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Tytuł:
A combined method for reliability analysis of multi-state system of minor-repairable components
Łączona metoda analizy niezawodności systemu wielostanowego skła dającego się z elementów podlegających drobnej naprawie
Autorzy:
Qin, J.
Niu, Y.
Li, Z.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/300969.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Polskie Naukowo-Techniczne Towarzystwo Eksploatacyjne PAN
Tematy:
multi-state system
reliability index
Markov stochastic process
universal generating function
minor repair
system wielostanowy
wskaźnik niezawodności
proces stochastyczny Markowa
uniwersalna funkcja tworząca
drobne naprawy
Opis:
This paper discusses the multi-state system (MSS) consisted of multi-state components with minor failure and minor repair. In order to obtain the reliability indices of MSS, a new combined method is suggested. This method is based on the Markov stochastic process and the universal generating function (UGF) technology. The traditional idea of modeling the MSS is to use straightforward Markov process. That is not effective enough for the MSS because the model of the system is complicated usually and the state space often arouses “dimension curse” - huge numbers of the states. We suggest it should model the multi-state components and the UGF of multi-state components can be obtained firstly. Then the MSS can be decomposed into several subsystems which only contain simple series-parallel structure. According to the physical nature of the subsystems, the UGF of those subsystems can be employed recursively. Furthermore the UGF of the entire MSS will be obtained. Therefore, the reliability indices of the MSS can be evaluated easily. The suggested method simplifies greatly the complexity of calculation and is well formulized. Two numerical examples illustrate this method.
W artykule omówiono system wielostanowy (multi-state system, MSS) składający się z elementów wielostanowych, które mogą ulegać drobnym uszkodzeniom i podlegają drobnym naprawom. Zaproponowano nową metodę łączoną, która pozwala wyznaczać wskaźniki niezawodności MSS. Metoda ta opiera się na procesie stochastycznym Markowa oraz technologii uniwersalnej funkcji tworzącej (universal generating function, UGF). Tradycyjnie do modelowania MSS wykorzystuje się sam proces Markowa. Metoda ta nie jest jednak wystarczająco skuteczna w przypadku MSS, ponieważ modele tego typu systemów są zazwyczaj skomplikowane, a przestrzeń stanów często prowadzi do tzw. "przekleństwa wielowymiarowości" – konieczności uwzględnienia ogromnej liczby stanów. Nasza metoda polega na modelowaniu elementów wielostanowych, dla których, w pierwszej kolejności wyznacza się UGF. Następnie MSS można rozłożyć na kilka podsystemów, które mają prostą strukturę szeregowo-równoległą. Charakter fizyczny tych podsystemów, pozwala na rekurencyjne stosowanie UGF dla tych podsystemów. Ponadto metoda umożliwia wyznaczenie UGF dla całego MSS, co pozwala na łatwą ocenę wskaźników niezawodności MSS. Proponowana metoda znacznie upraszcza obliczenia i jest dobrze sformalizowana. W pracy przedstawiono dwa przykłady numeryczne, które ilustrują omawianą metodę.
Źródło:
Eksploatacja i Niezawodność; 2016, 18, 1; 80-88
1507-2711
Pojawia się w:
Eksploatacja i Niezawodność
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A computational tool for general model of industrial systems operations processes
Autorzy:
Lumanpauw, E.
Habibullah, M. S.
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska, J.
Xie, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069655.pdf
Data publikacji:
2009
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
stochastic process
semi-Markov model
computational tool
reliability
Opis:
The complexities of real industrial systems operation processes require computational methods that can analyze the large data and evaluate the behaviours of these systems. The use of methods such as Bayesian Network, Formal Safety Assessment and Statistical-Model based method were discussed as possibilities. Of which, a computational tool, based on the Semi-Markov model, was developed. This tool was then applied to analyze the behaviour of the operation processes of the oil transportation system in Dębogórze, Poland. The analyses showed that the computational solutions generated compared favorably well with the analytical calculations, enabling possible extensions of the tool to include reliability and optimization evaluations to be explored.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2009, 2; 295--302
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A Deep Q-Learning Network for ship stowage planning problem
Autorzy:
Shen, Y.
Zhao, N.
Xia, M.
Du, X.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/260614.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Politechnika Gdańska. Wydział Inżynierii Mechanicznej i Okrętownictwa
Tematy:
Deep Q-Leaning Network (DQN)
container terminal
ship stowage plan
markov decision process
value function approximation
generalization
Opis:
Ship stowage plan is the management connection of quae crane scheduling and yard crane scheduling. The quality of ship stowage plan affects the productivity greatly. Previous studies mainly focuses on solving stowage planning problem with online searching algorithm, efficiency of which is significantly affected by case size. In this study, a Deep Q-Learning Network (DQN) is proposed to solve ship stowage planning problem. With DQN, massive calculation and training is done in pre-training stage, while in application stage stowage plan can be made in seconds. To formulate network input, decision factors are analyzed to compose feature vector of stowage plan. States subject to constraints, available action and reward function of Q-value are designed. With these information and design, an 8-layer DQN is formulated with an evaluation function of mean square error is composed to learn stowage planning. At the end of this study, several production cases are solved with proposed DQN to validate the effectiveness and generalization ability. Result shows a good availability of DQN to solve ship stowage planning problem.
Źródło:
Polish Maritime Research; 2017, S 3; 102-109
1233-2585
Pojawia się w:
Polish Maritime Research
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A general model of industrial systems operation processes related to their environment and infrastructure
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069711.pdf
Data publikacji:
2008
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
system operation process
semi-markov process
system in varying operation
Opis:
The operation process of the complex industrial system is considered and its operation states are introduced. The semi-markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the considered complex industrial system operation process. To build this model the vector of probabilities of the system operation process initials operation states, the matrix of probabilities of the system operation process transitions between the operation states, the matrix of conditional distribution functions and the matrix of conditional density functions of the system operation process conditional sojourn times in the operation states are defined. To describe the system operation process conditional sojourn times in the particular operation states the uniform distribution, the triangle distribution, the double trapezium distribution, the exponential distribution, the Weibull distribution and the normal distribution are suggested. Under these all assumptions from the constructed general model the main characteristics of the system operation process are find. The mean values of the system operation process conditional sojourn times in particular operation states having these distributions are calculated. Moreover, the unconditional distribution functions of the system operation process unconditional sojourn times in the particular operation states, the mean values of the system operation process unconditional sojourn times in the particular operation states, the limit values of the transient probabilities of the system operation process at the particular operation states and the mean values of the system operation process total sojourn times in the particular operation states are determined.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2008, 2; 223--226
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A Markov model of a complex technical system operating in basic and emergency modes
Autorzy:
Malinowski, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069139.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
multi-state system
Markov process
failure rate
repair rate
component importance
transition intensity
Opis:
A complex technical system built of independent repairable components with constant failure and repair rates is examined. The system can operate in either basic or emergency mode, and its behavior is modeled by a three-state Markov process. It is demonstrated how to obtain closed formulas for the state probabilities of this process and the so-called importances of individual components to the inter-state transitions. Such an importance is defined as the probability that a component’s failure/repair causes a transition between two given states of the modeling process. The obtained formulas allow to compute a number of reliability parameters characterizing the dynamics of the system’s operation. The obtained results are illustrated by their application to an exemplary reliability block diagram that can be a model of a power supply network, a gas or oil pipeline system, etc.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2015, 6, 2; 89--96
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A model of fuel combustion process in the marine reciprocating engine work space taking into account load and wear of crankshaft-piston assembly and the theory of semi-Markov processes
Autorzy:
Girtler, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/259557.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Politechnika Gdańska. Wydział Inżynierii Mechanicznej i Okrętownictwa
Tematy:
engine load
marine internal combustion engine
probability
semi-Markov process
crankshaft-piston assembly
Opis:
The article analyses the operation of reciprocal internal combustion engines, with marine engines used as an example. The analysis takes into account types of energy conversion in the work spaces (cylinders) of these engines, loads of their crankshaft-piston assemblies, and types of fuel combustion which can take place in these spaces during engine operation. It is highlighted that the analysed time-dependent loads of marine internal combustion engine crankshaftpiston assemblies are random processes. It is also indicated that the wear of elements of those assemblies resulting from their load should also be considered a random process. A hypothesis is formulated which explains random nature of load and the absence of the theoretically expected detonation combustion in engines supplied with such fuels as Diesel Oil, Marine Diesel Oil, and Heavy Fuel Oil. A model is proposed for fuel combustion in an arbitrary work space of a marine Diesel engine, which has the form of a stochastic four-state process, discrete in states and continuous in time. The model is based on the theory of semi-Markov processes.
Źródło:
Polish Maritime Research; 2016, 3; 50-57
1233-2585
Pojawia się w:
Polish Maritime Research
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A Model of Ship Propulsion Systems Operating Process
Model procesu eksploatacji układu napędowego statku
Autorzy:
Girtler, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/360243.pdf
Data publikacji:
2004
Wydawca:
Akademia Morska w Szczecinie. Wydawnictwo AMSz
Tematy:
proces eksploatacji
proces semimarkowski
układ napędowy statku
EXPLO-SHIP 2004
operation process
semi-Markov process
ship propulsion system
Opis:
The paper contains a formal description of ship propulsion systems operation process. The model of the process is presented in the form of two-dimensional stochastic process of which coordinates are semi-Markov processes of the final states set. The former process describes the process of changes in technical states of ship propulsion systems, the latter - the process of changes in their operating states. A monovariate model of ship propulsion systems operation process has also been proposed.
Podano opis formalny procesu eksploatacji układów napędowych statków. Model tego procesu przedstawiono w formie dwuwymiarowego procesu, którego współrzędnymi są procesy semi-Markowa o skończonych zbiorach stanów. Jeden z tych procesów jest procesem zmian stanów technicznych układów napędowych a drugi - procesem zmian ich stanów eksploatacyjnych. Zaproponowano także jednowymiarowy model procesu eksploatacji układów napędowych statków.
Źródło:
Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie; 2004, 1 (73); 211-220
1733-8670
2392-0378
Pojawia się w:
Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A Model the Process of Overcoming Multizone Protection Stationary Object by an Intruder
Model procesu pokonywania wielostrefowej ochrony obiektu stacjonarnego przez intruza
Autorzy:
Konopacki, G.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/305949.pdf
Data publikacji:
2012
Wydawca:
Wojskowa Akademia Techniczna im. Jarosława Dąbrowskiego
Tematy:
ochrona obiektów
modelowanie
proces Markowa
protection of objects
modeling
process of Markov
Opis:
The article examines a model of the process to overcome multi-zone protection for a stationary object (buildings, together with the adjacent area) by a determined passive intruder, which means the intruder is not affecting the active protection system (for both equipment and people) and not intending to stop the action before achieving a protected object. As a tool for describing the actions the intruder was proposed a process of Markov class CD, whose character is presented in the form of analytical equations Chapman - Kolmogorov. The article presents a solution to this system and discusses its practical usefulness.
W artykule rozpatruje się model procesu pokonywania wielostrefowej ochrony obiektu stacjonarnego (zabudowania wraz z przyległym terenem) przez pasywnego intruza zdeterminowanego, co oznacza intruza nie oddziałującego czynnie na system ochrony (dotyczy zarówno urządzeń, jak i osób) oraz nie zamierzającego przerwać działań przed ociągnięciem celu, tj. obiektu chronionego. Jako narzędzie opisu procesu działań intruza został zaproponowany proces Markowa klasy CD, którego postać analityczną przedstawiono w postaci układu równań Chapmana - Kołmogorowa. W artykule przedstawiono rozwiązanie tego układu i omówiono jego przydatność praktyczną.
Źródło:
Biuletyn Instytutu Systemów Informatycznych; 2012, 9; 9-14
1508-4183
Pojawia się w:
Biuletyn Instytutu Systemów Informatycznych
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A stochastic model of changes in the operational states of means of transport
Autorzy:
Landowski, B.
Perczyński, D.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/949491.pdf
Data publikacji:
2018
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
homogeneous Markov process
operation process
operational state
transport means
Opis:
In the article, application of a Markov process for modelling the process of transport means operational state changes whose duration times can be estimated by Erlang distribution is presented. The research object is a system of city bus transport operation, used in a selected agglomeration. A homogenous Markov process was assumed a mathematical model of the process of transport means operation. Transformation of a stochastic process, for which distributions of random variables denoting duration times of the states are Erlang distributions, into a stochastic process characterized by exponential distribution of the state duration times, was performed at the costs of the state space extension. The use of a homogeneous Markov process for mathematical modelling of the operation process was dictated by the fact that the process reflects adequately, from the point of view of the research goal, the real operation process. In order to illustrate the process, a hypothetical, simplified calculation example was provided. Reliability of technical objects needs to be maintained at appropriate level, which is the responsibility of the repair and maintenance subsystem ensuring. This subsystem consists of two subsystems. The main tasks of the mobile emergency teams include providing vehicles, that is, buses that are outside the depot with the serviceability state as quickly as possible or hauling damaged buses to technical service stations.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2018, 25, 2; 223-230
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A theoretical framework for determining the appropriate level of subsidy in an economy
Autorzy:
Osagiede, A. A.
Ekhosuehi, V. U.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/406643.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Politechnika Wrocławska. Oficyna Wydawnicza Politechniki Wrocławskiej
Tematy:
entropy
Markov process
per capita income
subsidy
Opis:
A framework has been developed for determining the subsidy that, in the long run, serves to equalize the per capita income shares across income classes. The framework characterizes the income dynamics by the Markov process and uses the principle of maximum entropy for selecting among alternative subsidy schemes. The study provides a means to forecast the per capita income shares at any instant of time and serves as an objective tool to decide on the appropriate level of subsidy.
Źródło:
Operations Research and Decisions; 2015, 25, 2; 19-35
2081-8858
2391-6060
Pojawia się w:
Operations Research and Decisions
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
An efficient microgrid model based on Markov fuzzy demand-side management
Autorzy:
Jabash Samuel, G. K.
Sivagama Sundari, M. S.
Bhavani, R.
Jasmine Gnanamalar, A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/27311444.pdf
Data publikacji:
2023
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Czasopisma i Monografie PAN
Tematy:
smart grid
fuzzy Markov decision process
power scheduling
operating cost
nonlinear model predictive control
inteligentna sieć
planowanie mocy
koszt operacyjny
proces decyzyjny Markowa rozmyty
regulator predykcyjny nieliniowego modelu
Opis:
Today’s electricity management mainly focuses on smart grid implementation for better power utilization. Supply-demand balancing, and high operating costs are still considered the most challenging factors in the smart grid. To overcome this drawback, a Markov fuzzy real-time demand-side manager (MARKOV FRDSM) is proposed to reduce the operating cost of the smart grid system and maintain a supply-demand balance in an uncertain environment. In addition, a non-linear model predictive controller (NMPC) is designed to give a global solution to the non-linear optimization problem with real-time requirements based on the uncertainties over the forecasted load demands and current load status. The proposed MARKOV FRDSM provides a faster scale power allocation concerning fuzzy optimization and deals with uncertainties and imprecision. The implemented results show the proposed MARKOV FRDSM model reduces the cost of operation of the microgrid by 1.95%, 1.16%, and 1.09% than the existing method such as differential evolution and real coded genetic algorithm and maintains the supply-demand balance in the microgrid.
Źródło:
Bulletin of the Polish Academy of Sciences. Technical Sciences; 2023, 71, 3; art. no. e145569
0239-7528
Pojawia się w:
Bulletin of the Polish Academy of Sciences. Technical Sciences
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
An importance measure for multi-component systems with Semi-Markov dynamics
Autorzy:
Hellmich, M.
Berg, H. P.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069417.pdf
Data publikacji:
2012
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
multi-component system
importance measure
Semi-Markov process
state space model
Opis:
We consider semi-Markov reliability models of multi-component systems with a discrete state space, general enough to include systems with maintenance or repair. We assume that for all system states the functioning or failure of each component is specified. In this setup we propose a component importance measure which is close in spirit to the classical steady state Barlow–Proschan importance measure for repairable binary coherent systems. We discuss our importance measure to some extent, highlighting the relation to the classical Barlow–Proschan measure, and present formulas expressing it in terms of quantities easily obtained from the building blocks of the semi-Markov process. Finally an example of a two-component cold standby system with maintenance and repair is presented which illustrates how our importance measure can be used in practical applications.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2012, 3, 1; 147--156
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Analysis of operation efficiency of selected transport systems
Autorzy:
Muślewski, Ł.
Lewalski, M.
Aleksandrowicz, P.
Landowski, B.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/245072.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
transport system
efficiency
operation process
maintenance process
semi-Markov process
simulation tests
Opis:
This study deals with the problems connected with evaluation of technical systems efficiency of particular transport systems. The main goal of such a system operation is its effective functioning, through rational control of its particular activities and subsequent processes. A literature analysis of the definition of the efficiency term has been made. A real transport system has been accepted to be the research object. The system belongs to the group of sociotechnical systems in which evaluation of its operation efficiency depends on performance of operators, transport means and the impact of environmental factors. Criteria and methods of operation efficiency evaluation have been determined in this study as well as assessment indexes for transport systems. It has been shown that evaluation of a repair efficiency has a large influence on the efficiency of the whole system operation, especially the influence of secondary failure repairs, on the values of particular efficiency indexes. A semi-markov model of operation and maintenance of transport means used in the research object has been developed. This model provides the basis for evaluation of the influence of the processes involved in preparing transport means for service on the system operation efficiency. Moreover, the research also describes how to verify the developed model and present its simulation tests. The study is summarized with conclusions formulated based on the evaluation of the influence of the operation and maintenance processes on the investigated transport system operation efficiency.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2016, 23, 3; 351-358
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Analysis of the change of qualitative states of transportation system operation
Autorzy:
Muślewski, Ł
Knopik, L.
Woropay, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/247633.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
transport
system operation quality
model
Markov chain
semi-Markov process
expected coast
Opis:
This paper deals with the problems connected with evaluation of a technical system and its being later used for decision making in order to provide complex technical systems with appropriate operation quality. The research object is a real municipal transportation system. The assessment quality of the systems operation is based on the changes of the systems features values. The features describe the operation of the systems operators, controlled technical objects and the environment influence. The assessment and the support the demand quality of the systems operation from the safety, efficiency, economic and reliability point of view is the basic factor of the executed exploitation process. The notion of a system operation quality has been defined, a scheme of an assessment model has been presented and a random process, providing the basis for evaluation of a technical system, has been developed. On the basis of carried out experimental tests there have been distinguished four states of a system operation quality reflecting intervals of values of grades that were characteristic for given time moments. A model of system operation qualitative state changes, based on Markov chain, has been considered in this paper. A system of equations has been determined for a distinguished Markov chain on the basis of which a mathematical model for assessment and control of selected types of transportation systems will be developed.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2014, 21, 3; 251-257
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Analysis of the process of operating an aircraft from aspect of flight safety and effectiveness
Autorzy:
Żurek, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/245779.pdf
Data publikacji:
2009
Wydawca:
Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Tematy:
transport
air transport
durability
relibility
semi-Markov process
availability factor
Opis:
This paper presents the method of evaluation of a technical object as immersed in a logistic system with regard to its durability, the operational availability/readiness and the utilisation factor. These factors decide upon the object's effectiveness. For this evaluation probabilistic models from the theory of reliability and of the semi-Markov process were used. For the purpose of this paper as a technical object serves an aircraft. The process of operating an aircraft consists in using its resources to function accumulated during the process of its manufacture and resulting from a periodic regeneration of these resources in order to maintain its capability of being further operated. For the sake of better understanding our discussion we will refer to the sald 'flying craft' as an aircraft (including also other 'means of transport' into this notion). The paper in principle concerns on analysis of safe durability and aircraft availability/readiness analysis. The availability factor of an object in a logistic system expresses the prospective possibility of an effective action. The degree of utilisation of this „potential" for apassenger plane is represented by the occupancy factor. A product ctors of availability and occupancy can describe the overall effectiveness indicator, which characterises the availability and the market demand.
Źródło:
Journal of KONES; 2009, 16, 3; 527-536
1231-4005
2354-0133
Pojawia się w:
Journal of KONES
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
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