Skocz do pozycji: 1.

Tytuł:

EU-CIRCLE : A pan-European framework for strengthening critical infrastructure resilience to climate change Project taxonomy and methodology – Climate-weather change terminology and methodology

Autorzy:

Blokus-Roszkowska, A.
Kołowrocki, K.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068903.pdf

Data publikacji:

2017

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

climate change
extreme weather event
climate-weather state
climate-weather change process

Opis:

The paper presents climate-weather change terminology, selected from the fourth chapter of the report prepared in the scope of the EU-CIRCLE project. This project titled “A pan-European framework for strengthening Critical Infrastructure resilience to climate change – EU-CIRCLE” is realized under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program. The improved terms and definitions coming from this chapter are presented. Moreover, methodology related to climate-weather change in the scope of project issues is introduced.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 1; 217--230
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 2.

Tytuł:

EU-CIRCLE: A pan-European framework for strengthening critical infrastructure resilience to climate change Project taxonomy and methodology – Preliminaries

Autorzy:

Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068900.pdf

Data publikacji:

2017

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

critical infrastructure
climate-weather change
resilience

Opis:

Introductory general approach to EU-CIRCLE project taxonomy and methodology is presented. National and international critical infrastructure protection overview is performed. The critical infrastructure protection legal frames in Poland, the institutions responsible for them and their duties are presented in details. A general approach to and a scheme of operation and climate-weather change influence on critical infrastructure safety and critical infrastructure accident consequences modelling is proposed as well.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 1; 189--202
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 3.

Tytuł:

Critical infrastructure operation process related to climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazard

Autorzy:

Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068843.pdf

Data publikacji:

2017

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

critical infrastructure
operation
prediction
climate-weather change

Opis:

The operation process of the critical infrastructure is considered and its operation states are introduced. The semi-Markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the critical infrastructure operation process. The semi-Markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 25--40
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 4.

Tytuł:

Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards

Autorzy:

Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068838.pdf

Data publikacji:

2017

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

critical infrastructure
identification
climate-weather change process

Opis:

There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 85--106
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 5.

Tytuł:

Critical infrastructure operation process

Autorzy:

Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068841.pdf

Data publikacji:

2017

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

critical infrastructure
operation
prediction
climate-weather change

Opis:

The operation process of the critical infrastructure is considered and its operation states are introduced. The semi- Markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the critical infrastructure operation process.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 1--6
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 6.

Tytuł:

Critical infrastructure operating area climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards

Autorzy:

Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068851.pdf

Data publikacji:

2017

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

critical infrastructure
operation
prediction
climate-weather change

Opis:

The climate-weather change process for a critical infrastructure operating area is considered and its states are introduced. A semi-Markov approach is used to construct a general probabilistic model of this process by defining its basic parameters. Further, the procedure of the climate-weather change process characteristics prediction is proposed.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 15--24
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 7.

Tytuł:

Critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats

Autorzy:

Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068865.pdf

Data publikacji:

2017

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

critical infrastructure
operation
prediction
climate-weather change

Opis:

Considering a significant influence of the critical infrastructure operating environment threats on its operation process and safety, based on semi-Markov processes theory, a convergent to reality model of the critical infrastructure operation process related to critical infrastructure operating environment threats is built. The method of defining the parameters of this operation process is presented and new procedures of their determining in the case when the critical infrastructure operating threats are not explicit separated in this process are proposed.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 7--14
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 8.

Tytuł:

Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for critical infrastructure operating area

Autorzy:

Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068981.pdf

Data publikacji:

2016

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

climate-weather states
climate-weather change process
modelling
extreme weather hazards

Opis:

The climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area is considered and its states are introduced. The semi-Markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area. To build this model the vector of probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the initials climate-weather states, the matrix of probabilities of the climate-weather change process transitions between the climate-weather states, the matrix of conditional distribution functions and the matrix of conditional density functions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states are defined. To describe the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states the uniform distribution, the triangular distribution, the double trapezium distribution, the quasi-trapezium distribution, the exponential distribution, the Weibull distribution, the chimney distribution and the Gamma distribution are suggested and introduced.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 149--154
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 9.

Tytuł:

Identification and prediction of maritime ferry operation process related to climate-weather change

Autorzy:

Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068863.pdf

Data publikacji:

2017

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

operation process
identification
prediction
climate-weather change
maritime ferry

Opis:

The paper is concerned with an application of the critical infrastructure operation process related to climate-weather change model to identification and prediction of this process for maritime ferry. There are distinguished four different processes for the corresponding ferry operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the ferry operation process and the ferry operating area climate-weather change processes, there are determined the unknown parameters of those processes. Namely, there are determined the probabilities of the processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the transitions between the states and the mean values of the processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the ferry operation process related to climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 135--144
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 10.

Tytuł:

Identification and prediction of port oil piping transportation system operation process related to climate-weather change

Autorzy:

Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068858.pdf

Data publikacji:

2017

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

operation process
climate-weather change
identification
prediction
piping transportation system

Opis:

The paper is concerned with an application of the critical infrastructure operation process related to climateweather change model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system. There are distinguished three different processes for the corresponding piping operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the piping operation process and the piping operating area climate-weather change processes, there are determined the unknown parameters of those processes. Namely, there are determined the probabilities of the processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the transitions between the states and the mean values of the processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the piping operation process related to climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 113--120
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 11.

Tytuł:

Identification and prediction of climate-weather change process for maritime ferry operating area

Autorzy:

Kuligowska, E.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068854.pdf

Data publikacji:

2017

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

climate-weather change process
identification
prediction
maritime ferry operating area

Opis:

The paper is concerned with an application of the climate-weather change process for a critical infrastructure operating area model to identification and prediction of this process for maritime ferry operating area. For the considered ferry operating area, there are distinguished four different climate-weather change processes and their states. Further, there are identified the unknown parameters of those processes, i.e. the probabilities of the climate-weather change processes staying at the initial climate-weather states, the probabilities of the climateweather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the mean values of the climate-weather change processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 129--134
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 12.

Tytuł:

Identification and prediction of climate-weather change process for port oil piping transportation system operating area

Autorzy:

Torbicki, M.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068856.pdf

Data publikacji:

2017

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

climate-weather change process
identification
prediction
piping operating area
extreme weather hazards

Opis:

The paper is concerned with an application of the climate-weather change process for a critical infrastructure operating area model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system operating area. For the considered piping operating area, there are distinguished three different climate-weather change processes and their states. Further, there are identified the unknown parameters of those processes, i.e. the probabilities of the climate-weather change processes staying at the initial climate-weather states, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the mean values of the climate-weather change processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 107--112
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 13.

Tytuł:

Monte Carlo simulation of climate-weather change process at maritime ferry operating area

Autorzy:

Kuligowska, E.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/298021.pdf

Data publikacji:

2018

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Warmińsko-Mazurski w Olsztynie

Tematy:

Monte Carlo simulation
climate-weather change process
critical infrastructure operating area

Opis:

The paper presents a computer simulation technique applied to generating the climate-weather change process at Baltic Sea restricted waters and its characteristics evaluation. The Monte Carlo method is used under the assumption of semi-Markov model of this process. A procedure and an algorithm of climate-weather change process’ realizations generating and its characteristics evaluation are proposed to be applied in C# program preparation. Using this program, the climate-weather change process’ characteristics are predicted for the maritime ferry operating area. Namely, the mean values and standard deviations of the unconditional sojourn times, the limit values of transient probabilities and the mean values of total sojourn times for the fixed time at the climate-weather states are determined.

Źródło:

Technical Sciences / University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn; 2018, 21(1); 5-17
1505-4675
2083-4527

Pojawia się w:

Technical Sciences / University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 14.

Tytuł:

Optimization of Critical Infrastrucutre operation and Safety With Considering Climate-Weather Change Impact - Minimizing Operation Cost

Autorzy:

Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068786.pdf

Data publikacji:

2018

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

critical infrastructure
safety
operation process
climate-weather change
operation cost
optimization

Opis:

The general model of a critical infrastructure changing its safety structure, its components safety parameters and its operation cost during the variable operation process and linear programming are applied to optimize the critical infrastructure operation process in order to get the critical infrastructure operation cost optimal value. The optimization problem allowing to find the optimal values of the transient probabilities of the critical infrastructure operation process at the particular operation states that minimize the critical infrastructure operation cost mean value in the safety states subset not worse than a critical safety state is presented. The optimization of operation cost of the critical infrastructure is proposed with considering climate-weather change process influence on the system safety.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 1; 43--52
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 15.

Tytuł:

Minimization of Operation Cost of Critical Infrastructure Network with Cascading Effects Considering Climate-Weather Change Influence

Autorzy:

Blokus-Roszkowska, A.
Kołowrocki, K.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068787.pdf

Data publikacji:

2018

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

critical infrastructure
operation process
climate-weather change process
operation cost minimization

Opis:

In the paper optimization of operation process and minimization of operation cost for interconnected and interdependent critical infrastructure (CI) networks with cascading effects at variable operation conditions related to the climate-weather change are proposed. A multistate series network with assets dependent according to local load sharing (LLS) rule is analyzed and optimization of operation and safety of CI network with the LLS rule is introduced. For such CI network, the optimal transient probabilities that minimize the mean value of the total operation costs are found. Finally, cost analysis of CI network operation impacted by climate-weather change is presented in case the CI network is non-repairable and in case it is repairable after exceeding its critical safety state.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 1; 71--80
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 16.

Tytuł:

Identification and prediction of maritime ferry operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards

Autorzy:

Kuligowska, E.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068836.pdf

Data publikacji:

2017

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

climate-weather change process
identification
prediction
operating environment threats
maritime ferry

Opis:

The paper is concerned with an application of the model of critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards to identification and prediction of this process for the maritime ferry. There are investigated four processes for the considered maritime ferry operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the operation process including operating environment threats and the climate-weather change processes for the maritime ferry operating area, there are determined the unknown parameters of these processes. Namely, the probabilities of the ferry processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the ferry processes transitions between the states and the mean values of the ferry processes conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the maritime ferry operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards at the distinguished operating areas.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 145--156
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 17.

Tytuł:

Prediction of climate-weather change process for port oil piping transportation system and maritime ferry operating at Baltic Sea area

Autorzy:

Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068988.pdf

Data publikacji:

2016

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
modelling
identification
transportation system

Opis:

There are presented the methods of prediction of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for the initial point of the port oil piping transportation system are presented.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 143--148
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 18.

Tytuł:

Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for port oil piping transportation system operating at under water Baltic Sea area

Autorzy:

Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068999.pdf

Data publikacji:

2016

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
modelling
identification
transportation system

Opis:

There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for the initial point of the port oil piping transportation system are presented.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 47--56
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 19.

Tytuł:

Optimization of critical infrastructure operation and safety with considering climate-weather change influence : maximizing safety lifetime

Autorzy:

Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068785.pdf

Data publikacji:

2018

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

critical infrastructure
safety
operation process
climate-weather change
optimization
safety lifetime

Opis:

The method based on the results of the joint model linking a semi-Markov modelling of the critical infrastructure operation process with a multistate approach to critical infrastructure safety and linear programming are proposed to the critical infrastructure operation and safety optimization. This method determining the optimal values of limit transient probabilities at the critical infrastructure operation states that maximize the critical infrastructure safety lifetime in the safety state subsets is proposed.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 1; 1--10
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 20.

Tytuł:

Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards of port oil piping transportation system operating at land Baltic seaside area

Autorzy:

Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068953.pdf

Data publikacji:

2016

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
modelling
identification
transportation system

Opis:

There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for the port oil piping transportation system operating at land Baltic seaside area are presented.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 57--64
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 21.

Tytuł:

Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for maritime ferry operating at Baltic Sea open waters

Autorzy:

Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068984.pdf

Data publikacji:

2016

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
modelling
identification
transportation system

Opis:

There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for maritime ferry operating at Baltic Sea open waters are presented.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 73--80
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 22.

Tytuł:

Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for the maritime ferry operating at Gdynia port area

Autorzy:

Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068991.pdf

Data publikacji:

2016

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
modelling
identification
transportation system

Opis:

There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for the maritime ferry operating at Gdynia port area are presented.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 65--72
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 23.

Tytuł:

Identification methods and procedures of critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats

Autorzy:

Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069003.pdf

Data publikacji:

2016

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
modelling
identification
transportation system

Opis:

In the paper, there are presented the methods for identification of the critical infrastructure operation process on the basis of statistical data coming from this process realizations related to the critical infrastructure operating environment threats. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the critical infrastructure operation process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the critical infrastructure operation process conditional critical infrastructure operation process sojourn times at the particular operation states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the critical infrastructure operation process straying at the particular operation states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the critical infrastructure operation process transitions between the operation states. Moreover, there are given formulae for the estimator of unknown parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the critical infrastructure operation process conditional sojourn times at the operation states. Namely, the parameters of the uniform distribution, the triangular distribution, the double trapezium distribution, the quasi-trapezium distribution, the exponential distribution, the Weibull’s distribution and the chimney distribution are estimated using the statistical methods such as the method of moments and the maximum likelihood method. The chi-square goodness-of-fit test is described and proposed to be applied to verifying the hypotheses about these distributions choice validity. The procedure of statistical data sets uniformity analysis based on Kolmogorov-Smirnov test is proposed to be applied to the empirical conditional sojourn times at the operation states coming from different realizations of the same critical infrastructure operation process.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 155--168
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 24.

Tytuł:

Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for maritime ferry

Autorzy:

Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068960.pdf

Data publikacji:

2016

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
extreme weather hazard states
maritime ferry

Opis:

The climate-weather change process for the maritime ferry operating at Port Gdynia and at Baltic Sea open waters between Gdynia bay and Karlskrona bay is considered and its states are defined. Further, the semi-Markov process is defined and used to create a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the maritime ferry operating at considered areas.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 41--46
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 25.

Tytuł:

Identification and prediction of port oil piping transportation system operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weathers hazards

Autorzy:

Torbicki, M.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068849.pdf

Data publikacji:

2017

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

climate-weather change process
identification
prediction
operating environment threats
piping transportation system

Opis:

The paper is concerned with an application of the critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system. There are distinguished three processes for the considered piping operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the operation process including operating environment threats and the climate-weather change processes for the piping operating area, there are determined the unknown parameters of these processes. Namely, the probabilities of the piping processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the piping processes transitions between the states and the mean values of the piping processes conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the piping operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards at the distinguished operating area.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 121--128
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 26.

Tytuł:

Oil transport in port. Part 3. Port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience impacted by the climate-weather change process and operation process

Autorzy:

Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068783.pdf

Data publikacji:

2018

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

piping system
operation process
climate-weather change impacts
safety
resilience
cost analysis
optimization

Opis:

The paper is concerned with the application of the model of critical infrastructure safety prediction with considering its operation and climate-weather change impacts. The general approach to the prediction of critical infrastructure safety and resilience is proposed and the safety and resilience indicators are defined for a critical infrastructure impacted by its operation process and the climate-weather change process. Moreover, there is presented the model application for port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience prediction. Further, the cost analysis and optimisation of critical infrastructure operation process impacted by climateweather change is proposed and applied to the considered piping system.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 2; 43--64
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 27.

Tytuł:

Safety and Resilience of Baltic Port and Shipping Critical Infrastructure Network Related to Cascading Effects and Climate-Weather Change

Autorzy:

Blokus-Roszkowska, A.
Guze, S.
Kołowrocki, K.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068784.pdf

Data publikacji:

2018

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

safety
critical infrastructure
network
cascading effects
climate-weather change process
coefficient of impact

Opis:

The paper is devoted to presentation the safety model for Baltic Port and Shipping Critical Infrastructure Network (BPSCIN) taking into account interactions between Baltic Port Critical Infrastructure Network, Baltic Shipping Critical Infrastructure Network and Baltic Ship Traffic and Port Operation Information Critical Infrastructure Network. First of all, the BPSCIN and its safety parameters are introduced. Next, the basic information and necessary data to describe the interactions in considered critical infrastructure network are given. Finally, the safety, resilience and risk indicators of the BPSCIN are presented.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 2; 87--98
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 28.

Tytuł:

Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for port oil piping transportation system

Autorzy:

Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068975.pdf

Data publikacji:

2016

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
extreme weather hazard states
port oil transportation syste

Opis:

The climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area is considered and its states are defined. Further, the semi-Markov process is used to create a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area. To construct this model the vector of probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the initials climate-weather states, the matrix of probabilities of the climate-weather change process transitions between the climate-weather states, the matrix of conditional distribution functions and the matrix of conditional density functions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states are defined. Preliminary applications of the proposed model to the climate-weather change process for the port oil transportation system operation area are presented.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 31--40
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 29.

Tytuł:

Oil transport in port. Part 2. Port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience impacted by the climate-weather change process

Autorzy:

Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068778.pdf

Data publikacji:

2018

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

port oil piping transportation system
climate-weather change impacts
safety
resilience
cost analysis

Opis:

The paper is concerned with the application of the model of critical infrastructure safety prediction with considering its climate-weather change impacts. The general approach to the prediction of critical infrastructure safety and resilience is proposed and the safety and resilience indicators are defined for a critical infrastructure impacted by climate-weather change process. Moreover, there is presented the model application for port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience prediction. Further, the cost analysis of critical infrastructure impacted by climate-weather change process is proposed and applied to the considered piping system.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 2; 29--42
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 30.

Tytuł:

Optimization of Operation and Safety of Baltic Port and Shipping Critical Infrastructure Network with Considering Climate-Weather Change Influence – Maximizing Lifetime in the Set of Safety States Not Worse Than a Critical Safety State

Autorzy:

Guze, S.
Kołowrocki, K.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068746.pdf

Data publikacji:

2018

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

critical infrastructure network
operation process
climate-weather change process
safety lifetime maximization
port
shipping

Opis:

The paper is devoted the optimization of operation process and maximization of safety lifetimes for Baltic Port and Shipping Critical Infrastructure Network (BPSCIN) at variable operation conditions related to the climateweather change. For this network, the optimal transient probabilities of BPSCIN operation process at operation states related to climate-weather change that maximize the mean value of BPSCIN safety lifetimes are found. Finally, the optimal safety and resilience indicators of considered network are presented.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 1; 27--34
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 31.

Tytuł:

Optimization of Operation and Safety of Baltic Port and Shipping Critical Infrastructure Network with Considering Climate-Weather Change Influence – Minimizing Critical Infrastructure Network Operation Cost

Autorzy:

Guze, S.
Kołowrocki, K.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068751.pdf

Data publikacji:

2018

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

critical infrastructure network
operation process
climate-weather change process
operation cost
optimization
port
shipping

Opis:

The paper is devoted the optimization of operation process and minimization of operation cost for Baltic Port and Shipping Critical Infrastructure Network (BPSCIN) at variable operation conditions related to the climateweather change. For this network, the optimal transient probabilities that minimize the mean value of the total operation costs are found. Finally, cost analysis of BPSCIN operation impacted by climate-weather change is presented in case the BPSCIN is non-repairable and in case it is repairable after exceeding its critical safety state.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 1; 61--70
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 32.

Tytuł:

Maximization of Safety Lifetime of Critical Infrastructure Network with Cascading Effects Considering Climate-Weather Change Influence

Autorzy:

Blokus-Roszkowska, A.
Kołowrocki, K.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068749.pdf

Data publikacji:

2018

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

critical infrastructure
operation process
climate-weather change process
critical state
critical infrastructure safety lifetime maximization

Opis:

In the paper optimization of operation process and maximization of safety lifetimes for interconnected and interdependent critical infrastructure (CI) networks at variable operation conditions related to the climateweather change are proposed. A multistate series network with assets dependent according to local load sharing (LLS) rule is analyzed and optimization of operation and safety of CI network with the LLS rule is introduced. For such CI network, the optimal transient probabilities of CI network operation process at operation states related to climate-weather change that maximize the mean value of CI network safety lifetimes are found. Finally, the optimal safety and resilience indicators of CI network are presented.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 1; 35--42
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 33.

Tytuł:

Optimization of Operation and Safety of Global Baltic Network of Critical Infrastructure Networks (GBNCIN) with Considering Climate-Weather Change Process (C-WCP) influence – Minimizing GBNCIN Operation Cost

Autorzy:

Dziula, P.
Kołowrocki, K.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068743.pdf

Data publikacji:

2018

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

critical infrastructure
critical infrastructure network
operation process
climate-weather change process
network of critical infrastructure networks

Opis:

The paper presents a method of the GBNCIN operation and safety, with considering the climate-weather change process, safety optimization. Basic characteristics of the critical infrastructure operation process related to climateweather change process are shown. Then, the GBNCIN operation cost related to climate-weather change is introduced. Furthermore, by analysis of the operation cost of the GBNCIN impacted by the operation process, related to the climate-weather change process, and its conditional safety functions, mean values of the total sojourn times at particular operation states during certain sufficiently large GBNCIN operation time are fixed. Finally, the GBNCIN operation cost related to climate-weather change minimization, and cost analysis of the GBNCIN operation impacted by climate-weather change, are presented.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 1; 53--60
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 34.

Tytuł:

Oil pipeline critical infrastructure network

Autorzy:

Drzazga, M.
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068939.pdf

Data publikacji:

2016

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

critical infrastructure
oil pipeline
Baltic Oil Pipeline Critical Infrastructure Network
BOPCIN
operation process
Climate-Weather Change Process

Opis:

In the article there are described main oil pipeline installations and main oil terminals in the Baltic Sea region. Oil facilities are gathered in the network of critical infrastructure. Impact of changing climate/weather on that infrastructure is taken into account. One medium size terminal is described in details and weather impact on the operation of that terminal is considered.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 2; 53--60
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 35.

Tytuł:

Shipping critical infrastructure network

Autorzy:

Bogalecka, M.
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Ledóchowski, M.
Reszko, M.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068933.pdf

Data publikacji:

2016

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

critical infrastructure
shipping
Baltic Shipping Critical Infrastructure Network
BSCIN
maritime ferry operation process
Climate-Weather Change Process
C-WCP

Opis:

In the article there are described shipping density, condition and ship accidents at the Baltic Sea waters. Shipping is gathered in the network of critical infrastructure. Impact of changing climate/weather on that infrastructure is taken into account. The maritime ferry – a passenger Ro-Ro ship operating at the Baltic Sea between Gdynia and Karlskrona ports on regular everyday line is described. Next, the climate-weather impact on the technical system operation and safety of maritime ferry is considered.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 2; 43--52
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 36.

Tytuł:

Integrated Impact Model on Critical Infrastructure Safety Related to Climate-Weather Change Process Including Extreme Weather Hazards

Autorzy:

Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068792.pdf

Data publikacji:

2017

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

climate change process
weather hazards
impact
model
safety

Opis:

In the paper a general safety analytical model of complex technical system related to the climateweather change process in its operating area is defined. First, the system operation at climate-weather variable conditions is given. Additionally, the semi-Markov approach is used. Further, the safety model of the multistate system at climate-weather variable conditions is introduced. The notions of the conditional safety functions at the climate-weather particular states, the unconditional safety function and the risk function of the complex system at changing in time climate-weather conditions are presented. The other safety indices like mean lifetime up to the exceeding a critical safety state, the moment when the risk function value exceeds the acceptable safety level, the intensities of ageing of the critical infrastructure and its components and the coefficients of the climate-weather impact on the critical infrastructure and its components intensities of ageing are defined.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 4; 21--32
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 37.

Tytuł:

Metrology for pressure, temperature, humidity and airspeed in the atmosphere

Autorzy:

Szmyrka-Grzebyk, A.
Merlone, A.
Flakiewicz, K.
Grudniewicz, E.
Migała, K.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/385125.pdf

Data publikacji:

2012

Wydawca:

Sieć Badawcza Łukasiewicz - Przemysłowy Instytut Automatyki i Pomiarów

Tematy:

weather station
temperature
humidity
pressure
environment
climate change

Opis:

The Joint Research Project METEOMET - "Metrology for Meteorology" realized in the frame of the European Metrology Research Programme (EMRP) is described in the paper. The project is focused on the traceability of measurements involved in the climate changes: surface and upper air measurements of temperature, pressure, humidity, wind speed and direction, solar irradiance and reciprocal influences between measurands. It includes development and testing of novel instruments as well as improved calibration procedures and facilities for ground based observations, including in-situ practical calibrations and best practice dissemination. The project consortium is based on 18 National Metrology Institutes (NMIs), three un-funded partners and several collaborators, such as universities, research centers, meteorological organization and institutions, from Europe and other non-European countries. Istituto Nazionale di Ricerca Metrologica (INRiM) in Italy is the project coordinator. Three Polish organizations participate in the project: the Central Office of Measure (MG-GUM), the Institute of Low Temperature and Structure Research (INTiBS) and the Wrocław University (UWr).

Źródło:

Journal of Automation Mobile Robotics and Intelligent Systems; 2012, 6, 3; 56-60
1897-8649
2080-2145

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Automation Mobile Robotics and Intelligent Systems

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 38.

Tytuł:

Understanding climate changes in Malaysia through space weather study

Autorzy:

Hamidi, Z.S.
Shariff, N.N.M.
Monstein, C.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/11399.pdf

Data publikacji:

2014

Wydawca:

Przedsiębiorstwo Wydawnictw Naukowych Darwin / Scientific Publishing House DARWIN

Tematy:

climate change
Malaysia
weather
Sun
solar activity
Earth
interaction

Opis:

Space weather has a close connection with the interaction of the Earth and the Sun. As equatorial country, the characteristic features of the climate of Malaysia are uniform temperature, very high humidity and copious rainfall. Malaysia has an average of temperature of 26.7 °C per year. Therefore, it is suitable to monitor the Sun. In the following work, we will emphasize the development of Sun monitoring in Malaysia. The number of observatories are increasing. A dedicated work to understand the Sun activity in radio region is a part of an initiative of the United Nations together with NASA in order to support developing countries participating in „Western Science‟ research. Realizing how important for us to monitor the space weather, therefore, we have been utilizing the new radio spectrometer, CALLISTO (Compound Low Cost Low Frequency Transportable Observatories) spectrometer. Malaysia is one of the earliest country from South- East Asia (ASEAN) that involve this research. One of the advantages to start the solar monitoring in Malaysia is because our strategic location as equator country that makes possible to observing a Sun for 12 hours daily throughout a year. We strongly believe that Malaysia as one of contributor of solar activity data through E-CALLISTO network. This is a very good start for developing a space weather in Malaysia. With the implementation of CALLISTO systems and development of solar monitoring network, a new wavelength regime is becoming available for solar radio astronomy. Overall, this article presents an overview of space weather in Malaysia. With the present level of the international collaboration, it is believed that the potential involvement of local and international scientist in space weather will increase.

Źródło:

International Letters of Natural Sciences; 2014, 08, 1
2300-9675

Pojawia się w:

International Letters of Natural Sciences

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 39.

Tytuł:

Risks and consequences of weather hazards on railway infrastructure

Autorzy:

Berg, H. P.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068913.pdf

Data publikacji:

2017

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

weather hazards
risk assessment
hazard management
climate change
railway systems

Opis:

Weather-related hazards are already among the factors most frequently causing disturbances for railways. Flooding and storm are considered major threats to the system. Climate change might in the long run produce new kinds of hazards and threats to the railway system, but the climate change will principally involve a strengthening of the already known threats, in terms of increased frequency as well as increased intensity. Based on examples of natural hazards’ impact on railways, possible approaches of vulnerability assessment are described which could also address potential consequences of climate change. In order to reduce the effects of weather hazards technical countermeasures are necessary, but also an appropriate risk management as, e.g., required for flooding in the European Union.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 1; 1--12
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 40.

Tytuł:

A modeling framework to assess the impact of climate change on river runoff

Autorzy:

Kuchar, L.
Iwański, S.
Jelonek, L.
Szalińska, W.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/108599.pdf

Data publikacji:

2014

Wydawca:

Instytut Meteorologii i Gospodarki Wodnej - Państwowy Instytut Badawczy

Tematy:

climate change
spatial weather generator
regional hydrology
distributed rainfall-runoff model

Opis:

Global climate change is anticipated to have consequences on water resources and the environment both at global and local/regional levels. Efforts towards proper management of future water resources and resolving potential water-related conflicts require the formulation of appropriate techniques to downscale the output of global climate models (GCM) to local conditions for hydrologic prediction. The paper presents an integrated framework for modeling the impact of climate change on river runoff that combines methodology for downscaling climate change scenarios for a basin scale with a hydrological model to estimate the impact of climate change on a river runoff. The modeling framework uses long-term observations of meteorological and hydrological variables together with a climate change scenario to provide a projection of future flows for the specified time horizon. The framework is based on a spatial weather generator and a distributed rainfall-runoff model. Such a configuration enables a reflection of the uncertainty of future conditions by running multiple realizations of future conditions, and also take into account the spatial variability of hydrological properties in the catchment by maintaining the physical details at a given grid size. The performance of the framework was presented for the Kaczawa basin that is one of the main left bank tributaries of the Odra River – the second biggest river in Poland. The results show simulated changes of the future river flow regime caused by climatic changes for two time horizons: 2040 and 2080.

Źródło:

Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management. Research and Operational Applications; 2014, 2, 2; 49-63
2299-3835
2353-5652

Pojawia się w:

Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management. Research and Operational Applications

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 41.

Tytuł:

Meteorological conditions on Kaffiøyra (NW Spitsbergen) in 2013–2017 and their connection with atmospheric circulation and sea ice extent

Autorzy:

Kejna, Marek
Sobota, Ireneusz

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2041853.pdf

Data publikacji:

2019

Wydawca:

Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN

Tematy:

Arctic
Svalbard
climate change
weather conditions
synoptic situations
sea ice cover

Źródło:

Polish Polar Research; 2019, 40, 3; 175-204
0138-0338
2081-8262

Pojawia się w:

Polish Polar Research

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 42.

Tytuł:

Implications of global warming on changing trends in crop productivity - a review

Autorzy:

Banerjee, S.
Banerjee, P.
Mukhopadhayay, A.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/11606.pdf

Data publikacji:

2014

Wydawca:

Przedsiębiorstwo Wydawnictw Naukowych Darwin / Scientific Publishing House DARWIN

Tematy:

global warming
climate change
trend
crop productivity
carbon dioxide
weather parameter

Opis:

Evidence of changes in weather parameters like ambient temperature, precipitation, wind flow, etc., are prominently visible across the world. These changes have been reported to effect global crop yield. This review compiles both direct and indirect effects of climate change on global crop productivity with highlights on existing local and global scenarios. As a conclusion, it may be stated that thorough understanding of agricultural techniques and analysis of global change factors is highly essential for achieving sustainable agricultural yield over the upcoming years.

Źródło:

International Letters of Natural Sciences; 2014, 06
2300-9675

Pojawia się w:

International Letters of Natural Sciences

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 43.

Tytuł:

Air temperature exposure and agricultural occupational injuries in the Autonomous Province of Trento (2000–2013, North-Eastern Italy)

Autorzy:

Riccò, Matteo

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2159913.pdf

Data publikacji:

2017-12-21

Wydawca:

Instytut Medycyny Pracy im. prof. dra Jerzego Nofera w Łodzi

Tematy:

agricultural workers
climate change
heat exposure
occupational injuries
hot weather
heat wave

Opis:

Objectives The aim of this study was to evaluate the relationship between high air temperatures and occupational injuries (OIs) occurred during the summer seasons 2000–2013 in agricultural workers from the Autonomous Province of Trento (APT), North-Eastern Italy. Material and Methods Data about OIs for the APT from 2000 to 2013 occurring during the warm season (N = 7325) was provided by the National Institute of Insurance for Occupational Illness and Injury. Daily average and daily maximum temperatures values for the specific geographical site of events were retrieved. Daily temperatures were then assessed in 3 time lags: for the day of the event (lag 0), and for the previous 24 h (lag 1) and 48 h (lag 2). Daily temperatures were then categorized in 3 exposure groups (< 75th, 75–95th and > 95th percentiles). The risk of OIs was assessed as odds ratio (OR) calculated through a Poisson regression model controlled for age, sex, ethnicity and time period, and assuming OI rates for days on which temperature was comprised in < 75th percentile exposure groups as the referent ones. Results Estimated incidence of OIs during the study period was 3.4±2.3 events/day. The peak of work-related accidents occurred on days characterized by severe thermal conditions, and in particular during heat waves (incidence rate ratio = 1.09, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.02–1.17, p = 0.0165). Days having temperatures higher than 95th percentile, assessed as daily average, both on current days (OR = 1.119, 95% CI: 1.008–1.242) and in lag 1 (OR = 1.125, 95% CI: 1.013–1.249), as well as daily maximum temperatures, were at the highest risk of work-related injuries (OR = 1.144, 95% CI: 1.029–1.272). Conclusions In conclusion, presented findings recommend policymakers to develop appropriate warning/alert systems for agricultural workers regarding high environmental temperatures. Int J Occup Med Environ Health 2018;31(3):317–331

Źródło:

International Journal of Occupational Medicine and Environmental Health; 2018, 31, 3; 317-331
1232-1087
1896-494X

Pojawia się w:

International Journal of Occupational Medicine and Environmental Health

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 44.

Tytuł:

Tsunamis and sea rise in the North and Baltic Sea and potential consequences for nuclear facilities

Autorzy:

Iancu, A.
Berg, H, P.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068930.pdf

Data publikacji:

2017

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

weather-related hazards
hazard assessment
climate change
North and Baltic Sea
nuclear facilities

Opis:

Weather-related hazards are among the most frequent causes for disturbances of critical infrastructures. Flooding, tsunamis and sea level rise are examples of major threats to all types of nuclear facilities located at the seaside or at rivers. We report about exemplary investigations concerning weather-related hazards for the North Sea and the Baltic Sea. Climate change is expected to increase the already known threats but, in the long term, may also lead to new kinds of hazards. A possible future climate evolution, e.g. from warm (interglacial) to cold (glacial) periods, is not only a topic for seaside industrial facilities but also of concern in the long term safety assessment of deep geological nuclear waste repositories, in particular for high level waste, on the Baltic sea.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 1; 55--66
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 45.

Tytuł:

Derywaty pogodowe jako instrument efektywnego zarządzania ryzykiem pogodowym
Weather derivatives as an effective instrument of risk management

Autorzy:

Michalak, Dorota

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/105706.pdf

Data publikacji:

2011

Wydawca:

Centrum Badań i Innowacji Pro-Akademia

Tematy:

ryzyko pogodowe
turystyka
derywaty pogodowe
zarządzanie ryzykiem pogodowym
warunki pogodowe
zmiany klimatyczne
weather risk
tourism
weather derivatives
weather conditions
climate change

Opis:

Celem artykułu jest wskazanie odpowiedniego instrumentu, który umożliwia ograniczenie ryzyka pogodowego o charakterze niekatastroficznym. Tekst składa się z dwóch części. Pierwsza część – ma charakter teoretyczny, a zarazem wprowadzający w zagadnienie, stanowiące przedmiot analiz w części drugiej. Skupiono się w niej na aspektach definicyjnych i klasyfikacjach ryzyka pogodowego oraz wpływie niekorzystnych warunków pogodowych na poszczególne branże, ze szczególnym uwzględnieniem turystyki. W drugiej części zaprezentowano opis działania derywatów pogodowych, jako szczególnego rodzaju instrumentów pochodnych oraz zamieszczono praktyczne przykłady z ich zastosowania w branży turystycznej, w celu ukazania, że fizyczna kontrola ryzyka pogodowego jest możliwa. W konkluzji sformułowano kilka istotnych problemów badawczych wymagających badań i studiów w kontekście zarządzania ryzykiem pogodowym w branży turystycznej regionu łódzkiego.
The purpose of this article is to identify the appropriate instruments, which can reduce the risk of noncatastrophic weather changes. The text consists of two parts. The first part is theoretical, and introduces the issue of weather derivatives. It focuses on the aspects of the definitional and classification of weather risk and the effects of adverse weather conditions in the various sectors, with particular emphasis on tourism. The second part presents the description of weather derivatives as a special kind of derivative instruments, and provides practical examples of its application in the tourism industry, in order to show that the physical control of weather risk is possible. In conclusion, several important research problems that require research and study in the context of weather risk management in the tourism industry of the region of Lodz are formulated.

Źródło:

Acta Innovations; 2011, 1; 41-47
2300-5599

Pojawia się w:

Acta Innovations

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 46.

Tytuł:

Developing criteria for a stakeholder-centred evaluation of climate services: the case of extreme event attribution for storm surges at the German Baltic Sea

Autorzy:

Schwab, M.
Storch, H. von

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/108498.pdf

Data publikacji:

2018

Wydawca:

Instytut Meteorologii i Gospodarki Wodnej - Państwowy Instytut Badawczy

Tematy:

usługi klimatyczne
ekstremalne zdarzenia pogodowe
zmiana klimatu
climate service
extreme weather event
climate change
stakeholder-centered evaluation

Opis:

Science-based knowledge about climate-related hazards is an inevitable part of the knowledge basis needed for many stakeholders’ decision-making. Despite continuous advances in climate science, much of this knowledge is perceived to be hardly accessible, understandable, or relevant to stakeholders. One relatively new field where these aspects may become evident is extreme weather event attribution. It has received much attention in science in recent years, but its potential usefulness to stakeholders has rarely been addressed in the literature so far. This study has therefore developed criteria for evaluating potential climate services from a stakeholder perspective, using the example of findings from extreme event attribution. This is illustrated in an empirical mixed-method study about decision-makers dealing with storm surge risks at the German Baltic Sea Coast and (re)insurance sector representatives. The study builds on interviews and workshops with potential users of extreme event attribution. It reveals that there are three main groups of criteria which matter most to the stakeholders in question: 1) trustworthiness, 2) context-sensitivity and decision-relevance, 3) clarity and comprehensibility. Having appropriate evaluation categories, as well as processes to identify stakeholder-specific criteria, will facilitate the inclusion of values, knowledge contexts, and interests. Many stakeholders emphasized that they need a trustworthy knowledge broker who provides decision-oriented information which is intuitively accessible, understandable, and in their mother tongue. Being independent, scientifically competent, and in a continuous dialogue with both scientists and stakeholders, established regional and sector-specific climate services can facilitate the fulfilment of these requirements. A stakeholder-oriented evaluation will thereby help to make climate services more useful to potential user groups – even if a product is not in use yet, as is the case for extreme event attribution products.

Źródło:

Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management. Research and Operational Applications; 2018, 6, 1; 27-35
2299-3835
2353-5652

Pojawia się w:

Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management. Research and Operational Applications

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 47.

Tytuł:

A preliminary assessment of climate change impacts – implications for mining activity in Polish coal regions

Autorzy:

Janson, Ewa
Markowska, Małgorzata
Łabaj, Paweł
Wrana, Aleksander
Zawartka, Paweł

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1853841.pdf

Data publikacji:

2020

Wydawca:

Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN

Tematy:

zmiany klimatyczne
działalność górnicza
wydobycie węgla
climate change
mining activity
extreme weather events
climate change impacts on coal mining
transition of coal regions

Opis:

It is widely known and accepted that the global climate is changing with unprecedented speed. Climate models project increasing temperatures and changes in precipitation regimes which will alter the frequency, magnitude, and geographic distribution of climate-related hazards including flood, drought and heat waves. In the mining industry, climate change impacts are an area of research around the world, mostly in relation to the mining industry in Australia and Canada, where mining policies and mitigation actions based on the results of this research were adopted and applied. In Poland, there is still a lack of research on how climate change, and especially extreme weather events, impacts mining activity. This impact may be of particular importance in Poland, where the mining industry is in the process of intensive transition. The paper presents an overview of hazardous events in mining in Poland that were related to extreme weather phenomena. The needs and recommended actions in the scope of mitigating the impact of future climate change on mining in all stages of its functioning were also indicated. The presented analyses and conclusions are the results of the first activities in the TEXMIN project: The impact of extreme weather events on mining activities, identifying the most important factors resulting from climate change impact on mining.

Źródło:

Archives of Mining Sciences; 2020, 65, 3; 703-717
0860-7001

Pojawia się w:

Archives of Mining Sciences

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 48.

Tytuł:

Methodology for Electric Cables Critical Infrastructure Network safety and resilience to climate change analysis

Autorzy:

Blokus-Roszkowska, A.
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069016.pdf

Data publikacji:

2016

Wydawca:

Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności

Tematy:

energy sector
critical infrastructure network
electric cable critical infrastructure
extreme weather
climate change
resilience
energy security

Opis:

In the paper the energy sector as a critical infrastructure is presented and basic terminology concerned with the energy critical infrastructure is given. The interactions and connections between critical infrastructures are described and the effects of power disruptions to other critical infrastructures are highlighted. Next, presented terminology and taxonomy refer to climate change and resilience to climate change of electric cable critical infrastructure. Finally, taxonomy of electric cable critical infrastructure network in Baltic Sea Region is given, especially in terms of climate change and resilience to climate change. Basic notions related to extreme weather events and climate change having impact on energy generation, transmission and distribution are introduced.

Źródło:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 2; 151--162
2084-5316

Pojawia się w:

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 49.

Tytuł:

Analiza ryzyka pogodowego w branży rolnej jako istotny element działań adaptacyjnych do zmian klimatu
The analysis of a weather risk in agriculture as an important part in the process of adaptation to the climate change

Autorzy:

Michalak, D.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/96626.pdf

Data publikacji:

2016

Wydawca:

Fundacja Ekonomistów Środowiska i Zasobów Naturalnych

Tematy:

ryzyko pogodowe
zmiany klimatu
przemysł rolniczy
analiza ryzyka
weather risk
climate change
agricultural industry
risk analysis

Opis:

Celem artykułu jest przedstawienie kroków analizy ryzyka pogodowego, jakie powinno podjąć przedsiębiorstwo rolne, aby skutecznie zarządzać ryzykiem pogodowym, co stanowi nieodłączny element działań adaptacyjnych do zmian klimatu. Aby podkreślić istotność omawianego tematu, biorąc pod uwagę koncepcję zrównoważonego rozwoju, na wstępie omówiono społeczny, ekonomiczny i środowiskowy wymiar zmian klimatu. Następnie przedstawiono metody identyfikacji ryzyka pogodowego, elementy efektywnego zarządzania ryzykiem pogodowym w rolnictwie, proponowane zabezpieczenia finansowe i fizyczne, tak aby na końcu zaprezentować schemat analizy ryzyka pogodowego w przedsiębiorstwie rolnym.
Every year, the climate change is gaining momentum. One of the primary objectives of the European Union is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. However, we need to keep in mind that even if carbon dioxide emissions levels will be reduced to the stated level it does not change the fact, that some climate changes are inevitable. Therefore it is now when the adaptive actions should be carried out, to adapt the economy, the local society and the environment. to the new reality. The aim of this paper is to present the stages of the weather risk analysis, which should be carried out by the farm owner to efficiently manage the weather risk. This stands an inherent element of adapting to the climate change. To emphasise the importance of the subject, also taking the concept of sustainable development into account, the introduction presents the social, economic and environmental dimensions of the climate change. This is followed by the weather risk identification methods, elements of an effective weather risk management in agriculture, the proposed financial and physical security, so that at the end of the present scheme of weather risk analysis in agricultural busines.

Źródło:

Ekonomia i Środowisko; 2016, 2; 95-111
0867-8898

Pojawia się w:

Ekonomia i Środowisko

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 50.

Tytuł:

Modelowanie przepływów w rzece Kaczawa w perspektywie lat 2030 i 2050 (półrocze letnie)
Modelling flows in the Kaczawa River for for the years 2030 and 2050 (summer half-year)

Autorzy:

Kuchar, L.
Iwański, S.
Jelonek, L.
Szalińska, W.

Powiązania:

https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/338240.pdf

Data publikacji:

2012

Wydawca:

Instytut Technologiczno-Przyrodniczy

Tematy:

generowanie danych meteorologicznych
model opad-odpływ
scenariusze zmiany klimatu
climate change scenarios
rainfall-runoff model
Kaczawa River catchment
weather generator

Opis:

W pracy zaprezentowano wpływ potencjalnych zmian klimatu na odpływ w zlewni Kaczawy w perspektywie lat 2030 i 2050 dla półrocza letniego. Odpływ dla badanych okresów obliczono z wykorzystaniem modelu opad-odpływ NAM. Dane meteorologiczne wymagane przez model NAM zostały wygenerowane za pomocą modelu SWGEN, którego kalibrację przeprowadzono na podstawie dobowych danych z lat 1981-2000, obejmujących obserwacje maksymalnej, minimalnej, średniej temperatury powietrza, wartości opadu atmosferycznego i usłonecznienia. Wartości promieniowania całkowitego oszacowano za pomocą wzoru Blacka. Brakujące charakterystyki zbiorcze zostały interpolowane na podstawie istniejących danych. Symulacje przeprowadzono dla aktualnych warunków klimatycznych oraz trzech wybranych scenariuszy: GISS, CCCM oraz GFDL. Wartości parowania potencjalnego oszacowano, wykorzystując zmodyfikowany wzór Turca. Zmiany odpływu zobrazowano rozkładami prawdopodobieństwa i charakterystykami opisowymi. Symulacje umożliwiły określenie potencjalnych zmian średniego dobowego odpływu Kaczawy na wodowskazie Piątnica. Na podstawie przeprowadzonych symulacji stwierdzono wzrost prawdopodobieństwa wstąpienia przepływów ekstremalnych.
The paper presents an effect of potential climate changes on water runoff from the Kaczawa River catchment in summer halves of the years 2030 and 2050. The runoffs for the studied periods were calculated using the rainfall-runoff model NAM. Meteorological data required by the NAM model were generated by the model SWGEN calibrated on daily data from the years 1981-2000. Data included observations of the maximum, minimum and average air temperature, precipitation and sunshine. The values of global radiation were estimated using the Black's formula. Missing characteristics were interpolated from the existing data. Simulations were performed for current climatic conditions and for the three selected scenarios: GISS, CCCM and GFDL. The values of potential evaporation were estimated using the modified Turc's formula. Changes in the outflow were illustrated by probability distribution functions and descriptive characteristics. Simulations enabled identification of potential changes in mean daily discharge at the gauge Piątnica. Based on simulations, an increase in the probability of extreme runoffs is expected.

Źródło:

Woda-Środowisko-Obszary Wiejskie; 2012, 12, 2; 143-157
1642-8145

Pojawia się w:

Woda-Środowisko-Obszary Wiejskie

Dostawca treści:

Biblioteka Nauki

/5

Artykuł

Zmień widok

• na półce