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    Wyświetlanie 1-5 z 5
    Tytuł:
    Price volatility on the USD/JPY market as a measure of investors’ attitude towards risk
    Autorzy:
    Banasiak, Katarzyna
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/453804.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2010
    Wydawca:
    Szkoła Główna Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie. Katedra Ekonometrii i Statystyki
    Tematy:
    risk aversion
    USD/JPY market
    volatility index VIX
    Opis:
    The aim of the paper is to show the relationship between the value of Japanese yen and the investors’ risk aversion. The correlation results from the application of carry trade strategies by investors. An increase in Carry trade positions is associated with the decrease in risk aversion. The Japanese yen is one of the most popular carry trade funding currency and therefore the change in the value of this currency reflects the change in the investors’ mood. This paper shows that there is a negative relationship between the USD/JPY and the risk aversion measured by volatility index (VIX).
    Źródło:
    Metody Ilościowe w Badaniach Ekonomicznych; 2010, 11, 1; 37-44
    2082-792X
    Pojawia się w:
    Metody Ilościowe w Badaniach Ekonomicznych
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Wpływ zmian globalnej awersji do ryzyka na eksperckie prognozy kursów walutowych w kontekście rosnącej internacjonalizacji rynków finansowych
    Impact of changing risk aversion on professionals’ exchange rate forecasts in the context of growing internationalization of financial markets
    Autorzy:
    Jaworski, K.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/964162.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2018
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Katowicach
    Tematy:
    Globalizacja
    Obciążenie prognoz
    Volatility Index – VIX
    Forecast bias
    Globalization
    Opis:
    Zaobserwowano, że prognozy eksperckie analityków wykazują tendencję do błędu w tym samym kierunku („przestrzelenie” w górę albo w dół w stosunku do realizacji) jednocześnie w przypadku większości kursów walutowych rynków wschodzących. W dobie rosnącej internacjonalizacji coraz większą rolę w kształtowaniu kursów walutowych odgrywają mechanizmy związane z globalnymi przepływami kapitału. W artykule wykazano, że zmiany globalnej awersji do ryzyka są czynnikiem powodującym zakłócenia prognoz analityków, a mianowicie występowania jednokierunkowego błędu tych prognoz. Wyniki te dotyczą powiązań nastrojów rynkowych w różnych krajach wskutek globalizacji oraz ich wpływu na zaburzenia oczekiwań rynkowych co do przyszłej wartości kursów walutowych. Mają one znaczenie w analizie własności prognoz kursowych przygotowywanych przez ekspertów – w szczególności w zakresie równania oczekiwań do średniej (mean reversion) oraz obciążenia prognoz (bias).
    It was observed that professionals’ exchange rate forecasts show a tendency to miss the target in the same fashion (overshooting or undershooting vs. the ex post observation) simultaneously in the case of the majority of emerging markets’ exchange rates. Considering growing internationalization, global capital flows play a crucial role in foreign exchange rates fluctuations. This paper shows that changing risk aversion negatively impacts experts’ forecasting accuracy, namely causes the aforementioned one-sided errors. Such finding is noteworthy in the context of interrelationship of market sentiments in different countries due to globalization and its impact on distortions in exchange rate expectations. Our results are also vital regarding the properties of professionals’ exchange rate forecasts – particularly regarding mean reversion and forecast bias.
    Źródło:
    Studia Ekonomiczne; 2018, 372; 149-160
    2083-8611
    Pojawia się w:
    Studia Ekonomiczne
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    The impact of global risk on the performance of socially responsible and conventional stock indices
    Autorzy:
    Śliwiński, Paweł
    Łobza, Maciej
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/22446626.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Instytut Badań Gospodarczych
    Tematy:
    socially responsible investments (SRI)
    socially responsible indices
    investment performance
    financial global risk
    VIX
    Opis:
    Research background: In the last decades social responsible investment has evolved into an important and influential investment class. What supports then the development of SRI? The neoclassical approach suggests that the attractiveness of investment should result from the risk-return relationship that is satisfying for the investor. However, the performance analysis of SRI vs. conventional investment, conducted in numerous research papers, often delivers contradictory conclusions. If financial factors could not explain the phenomenon of SRI, nonfinancial factors may have played a decisive role in the formation of modern SRI market. Purpose of the article: The purpose of this paper is to analyze financial investment performance of socially responsible vs. respective conventional indices in the periods of high, low and unidentified global risk. Therefore, a following research hypothesis was verified: SR indices perform financially better in high-risk periods than in low-risk periods. This hypothesis is justified by the assumption that, when selecting SRI, investors go by a longer investment horizon than they do when selecting other investments, not subject to such verification. Methods: Among SR indices, we chose three to compare them with their conventional counterparts: DJSI US vs. DJITR (USA), DJSI Korea vs. KOSPI (South Korea) and Respect Index vs. WIG20TR (Poland). The VIX index was used as the global measure of risk aversion. To measure the relative performance of SR and conventional indices in different risk periods, we applied risk-adjusted performance measures, including RSD, Sharpe and Treynor ratios, traditional and asymmetrical CAPM. Findings & Value added: The research shows that conventional and socially responsible indices do not differ statistically in terms of risk and return irrespective of global risk. Our research confirms that the rising, socially responsible, investment market cannot be analyzed only through the prism of simplified rational choices. Additionally, it should be analyzed in terms of moral philosophy and behavioral economics, including the psycho-social features of investors.
    Źródło:
    Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy; 2017, 12, 4; 657-674
    1689-765X
    2353-3293
    Pojawia się w:
    Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Does the inclusion of exposure to volatility into diversified portfolio improve the investment results? Portfolio construction from the perspective of a Polish investor
    Autorzy:
    Latoszek, Michał
    Ślepaczuk, Robert
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/557807.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2020
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Poznaniu
    Tematy:
    volatility
    asset class
    portfolio optimization
    Polish market
    VIX
    Markowitz portfolio
    naïve diversification
    Opis:
    The main goal of this research is to analyse the investment benefits from an incorporation of the volatility exposure to the diversified portfolio from the perspective of a Polish investor. Volatility, treated as a new asset class, may improve the performance of the portfolio due to its negative correlation with most types of assets. This topic has been widely investigated for the United States and Europe whereas the Polish market appears to be not heavily researched and this study may fill this gap. The research covers the period from October 2010 to July 2018 and is performed on daily close prices. To construct the portfolios the analysis uses the mean-variance framework and the naïve diversification approach. The comparison of risk-adjusted returns between investments with and without volatility exposure enables an answer to the research question about an improvement of the results by the addition of a non-standard asset to the diversified portfolios. The VXX is considered as the proxy for volatility as it is the most popular ETN which follows the volatility index derivatives with the given maturity. To test the robustness of the results the portfolios are constructed with a broad range of different parameters and assumptions imposed on the optimization procedure.
    Źródło:
    Economics and Business Review; 2020, 6(20), 1; 46-81
    2392-1641
    Pojawia się w:
    Economics and Business Review
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Fear Anatomy – an Attempt to Assess the Impact of Selected Macroeconomic Variables on the Variability of the VIX S&P 500 Index
    Autorzy:
    Markowski, Łukasz
    Keller, Jakub
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/957589.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2020
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Marii Curie-Skłodowskiej. Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Marii Curie-Skłodowskiej
    Tematy:
    VIX index
    volatility index
    macroeconomic indicators
    market efficiency
    U.S. Stock Exchange
    Opis:
    This article deals with the subject of volatility of financial markets in relation to the US stock market and its volatility index, i.e. the VIX index. The authors analyzed previous studies on the VIX index and based on them, defined a research gap that relates to the problem of market response to emerging macroeconomic information about the US economy. The vast majority of research on the VIX index relates to its forecasting based on mathematical models not taking into account current market data. The authors attempted to assess the impact of emerging macro data on the variability of the VIX index, thus illustrating the magnitude of the impact of individual variables on the so-called US Stock Exchange fear index. The study analysed 80 macroeconomic variables in the period from January 2009 to June 2019 in order to check which of them cause the greatest market volatility. The study was based on correlation study and econometric modeling. The obtained results allowed to formulate conclusions indicating the most important macroeconomic parameters that affect the perception of the market by investors through the pricing of options valuation on the S&P 500 index. The authors managed to filter the most important variables for predicting the change of VIX level. In the eyes of the authors, the added value of the article is to indicate the relationship between macro variables and market volatility illustrated by the VIX index, which has not been explored in previous studies. The analyzes carried out are part of the research trend on market information efficiency and broaden knowledge in the area of capital investments.
    Źródło:
    Annales Universitatis Mariae Curie-Skłodowska, sectio H – Oeconomia; 2020, 54, 2; 41-51
    0459-9586
    Pojawia się w:
    Annales Universitatis Mariae Curie-Skłodowska, sectio H – Oeconomia
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
      Wyświetlanie 1-5 z 5

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