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Wyświetlanie 1-15 z 58
Tytuł:
Ankietowe badania koniunktury a polityka makroekonomiczna
Business Surveys and Macroeconomic Policy
Autorzy:
Adamowicz, Elżbieta
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/499934.pdf
Data publikacji:
1999
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:
Koniunktura gospodarcza, Polityka gospodarcza, Badania ankietowe, Badania koniunktury
Business trends, Economic policy, Questionnaire survey, Business surveys
Opis:
Business surveys are an important guidance for the purpose of govemment’s economic policy. They provide us with current information on the condition and prospects of national economy. They also show estimated changes in such economic variables as production, employment, order-books, stocks, prices, costs, etc. Qualitative data from business surveys can significantly reduce uncertainty about the proper course of current economic policies. The information rendered by the RIED’s business surveys, notably by the industrial survey, has proved its accuracy against the actual development of the economy during the last few years. Govemmental bodies responsible for economic policy should pay more attention to the results of business surveys if they wish to avoid faulty decisions.
Źródło:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH; 1999, 64; 13-16
0866-9503
Pojawia się w:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Badania koniunktury a polityka makroekonomiczna
The Researches of Economic Situation Versus Macroeconomic Policy
Autorzy:
Adamowicz, Elżbieta
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/500239.pdf
Data publikacji:
1999
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:
Koniunktura gospodarcza, Polityka makroekonomiczna, Polityka gospodarcza, Badania koniunktury
Business trends, Macroeconomic policy, Economic policy, Business surveys
Opis:
Business survey provides, among the others, the information of changes of such variables as: production, order, employment, stocks and prices. In the business cycle theories these variables are relevant to the dynamics of the economic activity’s level. And so both the production and employment are procyclical and treated as the simultaneous variables, while order and prices are also procyclical and regarded as the attentive ones. Stocks are counter-cyclical, unit cost is procyclical and is treated as a delatory variable. Observatation of the dynamics of these values' changes in connection with the dynamics of the generał business indicator enriches the infomation, used in macroeconomic policy. Fast gaining these information makes possible the decrease of delays and insecurity range in the economy first of all. It is particulary important in case of the economies in transition, like Polish economy.
Źródło:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH; 1999, 63; 71-87
0866-9503
Pojawia się w:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Dostosowanie ankiety badania koniunktury w przemyśle przetwórczym IRG do zaleceń Unii Europejskiej
Adjusting the Survey, Carried Out by the IRG on the Economic Situation in Food Processing Industry, to the Requirements of the European Union Procedures
Autorzy:
Adamowicz, Elżbieta
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/500251.pdf
Data publikacji:
1998
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:
Koniunktura gospodarcza, Badania ankietowe, Przemysł przetwórczy, Badania koniunktury
Business trends, Questionnaire survey, Processing industry, Business surveys
Opis:
Artykuł poświęcony został problemom harmonizacji testu przemysłowego do zaleceń OECD i wymagań UE. Przedstawiono zharmonizowany kwestionariusz ankiet, do badania koniunktury w przemyśle przetwórczym oraz zmiany jakie nastąpiły w formularzu ankiety IRG zapewniające harmonizację z wymogami UE.
There was no research on economic situation carried out in Central and Eastern European countries during the era of centralized control of economic processes. The research initiated by the Institute in 1986 was an utter precedence of its kind. The work on harmonizing the survey forms used for researching economic situation in countries undergoing system transformation started in 1990 under the guidance of the OECD, the European Union (Eurostat), and CIRET (Center for International Research on Economic Tendency Survey). Anex 1 features a harmonized version (in English) of a survey form according to the recommendations of the OECD and the EU (Eurostat); Anex 2 provides a full version of the Institute's survey form for economic situation research in the processing industry. (J.W.)
Źródło:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH; 1998, 59; 55-69
0866-9503
Pojawia się w:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Możliwości opisu stanu gospodarki na podstawie testów koniunktury
Possibilities of describing economic situation based on business activity tests
Autorzy:
Adamowicz, Elżbieta
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/500456.pdf
Data publikacji:
1998
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:
Koniunktura gospodarcza, Badania ankietowe, Metoda testu koniunkturalnego, Badania koniunktury
Business trends, Questionnaire survey, Business condition test method, Business surveys
Opis:
In chapter 1, business activity tests, conducted by the IRG (Research Institute of Economic Development, Warsaw School of Economics) since 1986, have been described. Variables observed in individual projects have been presented with concentration on questionnaires used to analyze business activity in manufacturing and construction industries. Research tools used by the RIED werę compared with requirements of the European Union and EUROSTAT, and conchision has been reached that RIED business activity tests are consistent with harmonization requirements. As a result, it is possible to use data collected by the means of questionnaires for international comparisons. Business activity tests are a specific form of monitoring the current State of Polish economy. Regular observations of behavior of enterprises, repeated in monthly (industry) or quarterly (construction) cycles, allow to conclude what kond of behavior dominates among businesses. Getting acquainted with responses of enterprises is particularly important in the period of system transformation. It allows to analyze the rate of changes in various fields of economic activity and to adjust macroeconomic policy tools to phenomena taking place in the economy. Data collected as the result of business activity survey’s allow to analyze business activity as a business cycle. In particular, they make it possible to determine, with advance in comparison to data collected by traditional methods, the critical points of a cycle which point to changes in direction of economic activity. Thanks to that property, so-called early warning indicators are designed. Growing demand for information on real economy makes data collected as a result of business activity tests a valuable source of additional information. To use it, however, it is necessary to find research methods and tools which allow to predict trends on the basis of qualitative data. This study describes efforts to find these tools.
Źródło:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH; 1998, 60; 7-30
0866-9503
Pojawia się w:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Możliwości dostosowania złożonych wskaźników jakościowych szacowanych w Polsce (na podstawie badań ankietowych GUS) do standardów Unii Europejskiej
Adaptability of Composite Qualitative Indicators Based on CSO Survey Data to EU Harmonized Standards
Autorzy:
Barczyk, Ryszard
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/500022.pdf
Data publikacji:
1999
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:
Koniunktura gospodarcza, Cykl koniunkturalny, Wahania koniunkturalne, Syntetyczny wskaźnik aktywności gospodarczej, Wskaźniki jakościowe
Business trends, Business cycles, Business fluctuations, Synthetic indicator of economic activity, Qualitative coefficients
Opis:
The paper presents several composite indicators of business activity based on the CSO survey data for manufacturing, construction, and retail trade, developed according to EU concepts and standards. These include confidence indicators for individual sectors and various indices of business climate. The time series cover the period between 1992 or 1993 and 1998. Empirical analysis of time series, confronted with the reference index of industrial output, enabled the author to discriminate upward and downward phases of cyclical movement. Some of the composite indicators cannot be fully suited to EU concepts because of different input data. General condition of national economy can be estimated using the economic climate index based on the assessment of the current and future economic situation of enterprises in manufacturing and trade. The more comprehensive concept of economic sentiment indicator could not be compiled due to the lack of CSO survey data for households.
Źródło:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH; 1999, 64; 333-346
0866-9503
Pojawia się w:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Wahania koniunktury gospodarczej w Polsce i Niemczech
Business Cycles in Poland and in Germany
Autorzy:
Barczyk, Ryszard
Kruszka, Michał
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/500160.pdf
Data publikacji:
1999
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:
Koniunktura gospodarcza, Cykl koniunkturalny, Wahania koniunkturalne
Business trends, Business cycles, Business fluctuations
Opis:
Fluctuations observed in the post-socialist economies in Eastem Europe are shaped by different institutional and social conditions than those prevailing in the developed market economies of Western Europę. Nevertheless, the mechanism of business cycles and their morphological features may be quite similar, and the methods employed in an empirical analysis may be the same. This study compares cyclical developments in the economies of Poland and Germany, as reflected by the industrial production index.
Źródło:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH; 1999, 64; 17-30
0866-9503
Pojawia się w:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Wstępne wyniki analizy syntetycznych wskaźników koniunktury opartych na wynikach badań ankietowych GUS
Preliminary Results of Analysis of the Synthetic Indicators of Economic Activity Based on the CSO Survey Data
Autorzy:
Barczyk, Ryszard
Łuczyński, Wojciech
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/500170.pdf
Data publikacji:
1998
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:
Koniunktura gospodarcza, Syntetyczny wskaźnik koniunktury gospodarczej, Badania ankietowe
Business trends, Synthetic indicator of the business climate, Questionnaire survey
Opis:
This paper brings some preliminary results of a parallel, independent analysis made on the synthetic indicators of economic activity for Poland compiled according to five altemative formulas developed by Z. Matkowski and filled with the CSO survey data. Apparent seasonality seen on charts has been additionally evidenced by autocorrelation functions. Correlation results show which variants of the indicator have similar empirical distribution and which are quite different. The final choice of the formula will be made after the completion of the analysis.
Źródło:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH; 1998, 61; 181-190
0866-9503
Pojawia się w:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Proces tworzenia opłat za wodę dla odbiorców miejskich w Polsce. Próba modelu
Autorzy:
Bartoszczuk, Paweł
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/500002.pdf
Data publikacji:
1999
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:
Koniunktura gospodarcza, Handel, Przedsiębiorstwo handlowe
Business trends, Trade, Commercial enterprises
Opis:
W artykule poddano analizie stan koniunktury w polskim handlu ogółem oraz w różnych ujęciach i przekrojach: według rodzaju własności przedsiębiorstw handlowych, w rozróżnieniu na handel hurtowy i detaliczny, według wielkości jednostek osadniczych, w których działają przedsiębiorstwa handlowe i według wielkości tych przedsiębiorstw.
The overall situation in Polish trade has been analyzed. In particular, the paper has presented various aspects and cross-section analysis involving, for example, the types of ownership, the types of trade i.e. wholesale or retail, the sizes of the settlement units in which trade firms operate, and the sizes of the trade firms. (J.W.)
Źródło:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH; 1999, 62; 21-34
0866-9503
Pojawia się w:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Prognozowanie wielkości makroekonomicznych z wykorzystaniem modelu LAM 3.0: Perspektywy rozwoju gospodarczego Polski w roku 2000
Prognosticate of Macroeconomic Dimensions with Use of LAM 3.0 Model: Perspectives of Economic Development in Poland in 2000 Year
Autorzy:
Charemza, Wojciech W.
Strzała, Krystyna
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/500697.pdf
Data publikacji:
1999
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:
Koniunktura gospodarcza, Rozwój gospodarczy, Prognozy gospodarcze, Gospodarka
Business trends, Economic development, Economic forecast, Economy
Opis:
The first part of the paper presents a brief description of the assumptions underlying the series of LAM models, describing East European economies in transition and the principles of the forecasting round. Since 1993 Macroeconomic and Financial Data Centre at the University of Gdańsk has been performing various macroeconomic forecasts and analyses of economies in transition. Since 1999 the new version of the LAM series model, namely LAM 3.0 is used as a base for forecasting Polish economy growth for Gdańsk Institut for Market Economies. The second part of the paper presents evaluation of the Polish economy condition in 2nd quarter of 1999 and the short-term quarterly forecast to the end of the year 2000.
Źródło:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH; 1999, 63; 165-175
0866-9503
Pojawia się w:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Możliwości diagnozy i prognozy koniunktury w handlu detalicznym
Possibilities of Diagnosis and Prognosis of Economic Situation of Retail Trade
Autorzy:
Ciok, Alicja
Jerczyńska, Maria
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/499942.pdf
Data publikacji:
1999
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:
Koniunktura gospodarcza, Prognozy gospodarcze, Metoda testu koniunkturalnego, Syntetyczny wskaźnik aktywności gospodarczej
Business trends, Economic forecast, Business condition test method, Synthetic indicator of economic activity
Opis:
Economic sentiment indicator in retailing summarizing the goods and finances turnover, indicates the permanent growth during the last five years. It may be treated mainly as a result of the increased number of the large trade units. The corresponding changes in indicator values (for example sales) do not affect inner consistency of business survey of Polish retail trade. By this consistency we understand concordance of assessments of actual situation ex post with forecasts, both provided by the suwy. The forecast range turned out only 1 month although the suwy questionnaire demands the 3 month forecasts. There are significant agreement of these forecasts with respective quantitative indices published by the Central Statistical Office.
Źródło:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH; 1999, 63; 35-46
0866-9503
Pojawia się w:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
The greening of consumption: challenges for consumers and businesses
Autorzy:
Dąbrowska, Anna
Jurowczyk, Paweł
Ozimek, Irena
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/11364546.pdf
Data publikacji:
2022-09-30
Wydawca:
Sieć Badawcza Łukasiewicz - Instytut Lotnictwa
Tematy:
the greening of consumption
challenges for consumers
challenges for business
consumer behaviour
consumer trends
Opis:
The concern for the condition of the natural environment requires taking a new approach towards consumption and meeting consumer needs (Bocking 2009). Despite many initiatives related to the paradigm of sustainable development and the concept of sustainable consumption, the situation is still far from a general departure from mass consumption and consumerism. The article aims to try to synthetically organise the views of other authors on the challenges of greening consumption, both for enterprises and consumers in the context of social responsibility. Competences play an important role in this process. The greening of consumption has not yet been widely propagated in societies, including also Polish society. One of the crucial elements of greening consumption is the purchase of ecological/organic food products. To learn about the behaviour of Poles towards the issue discussed in this article, the authors conducted a study on a representative sample of Poles (N = 1,000) during Nov. 15–27, 2021, using the Computer Assisted Web Interview (CAWI) technique (which is an online surveying technique that fits into the quantitative methodology of market and opinion research) and online panels as part of the omnibus study. The survey shows that only 7.1% of the respondents have never purchased ecological/organic food products. Among buyers, 21.8% do it rarely/sporadically, 40.1% occasionally/sometimes, 20.2% often/try to choose ecological products when shopping and 10.8% do it very often or always. Among the respondents, 55.3% declared that ecological/organic products are expensive but still worth the price due to the health benefits they bring. Noticing the advantages of these products, 63.7% of respondents would like to buy more of them. In view of the results obtained, it can be said that it is necessary to disseminate the main greening consumption ideas that are apparent from this study, and this can be done through education, building consumer competences or visualising the effects of the continuation of current consumption habits. The problem of protecting the natural environment, discussed in numerous documents issued by governments and international organisations and in scientific publications, cannot remain unnoticed. Greening consumption is a challenge for companies whose production should be rational in using non-renewable natural resources, reducing or eliminating toxic waste, using recyclable packaging and introducing 'clean production' principles aimed at obtaining consumer products using more cost-effective and healthier methods. It is also a challenge for consumers, who should replace perishable goods with products with a longer life cycle, consume goods and services more sparingly and cease to accept planned obsolescence of products or unethical behaviour of enterprises towards their employees.
Źródło:
Marketing Instytucji Naukowych i Badawczych; 2022, 45, 3; 27-56
2353-8414
Pojawia się w:
Marketing Instytucji Naukowych i Badawczych
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Przełącznikowe łańcuchy w badaniach koniunktury
Switch Chains in Researches of Economic Situation
Autorzy:
Decewicz, Anna
Dędys, Monika
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/500342.pdf
Data publikacji:
1999
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:
Koniunktura gospodarcza, Cykl koniunkturalny, Syntetyczny wskaźnik aktywności gospodarczej, Wahania koniunkturalne
Business trends, Business cycles, Synthetic indicator of economic activity, Business fluctuations
Opis:
In this paper we present a method of modelling business indicator based on Markov Switching Model (MSM). We apply MSM to business survey data from 1990-1997. We consider two approaches. In the first case we distinguish States of decreasing or increasing business indicator. In the second case we consider dynamics of changes of the business indicator.
Źródło:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH; 1999, 63; 177-184
0866-9503
Pojawia się w:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Jakość prognoz przedsiębiorstw przemysłowych
Ouality of Forecasts of Industrial Enterprises
Autorzy:
Dędys, Monika
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/500233.pdf
Data publikacji:
1998
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:
Koniunktura gospodarcza, Przedsiębiorstwo przemysłowe, Prognozowanie rozwoju przemysłu, Mierniki statystyczne
Business trends, Industrial enterprises, Industry development forecasting, Statistical indicators
Opis:
In this chapter, an attempt to analyze ąuality of predictions of industrial enterprises is described. Data originates from monthly questionnaires conducted by the Institute of Economic Developments Warsaw School of Economics. Usually, two groups of questions are included in questionnaires of overall economic situation. First group concerns current values of various economic variables, second one - changes in these values in near futurę. Expectations of respondents create a certain expert system of predictions. The obvious question is: what is the quality of these predictions? In this chapter, attention has been focused on industrial output which plays a major part in building a comprehensiye coefficient of economic conditions of industry.
Źródło:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH; 1998, 60; 89-105
0866-9503
Pojawia się w:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Podobieństwo dynamiki wahań koniunktury w wybranych sektorach gospodarki Polski
Similarity of Dynamics of Economic Situation Fluctuations in Selected Sectors of Polish Economy
Autorzy:
Dorosiewicz, Sławomir
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/500419.pdf
Data publikacji:
1999
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:
Koniunktura gospodarcza, Cykl koniunkturalny, Wahania koniunkturalne
Business trends, Business cycles, Business fluctuations
Opis:
The paper includes the definition of the measure of the similarity of two functions. This measure is a quantitative characteristic of similarity of functions graphs and it can be helpful in comparison the dynamics of economic processes. The construction of the measure includes two special cases; functions defined on intervals and functions with discrete domains. The considerations are generalized in a natura) manner in research concerning the similarity of stochastic processes.
Źródło:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH; 1999, 63; 107-114
0866-9503
Pojawia się w:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Wskaźniki wyprzedzające dla polskiej gospodarki
Outstrip Indicators for Polish Economy
Autorzy:
Drozdowicz-Bieć, Maria
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/500127.pdf
Data publikacji:
1999
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:
Koniunktura gospodarcza, Wskaźniki ekonomiczne, Syntetyczny wskaźnik aktywności gospodarczej
Business trends, Economic indicators, Synthetic indicator of economic activity
Opis:
This paper concerns leading indicators for Polish economy. It includes the Leading Indicator for whole economy and for its inflation. There are two kinds of leading indexes for whole economy: Leading Index, which consists of such series as new orders, building permits, stock prices and corporate profits. These series reliably lead the coincident index and GDP by several months, thus revealing the direction in which the economy is headed in the future; the other index is the relatively new - Long Leading Index. This index has roughly twice the lead of other leading indexes and provides forecasts of the coincident index and its components as well as GDP by as much as year in advance. Because of short term of observation, not proper or unavailable data, there are no possibilities to prepare long leading index for Polish economy up to this time. For Leading Index i used the quality and quantity series. The quantity series are: money supply (M2), credit liabilities of households, Warsaw stock price index and productivity (deflated value of sold production divided by number of employees). The quality data includes: new orders, financial situation of enterprises, inventories and consumer confidence index. The quality data is easily available and is collected using same methodology throughout the survey. All the data; both quality and quantity are seasonally adjusted using ARIMA X-12, deflated with the base year 1995=100 and standariesed. The regression between my Leading Index and the curve of production, GDP, and my Coincident Index with lead from 2 to 7 months is pretty high and amounts 0,89-0,95. The second leading index for Poland is Leading Index for Inflation. I used such components as: average of unit costs in industry, forecasts of prices, consumer confidence index (this dada is from surveys), real changes in money supply (M2), the value of zloty to dollar. This index represents the main tendency for inflation very well (comparing to CPl curve) but unfortunately it has very short lead - only 2-3 months.
Źródło:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH; 1999, 63; 115-128
0866-9503
Pojawia się w:
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Wyświetlanie 1-15 z 58

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