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Wyszukujesz frazę "expert judgment" wg kryterium: Temat


Wyświetlanie 1-4 z 4
Tytuł:
Data analysis and processing for the system reliability neural network based on expert judgment
Autorzy:
Nguyen, H.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/246332.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
artificial neural network
reliability
elicitation
AHP method
expert judgment
data correlation
Opis:
The article presents a data analysis and processing for tuning artificial neural network (ANN) of the anthrop technical system reliability, based on the opinions of experts. In general, the system reliability parameters are functions of operands – physical values – like time to failure, time between failures, duration times of specific reliability or operational states, number of failures in a time interval (event frequencies). These values are easier to be determined by an expert – operator with long year experience – than probabilistic model parameters. It is suggested that they be used in elicitation, for example linguistic estimates of the shares of reliability system elements in the system failure frequency. The numerical – linguistic elicitation of these opinions was carried out, which turned out to be uncorrelated and not suitable for tuning the network. Data processing method was used with the appropriate adopted analytic hierarchy process (AHP) geometric scale and matrix approximation method evaluations (logarithmic least squares method). Correlation analyses were performed for received input and output data of network and error of data processing method was determined. The results are shown in the example of elicitation and data correlation analyses for tuning the reliability neural network of the ship propulsion system.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2014, 21, 2; 235-242
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A method for estimating propulsion risk of the ship casualty
Autorzy:
Nguyen, N.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/242339.pdf
Data publikacji:
2013
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
estimation
expert judgment
risk
ship propulsion system
analytic hierarchy process (AHP)
sea transport
Opis:
Loss of the propulsion function by a ship is one of the most serious categories of hazardous events in sea transport. In specific external conditions it may lead to a loss of ship and environmental pollution. The consequences of propulsion loss by a ship are events classified by the International Maritime Organization as casualties or incidents. The probabilities of occurrence of the former events in a specific time unit constitute the propulsion risk of a ship. Determination of these probabilities is in practice confronted with difficulties connected with shortage of data. A method for estimating the risk caused by loss of a seagoing ship propulsion function is proposed. The estimation is fully based on the expert judgments. Expert is assumed to be well acquainted with the subject he is expected to formulate his judgment on. Expert should also be capable of formulating his judgment. This is connected with level of his education and the language used in the elicitation process, particularly as regards the parameters the expert is expected to estimate. This may be the language of numerical or linguistic values. Numerical values are better but are more difficult to articulate - also errors in judgments are more likely. To overcome this problem and to obtain a more accurate estimation, this study suggests using an analytic hierarchy process (AHP), which quantifies the subjective judgments and confirms the consistency of collected data. An example of the propulsion risk estimation of container carriers operating on the North Atlantic line allows to assess effectiveness of the method.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2013, 20, 2; 315-321
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy failure modes and effect analysis of the system failure risk estimation
Autorzy:
Nguyen, H.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/243789.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets
failure modes
effects analysis
system failure risk estimation
expert judgment
Opis:
Among the risk assessment methods, failure modes and effects analysis (FMEA) is a popular, widely used engineering technique in many areas. It can be used to identify and eliminate known or potential failure modes to enhance reliability and safety of complex systems. In practice, risk estimations encounter difficulties connected with shortage of data. In such cases, we have to rely on subjective estimations made by persons with practical knowledge in the field of interest, i.e. experts. However, in some realistic situations, the decision makers might be unable to assign the exact values to the evaluation judgments due to his/her limited knowledge. In other words, there is a certain degree of hesitancy in human cognition and his/her judgment, who may have insufficient knowledge of the problem domain or uncertainty in assigning the evaluation values to the objects considered. In order to deal with ambiguity and uncertainty in the imperfect information, there have been recently proposed many various such theories as fuzzy sets, interval-valued fuzzy sets, type-2 fuzzy sets, hesitant sets, grey sets, rough sets and intuitionistic fuzzy sets. They have drawn more and more attention of scholars and been adopted in many applications This article addresses the Atanassov’s interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets and FMEA methods in the risk estimation of the system failures based on the expert judgments.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2017, 24, 2; 159-166
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
An application of intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process in ship system risk estimation
Autorzy:
Nguyen, H.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/244796.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
intuitionistic fuzzy sets
risk estimation
expert judgment
ship propulsion system
analytic hierarchy process (AHP)
sea transport
Opis:
In this paper, we extend the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method and the Atanassov’s intuitionistic fuzzy set (IFS) into the intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (IFAHP) with application in ship system risk estimation. In the safety engineering, risk estimation is in practice confronted with difficulties connected with shortage of data. In such cases, we have to rely on subjective estimations made by persons with practical knowledge in the field of interest, i.e. experts. However, in some realistic situations, the decision makers might be reluctant or unable to assign the crisp evaluation values to the comparison judgments due to his/her limited knowledge. In other words, there is a certain degree of hesitancy in human cognition and his judgment. Taking advantages of IFSs in dealing with ambiguity and uncertainty into account, the IFAHP can be used to handle with the subjective preferences of experts, who may have insufficient knowledge of the problem domain or uncertainty in assigning the evaluation values to the objects considered. This paper also develops a new knowledge-based ranking method to derive the priority vector of the hierarchy. An illustrative example of the propulsion risk estimation of container carriers operating on the North Atlantic line is given to show the applicability and effectiveness of the proposed method.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2016, 23, 3; 365-372
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
    Wyświetlanie 1-4 z 4

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