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Tytuł:
Derywaty pogodowe jako instrument efektywnego zarządzania ryzykiem pogodowym
Weather derivatives as an effective instrument of risk management
Autorzy:
Michalak, Dorota
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/105706.pdf
Data publikacji:
2011
Wydawca:
Centrum Badań i Innowacji Pro-Akademia
Tematy:
ryzyko pogodowe
turystyka
derywaty pogodowe
zarządzanie ryzykiem pogodowym
warunki pogodowe
zmiany klimatyczne
weather risk
tourism
weather derivatives
weather conditions
climate change
Opis:
Celem artykułu jest wskazanie odpowiedniego instrumentu, który umożliwia ograniczenie ryzyka pogodowego o charakterze niekatastroficznym. Tekst składa się z dwóch części. Pierwsza część – ma charakter teoretyczny, a zarazem wprowadzający w zagadnienie, stanowiące przedmiot analiz w części drugiej. Skupiono się w niej na aspektach definicyjnych i klasyfikacjach ryzyka pogodowego oraz wpływie niekorzystnych warunków pogodowych na poszczególne branże, ze szczególnym uwzględnieniem turystyki. W drugiej części zaprezentowano opis działania derywatów pogodowych, jako szczególnego rodzaju instrumentów pochodnych oraz zamieszczono praktyczne przykłady z ich zastosowania w branży turystycznej, w celu ukazania, że fizyczna kontrola ryzyka pogodowego jest możliwa. W konkluzji sformułowano kilka istotnych problemów badawczych wymagających badań i studiów w kontekście zarządzania ryzykiem pogodowym w branży turystycznej regionu łódzkiego.
The purpose of this article is to identify the appropriate instruments, which can reduce the risk of noncatastrophic weather changes. The text consists of two parts. The first part is theoretical, and introduces the issue of weather derivatives. It focuses on the aspects of the definitional and classification of weather risk and the effects of adverse weather conditions in the various sectors, with particular emphasis on tourism. The second part presents the description of weather derivatives as a special kind of derivative instruments, and provides practical examples of its application in the tourism industry, in order to show that the physical control of weather risk is possible. In conclusion, several important research problems that require research and study in the context of weather risk management in the tourism industry of the region of Lodz are formulated.
Źródło:
Acta Innovations; 2011, 1; 41-47
2300-5599
Pojawia się w:
Acta Innovations
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Metrology for pressure, temperature, humidity and airspeed in the atmosphere
Autorzy:
Szmyrka-Grzebyk, A.
Merlone, A.
Flakiewicz, K.
Grudniewicz, E.
Migała, K.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/385125.pdf
Data publikacji:
2012
Wydawca:
Sieć Badawcza Łukasiewicz - Przemysłowy Instytut Automatyki i Pomiarów
Tematy:
weather station
temperature
humidity
pressure
environment
climate change
Opis:
The Joint Research Project METEOMET - "Metrology for Meteorology" realized in the frame of the European Metrology Research Programme (EMRP) is described in the paper. The project is focused on the traceability of measurements involved in the climate changes: surface and upper air measurements of temperature, pressure, humidity, wind speed and direction, solar irradiance and reciprocal influences between measurands. It includes development and testing of novel instruments as well as improved calibration procedures and facilities for ground based observations, including in-situ practical calibrations and best practice dissemination. The project consortium is based on 18 National Metrology Institutes (NMIs), three un-funded partners and several collaborators, such as universities, research centers, meteorological organization and institutions, from Europe and other non-European countries. Istituto Nazionale di Ricerca Metrologica (INRiM) in Italy is the project coordinator. Three Polish organizations participate in the project: the Central Office of Measure (MG-GUM), the Institute of Low Temperature and Structure Research (INTiBS) and the Wrocław University (UWr).
Źródło:
Journal of Automation Mobile Robotics and Intelligent Systems; 2012, 6, 3; 56-60
1897-8649
2080-2145
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Automation Mobile Robotics and Intelligent Systems
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Modelowanie przepływów w rzece Kaczawa w perspektywie lat 2030 i 2050 (półrocze letnie)
Modelling flows in the Kaczawa River for for the years 2030 and 2050 (summer half-year)
Autorzy:
Kuchar, L.
Iwański, S.
Jelonek, L.
Szalińska, W.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/338240.pdf
Data publikacji:
2012
Wydawca:
Instytut Technologiczno-Przyrodniczy
Tematy:
generowanie danych meteorologicznych
model opad-odpływ
scenariusze zmiany klimatu
climate change scenarios
rainfall-runoff model
Kaczawa River catchment
weather generator
Opis:
W pracy zaprezentowano wpływ potencjalnych zmian klimatu na odpływ w zlewni Kaczawy w perspektywie lat 2030 i 2050 dla półrocza letniego. Odpływ dla badanych okresów obliczono z wykorzystaniem modelu opad-odpływ NAM. Dane meteorologiczne wymagane przez model NAM zostały wygenerowane za pomocą modelu SWGEN, którego kalibrację przeprowadzono na podstawie dobowych danych z lat 1981-2000, obejmujących obserwacje maksymalnej, minimalnej, średniej temperatury powietrza, wartości opadu atmosferycznego i usłonecznienia. Wartości promieniowania całkowitego oszacowano za pomocą wzoru Blacka. Brakujące charakterystyki zbiorcze zostały interpolowane na podstawie istniejących danych. Symulacje przeprowadzono dla aktualnych warunków klimatycznych oraz trzech wybranych scenariuszy: GISS, CCCM oraz GFDL. Wartości parowania potencjalnego oszacowano, wykorzystując zmodyfikowany wzór Turca. Zmiany odpływu zobrazowano rozkładami prawdopodobieństwa i charakterystykami opisowymi. Symulacje umożliwiły określenie potencjalnych zmian średniego dobowego odpływu Kaczawy na wodowskazie Piątnica. Na podstawie przeprowadzonych symulacji stwierdzono wzrost prawdopodobieństwa wstąpienia przepływów ekstremalnych.
The paper presents an effect of potential climate changes on water runoff from the Kaczawa River catchment in summer halves of the years 2030 and 2050. The runoffs for the studied periods were calculated using the rainfall-runoff model NAM. Meteorological data required by the NAM model were generated by the model SWGEN calibrated on daily data from the years 1981-2000. Data included observations of the maximum, minimum and average air temperature, precipitation and sunshine. The values of global radiation were estimated using the Black's formula. Missing characteristics were interpolated from the existing data. Simulations were performed for current climatic conditions and for the three selected scenarios: GISS, CCCM and GFDL. The values of potential evaporation were estimated using the modified Turc's formula. Changes in the outflow were illustrated by probability distribution functions and descriptive characteristics. Simulations enabled identification of potential changes in mean daily discharge at the gauge Piątnica. Based on simulations, an increase in the probability of extreme runoffs is expected.
Źródło:
Woda-Środowisko-Obszary Wiejskie; 2012, 12, 2; 143-157
1642-8145
Pojawia się w:
Woda-Środowisko-Obszary Wiejskie
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A modeling framework to assess the impact of climate change on river runoff
Autorzy:
Kuchar, L.
Iwański, S.
Jelonek, L.
Szalińska, W.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/108599.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Instytut Meteorologii i Gospodarki Wodnej - Państwowy Instytut Badawczy
Tematy:
climate change
spatial weather generator
regional hydrology
distributed rainfall-runoff model
Opis:
Global climate change is anticipated to have consequences on water resources and the environment both at global and local/regional levels. Efforts towards proper management of future water resources and resolving potential water-related conflicts require the formulation of appropriate techniques to downscale the output of global climate models (GCM) to local conditions for hydrologic prediction. The paper presents an integrated framework for modeling the impact of climate change on river runoff that combines methodology for downscaling climate change scenarios for a basin scale with a hydrological model to estimate the impact of climate change on a river runoff. The modeling framework uses long-term observations of meteorological and hydrological variables together with a climate change scenario to provide a projection of future flows for the specified time horizon. The framework is based on a spatial weather generator and a distributed rainfall-runoff model. Such a configuration enables a reflection of the uncertainty of future conditions by running multiple realizations of future conditions, and also take into account the spatial variability of hydrological properties in the catchment by maintaining the physical details at a given grid size. The performance of the framework was presented for the Kaczawa basin that is one of the main left bank tributaries of the Odra River – the second biggest river in Poland. The results show simulated changes of the future river flow regime caused by climatic changes for two time horizons: 2040 and 2080.
Źródło:
Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management. Research and Operational Applications; 2014, 2, 2; 49-63
2299-3835
2353-5652
Pojawia się w:
Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management. Research and Operational Applications
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Deforestation and its impacts on climate change an overview of Pakistan
Autorzy:
Ali, A.
Riaz, S.
Iqbal, S.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/11968.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
Tematy:
climate change
deforestation
Pakistan
catastrophic event
forest age
natural factor
weather
industrialization
urbanization
global temperature
surface temperature
disaster
South Asia
Opis:
Forests are one the main natural factors that regulate and determine climate, weather patterns and amount of CO2 of an area. With rapid industrialization and rapid urbanization there is a significant increase in deforestation and as a consequence rise in global mean surface temperatures. Rapid and unchecked cut down of forest cover has resulted in some of the worst disasters during the last decades. This paper focuses on studying the role of deforestation, its influence on climate change phenomena and its consequences in Pakistan.
Źródło:
Papers on Global Change; 2014, 21
2300-8121
1730-802X
Pojawia się w:
Papers on Global Change
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Implications of global warming on changing trends in crop productivity - a review
Autorzy:
Banerjee, S.
Banerjee, P.
Mukhopadhayay, A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/11606.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Przedsiębiorstwo Wydawnictw Naukowych Darwin / Scientific Publishing House DARWIN
Tematy:
global warming
climate change
trend
crop productivity
carbon dioxide
weather parameter
Opis:
Evidence of changes in weather parameters like ambient temperature, precipitation, wind flow, etc., are prominently visible across the world. These changes have been reported to effect global crop yield. This review compiles both direct and indirect effects of climate change on global crop productivity with highlights on existing local and global scenarios. As a conclusion, it may be stated that thorough understanding of agricultural techniques and analysis of global change factors is highly essential for achieving sustainable agricultural yield over the upcoming years.
Źródło:
International Letters of Natural Sciences; 2014, 06
2300-9675
Pojawia się w:
International Letters of Natural Sciences
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Understanding climate changes in Malaysia through space weather study
Autorzy:
Hamidi, Z.S.
Shariff, N.N.M.
Monstein, C.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/11399.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Przedsiębiorstwo Wydawnictw Naukowych Darwin / Scientific Publishing House DARWIN
Tematy:
climate change
Malaysia
weather
Sun
solar activity
Earth
interaction
Opis:
Space weather has a close connection with the interaction of the Earth and the Sun. As equatorial country, the characteristic features of the climate of Malaysia are uniform temperature, very high humidity and copious rainfall. Malaysia has an average of temperature of 26.7 °C per year. Therefore, it is suitable to monitor the Sun. In the following work, we will emphasize the development of Sun monitoring in Malaysia. The number of observatories are increasing. A dedicated work to understand the Sun activity in radio region is a part of an initiative of the United Nations together with NASA in order to support developing countries participating in „Western Science‟ research. Realizing how important for us to monitor the space weather, therefore, we have been utilizing the new radio spectrometer, CALLISTO (Compound Low Cost Low Frequency Transportable Observatories) spectrometer. Malaysia is one of the earliest country from South- East Asia (ASEAN) that involve this research. One of the advantages to start the solar monitoring in Malaysia is because our strategic location as equator country that makes possible to observing a Sun for 12 hours daily throughout a year. We strongly believe that Malaysia as one of contributor of solar activity data through E-CALLISTO network. This is a very good start for developing a space weather in Malaysia. With the implementation of CALLISTO systems and development of solar monitoring network, a new wavelength regime is becoming available for solar radio astronomy. Overall, this article presents an overview of space weather in Malaysia. With the present level of the international collaboration, it is believed that the potential involvement of local and international scientist in space weather will increase.
Źródło:
International Letters of Natural Sciences; 2014, 08, 1
2300-9675
Pojawia się w:
International Letters of Natural Sciences
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Analiza ryzyka pogodowego w branży rolnej jako istotny element działań adaptacyjnych do zmian klimatu
The analysis of a weather risk in agriculture as an important part in the process of adaptation to the climate change
Autorzy:
Michalak, D.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/96626.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Fundacja Ekonomistów Środowiska i Zasobów Naturalnych
Tematy:
ryzyko pogodowe
zmiany klimatu
przemysł rolniczy
analiza ryzyka
weather risk
climate change
agricultural industry
risk analysis
Opis:
Celem artykułu jest przedstawienie kroków analizy ryzyka pogodowego, jakie powinno podjąć przedsiębiorstwo rolne, aby skutecznie zarządzać ryzykiem pogodowym, co stanowi nieodłączny element działań adaptacyjnych do zmian klimatu. Aby podkreślić istotność omawianego tematu, biorąc pod uwagę koncepcję zrównoważonego rozwoju, na wstępie omówiono społeczny, ekonomiczny i środowiskowy wymiar zmian klimatu. Następnie przedstawiono metody identyfikacji ryzyka pogodowego, elementy efektywnego zarządzania ryzykiem pogodowym w rolnictwie, proponowane zabezpieczenia finansowe i fizyczne, tak aby na końcu zaprezentować schemat analizy ryzyka pogodowego w przedsiębiorstwie rolnym.
Every year, the climate change is gaining momentum. One of the primary objectives of the European Union is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. However, we need to keep in mind that even if carbon dioxide emissions levels will be reduced to the stated level it does not change the fact, that some climate changes are inevitable. Therefore it is now when the adaptive actions should be carried out, to adapt the economy, the local society and the environment. to the new reality. The aim of this paper is to present the stages of the weather risk analysis, which should be carried out by the farm owner to efficiently manage the weather risk. This stands an inherent element of adapting to the climate change. To emphasise the importance of the subject, also taking the concept of sustainable development into account, the introduction presents the social, economic and environmental dimensions of the climate change. This is followed by the weather risk identification methods, elements of an effective weather risk management in agriculture, the proposed financial and physical security, so that at the end of the present scheme of weather risk analysis in agricultural busines.
Źródło:
Ekonomia i Środowisko; 2016, 2; 95-111
0867-8898
Pojawia się w:
Ekonomia i Środowisko
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for maritime ferry operating at Baltic Sea open waters
Autorzy:
Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068984.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
modelling
identification
transportation system
Opis:
There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for maritime ferry operating at Baltic Sea open waters are presented.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 73--80
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for port oil piping transportation system operating at under water Baltic Sea area
Autorzy:
Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068999.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
modelling
identification
transportation system
Opis:
There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for the initial point of the port oil piping transportation system are presented.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 47--56
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for the maritime ferry operating at Gdynia port area
Autorzy:
Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068991.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
modelling
identification
transportation system
Opis:
There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for the maritime ferry operating at Gdynia port area are presented.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 65--72
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards of port oil piping transportation system operating at land Baltic seaside area
Autorzy:
Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068953.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
modelling
identification
transportation system
Opis:
There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for the port oil piping transportation system operating at land Baltic seaside area are presented.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 57--64
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Identification methods and procedures of critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069003.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
modelling
identification
transportation system
Opis:
In the paper, there are presented the methods for identification of the critical infrastructure operation process on the basis of statistical data coming from this process realizations related to the critical infrastructure operating environment threats. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the critical infrastructure operation process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the critical infrastructure operation process conditional critical infrastructure operation process sojourn times at the particular operation states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the critical infrastructure operation process straying at the particular operation states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the critical infrastructure operation process transitions between the operation states. Moreover, there are given formulae for the estimator of unknown parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the critical infrastructure operation process conditional sojourn times at the operation states. Namely, the parameters of the uniform distribution, the triangular distribution, the double trapezium distribution, the quasi-trapezium distribution, the exponential distribution, the Weibull’s distribution and the chimney distribution are estimated using the statistical methods such as the method of moments and the maximum likelihood method. The chi-square goodness-of-fit test is described and proposed to be applied to verifying the hypotheses about these distributions choice validity. The procedure of statistical data sets uniformity analysis based on Kolmogorov-Smirnov test is proposed to be applied to the empirical conditional sojourn times at the operation states coming from different realizations of the same critical infrastructure operation process.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 155--168
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Methodology for Electric Cables Critical Infrastructure Network safety and resilience to climate change analysis
Autorzy:
Blokus-Roszkowska, A.
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069016.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
energy sector
critical infrastructure network
electric cable critical infrastructure
extreme weather
climate change
resilience
energy security
Opis:
In the paper the energy sector as a critical infrastructure is presented and basic terminology concerned with the energy critical infrastructure is given. The interactions and connections between critical infrastructures are described and the effects of power disruptions to other critical infrastructures are highlighted. Next, presented terminology and taxonomy refer to climate change and resilience to climate change of electric cable critical infrastructure. Finally, taxonomy of electric cable critical infrastructure network in Baltic Sea Region is given, especially in terms of climate change and resilience to climate change. Basic notions related to extreme weather events and climate change having impact on energy generation, transmission and distribution are introduced.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 2; 151--162
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for critical infrastructure operating area
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068981.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather states
climate-weather change process
modelling
extreme weather hazards
Opis:
The climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area is considered and its states are introduced. The semi-Markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area. To build this model the vector of probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the initials climate-weather states, the matrix of probabilities of the climate-weather change process transitions between the climate-weather states, the matrix of conditional distribution functions and the matrix of conditional density functions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states are defined. To describe the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states the uniform distribution, the triangular distribution, the double trapezium distribution, the quasi-trapezium distribution, the exponential distribution, the Weibull distribution, the chimney distribution and the Gamma distribution are suggested and introduced.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 149--154
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Wyświetlanie 1-15 z 52

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