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Tytuł:
Metoda inwentaryzacji lasu oparta na losowaniu warstwowym wykorzystująca model wzrostu drzewostanu
Forest inventory method based on stratified sampling using a stand growth model
Autorzy:
Bruchwald, Arkadiusz
Dmyterko, Elżbieta
Mionskowski, Marcin
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/18055687.pdf
Data publikacji:
2023
Wydawca:
Instytut Badawczy Leśnictwa
Tematy:
miąższość drzewostanu
próba
ryzyko uszkodzenia
model wzrostu drzewostanu
stand volume
sample
damage risk
stand growth model
Opis:
The paper presents a new variant of the method for determining the stand volume of age classes in a forest district or inspectorate (subdistrict). The methodological basis for this variant of the method is a branch of mathematical statistics called the "representative method", which is based on stratified sampling, similar to the variant of forest inventory currently used in forestry. In the new variant of the method, strata are formed based on the age of the main tree species and the stand volume, which is determined by the stand growth model, while in the variant currently used, strata are formed based on the stand's main tree species and its age. In the new variant of the stand volume determination method, 13 stages are distinguished, which can be divided into the initial and the main part. First, data from the State Forest Information System (SILP) database are processed: the age of the stand's main tree species and characteristics that allow to determine the volume of each stand of the forest district or inspectorate using a stand growth model. Based on the age and stand volume, strata for the forest district or inspectorate can be formed and the number of samples for each of these strata can be determined. The main part of the new variant of the method starts with the measurement of DBH and tree height on the sample plots. The results of these measurements are then processed using, for example, a stand growth model. The volume of individual strata, age classes, and the entire forest district is determined. When using a growth model, many other stand characteristics are also determined, including volume increment, degree of windthrow hazard, rotation, and 10-year size of final and intermediate fellings. The evaluation of the accuracy of the method was based on data from 73 forest inspectorates in Poland. This was preceded by studies on the dispersion measures of the sum of tree volume on sample plots of different sizes. The new variant of the forest inventory method proved to be about 30% more accurate than the previously used variant.
Źródło:
Leśne Prace Badawcze; 2023, 83; 25-32
1732-9442
2082-8926
Pojawia się w:
Leśne Prace Badawcze
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Compare and evaluate the performance of structural flood risk management options
Autorzy:
Dwijendra, Ngakan K.A.
Majdi, Ali
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2174354.pdf
Data publikacji:
2022
Wydawca:
Instytut Technologiczno-Przyrodniczy
Tematy:
annual expected damage
assurance
flood
risk management
Opis:
One of the most important natural phenomena that causes harmful damage around the world is the occurrence of sudden and severe floods. There are various solutions to deal with floods. Among the structural measures of flood risk management, we can mention the construction of levee, detention basin, channel modification, and a combination of the mentioned measures. Manafwa is a flood-prone area in Uganda currently protected by a 6.6 m high levee. Unfortunately, the existing levee does not have ideal performance, and the probability of failure is very high. Therefore, the main purpose of this study is to compare seven flood management measures in the flood-prone area of Manafwa and to select the best flood risk management proposal. These management measures are: 1) construction of a levee with a height of 6.5 m, 2) construction of a levee with a height of 7 m, 3) construction of a levee with a height of 7.5 m, 4) construction of a levee with a height of 8 m, 5) channel modification, 6) detention basin and 7) a combination of structural measures of channel modification and detention basin. The results show that although building a levee with a height of 8 m is more expensive than other options, but it reduces the expected annual flood damage to about USD30.5 thous.
Źródło:
Journal of Water and Land Development; 2022, 54; 172--174
1429-7426
2083-4535
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Water and Land Development
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Machine Learning (ML) Methods in Assessing the Intensity of Damage Caused by High-Energy Mining Tremors in Traditional Development of LGOM Mining Area
Autorzy:
Witkowski, Michał
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2091567.pdf
Data publikacji:
2022
Wydawca:
Politechnika Lubelska. Wydawnictwo Politechniki Lubelskiej
Tematy:
mining damage
housing construction
compensation
damage risk
Machine Learning
Opis:
The paper presents a comparative analysis of Machine Learning (ML) research methods allowing to assess the risk of mining damage occurring in traditional masonry buildings located in the mining area of Legnica-Głogów Copper District (LGOM) as a result of intense mining tremors. The database of reports on damage that occurred after the tremors of 20 February 2002, 16 May 2004 and 21 May 2006 formed the basis for the analysis. Based on these data, classification models were created using the Probabilistic Neural Network (PNN) and the Support Vector Machine (SVM) method. The results of previous research studies allowed to include structural and geometric features of buildings,as well as protective measures against mining tremors in the model. The probabilistic notation of the model makes it possible to effectively assess the probability of damage in the analysis of large groups of building structures located in the area of paraseismic impacts. The results of the conducted analyses confirm the thesis that the proposed methodology may allow to estimate, with the appropriate probability, the financial outlays that the mining plant should secure for the repair of the expected damage to the traditional development of the LGOM mining area.
Źródło:
Budownictwo i Architektura; 2022, 21, 1; 5--17
1899-0665
Pojawia się w:
Budownictwo i Architektura
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Road Safety Barriers and the Safety of Road users – the Analysis of the Situation in Poland
Autorzy:
Rzepczyk, Szymon
Majer, Jakub
Obst, Maciej
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2137095.pdf
Data publikacji:
2022-10-29
Wydawca:
Międzynarodowa Wyższa Szkoła Logistyki i Transportu
Tematy:
road safety barriers
damage
road safety
road accidents
risk of injury
Opis:
Road safety barriers are a basic element of the road infrastructure aimed at improving the safety of road users. Design parameters and indications for assembly are strictly regulated by the GDDKiA (General Directorate for National Roads and Motorways) guidelines in accordance with the European standards. In Poland, the most commonly used barriers are thin-walled metal sheet barriers, rope barriers, and concrete ones. The types differ in terms of technical parameters and level of security they provide. One of the purposes of installing road safety barriers is to protect road users from hitting an obstacle in the vicinity of the road, and to protect people around the accident from the effects of an uncontrolled vehicle leaving the road. The effects of a collision caused by hitting a protective road barrier depend mainly on the type of the barrier and the vehicle. The authors made a detailed and interdisciplinary analysis of data on accidents resulting from hitting a road safety barrier, comparing them with information available in the literature, combining the technical aspects of the use of barriers with a medical description of the description of typical injuries.
Źródło:
Logistics and Transport; 2022, 55-56, 3-4; 19-36
1734-2015
Pojawia się w:
Logistics and Transport
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Najważniejsze problemy poprawy projektowania elementów i obiektów budowlanych
The most important problems of design improvement elements and construction objects
Autorzy:
Runkiewicz, Leonard
Sieczkowski, Jan
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1848323.pdf
Data publikacji:
2021
Wydawca:
PWB MEDIA Zdziebłowski
Tematy:
zagrożenie
awaria
katastrofa budowlana
przyczyna
błąd projektowania
safety assessment
failure risk
building damage
reason
design fault
Opis:
W artykule przedstawiono szacunkowe zestawienia wyników analiz zagrożeń, awarii i katastrof, jakie wystąpiły na terenie Polski w latach 1962–2019. Wyniki zestawiono w zależności od charakteru obiektów, rodzaju uszkodzeń lub zniszczeń oraz rodzaju materiałów. Wskazano również najbardziej powszechne błędy projektowe wpływające na zagrożenia, awarie i katastrofy oraz wymieniono elementy, których powinna dotyczyć poprawa projektowania. Wnioski z analiz powinny stanowić podstawy do innowacyjnych rozwiązań w pracach badawczo-wdrożeniowych.
The paper presents the estimated results of the analyzes risk of failure and building damage that occurred in Poland in the years 1962-2019. The results were compiled depending on the nature of the objects, the type of damage or destruction and the type of materials. The most common design errors affecting failures and disasters were also indicated, and elements that should be improved in design were listed. Conclusions from the analyzes should constitute the basis for innovative solutions in research and implementation works.
Źródło:
Builder; 2021, 25, 5; 21-24
1896-0642
Pojawia się w:
Builder
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Skala OMI.pl
OMI.pl scale
Autorzy:
Jeż, Tomasz
Flieger-Szymańska, Michalina
Kędzierski, Miłosz
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2055942.pdf
Data publikacji:
2021
Wydawca:
Polski Związek Inżynierów i Techników Budownictwa
Tematy:
ruch masowy
skala zagrożenia
OMI
Polska
OMI.pl
osuwisko
zniszczenie
mass movement
risk scales
Polska
landslide
damage
Opis:
Autorzy zaproponowali nową skalę służącą do porównywania ze sobą ruchów masowych różnego typu. Okazuje się, że skala OMI, bo tak ją nazwano, ma pewne mankamenty. Specyfika ruchów masowych rejestrowanych w Polsce, głównie ich mniejsze rozmiary oraz brak ofiar śmiertelnych, powoduje, że w „ogólnoświatowej” skali OMI polskie ruchy masowe mają zbliżone do siebie niskie noty. Wobec tego zdecydowano się na wprowadzenie lokalnej skali OMI dla Polski (OMI.pl), w której bierze się pod uwagę typowe dla naszego kraju rozmiary ruchów masowych i ich skutki. Artykuł przybliża sposób oceny ruchów masowych według skali OMI.pl.
The authors proposed a new scale for comparing mass movements of different types with each other. It turns out that the OMI scale, as it was called, has some drawbacks. The specificity of mass movements registered in Poland, mainly their smaller size and the lack of fatalities, mean that on the „global” scale of the OMI, Polish mass movements have similar low scores. Therefore, it was decided to introduce the local OMI scale for Poland (OMI.pl), which takes into account the sizes of mass movements typical of our country and their effects. The article presents the method of assessing mass movements according to the OMI.pl scale.
Źródło:
Przegląd Budowlany; 2021, 92, 11-12; 68--71
0033-2038
Pojawia się w:
Przegląd Budowlany
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Skala OMI.pl
OMI.pl scale
Autorzy:
Jeż, Tomasz
Flieger-Szymańska, Michalina
Kędzierski, Miłosz
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2055965.pdf
Data publikacji:
2021
Wydawca:
Polski Związek Inżynierów i Techników Budownictwa
Tematy:
ruch masowy
skala zagrożenia
OMI
Polska
OMI.pl
osuwisko
zniszczenie
mass movement
risk scales
Polska
landslide
damage
Opis:
Autorzy zaproponowali nową skalę służącą do porównywania ze sobą ruchów masowych różnego typu. Okazuje się, że skala OMI, bo tak ją nazwano, ma pewne mankamenty. Specyfika ruchów masowych rejestrowanych w Polsce, głównie ich mniejsze rozmiary oraz brak ofiar śmiertelnych, powoduje, że w „ogólnoświatowej” skali OMI polskie ruchy masowe mają zbliżone do siebie niskie noty. Wobec tego zdecydowano się na wprowadzenie lokalnej skali OMI dla Polski (OMI.pl), w której bierze się pod uwagę typowe dla naszego kraju rozmiary ruchów masowych i ich skutki. Artykuł przybliża sposób oceny ruchów masowych według skali OMI.pl.
The authors proposed a new scale for comparing mass movements of different types with each other. It turns out that the OMI scale, as it was called, has some drawbacks. The specificity of mass movements registered in Poland, mainly their smaller size and the lack of fatalities, mean that on the „global” scale of the OMI, Polish mass movements have similar low scores. Therefore, it was decided to introduce the local OMI scale for Poland (OMI.pl), which takes into account the sizes of mass movements typical of our country and their effects. The article presents the method of assessing mass movements according to the OMI.pl scale.
Źródło:
Przegląd Budowlany; 2021, 92, 11-12; 68--71
0033-2038
Pojawia się w:
Przegląd Budowlany
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Dziedzictwo kulturalne i jego ochrona w kontekście infrastruktury krytycznej
Cultural Heritage and Its Protection in the Context of Critical Infrastructure
Autorzy:
Nowakowski, Piotr
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1807030.pdf
Data publikacji:
2020-01-03
Wydawca:
Katolicki Uniwersytet Lubelski Jana Pawła II. Towarzystwo Naukowe KUL
Tematy:
dziedzictwo kulturalne
dobra kultury zagrożone zniszczeniem
infrastruktura krytyczna
ochrona dziedzictwa kulturalnego
Konwencja w sprawie ochrony światowego dziedzictwa kulturalnego i naturalnego
cultural heritage
cultural goods at risk of damage
critical infrastructure
protection of cultural heritage
Convention concerning the protection of the world cultural and natural heritage
Opis:
W artykule podjęto temat dziedzictwa kulturalnego i jego ochrony. W pierwszym rzędzie zdefiniowano pojęcie dziedzictwa kulturalnego. Następnie odniesiono się do problemu dóbr kultury zagrożonych zniszczeniem, ujmując dziedzictwo kulturalne w kontekście infrastruktury krytycznej. Na koniec omówiono kwestię ochrony dziedzictwa kulturalnego. Leitmotivem artykułu są uwagi zawarte w ONZ-owskiej Konwencji w sprawie ochrony światowego dziedzictwa kulturalnego i naturalnego.
The subject matter of the paper is cultural heritage and its protection. At the beginning, the author defines the notion of cultural heritage. Afterwards, the problem of cultural goods at risk of damage is taken up, and cultural heritage is set in the context of critical infrastructure. Finally, the issue of protection of cultural heritage is discussed. The leitmotiv of the paper are remarks included in the United Nations Convention concerning the protection of the world cultural and natural heritage.
Źródło:
Roczniki Kulturoznawcze; 2018, 9, 4; 41-51
2082-8578
Pojawia się w:
Roczniki Kulturoznawcze
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Extracting structure of Bayesian network from data in predicting the damage of prefabricated reinforced concrete buildings in mining areas
Wyodrębnianie struktury sieci Bayesowskiej z danych w prognozowaniu uszkodzeń żelbetowych budynków prefabrykowanych na terenach górniczych
Autorzy:
Rusek, Janusz
Firek, Karol
Słowik, Leszek
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1841950.pdf
Data publikacji:
2020
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Polskie Naukowo-Techniczne Towarzystwo Eksploatacyjne PAN
Tematy:
Bayesian network
damage
risk
prefabricated reinforced concrete structures
sieci Bayesowskie
uszkodzenia
ryzyko
prefabrykowane budynki żelbetowe
Opis:
This article presents the results of the research on the construction of a model for assessing the risk of damage to building structures located in mining areas. The research was based on the database on the structure, technical condition and mining impacts regarding 129 prefabricated reinforced concrete buildings erected in the industrialised large-block system, located in the mining area of the Legnica-Glogow Copper District (LGCD). The methodology of the Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) was used for the analysis. Using the score-based Bayesian structure learning approach (Hill-Climbing and Tabu-Search) as well as the selected optimisation criteria, 16 Bayesian network structures were induced. All models were subjected to quantitative and qualitative evaluation by verifying their features in the context of accuracy of prediction, generalisation of acquired knowledge and cause-effect relationships. This allowed to select the best network structure together with the corresponding optimisation criterion. The analysis of the results demonstrated that the Tabu-Search method adopting the optimisation criterion in the form of Locally Averaged Bayesian Dirichlet score (BDla) led to obtaining a model with the best features among all the selected models. The results justified the adoption of the BBN methodology as effective in the context of assessing the extent of damage to building structures in mining areas.
W artykule zaprezentowano wyniki badań dotyczących budowy modelu do oceny ryzyka powstawania uszkodzeń budynków usytuowanych na terenach górniczych. Podstawą do badań była baza danych nt. konstrukcji, stanu technicznego oraz wpływów górniczych dla 129 żelbetowych prefabrykowanych budynków wznoszonych w uprzemysłowionym systemie wielkoblokowym zlokalizowanych na terenie górniczym Legnicko-Głodowskiego Okręgu Miedziowego (LGOM). Do analiz zastosowano metodykę sieci przekonań Bayesa (BBN – Belief Bayesian Networks). Stosując podejście score-based Bayesian structure learning (Hill-Climbing oraz Tabu-Search) oraz wyselekcjonowane kryteria optymalizacyjne, wyłoniono 16 struktur sieci Bayesowskich. Wszystkie modele poddano ocenie ilościowej i jakościowej, weryfikując ich własności w kontekście trafności predykcji, generalizacji nabytej wiedzy oraz zależności przyczynowo-skutkowych. Pozwoliło to na wyselekcjonowanie najlepszej struktury sieci wraz z odpowiadającym kryterium optymalizacyjnym. Analiza wyników wykazała, że metoda Tabu-Search przy przyjęciu kryterium optymalizacyjnego w postaci Locally Averaged Bayesian Dirichlet score (BDla), prowadzi do uzyskania modelu o najlepszych własnościach spośród wszystkich wyłonionych modeli. Uzyskane rezultaty uzasadniają przyjęcie metodyki BBN, jako efektywnej w kontekście oceny zakresu uszkodzeń budynków na terenach górniczych.
Źródło:
Eksploatacja i Niezawodność; 2020, 22, 4; 658--666
1507-2711
Pojawia się w:
Eksploatacja i Niezawodność
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Identification of health risks from harmful chemical agents - review concerning bisphenol A in workplace
Autorzy:
Kapustka, Katarzyna
Ziegmann, Gerhard
Klimecka-Tatar, Dorota
Ostrega, Mateusz
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1839518.pdf
Data publikacji:
2020
Wydawca:
Stowarzyszenie Menedżerów Jakości i Produkcji
Tematy:
bisphenol A
health risk
harmful chemical agents
human exposure
DNA oxidative damage
bisfenol A
ryzyko dla zdrowia
szkodliwe środki chemiczne
narażenie ludzi
uszkodzenie oksydacyjne DNA
Opis:
Bisphenol A (BPA) is an industrial chemical used as an additive in conventional point-of-sale thermal paper receipts, in the production of many polycarbonate plastics, and epoxy resins lignin for food. BPA is xenoestrogen, a foreign compound that is not naturally produced in living organisms, but which acts similarly to natural 17-ß estradiol (natural estrogen). Due to its weak estrogenic activities, BPA exposure may influence multiple endocrine-related pathway, and is associated with prostate and breast cancer, neurobehavioral deficits, heart disease, and obesity. Furthermore, BPA may act as a DNA methylation agent and cause altered gene expression in the brain. Human exposure to bisphenol A is a matter of controversy. This review shows a potential risks in workplace resulting from contact with bisphenol A. The work presents the contribution of BPA exposure levels via dermal contact and the relationship between BPA exposure level and oxidative DNA damage.
Źródło:
Production Engineering Archives; 2020, 26, 2; 45-49
2353-5156
2353-7779
Pojawia się w:
Production Engineering Archives
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Ocena szkód w lasach Polski spowodowanych przez huragan w sierpniu 2017 roku
Assessment of the damage to Polish forests caused by a hurricane in August 2017
Autorzy:
Dmyterko, E.
Bruchwald, A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/978974.pdf
Data publikacji:
2020
Wydawca:
Polskie Towarzystwo Leśne
Tematy:
wind−caused damage
risk model
stand growth model
allowable cut
Opis:
On August 11−12, 2017, a hurricane passed from south to north of Poland causing considerable damage to forests, especially in regional directorates of the State Forests in Wrocław, Poznań, Toruń, Szczecinek and Gdańsk. By the end of 2018, the volume of wind−broken and wind−fallen trees and deadwood approximated to 9 million m3. In 9 forest districts the harvested volume exceeded 440 thousand m3, including two entities with over 1 million m3 each. The harvested volume was expressed as a percentage of allowable cut, calculated from the stand growth model. It showed possibile timber harvest in final and intermediate cuts in the absence of natural disasters (strong wind, intense drought, heavy snowfall, insect outbreaks, etc.). In many forest districts, timber harvest accounted for 100% of the allowable cut, with the maximum value approximated to 1100% of the allowable cut. The high salvage harvest of post−hurricane timber prevents the execution of other economic tasks, including plans of stand rebuilding. On the example of forest districts with the largest damage, the possibilities of selecting forests classified as the most threatened by wind were examined. The wind damage risk model for the stand was used to determine the value of wind damage risk factor Wr for each stand (values from 0 to 3; the higher value, the higher risk). The damage risk factor allowed to create six damage risk classes of a span of 0.5 each and to assign individual stands to one of the damage classes. The share of the area of stands and damaged stands in Wr classes was also determined. In the Lipusz Forest District the share of stands in VI class of Wr was 9.8%, and the area of damaged stands in this class was 98.3%. In the Rytel and Przymuszewo forest districts, the areal share of such stands was 10.7% and 5.1%, respectively, and almost all stands in this class were damaged by the hurricane. The areal share of forests in the highest Wr class was reported in the Gniezno Forest District accounting for 4.8% and the hurricane damaged 85% of their area. The wind damage risk model for the stand allows to identify forests where damage is very likely to occur. It is, therefore, possible to take action on the rebuilding of stands before the wind comes and thus reduce its negative effects. The cutting plan should include, in the first place, stands classified to the high wind damage risk factor.
Źródło:
Sylwan; 2020, 164, 05; 355-364
0039-7660
Pojawia się w:
Sylwan
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Zastosowanie modelu ryzyka uszkodzenia drzewostanu przez wiatr do oceny prawdopodobieństwa lokalizacji szkód w lasach Regionalnej Dyrekcji Lasów Państwowych w Białymstoku
Application of the wind damage risk model for the assessment of the probability of the location of damage to forests of the Regional Directorate of the State Forests in Bialystok
Autorzy:
Bruchwald, A.
Dmyterko, E.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/985727.pdf
Data publikacji:
2019
Wydawca:
Polskie Towarzystwo Leśne
Tematy:
lesnictwo
wiatry
szkody w lesie
drzewostany
ryzyko uszkodzenia
ocena ryzyka
modele ryzyka uszkodzenia
RDLP Bialystok
wind damage risk model
wind damage risk factor
Opis:
In June 2016, a hurricane damaged the forests of the Regional Directorate of the State Forests in Białystok (eastern Poland), resulting in the removal of approximately 1.9 million cubic meters of wind−fallen and wind−broken trees and deadwood by the end of 2018. The research material was obtained from the database of the State Forests Information System and used to assess the functioning of the wind damage risk model. The wind damage risk model determines the value of damage risk factor Wr for each stand ranging from 0 to 3; a higher value indicates a higher risk of damage to the stand. The damage risk factor allowed to create six damage risk classes, with a width of 0.5 each and to assign individual stands of the forest district to one of the classes. The areal share of damaged stands was calculated for each class. In 2015, i.e. before the hurricane, the share of stands in the highest damage risk class VI ranged from 0.1% to 3.5%. After the hurricane in 2016, the areal share of damaged stands was calculated for each class, the largest share (the largest damage) being in class VI, while the share of the most damaged stands were found in the following forest districts: Dojlidy – 71%, Supraśl – 79% and Żednia – 87%. In 9 other forest districts, the area of damaged stands in class VI also exceeded 70%. The wind damage risk model for the stand presented in the paper allows identifying stands where damage is very likely to occur, when the wind comes. This may limit the level of wind damage through, in the first place, the rebuilding of stands classified to the highest wind damage risk factor class.
Źródło:
Sylwan; 2019, 163, 08; 629-636
0039-7660
Pojawia się w:
Sylwan
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Zastosowanie modelu ryzyka uszkodzenia drzewostanu przez wiatr do oceny procesu śmiertelności drzew w Sudetach w latach 2015-2017
Application of the wind damage risk model for the assessment of tree mortality in the Sudety Mts. in 2015-2017 period
Autorzy:
Dmyterko, E.
Bruchwald, A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/979365.pdf
Data publikacji:
2019
Wydawca:
Polskie Towarzystwo Leśne
Tematy:
Sudety
drzewostany
wiatry
szkody w lesie
ryzyko uszkodzenia
modele ryzyka uszkodzenia
zamieranie drzew
czynniki klimatyczne
lata 2015-2017
leśnictwo
drzewa leśne
RDLP Wrocław
tree mortality
critical value of deadwood harvest
wind damage risk model
forest threat measure
Opis:
A dynamic process of mortality of Norway spruce stands in south−west Poland, mainly in the Sudety Mts. was observed in 2015. It was associated with an insufficient amount of precipitation in the growing season. This process was intensified by the outbreak of insects, especially bark beetles. The aim of the paper was to verify the hypothesis that the application of the stand damage risk model allows to identify stands, which may possibly be predisposed to mortality, after a long−lasting drought in the growing season. The studies concerned the forests of the Wrocław Regional Directorate of State Forests (tab. 1). Their area covers 245,000 ha, the timber volume amounts to 83 million m3 (338 m3/ha) and the volume increment to 2.3 million m3 (9.4 m3/year/ha). The fraction of spruce is the largest (50.3%), ranging from 7.1% (Pieńsk Forest District) to 84.8% (Lądek−Zdrój Forest District). The average age of stands is 74 years, ranging from 56 (Pieńsk Forest District) to 85 years (Jawor Forest District). The drought in 2015 caused an increase in the dynamics of spruce decline. The ratio of harvested to model deadwood volume at a level of up to 5% was assumed the ‘norm’ that characterizes the process of natural spruce mortality. Values higher than normal mean a more intense process of tree mortality caused by external factors (e.g. hurricane winds, floods, droughts). In 2014, the harvested deadwood was below the norm in 15 forest districts (fig. 1). In 2015, the highest ratio values (above 20%) were reported in the Wałbrzych and Szklarska Poręba forest districts (fig. 1). In 2016, the harvest of deadwood in each forest district exceeded the norm, and the highest values were found in the Jawor (102.3%), Bardo Śląskie (83.3%) and Świdnica (69.7%) forest districts. In 2017, the highest ratios of harvested to model deadwood volume were reported in the Bardo Śląskie (117.2%), Jawor (83.6%), Henryków (83.5%) and Świdnica (67.1%) forest districts. The model was found to identify also the stands that are most threatened by droughts. These are stands in the highest damage risk factor Wr class. The highest percentage of deadwood in this damage class was in Jawor (88.8%), Bardo Śląskie (81.9%), Miękinia (79.4%), Świdnica (76.7%), Henryków (73.8) and Złotoryja (73.6%) forest districts. It was also shown that the average value of the measure of threat to forests Ms was 35, qualifying them as highly threatened (fig. 3). Forests characterized by the highest level of threat Ms>40 was found in five forest districts, while in nine others the level of threat was high. The forests of the Sudety Mts. are threatened by the decline and the main direct causes of this process was the long−lasting drought in the growing season, causing damage to the stands earlier weakened by wind and other factors.
Źródło:
Sylwan; 2019, 163, 11; 903-912
0039-7660
Pojawia się w:
Sylwan
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Zastosowanie wnioskowania Bayesa do oceny zagrożenia budynków wielkoblokowych na terenach górniczych
Bayesian inference for the assessment of threats to large-block building structures in mining areas
Autorzy:
Rusek, Janusz
Firek, Karol
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/167706.pdf
Data publikacji:
2019
Wydawca:
Stowarzyszenie Inżynierów i Techników Górnictwa
Tematy:
wnioskowanie Bayesa
szkody górnicze w budynkach
ocena ryzyka uszkodzeń
oddziaływania górnicze
Bayesian inference
mining damage to buildings
damage risk assessment
mining impacts
Opis:
W artykule przedstawiono przykłady wykorzystania modeli opartych na formalizmie wnioskowania Bayesa do analizy zagrożenia budynków zlokalizowanych na terenach górniczych. Przedmiotem badań była grupa 126 budynków wzniesionych w technologii wielkoblokowej. Przedstawiono metody wnioskowania wykorzystane w dotychczasowych badaniach ryzyka powstawania uszkodzeń w budynkach narażonych na negatywne skutki eksploatacji górniczej. Obejmowały one ocenę stanu technicznego (st), w ramach której do budowy modelu zastosowano naiwną klasyfikację Bayesa, a także analizę intensywności uszkodzeń elementów składowych budynku, z wykorzystaniem Bayesowskich sieci przekonań. W konkluzji przedstawiono koncepcję uszczegółowienia wyników wcześniejszych badań. Polega ona na samoistnym generowaniu struktury sieci Bayesa w oparciu o bazę danych o intensywności uszkodzeń istniejących budynków.
This research paper provides examples of the use of models based on the formalism of Bayesian inference for the analysis of the threats to building structures located in mining areas. The subject of the research study was a group of 126 buildings erected in the large-block technology. The authors presented the inference methods of the risk of the occurrence of damage to buildings exposed to the adverse effects of mining exploitation, which were used in the previous studies. They included the assessment of the technical condition (st), where the naive Bayes classification was used to build the model, as well as the analysis of the intensity of damage to the components of a building structure, using the Bayesian belief networks. The conclusion presents the concept of detailing the results of the previous research. It involves the Bayesian network structure being spontaneously generated, based on the database on the intensity of damage to the existing buildings.
Źródło:
Przegląd Górniczy; 2019, 75, 2; 7-12
0033-216X
Pojawia się w:
Przegląd Górniczy
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Analysis of the reliability of data on the density of traffic of fishing vessels engaged in fishing with regard to the risk of damage to underwater cables
Autorzy:
Marcjan, K.
Dzikowski, R.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/135303.pdf
Data publikacji:
2018
Wydawca:
Akademia Morska w Szczecinie. Wydawnictwo AMSz
Tematy:
underwater cables
damage by fishing gear
ffshore safety
offshore risk management
offshore industry
AIS data
VMS data
Opis:
Accidental damage to underwater cables caused by ship traffic seems to be a current problem. According to the statistics more than 44 percent of such damage is caused by fishing vessels. The reason for the next 14 percent is damage from ships’ anchors. The construction of the underwater installation risk model was based on the determination of the density of the traffic in the area where the installation is located. There are several models used to assess the risk of underwater cable damage requiring the implementation of data on the density of traffic of fishing vessels. For this purpose, they usually use AIS (Automatic Identification System) data or statistical data on traffic density in the areas called fishing squares. The aim of this article was to compare traffic data that was based on two independent systems AIS and VMS (Vessel Monitoring System) and verify the reliability of them. The research was carried out in the area of the Slupsk Bank where an underwater cable has been damaged several times. The authors have demonstrated the need to verify the data from both systems in order to obtain reliable information about fishing vessels.
Źródło:
Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie; 2018, 56 (128); 86-92
1733-8670
2392-0378
Pojawia się w:
Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
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