- Tytuł:
- The Analysis of the Tobacco Product Bans Using a Random Coefficients Logit Model
- Autorzy:
- Olesiński, Bartosz
- Powiązania:
- https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2075520.pdf
- Data publikacji:
- 2020
- Wydawca:
- Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
- Tematy:
-
tobacco policy analyses
discrete choice models
substitution effects
BLP - Opis:
- The studies of tobacco demand accounting for product diversity have attracted much attention in the literature, but the ex ante measurements of the effects of product bans are relatively scarce. This paper aims to fill this gap and considers the 2020 EU-induced ban on menthol cigarettes as an example, focusing on the Polish market. In the proposed approach, a 2004-2017 product- level dataset for Poland is used to estimate a random coefficients logit model and simulate the effects of the menthol ban and, for comparison, a cigarette excise hike. The dataset is unique as it encompassess substantial changes in the tobacco tax level and structure that took place in Poland over the sample period. The simulations suggest that the ban, despite switching of consumers towards non-menthol cigarettes, results in relatively strong reduction in demand for duty-paid cigarettes, stronger than in the case of the excise hike.
- Źródło:
-
Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics; 2020, 2; 113-144
2080-0886
2080-119X - Pojawia się w:
- Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics
- Dostawca treści:
- Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł