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    Wyświetlanie 1-4 z 4
    Tytuł:
    Economic sentiment indicators and their prediction capabilities in business cycles of EU countries
    Autorzy:
    Tkacova, Andrea
    Gavurova, Beata
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/19908930.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2023
    Wydawca:
    Instytut Badań Gospodarczych
    Tematy:
    business cycle
    cross correlation
    prediction
    ESI
    GDP
    IIP
    Opis:
    Research background: The post-World Financial Crisis period has showed us that an application of the qualitative data focused on the expectations of the enterprises and consumers in a combination with the quantitative data in the individual economy sectors is a good prerequisite for reliable prediction of the economic cycles. Purpose of the paper: The main goal of the presented study was to test the ESI prediction capabilities and its components in a relation to the economic cycles of the EU countries in the individual time periods. Methods: The time series for the period Q1 2000 to Q4 2022 and the three selected time periods were a subject to undergo the selection of the cyclical component applying the Hodrick-Prescott filter and then, the relationship between the variables was determined employing the Pearson correlation coefficient with the time shifts. The relation of ESI and its components to GDP and the Index of Industrial Production (IIP), which represent the economic cycle, was analysed. The prediction volume and the cross-correlation values determined the nature of the observed cyclical variables. Findings & value added: The results of the analysis point to the fact that ESI and its components are able to ensure a high-quality prediction of the economic cycle only in the selected EU countries. Regarding the components of the ESI, the Consumer confidence indicator, Construction and Industrial confidence indicators show the best predictive capabilities. The analytical outcomes show that the ESI size and lead period vary over time and after the 2008 crisis, the ESI showed better predictive capabilities in a relation to GDP and IIP than before the crisis. The Covid 19 pandemic had a significant negative impact on the ESI predictive capabilities.
    Źródło:
    Oeconomia Copernicana; 2023, 14, 3; 977-1008
    2083-1277
    Pojawia się w:
    Oeconomia Copernicana
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Determinants of public debt in EU countries
    Determinanty długu publicznego w krajach UE
    Autorzy:
    Toth, Peter
    Tkacova, Andrea
    Gavurova, Beata
    Pechova, Victoria
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/27315299.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2022
    Wydawca:
    Politechnika Częstochowska
    Tematy:
    public debt
    determinants of public debt
    panel regression
    EU countries
    dług publiczny
    determinanty długu publicznego
    regresja panelowa
    kraje UE
    Opis:
    Due to the Covid-19 pandemic, governments must support their economy to prevent a possible recession which will lead to an increase in public debt. Therefore, it is necessary to know important determinants of public debt. This paper provides an analysis of public debt determinants. The main aim of the article is to identify the impact of specific variables on the level of public debt in EU countries by using econometric methods. The article analyses studies that focus on determinants of public debt, and it defines ten fundamental independent (explanatory) variables. Panel data regression model is used to monitor the impact of these variables on an independent variable - public debt, while it uses data from 1999 to 2019. The model’s results show that the growth of variables, such as current account balance of payments, budget balance, public administration investments, inflation rate, and GDP growth, lead to reducing public debt in EU countries. On the other hand, the increase in variables, such as annual population density change and budget expenditure, leads to public debt growth. The impact of both, unemployment rate and purchasing power parity, on public debt is insignificant based on the study results.
    W związku z pandemią Covid-19 rządy muszą wspierać swoją gospodarkę, aby zapobiec ewentualnej recesji, która doprowadzi do wzrostu długu publicznego. Dlatego konieczna jest znajomość ważnych determinant długu publicznego. Artykuł zawiera analizę determinant długu publicznego. Głównym celem artykułu jest identyfikacja wpływu poszczególnych zmiennych na poziom długu publicznego w krajach UE za pomocą metod ekonometrycznych. Artykuł analizuje badania, które koncentrują się na determinantach długu publicznego i definiuje dziesięć podstawowych zmiennych niezależnych (objaśniających). Panelowy model regresji danych służy do monitorowania wpływu tych zmiennych na zmienną niezależną - dług publiczny, natomiast wykorzystuje dane z lat 1999- 2019. Wyniki modelu pokazują, że wzrost zmiennych, takich jak bilans płatniczy obrotów bieżących, saldo budżetowe , inwestycje administracji publicznej, inflacja i wzrost PKB prowadzą do redukcji długu publicznego w krajach UE. Z drugiej strony wzrost zmiennych, takich jak roczna zmiana gęstości zaludnienia i wydatki budżetowe, prowadzi do wzrostu długu publicznego. Wpływ zarówno stopy bezrobocia, jak i parytetu siły nabywczej na dług publiczny jest, jak wynika z wyników badań, nieznaczny.
    Źródło:
    Polish Journal of Management Studies; 2022, 25, 1; 406--424
    2081-7452
    Pojawia się w:
    Polish Journal of Management Studies
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    The importance of evaluation of economic determinants in public procurement processes in Slovakia in 2010-2016
    Autorzy:
    Tkacova, Andrea
    Gavurova, Beata
    Danko, Jakub
    Cepel, Martin
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/18797203.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Instytut Badań Gospodarczych
    Tematy:
    public procurement
    savings of public funds
    second order polynomial regression
    number of bids
    subcontractor
    Opis:
    Research background: Public procurement is designed to efficiently spend public sector financial resources. This should lead to savings in public funds. Domestic and foreign studies point to the fact that sufficient competition on the supply side is the condition for achieving those savings. Slovakia currently belongs to a group of countries with low competition on the supply side of the tender. Every year, about 10,000 tenders will be made in Slovakia for 5 billion Eur. However, contracting authorities have difficulty with establishing the estimated contract value and defining non-discriminatory criteria. On the other hand, contractors lack the expertise to prepare tenders, specifications are often tailored to specific bidders or products, and the price criterion has a negative impact on the quality of the goods and services purchased. Purpose of the article: The aim of the study was to investigate the impact of selected efficiency determinants on savings in public procurement in Slovakia in 2010-2016. The number of bids, the subcontractor's participation, the narrower competition and the impact of the narrower competition and the expected price on the number of bids have been examined. Methods: The survey sample consisted of 800 randomly selected public procurement con-tracts from different sectors in 2010?2016. The contracts were split on the basis of the median estimate of the above-limit (409 contracts) and below-limit (391 contracts) contracts; the divestment value was the estimated price of 400,000 Euro (without the tax). Findings & Value added: The number of offers positively influences the creation of savings in public procurement, an average of 5-6%. The impact of a narrow competition was significant, which led to a decrease in savings of 3-4% compared to the open competition if the sample was 800 contracts and over 400,000 Euro (without the tax). For below-limit orders, this determinant was shown to be statistically insignificant. The size of the contract did not affect the number of successful candidates. Also, the negative impact of narrower competition on the number of tenders was demonstrated. These findings are in line with the presented research studies. In the future, we plan to perform sectoral analyses to verify the validity of the hypotheses under review based on the results of our research.
    Źródło:
    Oeconomia Copernicana; 2017, 8, 3; 367-382
    2083-1277
    Pojawia się w:
    Oeconomia Copernicana
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Challenges and Current Issues of Education in the Era of Digital and Technological Changes
    Autorzy:
    Lesková, Andrea
    Uličná, Zuzana
    Tkáčová, Hedviga
    Leka, Klodiana
    Alvarez Mateo, Daniel
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/18730923.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2023
    Wydawca:
    Fundacja Pro Scientia Publica
    Tematy:
    education
    media
    child
    youth
    digital dementia
    critical thinking
    Opis:
    Aim. The aim of the article is to map out the current issues related to education in the era of digital and technological changes on the basis of theoretical and research findings. Methods. The published article is based on the theoretical and research findings of various authors and offers a critical reflection on some selected current aspects of education in the digital world, such as the problem of digital dementia and digital intelligence, the addiction associated with it, parenting styles, the development of critical thinking and the formation of a value system. Results. Creating an analysis that explores the current challenges of education in the digital age. Analysing the selected most frequent problems of the subject matter, primarily from the point of view of ethics, sociology, and psychology, based on several researches reflecting the risks of using modern technology and digital media. Conclusion. It is necessary to guide the child from early childhood to build values, critical thinking, but also own self-esteem and empathy. Since the foundations for a child's education are laid in the family, it is precisely family education that can (un)prepare the child for entering the world of digital media and its optimal functioning in it. Cognitive value. The technologies that children and today's young people use in their daily lives affect not only their physical, but especially their psychological health, self-esteem, and critical thinking. As such, it can be beneficial for further building and developing the theory and at the same time be a basis for additional research.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Education Culture and Society; 2023, 14, 2; 319-327
    2081-1640
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Education Culture and Society
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
      Wyświetlanie 1-4 z 4

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