on the forecast changes in temperature. The paper draws on the forecasting of mean monthly temperature for the Bydgoszcz region in 2011-2050 according to the climate change scenario for Poland SRES: A1B (Bąk, Łabędzki 2014). The water requirements of the apple tree have been determined based on the indispensable precipitation determined by Kemmer and Schulz. The water requirements were calculated for the period January through December and May through September for each year in the 35-year period (2016-2050). The reference period was made up by a 35-year period immediately preceding it (1981-2015). In the 2016-2050 period in the Bydgoszcz region, in the light of the temperature change scenarios, one could expect increased apple-tree water requirements. Determined with the Kemmer and Schulz method, the required annual (January-December) optimal precipitation will increase for the apple tree from 681 mm to 849 mm (by 168 mm, namely by 25 %). The optimal precipitation trend equations show that in the reference period (1981-2015), calculated with the Kemmer and Schulz numbers, the optimal annual precipitation for the apple tree was increasing in each pentad by 5.8-6.3 mm. In the forecast period (2016-2050) the water requirements will increase, however, in each pentad in a much greater range; from 8.5 to 9.6 mm. In the summer period (May-September) determined by Kemmer and Schulz, the optimal precipitation, expressing the water requirements, for the apple tree in 2016-2050 will increase by 84 mm.
Źródło:
Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich; 2016, IV/4; 1745-1753
1732-5587
Pojawia się w:
Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Effect of the forecast climate change on the peach tree water requirements in the Bydgoszcz region
Autorzy:
Rolbiecki, S.
Piszczek, P.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/101478.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Stowarzyszenie Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich PAN
Tematy:
peach tree
water requirements
optimal precipitation
forecast climate change
Bydgoszcz region
Opis:
The aim of the present research has been an attempt at evaluating the water requirements of peach trees over 2016-2050 in the Bydgoszcz region drawing on the forecast changes in temperature. The paper draws on the forecasting of mean monthly temperature for the Bydgoszcz region in 2011-2050 according to the climate change scenario for Poland SRES: A1B (Bąk, Łabędzki 2014). The water requirements of the peach tree have been determined based on the indispensable precipitation determined by Kemmer and Schulz. The water requirements were calculated for the period January through December and May through September for each year in the 35-year period (2016-2050). The reference period was made up by a 35-year period immediately preceding it (1981-2015). In 2016-2050 in the Bydgoszcz region, in the light of the forecast scenarios of changes in temperature, one should expect an increase in water requirements of the peach tree. Determined according to the Kemmer and Schulz method, the required optimal annual (January-December) precipitation will increase for peach from 486 mm to 612 mm (by 126 mm, which accounts for 26%). The optimal precipitation time variation trend equations show that in the reference period (1981-2015), calculated based on the Kemmer and Schulz number, the optimal annual precipitation was increasing in the peach tree in each pentad by 4.4-4.8 mm. In the forecast period (2016-2050) the water requirements of the peach tree will be increasing in each pentad in a greater range - from 6.4 to 7.2 mm. In the summer period (May-September) determined by Kemmer and Schulz, expressing water requirements, the total precipitation optimal for the peach tree in 2016-2050 will increase by 63 mm.
Źródło:
Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich; 2016, IV/3; 1499-1508
1732-5587
Pojawia się w:
Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Effect of the forecast climate change on the plum tree water requirements in the Bydgoszcz region
Autorzy:
Rolbiecki, S.
Piszczek, P.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/101448.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Stowarzyszenie Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich PAN
Tematy:
plum tree
water requirements
optimal precipitation
forecast climate change
Bydgoszcz region
Opis:
The aim of the present research has been an attempt at evaluating the water requirements of plum trees over 2016-2050 in the Bydgoszcz region drawing on the forecast changes in temperature. The paper draws on the forecasting of mean monthly temperature for the Bydgoszcz region in 2011-2050 according to the climate change scenario for Poland SRES: A1B (Bąk, Łabędzki 2014). The water requirements of the plum tree have been determined based on the indispensable precipitation determined by Kemmer and Schulz. The water requirements were calculated for the period January through December and May through September for each year in the 35-year period (2016-2050). The reference period was made up by a 35-year period immediately preceding it (1981-2015). In 2016-2050 in the Bydgoszcz region, in the light of the forecast temperature change scenarios, one should expect an increase in the water requirements of the plum tree. The annual (January-December) optimal total precipitation determined according to the Kemmer and Schulz method will increase for the plum tree from 712 mm to 807 mm (by 95 mm, which accounts for 13%). The optimal precipitation trend equations show that in the reference period (1981-2015), calculated, drawing on the Kemmer and Schulz number, the optimal annual precipitation was increasing in the plum tree in each pentad by 7.1-7.5 mm. In the forecast period (2016-2050) the water requirements will increase, however, in each pentad within a much smaller range, from 2.6 to 3.0 mm. In the summer period (May-September) determined by Kemmer and Schulz, the total precipitation optimal for the plum tree, expressing water requirements, in 2016-2050 will increase by 47 mm.
Źródło:
Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich; 2016, IV/3; 1615-1624
1732-5587
Pojawia się w:
Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Effect of the forecast climate change on the pear tree water requirements in the Bydgoszcz region
Autorzy:
Rolbiecki, S.
Piszczek, P.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/101580.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Stowarzyszenie Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich PAN
Tematy:
pear tree
water requirements
optimal precipitation
forecast climate change
Bydgoszcz region
Opis:
The aim of the present research has been an attempt at evaluating the water requirements of pear trees over 2016-2050 in the Bydgoszcz region drawing on the forecast changes in temperature. The paper draws on the forecasting of mean monthly temperature for the Bydgoszcz region in 2011-2050 according to the climate change scenario for Poland SRES: A1B (Bąk, Łabędzki 2014). The water requirements of the pear tree have been determined based on the indispensable precipitation determined by Kemmer and Schulz. The water requirements were calculated for the period January through December and May through September for each year in the 35-year period (2016-2050). The reference period was made up by a 35-year period immediately preceding it (1981-2015). In the period 2016-2050 in the Bydgoszcz region, in the light of the temperature change scenarios made, one should expect an increase in the water requirements of the pear tree. Determined with the Kemmer and Schulz method, the required optimal annual (January-December) precipitation will increase for the pear tree from 624 mm to 771 mm (by 147 mm, namely by 24 %). The optimal precipitation trend equations show that in the reference period (1981-2015), calculated with the Kemmer and Schulz numbers, the optimal annual precipitation was increasing in the pear tree in each pentad by 5.1-5.5 mm. In the forecast period (2016-2050) the water requirements will increase, on the other hand, in each pentad within a much greater range (7.5-8.4 mm). In, determined by Kemmer and Schulz, summer period (May-September), the total precipitation, expressing water requirements, optimal for the pear tree in 2016-2050 will increase by 73 mm.
Źródło:
Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich; 2016, IV/4; 1811-1819
1732-5587
Pojawia się w:
Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Effect of the forecast climate change on the sweet cherry tree water requirements in the Bydgoszcz region
Autorzy:
Rolbiecki, S.
Piszczek, P.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/101444.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Stowarzyszenie Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich PAN
Tematy:
sweet cherry tree
water requirements
optimal precipitation
forecast climate change
Bydgoszcz region
Opis:
The aim of the present research has been an attempt at estimating the water requirements of sweet cherry tree in 2016-2050 in the Bydgoszcz region drawing on the forecast temperature changes. The paper draws on the forecasting of mean monthly temperature for the Bydgoszcz region in 2011-2050 according to the climate change scenario for Poland SRES: A1B (Bąk, Łabędzki 2014). The water requirements of the sweet cherry tree have been determined based on the indispensable precipitation determined by Kemmer and Schulz. The water requirements were calculated for the period January through December and May through September for each year in the 35-year period (2016-2050). The reference period was made up by a 35-year period immediately preceding it (1981-2015). In 2016-2050 in the Bydgoszcz region, in the light of the forecast temperature change scenarios, one can expect an increase in the water requirements of the sweet cherry tree. Determined with the Kemmer and Schulz method, the required annual (January-December) optimal total precipitation will increase for the sweet cherry tree from 532 mm to 746 mm (by 214 mm, which accounts for 40%). The optimal precipitation trend equations show that in the reference period (1981-2015), calculated with the Kemmer and Schulz number, the optimal annual precipitation was increasing in the sweet cherry tree in each pentad by 2.4-3.0 mm. In the forecast period (2016-2050) the water requirements will increase, however, in each pentad within a much greater range, from 13.0 to 14.5 mm. In the summer period (May through September) determined by Kemmer and Schulz, the total precipitation optimal for the sweet cherry tree, expressing the water requirements, in 2016-2050 will increase by 107 mm.
Źródło:
Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich; 2016, IV/3; 1559-1568
1732-5587
Pojawia się w:
Infrastruktura i Ekologia Terenów Wiejskich
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Concept and implementation of the Polish innovative agro-hydro-meteorological monitoring (AgHMM) in INOMEL Project
Autorzy:
Kanecka-Geszke, Ewa
Bąk, Bogdan
Bolewski, Tymoteusz
Kaca, Edmund
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2048548.pdf
Data publikacji:
2021
Wydawca:
Instytut Technologiczno-Przyrodniczy
Tematy:
adaptation
agro-hydro-meteorological monitoring system
climate change
controlled drainage
decision support system
short-term forecast
subirrigation
water management
water resources
Opis:
The paper presents the concept and deployment of the agro-hydro-meteorological monitoring system (abbrev. AgHMM) created for the purposes of operational planning of regulated drainage and irrigation on the scale of a drainage/irrigation system (INOMEL project). Monitoring system involved regular daily (weekly readings) measurements of agrometeorological and hydrological parameters in water courses at melioration object during vegetation seasons. The measurement results enable an assessment of the meteorological conditions, moisture changes in the 0-60 cm soil profile, fluctuations of groundwater levels at quarters and testing points, also water levels in ditches and at dam structures, and water flow in water courses. These data were supplemended by 7-day meteorological forecast parameter predictions, served as input data for a model of operational planning of drainage and subirrigation at the six melioration systems in Poland. In addition, it was carried out irregular remote sensing observations of plant condition, water consumption by plants and soil moisture levels using imagery taken by unmanned aerial vehicles and Sentinel’s satellites. All the collected data was used for support operational activities aimed at maintaining optimal soil moisture for plant growth and should to provide farmers with high and stable yields. An example of the practical operations using the AgHMM system in 2019 is shown on the basis of the subirrigation object at permanent grasslands located in central Poland called “Czarny Rów B1”.
Źródło:
Journal of Water and Land Development; 2021, 51; 256-264
1429-7426
2083-4535
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Water and Land Development
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
    Wyświetlanie 1-7 z 7

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