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Wyszukujesz frazę "Semi-Markov process" wg kryterium: Temat


Tytuł:
A computational tool for general model of industrial systems operations processes
Autorzy:
Lumanpauw, E.
Habibullah, M. S.
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska, J.
Xie, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069655.pdf
Data publikacji:
2009
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
stochastic process
semi-Markov model
computational tool
reliability
Opis:
The complexities of real industrial systems operation processes require computational methods that can analyze the large data and evaluate the behaviours of these systems. The use of methods such as Bayesian Network, Formal Safety Assessment and Statistical-Model based method were discussed as possibilities. Of which, a computational tool, based on the Semi-Markov model, was developed. This tool was then applied to analyze the behaviour of the operation processes of the oil transportation system in Dębogórze, Poland. The analyses showed that the computational solutions generated compared favorably well with the analytical calculations, enabling possible extensions of the tool to include reliability and optimization evaluations to be explored.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2009, 2; 295--302
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A general model of industrial systems operation processes related to their environment and infrastructure
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069711.pdf
Data publikacji:
2008
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
system operation process
semi-markov process
system in varying operation
Opis:
The operation process of the complex industrial system is considered and its operation states are introduced. The semi-markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the considered complex industrial system operation process. To build this model the vector of probabilities of the system operation process initials operation states, the matrix of probabilities of the system operation process transitions between the operation states, the matrix of conditional distribution functions and the matrix of conditional density functions of the system operation process conditional sojourn times in the operation states are defined. To describe the system operation process conditional sojourn times in the particular operation states the uniform distribution, the triangle distribution, the double trapezium distribution, the exponential distribution, the Weibull distribution and the normal distribution are suggested. Under these all assumptions from the constructed general model the main characteristics of the system operation process are find. The mean values of the system operation process conditional sojourn times in particular operation states having these distributions are calculated. Moreover, the unconditional distribution functions of the system operation process unconditional sojourn times in the particular operation states, the mean values of the system operation process unconditional sojourn times in the particular operation states, the limit values of the transient probabilities of the system operation process at the particular operation states and the mean values of the system operation process total sojourn times in the particular operation states are determined.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2008, 2; 223--226
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A model of fuel combustion process in the marine reciprocating engine work space taking into account load and wear of crankshaft-piston assembly and the theory of semi-Markov processes
Autorzy:
Girtler, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/259557.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Politechnika Gdańska. Wydział Inżynierii Mechanicznej i Okrętownictwa
Tematy:
engine load
marine internal combustion engine
probability
semi-Markov process
crankshaft-piston assembly
Opis:
The article analyses the operation of reciprocal internal combustion engines, with marine engines used as an example. The analysis takes into account types of energy conversion in the work spaces (cylinders) of these engines, loads of their crankshaft-piston assemblies, and types of fuel combustion which can take place in these spaces during engine operation. It is highlighted that the analysed time-dependent loads of marine internal combustion engine crankshaftpiston assemblies are random processes. It is also indicated that the wear of elements of those assemblies resulting from their load should also be considered a random process. A hypothesis is formulated which explains random nature of load and the absence of the theoretically expected detonation combustion in engines supplied with such fuels as Diesel Oil, Marine Diesel Oil, and Heavy Fuel Oil. A model is proposed for fuel combustion in an arbitrary work space of a marine Diesel engine, which has the form of a stochastic four-state process, discrete in states and continuous in time. The model is based on the theory of semi-Markov processes.
Źródło:
Polish Maritime Research; 2016, 3; 50-57
1233-2585
Pojawia się w:
Polish Maritime Research
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A Model of Ship Propulsion Systems Operating Process
Model procesu eksploatacji układu napędowego statku
Autorzy:
Girtler, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/360243.pdf
Data publikacji:
2004
Wydawca:
Akademia Morska w Szczecinie. Wydawnictwo AMSz
Tematy:
proces eksploatacji
proces semimarkowski
układ napędowy statku
EXPLO-SHIP 2004
operation process
semi-Markov process
ship propulsion system
Opis:
The paper contains a formal description of ship propulsion systems operation process. The model of the process is presented in the form of two-dimensional stochastic process of which coordinates are semi-Markov processes of the final states set. The former process describes the process of changes in technical states of ship propulsion systems, the latter - the process of changes in their operating states. A monovariate model of ship propulsion systems operation process has also been proposed.
Podano opis formalny procesu eksploatacji układów napędowych statków. Model tego procesu przedstawiono w formie dwuwymiarowego procesu, którego współrzędnymi są procesy semi-Markowa o skończonych zbiorach stanów. Jeden z tych procesów jest procesem zmian stanów technicznych układów napędowych a drugi - procesem zmian ich stanów eksploatacyjnych. Zaproponowano także jednowymiarowy model procesu eksploatacji układów napędowych statków.
Źródło:
Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie; 2004, 1 (73); 211-220
1733-8670
2392-0378
Pojawia się w:
Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
An importance measure for multi-component systems with Semi-Markov dynamics
Autorzy:
Hellmich, M.
Berg, H. P.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069417.pdf
Data publikacji:
2012
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
multi-component system
importance measure
Semi-Markov process
state space model
Opis:
We consider semi-Markov reliability models of multi-component systems with a discrete state space, general enough to include systems with maintenance or repair. We assume that for all system states the functioning or failure of each component is specified. In this setup we propose a component importance measure which is close in spirit to the classical steady state Barlow–Proschan importance measure for repairable binary coherent systems. We discuss our importance measure to some extent, highlighting the relation to the classical Barlow–Proschan measure, and present formulas expressing it in terms of quantities easily obtained from the building blocks of the semi-Markov process. Finally an example of a two-component cold standby system with maintenance and repair is presented which illustrates how our importance measure can be used in practical applications.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2012, 3, 1; 147--156
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Analysis of operation efficiency of selected transport systems
Autorzy:
Muślewski, Ł.
Lewalski, M.
Aleksandrowicz, P.
Landowski, B.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/245072.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
transport system
efficiency
operation process
maintenance process
semi-Markov process
simulation tests
Opis:
This study deals with the problems connected with evaluation of technical systems efficiency of particular transport systems. The main goal of such a system operation is its effective functioning, through rational control of its particular activities and subsequent processes. A literature analysis of the definition of the efficiency term has been made. A real transport system has been accepted to be the research object. The system belongs to the group of sociotechnical systems in which evaluation of its operation efficiency depends on performance of operators, transport means and the impact of environmental factors. Criteria and methods of operation efficiency evaluation have been determined in this study as well as assessment indexes for transport systems. It has been shown that evaluation of a repair efficiency has a large influence on the efficiency of the whole system operation, especially the influence of secondary failure repairs, on the values of particular efficiency indexes. A semi-markov model of operation and maintenance of transport means used in the research object has been developed. This model provides the basis for evaluation of the influence of the processes involved in preparing transport means for service on the system operation efficiency. Moreover, the research also describes how to verify the developed model and present its simulation tests. The study is summarized with conclusions formulated based on the evaluation of the influence of the operation and maintenance processes on the investigated transport system operation efficiency.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2016, 23, 3; 351-358
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Analysis of the change of qualitative states of transportation system operation
Autorzy:
Muślewski, Ł
Knopik, L.
Woropay, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/247633.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
transport
system operation quality
model
Markov chain
semi-Markov process
expected coast
Opis:
This paper deals with the problems connected with evaluation of a technical system and its being later used for decision making in order to provide complex technical systems with appropriate operation quality. The research object is a real municipal transportation system. The assessment quality of the systems operation is based on the changes of the systems features values. The features describe the operation of the systems operators, controlled technical objects and the environment influence. The assessment and the support the demand quality of the systems operation from the safety, efficiency, economic and reliability point of view is the basic factor of the executed exploitation process. The notion of a system operation quality has been defined, a scheme of an assessment model has been presented and a random process, providing the basis for evaluation of a technical system, has been developed. On the basis of carried out experimental tests there have been distinguished four states of a system operation quality reflecting intervals of values of grades that were characteristic for given time moments. A model of system operation qualitative state changes, based on Markov chain, has been considered in this paper. A system of equations has been determined for a distinguished Markov chain on the basis of which a mathematical model for assessment and control of selected types of transportation systems will be developed.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2014, 21, 3; 251-257
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Analysis of the process of operating an aircraft from aspect of flight safety and effectiveness
Autorzy:
Żurek, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/245779.pdf
Data publikacji:
2009
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
transport
air transport
durability
relibility
semi-Markov process
availability factor
Opis:
This paper presents the method of evaluation of a technical object as immersed in a logistic system with regard to its durability, the operational availability/readiness and the utilisation factor. These factors decide upon the object's effectiveness. For this evaluation probabilistic models from the theory of reliability and of the semi-Markov process were used. For the purpose of this paper as a technical object serves an aircraft. The process of operating an aircraft consists in using its resources to function accumulated during the process of its manufacture and resulting from a periodic regeneration of these resources in order to maintain its capability of being further operated. For the sake of better understanding our discussion we will refer to the sald 'flying craft' as an aircraft (including also other 'means of transport' into this notion). The paper in principle concerns on analysis of safe durability and aircraft availability/readiness analysis. The availability factor of an object in a logistic system expresses the prospective possibility of an effective action. The degree of utilisation of this „potential" for apassenger plane is represented by the occupancy factor. A product ctors of availability and occupancy can describe the overall effectiveness indicator, which characterises the availability and the market demand.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2009, 16, 3; 527-536
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Application of perturbed semi-Markov processes in reliability
Autorzy:
Grabski, F.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069156.pdf
Data publikacji:
2013
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
semi-markov perturbed process
approximate reliability function
asymptotic
Opis:
The paper is concerned with the application of perturbed semi-Markov (SM) processes in reliability problems. There are two kinds of perturbed SM processes presented in the paper. First of them was defined by Shpak and the second one was introduced by Pavlov and Ushakov. Shpak’s concept of perturbed SM is applied for calculating the approximate reliability function of many tasks operation process and Pavlov and Ushakov concept of that one is used to obtain the approximate reliability function of a repairable cold standby system with a switch.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2013, 4, 2; 179--188
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Application of semi-Markov processes for evaluation of diesel engines reliability with regards to diagnostics
Autorzy:
Girtler, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2073613.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Politechnika Gdańska. Wydział Inżynierii Mechanicznej i Okrętownictwa
Tematy:
diagnostics
reliability
semi-Markov process
diesel engine
diagnostic system
diagnostyka
niezawodność
proces semi-Markova
silnik Diesla
system diagnostyczny
Opis:
The paper presents semi-Markov models of technical state transitions for diesel engines, useful for determination of their reliability, as a result of the conducted statistical empirical studies. Interpretation of technical states provided for this sort of engines refers to ship main engines, i.e. engines employed in propulsion systems of sea-going ships. The considerations recognize diesel engine as a diagnosed system (SDN), of which state can be identified by a diagnosing system (SDG). Both of the systems: SDN and SDG compose a diagnostic system (SD). Examples of three-state semi-Markov models were applied to demonstrate that in case of use of proper diagnosing systems (SDG) for identification of technical states of such engines as SDN, by classification of the states to the relevant class of the reference states, it is possible to make use of a Markov model to determine reliability of the engines. For developing a Markov model of state transitions for the engines, there were applied functions of the risk of damage: λ12 that causes transition from state s1 to state s2, and λ13 that causes transition from state s1 to state s3, as well as intensity functions of recovery (restitution): λ21 that causes transition from state s2 to state s1, and λ31 that causes transition from state s3 to state s1.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish CIMEEAC; 2016, 11, 1; 47--53
1231-3998
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish CIMEEAC
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Application of the theory of semi-Markov processes to the development of a reliability model of an automotive vehicle
Zastosowanie teorii procesów semi-Markowa do opracowania modelu niezawodnościowego samochodu
Autorzy:
Girtler, J.
Ślęzak, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1364785.pdf
Data publikacji:
2012
Wydawca:
Sieć Badawcza Łukasiewicz. Przemysłowy Instytut Motoryzacji
Tematy:
niezawodność
proces semimarkowski
samochód
automotive vehicle
reliability
semi-Markov process
Opis:
A possibility of applying the theory of semi-Markov (semimarkovian) processes to the description of the reliability of an automotive vehicle has been presented, with taking a passenger car as an example. In the car considered, such constructional systems (functional components) as engine with fuel, lube oil, and coolant feeding systems, clutch, gearbox, drive shaft, driving axle, steering and suspension system, braking system, electrical system, body with chassis, and measuring and monitoring equipment have been distinguished. A reliability model of the car has been developed in the form of a semi-Markov process, which is a single-state model. The set of reliability states has been built as consisting of one state of car serviceability and ten states of the functional components as specified above. A graph of changes in these states has been shown and an initial distribution and a functional matrix representing changes in the said reliability states of the car have been defined. Formulas have been derived that define the boundary distribution of the process of changes in the technical states of such a car. This distribution represents the probability of the car being serviceable and unserviceable due to a failure of any of the functional components mentioned above. The possibility of using statistics to estimate the probabilities of changes in the said car reliability states has been presented. A possibility of applying the theory of semi-Markov processes to the investigation of car reliability in the case of defining the instantaneous distribution of the process of changes in the car reliability states has also been mentioned.
W artykule przedstawiono możliwość zastosowania teorii procesów semi-Markowa (semimarkowskich) do opisu niezawodności samochodu, na przykładzie samochodu osobowego. W rozważaniach uwzględniony został samochód, w którym wyróżniono takie węzły konstrukcyjne (zespoły funkcjonalne) jak: silnik z układami zasilania czynnikami energetycznymi (paliwem, olejem smarowym i cieczą chłodzącą), sprzęgło, skrzynia biegów, wał napędowy, most napędowy, zespół kierowniczy z zawieszeniem, zespół hamulcowy, zespół urządzeń elektrycznych, nadwozie wraz z podwoziem i zespół urządzeń kontrolno-pomiarowych. Opracowano model niezawodnościowy samochodu w formie procesu semimarkowskiego, który jest modelem jedenastostanowym. Do zbioru stanów niezawodnościowych samochodu zakwalifikowano stan zdatności samochodu oraz dziesięć stanów niezdatności wymienionych zespołów funkcjonalnych. Przedstawiono graf zmian tych stanów oraz określono rozkład początkowy i macierz funkcyjną odwzorowującą zmiany wymienionych stanów niezawodnościowych samochodu. Wyprowadzone zostały wzory określające rozkład graniczny procesu zmian stanów technicznych takiego samochodu. Rozkład ten stanowią prawdopodobieństwa przebywania samochodu w stanie zdatności oraz w stanach niezdatności wskutek uszkodzenia dowolnego z wymienionych jego zespołów funkcjonalnych. Przedstawiono możliwość zastosowania statystyki do oszacowania prawdopodobieństw zmiany wspominanych stanów niezawodnościowych samochodu. Zasygnalizowano także możliwość zastosowania teorii procesów semimarkowskich do badań niezawodności samochodów w przypadku opracowania rozkładu chwilowego procesu zmian ich stanów niezawodnościowych.
Źródło:
Archiwum Motoryzacji; 2012, 2; 15-27
1234-754X
2084-476X
Pojawia się w:
Archiwum Motoryzacji
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Application of theory of semi-Markov processes to determining distribution of probabilistic process of marine accidents resulting from collision of ships
Autorzy:
Girtler, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/260618.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Politechnika Gdańska. Wydział Inżynierii Mechanicznej i Okrętownictwa
Tematy:
critical manoeuvre
port
probability
semi-Markov process
sea-going ship
Opis:
In this paper is presented possible application of the theory of semi-Markov processes to elaborating an eight-state model of the process of occurrence of serviceability state and unserviceability states of sea-going ships making critical manoeuvres during their entering and leaving the ports. In the analysis it was taken into account that sea-going ships are in service for a very long time t (t → ∞). The model was elaborated to determine the probability (P0) of correct execution of critical manoeuvres during ship’s entering and leaving the port as well as the probabilities Pj(j = 1, 2, 3, …, 7) of incorrect execution of critical manoeuvres by a ship, that leads to marine accidents. It was assumed that such accidents result from: ship’s grounding on port approaching fairway, collision with a ship on port approching fairway, collision with a pierhead during passing through port entrance, collision with a hydrotechnical structure during ship’s passing through port channels, collision with a port quay during coming alongside it and collision with a ship already moored to the quay. The probability (P0) was assumed a measure of safe execution of a critical manoeuvre. The probability characterizes possibility of avoiding any collision during ship’s entering and leaving the port. The probability Pa = 1 – P0 was assumed a measure of occurrence of a collsion and - consequently - marine accident. The probability Pa was interpreted as a sum of the probabilities Pj(j = 1, 2, 3, …, 7) of occurrence of all the selected events. In summing up the paper, attention was drawn to its merits which - in opinion of this author - are crucial for research on real process of accidents during entering the port and leaving it by sea-going ship in difficult navigation conditions.
Źródło:
Polish Maritime Research; 2014, 1; 9-13
1233-2585
Pojawia się w:
Polish Maritime Research
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Attempts at calculating chosen contributors with regard to the Semi- Markov process and the Weibull function distribution
Autorzy:
Zajac, M.
Kierzkowski, A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069531.pdf
Data publikacji:
2011
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
Semi Markov process
exponential distribution
availability
transient probabilities
Opis:
The main aim of this article is the presentation of the way of making calculation with the application of the semi-Markov processes, with the continuous time t, where non-exponential distribution function is going to be applied. These type of calculations were published but the time there was approaching infinity. Engineering practice proves that the lack of solutions of this issue leads to obtainment of solutions that are encumbered with errors. This article is the first attempt of the error analysis.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2011, 2, 1; 217--222
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Availability of a technical object determined in a finite time interval
Autorzy:
Woropay, M.
Migawa, K.
Bojar, P.
Szubartowski, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/247070.pdf
Data publikacji:
2011
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
transport system
operation process
semi-Markov model
availability
Opis:
In the article, a method for determination of the technical object availability, GO (r) in a finite time interval x, defined by the time of the transport task duration, has been discussed. All of the study has been presented on the example of a selected system of technical object operation - a system of transport means operation, in a big urban complex (more than 400 thousand inhabitants). Direct performance of the transport tasks in the analyzed system is the responsibility of an executive system consisting of elementary subsystems of the type operator- transport means. Availability of transport means elementary subsystems is crucial for efficient accomplishment of transport tasks. The presented method involves determination of the technical object availability, on the basis of a mathematical model of the operation process which takes place in the studied system, taking into consideration the technical object reliability characteristics. For this purpose, significant states of the transport means operation have been determined and they have been classified in terms of the availability criterion. Basing on this, an event and mathematical models of transport means operation process have been developed, with the semi Markov homogenous model serving as a mathematical model of the studied operation process. Also, values of the analyzed characteristics have been determined.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2011, 18, 4; 555-562
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Complex technical systems safety prediction
Autorzy:
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069501.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
safety function
complex system
Semi-Markov process
system operation process
Opis:
There are presented general safety analytical models of complex multistate technical systems related to their operation processes. They are the integrated general models of complex technical systems, linking their multistate safety models and their operation processes models and considering variable at the different operation states safety structures and their components safety parameters. The conditional safety functions at the system particular operation states and independent of the system particular operation states the unconditional safety function and the risk function of the complex technical systems are defined. These joint models of the safety and the variable in time system operation processes are constructed for multistate series, parallel, “m out of n”, consecutive “m out of n: F”, series-parallel, parallel-series, series-“m out of k”, “mi out of li”-series, series-consecutive “m out of k: F” and consecutive “mi out of li: F”-series systems. The joint models are applied to determining safety characteristics of these systems related to their varying in time safety structures and their components safety characteristics. Under the assumption that the considered systems are exponential, the unconditional safety functions of these systems are determined. The proposed models and methods are applied to the safety analysis, evaluation and prediction of the one subsystem of the port grain transportation system related to varying in time their operation processes, structures and components safety parameters.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2014, 5, 2; 127--142
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł

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