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Wyszukujesz frazę "Marsz, A." wg kryterium: Autor


Tytuł:
Procesy deglacjacji na obszarze SSSI No. 8 i ich uwarunkowania klimatyczne oraz hydrologiczne (Zatoka Admiracji, Wyspa Króla Jerzego, Szetlandy Południowe)
The Processes of Deglaciation in the Region of SSSI No.8 and thier Climatic and Hydrological Conditions
Autorzy:
Battke, Z.
Marsz, A. A.
Pudełko, R.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/260899.pdf
Data publikacji:
2001
Wydawca:
Stowarzyszenie Klimatologów Polskich
Tematy:
procesy deglacjacji
Zatoka Admiracji
Wyspa Króla Jerzego
Szetlandy Południowe
warunki klimatyczne
warunki hydrologiczne
deglacjacja
processes of deglaciation
Admiralty Bay
King George Island
South Shetland Islands
climatic conditions
hydrological conditions
deglaciation
Opis:
This work deals with the processes of deglaciation occurring in the region of SSSI No 8 (Site of Special Scientific Interests No 8) located on the western coast of the in the vicinity of Polish H. Arctowski Station over the period 1979-1999. The location of the SSSI is shown in Fig. 1. The basis of this work is comparison between the category of the surface of the area on the charts from 1979 (Furmańczyk & Marsz, 1980) and on the chart from 1986 (Battke, 1990) and the ground measurements carried out in that area in 1999 (Battke & Pudełko, unpubl.). The categories of area were computed on maps with the help of a planimeter: - glaciated areas, - non-glaciated areas (formed by mineral grounds), - sea areas. The accuracy of total measurements of the area is not lower than about 0.2 km2. The results of cartometric measurements are given in Table 1. Over the period 1979-1999 the area of SSSI decreased by 0.86 km2 as an effect of regression of icy cliffs both of Ecology and Baranowski Glaciers and due to accompanied abrasion process. At the same time the glaciated area within the borders of SSSI decreased by 6.93 km2 and the ice free area increased by 6.08 km2. In this way the mean rate of deglaciation of the 21-year period reaches about 0.33 km2 per year. Over the 21-year period the ice free area within the borders of SSSI incresed three times (from 2.98 km2 to 9.06 km2) which results in various consequences on the physico-geographical and biological prosesses in the region of the Admiralty Bay. In the period 1978-1986 the processes of deglaciation observed north of SSSI in the region of Ecology Glacier were faster than in other regions. Over the period 1986-1999 much faster decrease in the glaciated area was noted in the south of the area, in the region of Baranowski Glacier and Tower Glacier spatial changes are presented in Fig. 2. The analysis of reasons having influence on so advance processes of deglaciation indicated to two factors i.e. climatic and hydrological that are both responsible for the process. Over the period 1978-1998 in region of the Admiralty Bay the increase in air temperature during the Antarctic summer (period December - February; trend +0.022°C/year, statistically not significant) was noted. At the same time the period in which ablation was observed (warmer November and March) was longer. The annual sums of precipitation in the same period indicate to the presence of statistically significant negative trend (-5.7 mm/year, p < 0.005). This resulted in the change in the glacier mass balance at the level 2 m. above sea level: from -115 g/cm2/year in 1979 to -146 g/cm2/year in 1998 (Fig. 3). The evaluated trend of change in mass balance is -1.56 g/cm2/year and is not statistically significant. The period during which sea ice cover is not observed also lasts longer and the ice conditions there became visibly milder. This enables the thermal abrasion to last longer and causes more active regression of ice cliffs. On the shore of the Bransfield Strait, between the Admiralty Bay and the Maxwell Bay entrance a deep cove was formed in the ice coast over the period 1985-1988. This resulted in the increase in inclination of the southern slopes of ice forming the Warszawa Ice cap and forced the volume of ice flowing towards the Bransfield Strait to increase. In this way the volume of ice flowing down the Warszawa Ice Cap eastward, to SSSI No. 8 area, decreased. The explanation of reasons responsible for the ice conditions becoming milder can be found in large scale changes in sea surface temperature of the Southern Ocean of the sea area located West of the Antarctic Peninsula (a strong positive trend SST is marked in the period from October to January; in December +0.058°C/year) and in changes in atmospheric circulation. Both these factors, i.e. the increase in the negative values of the ice masses balance and the decrease in the volume of ice flowing down on the SSSI No. 8 area act in the same direction, causing that the deglaciation process in that region occurs in an exceptionally intensive way. Due to such great intensity of the deglaciation processes occurring on the surface of SSSI in that area, this area can be regarded as a unique object of ecological and environmental research.
Źródło:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej; 2001, 11; 121-135
1234-0715
Pojawia się w:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Pseudomorfozy szczelin lodowych w okolicach Rakowa nad jeziorem Komorze (Pojezierze Drawskie)
Pseudomorphoses of ice fissures near Rakowo at Komorze Lake (Drawsko Lake District)
Autorzy:
Borówka, K.
Marsz, A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2096083.pdf
Data publikacji:
1975
Wydawca:
Poznańskie Towarzystwo Przyjaciół Nauk
Źródło:
Badania Fizjograficzne nad Polską Zachodnią. Seria A:Geografia Fizyczna; 1975, 28; 29-42
0067-2807
Pojawia się w:
Badania Fizjograficzne nad Polską Zachodnią. Seria A:Geografia Fizyczna
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Zmienność liczby dni ze sztormem nad Bałtykiem (1971–2009)
Changeability in the number of days with gale over the Baltic Sea (1971–2009)
Autorzy:
Formela, K.
Marsz, A.A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2084542.pdf
Data publikacji:
2011
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Warszawski. Wydział Geografii i Studiów Regionalnych
Tematy:
Baltyk
sztormy
liczebnosc
lata 1971-2009
wiatry
zjawiska ekstremalne
statystyka
Źródło:
Prace i Studia Geograficzne; 2011, 47; 189-196
0208-4589
Pojawia się w:
Prace i Studia Geograficzne
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Wpływ zmian temperatury powierzchni oceanu na Morzu Norweskim na temperaturę powietrza na Svalbardzie i Jan Mayen (1982-2002)
The influence of the changes in sea surface temperature of the Norwegian Sea on the air temperature at Svalbard and Jan Mayen (1982-2002)
Autorzy:
Kruszewski, G.
Marsz, A. A.
Zblewski, S.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/260931.pdf
Data publikacji:
2003
Wydawca:
Stowarzyszenie Klimatologów Polskich
Tematy:
temperatury powietrza
temperatury powierzchni oceanu
Morze Norweskie
air temperature
sea surface temperature
Norwegian Sea
Opis:
This work deals with correlations between SST in the Norwegian Sea and air temperature at selected stations located in the Atlantic sector of Arctic (Bjornoya, Hornsund, Svalbard-Lufthavn, Ny Alesund and Jan Mayen). The southern and central parts of the Norwegian Sea show the strongest correlation with the air temperature at the above mentioned stations, whereas the northern parts of this sea show weaker correlation. Apart from synchronic correlations (occurring in the same months) asynchronic correlations have been found. The latter are generally much stronger than the synchronic ones. The predominant influence on the changes in air temperature at the stations have the winter SST (JFMA) in the central part of the Norwegian Sea (grid 2° x 2°, 67°N, 010°E). These winter SST show quite strong correlations with monthly air temperature at Bjornoya, Hornsund, Svalbard-Lufthavn and Jan Mayen in July, August and September. At Ny Alesund station the period with statistically significant correlation between the air temperature and the winter SST is limited to September. The strongest correlation can be observed in August (see Table 4). The observed correlations result from modification in atmospheric circulation, caused by increased heat volume in the Norwegian Sea. Such modification is reflected in the increased frequency of occurrence of meridional atmospheric circulation, which is accompanied by the increase in the frequency of air advection from the S to this sector of Arctica. Some correlations which show more significant time shift have also been observed (see Table 5). Winter SST indicate positive correlations with air temperature observed at Bjornoya and Horn-sund in August and September the following year and at Svalbard-Lufthavn in September. At Ny Alesund station the coefficients of correlation with the air temperature in the following year are increased but they do not reach the statistically significant level. Another period with statistically significant correlations is November and December the following year; significant correlations with winter SST occur at Bjornoya (r = 0.71) and all stations located on Spitsbergen (r = 0.57). The correlations of SST with air temperature observed at Jan Mayen the following year are different, i.e. the presence of strong correlations is limited to summer season - July, August and September (r ~ 0.6). The correlations with winter SST occurring in November and December the following year is connected with warm masses carried to this region together with waters with the West Spitsbergen Current. Correlations between SST and air temperature present in summer and at the end of summer the following year may probably be influenced by the modification of atmospheric circulation. The only significant correlation with summer (July and August) SST indicates the temperature of February the following year at stations located on Spitsbergen and Jan Mayen. These correlations are negative (r ~ -0.55 - -0.50). The reason for occurrence of such correlations is not clear. The changeability of winter SST in the central part of the Norwegian Sea explains from 20% (Hornsund) to 32% (Bjornoya) of changeability in annual air temperature at the above mentioned stations in the same year and from 34% (Jan Mayen) to 41% (Hornsund) of changeability in annual air temperature in the following year. The increased level of explanation of changeability in air temperature the following year influenced by winter SST is connected with the delayed flowing of the Atlantic waters to high latitudes carried with the Norwegian Current and the West Spitsbergen Current.
Źródło:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej; 2003, 13; 59-78
1234-0715
Pojawia się w:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Niektóre zagadnienia geomorfologii bezpośredniego przedpola zasięgu stadiału pomorskiego na Pojezierzu Drawskim (na przykładzie obrzeżenia rynny marginalnej Drawsko-Pile)
Some problems connected with the geomorphology of the foreland of the Pomeranian Stage extent in the Drawsko Lake District (shown by example of the edge of the marginal tunnel valley Drawsko-Pile
Autorzy:
Marsz, A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2096112.pdf
Data publikacji:
1973
Wydawca:
Poznańskie Towarzystwo Przyjaciół Nauk
Źródło:
Badania Fizjograficzne nad Polską Zachodnią. Seria A:Geografia Fizyczna; 1973, 26; 97-143
0067-2807
Pojawia się w:
Badania Fizjograficzne nad Polską Zachodnią. Seria A:Geografia Fizyczna
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Zmiany linii brzegowej jeziora Komorze (Pojezierze Drawskie)
Changes of the Komorze lake shore line (Drawsko Lake District)
Autorzy:
Marsz, A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2096143.pdf
Data publikacji:
1971
Wydawca:
Poznańskie Towarzystwo Przyjaciół Nauk
Źródło:
Badania Fizjograficzne nad Polską Zachodnią. Seria A:Geografia Fizyczna; 1971, 24; 187-197
0067-2807
Pojawia się w:
Badania Fizjograficzne nad Polską Zachodnią. Seria A:Geografia Fizyczna
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Badania polarne Akademii Morskiej w Gdyni
Polar research Gdynia Maritime University
Autorzy:
Marsz, A. A.
Styszyńska, A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/260800.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Stowarzyszenie Klimatologów Polskich
Tematy:
historia badań polarnych
bibliografia polarna
meteorologia
klimatologia
oceanologia
lody morskie
Hornsund
Spitsbergen
Arktyka
Stacja Arctowskiego
Półwysep Antarktyczny
Antarktyka
history of polar research
polar bibliography
meteorology
climatology
oceanography
sea ice
Arctic
Arctowski Station
Antarctic Peninsula
Antarctica
Opis:
W pracy omówiono tematykę badań prowadzonych przez pracowników Wyższej Szkoły Morskiej/Akademii Morskiej w Gdyni w wysokich szerokościach półkul północnej i południowej. W latach 1975-2015 pracownicy tej uczelni opublikowali łącznie 231 artykułów, komunikatów i sprawozdań oraz 14 pozycji książkowych o charakterze monograficznym dotyczących różnych aspektów badań polarnych. Wśród tych prac 142 pozycje dotyczyły Arktyki i 103 pozycje – Antarktyki. Podstawowa problematyka badawcza obejmowała zagadnienia zmienności i zmian warunków hydroklimatycznych w Arktyce i Antarktyce, kształtowania się warunków lodowych i problemów żeglugi w lodach oraz zagadnień uprawiania żeglugi w rejonach słabo rozpoznanych pod względem nawigacyjnym, w tym badań dotyczących batymetrii dna i geomorfologii wybrzeży. Artykuł zawiera jako załącznik bibliografię prac polarnych pracowników Wyższej Szkoły Morskiej i Akademii Morskiej w Gdyni.
The paper discusses topics of research conducted by the staff of the Gdynia Maritime University in the high latitudes of northern and southern hemispheres. In the years 1975-2015 the employees of the university have published a total of 231 articles, communications and reports and 14 books of monographic covering various aspects of polar research. Among the 142 works related to the Arctic positions and 103 positions – Antarctica. The basic research problems included issues variability and change hydro-climatic conditions in the Arctic and Antarctic, the formation of ice conditions and navigation in ice problems and issues of navigation in areas poorly recognized in terms of navigation, including research on the bottom bathymetry and geomorphology coasts. The article includes as an annex a bibliography of works polar employees Gdynia Maritime University.
Źródło:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej; 2015, 25; 75-98
1234-0715
Pojawia się w:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Klimat Arktyki w późnym glacjale i holocenie
The Arctic climate in Late Glacial and Holocene
Autorzy:
Marsz, A. A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/260715.pdf
Data publikacji:
2009
Wydawca:
Stowarzyszenie Klimatologów Polskich
Tematy:
zmiany klimatu
Arktyka
holocen
późny glacjał
holoceńskie optimum klimatyczne
średniowieczny okres ciepły
mała epoka lodowa
ciepła Arktyka
"chłodna Arktyka"
Arctic
climate change
Holocene
Late Glacial
Holocene Climatic Optimum
Medieval Warm Period
Little Ice Age
"cold Arctic"
"warm Arctic"
Opis:
Praca referuje wyniki badań nad zmianami klimatycznymi w Arktyce, jakie zachodziły od początku późnego glacjału do momentu rozpoczęcia obserwacji instrumentalnych. Większą uwagę skupiono na zmianach klimatycznych, jakie miały miejsce w ciągu ostatnich 2500 lat. Zwrócono również uwagę na synchro-niczność zmian klimatycznych w Arktyce i wyraźnie rysujące się związki między zwiększonym dopływem wód atlantyckich do Arktyki, a kolejnymi fazami ociepleń.
This work presents an overview of literature devoted to presenting the results of research into climatic changes in the Arctic noted from the beginning of Late Glacial up to the moment when instrumental observation started. Greater emphasis was put on climatic changes which occurred during last 2000-2500 years. It was noted that the climatic changes in the Arctic were synchronical, that the rate of changes from the cooler seasons to the warmer ones and in the other way was fast and that the correlations between the increased import of the Atlantic waters to the Arctic and the following phases of warming were clear. The final part presented how the intensity of the Atlantic waters inflow influences the way the ice cover controls the mechanism of climatic changes in the Arctic.
Źródło:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej; 2009, 19; 33-79
1234-0715
Pojawia się w:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Klimatyczny wskaźnik aktywności Prądu Labradorskiego
Climatic index of Labrador Current activity
Autorzy:
Marsz, A. A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/260933.pdf
Data publikacji:
2003
Wydawca:
Stowarzyszenie Klimatologów Polskich
Tematy:
prądy morskie
Prąd Labradorski
sea current
Labrador Current
Opis:
Some of the sea currents show strong activity in climate formation and this fact is well known. Their activity represented as a time function is not stable but proves to be changeable. For this reason it seems quite reasonable to introduce appropriate indexes which could be used to characte-rise activity of a given current and, in an indirect way, to describe heat masses carried with this current. The aim of this article is to present an index which characterises the climatic activity of the Labrador Current. The basis to create such an index is the number of icebergs carried with this current. In consecutive ice seasons (October - September) this number passed south of 48°N of E from New Foundland (data from ?International Ice Patrol?). Changeable from year to year number of icebergs carried to the North Atlantic (see fig. 2) primarily represents the increase or decrease in the intensity of the Labrador Current. As the number of icebergs moved to the Atlantic comprises random component, which is very high, in order to create the index a logarythm was used to reduce the changeability of the amplitude. Formula [ 1 ] has been proposed to be used to calculate the index of intensity of the Labrador Current (WPL): WPL= (ln(G + 1))/2 where: ln - natural logarythm (base = e), G - the number of icebergs noted in a given ice season. Values of WPL index calculated in this way dated in January in ice season over a period 1900?2002 have been presented in Table 2 and their course in Fig. 3. The value of WPL indicates quite strong correlation with both winter (DJFM) and annual NAO indexes (r ~ 0.5), however the analysis showed that NAO is not the only element having influence on the Labrador Current activity. The analysis, carried out at random, of relations between the values of WPL and different climatic and hydroclimatic elements indicated to the fact that most of the relations are shifted/delayed in time - changeability of WPL takes place earlier than changes in these elements. For instance, the air temperature in August the following year in most area of Poland proves to have not too strong but clear correlation with the changes in WPL. Numerous correlations between WPL and occurring later monthly values of air temperature and monthly sums of precipitation at stations in the Atlantic sector of Arctica have been observed. The size of sea ice cover in the Barents Sea in the following year has shown especially high correlation with the changeability of WPL (the changeability of WPL explains ~50% of changeability in the area of the sea ice cover of the Barents Sea in January the following year). In this way WPL seems to be potentially useful in long term predictors of weather forecasts. The delayed activity of WPL can be explained by means of the following cause- and-effect chain of actions: winter (DJFM) atmpspheric circulation over the Davis Strait and the Labrador Sea has influence on the activity of the Labrador Current - the activity of the Labrador Current has influence on the extent and size of the anomalies in SST in the Labrador Sea and in NW part of the Atlantic (MJJA) - the presence of such anomalies in SST has a modifying effect on the atmospheric circulation occurring in the following autumn (SON) and winter (DJFM).
Źródło:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej; 2003, 13; 43-58
1234-0715
Pojawia się w:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Model zmian powierzchni lodów morskich Arktyki (1979-2013) – zmienne sterujące w modelu „minimalistycznym” i ich wymowa klimatyczna
Model of changes in the Arctic sea-ice extent (1979-2013) – variables steering the 'minimalist' model and their climatic significance
Autorzy:
Marsz, A. A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/260796.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Stowarzyszenie Klimatologów Polskich
Tematy:
Arktyka
lody morskie
zmiany powierzchni lodów
czynniki sterujące
model
cyrkulacja termohalinowa
cyrkulacja atmosferyczna
Arctic
sea ice
ice extent changes
steering variables
thermohaline circulation
atmospheric circulation
Opis:
Praca omawia model zmian powierzchni zlodzonej Arktyki typu „białej skrzynki”, opierający się na dwu zmiennych niezależnych – wskaźniku oznaczonym jako DG3L, który charakteryzuje intensywność cyrkulacji termohalinowej (THC) na Atlantyku Północnym i wskaźniku D, który charakteryzuje cyrkulację atmosferyczną nad Arktyką. Objaśnienie konstrukcji obu wskaźników i wartości ich szeregów czasowych przedstawione jest w załącznikach Z1 i Z2. Okres opracowania obejmuje lata 1979-2013 i jest limitowany dostępnością danych o zmianach powierzchni lodów morskich w Arktyce. Model liniowy opierający się na tych zmiennych objaśnia ~72% wariancji rocznej powierzchni zlodzonej w Arktyce i powyżej 65% wariancji powierzchni zlodzonej w marcu (maksimum rozwoju powierzchni lodów) i wrześniu (minimum). Główną rolę w kształtowaniu tej zmienności odgrywa zmienność cyrkulacji termohalinowej, rola cyrkulacji atmosferycznej jest niewielka i wykazuje silną zmienność sezonową. Analiza tego modelu wykazała, że rzeczywiste zależności są nieliniowe, a zmiany pokrywy lodowej zachodzą w dwu odrębnych reżimach – „ciepłym” i „chłodnym”. Reżim „ciepły” funkcjonuje w sytuacji, gdy THC jest bardziej intensywna niż przeciętnie (wskaźnik DG3L > 0). Dochodzi wtedy do szybkiego spadku powierzchni lodów w okresie ciepłym – zwłaszcza we wrześniu i powolnego spadku rozmiarów pokrywy lodowej w marcu, cyrkulacja atmosferyczna w tym reżimie odgrywa istotną rolę w kształtowaniu zmian powierzchni lodów. Spadek natężenia THC poniżej przeciętnej (DG3L ≤ 0), z opóźnieniem około 6.letnim prowadzi, do przejścia do reżimu „chodnego”. W reżimie chłodnym następuje szybki przyrost powierzchni lodów w okresie ciepłym i bardzo powolny wzrost powierzchni lodów w marcu, rola cyrkulacji atmosferycznej w kształtowaniu zmienności pokrywy lodowej staje się nikła. Po dalszych kilku latach utrzymywania się reżimu „chłodnego” międzyroczne zmiany powierzchni zlodzonej stają się małe. Analizy związków między zmiennymi z przesunięciami czasowymi wykazały, że cyrkulacja atmosferyczna nad Arktyką stanowi funkcję THC. W rezultacie, za główną przyczynę zmian powierzchni zlodzonej Arktyki należy uznać rozciągnięte w czasie działanie zmian intensywności THC, które w rozpatrywanym okresie objaśnia ~90% wariancji rocznej powierzchni zlodzonej.
The paper presents the assumptions and structure of statistical model reproducing the changes in sea ice extent in the Arctic, using the minimum number of steering variables. The data set of NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) nsidc0192_seaice_trends_climo/total-area-ice-extent/nasateam/ (Total Ice-Covered Area and Extent) was used as starting data in the calibration of this model. Its subsets characterizing the sea ice extent of the Arctic Ocean (ArctOcn), Greenland Sea (Grnland), Barents and Kara seas (BarKara) were used. Their sums create a new variable known as the ‘Proper Arctic’. This model also used the following subsets: Archipelago Canadian (CanArch), Bay and Strait Hudson (Hudson), and Baffin Bay and Labrador Sea (Baffin), the sum of which creates another variable the ‘American Arctic’. The sum of all the above mentioned subsets creates a variable defined as the ‘entire Arctic’. The study covered the period 1979-2013, for which the said data set is made up of uniform and reliable data based on satellite observations. The model was developed for moments of maximum (March) and minimum (September) development of sea ice extent as well as for the annual average sea ice extent. After presenting the assumptions of the model (model type ‘White box’), formal analysis of the type and characteristics of the model, the choice of steering variables (independent; Chapters 3 and 4) was made. The index characterizing the intensity of thermohaline circulation (THC) in the North Atlantic, referred to as DG3L and an index characterizing atmospheric circulation having significant influence on changes in sea ice extent, marked as D, were used as independent variables in this model. Physical fundamentals and rules for calculating the DG3L index are discussed in detail in Annex 1, and the D index in Annex 2. These Annexes also include time series of both indexes (DG3L – 1880-2015; D – 1949-2015). Research into delays between the impact of variables and changes in sea ice extent indicated that sea ice extent showed maximum strength of the correlation with the DG3L variable with a three-year delay and with D variable with zero delay. The final form of the model is a simple equation of multiple regression (equation [1]). The following equations are used for estimating the regression parameters for individual sea areas in those time series: the Proper Arctic – equation [1a, 1b, 1c]; the American Arctic – equations [2a, 2b, 2c] and for the entire Arctic - equation [3a, 3b, 3c]. Statistical characteristics of each model are presented in Tables 3, 4 and 5, and Figures 2, 3 and 4 respectively and show the scattering of values estimated by means of each model in relation to the observed values. All models show high statistical significance. The best results, both in terms of explanation of the variance of the observed sea ice extent, as well as the size of the standard errors of estimation of sea ice extent are obtained for changes in the sea ice extent of the entire Arctic. The reasons for this may be traced back to the fact that errors in the estimation of partial models ([1a, 1b, 1c] and [2a, 2b, 2c]) have different signs, which in a synthetic model partially cancel out each other. Moreover, if the variable DG3L three years before shows strong and evenly distributed in time action, the D variable characterizing atmospheric circulation shows clearly seasonal activity – it is marked only during the minimum development of sea ice extent (September), when the degree of ice concentration is reduced, allowing its relatively free drift. The model for the annual average of sea ice extent of the entire Arctic (in the accepted limits) explains 71.5% of the variance, in September 68%, and in March 65% of the variance (Table 5). The lowest values are obtained for the American Arctic, where the D variable, characterizing atmospheric circulation does not appear to have significant influence, so the model is a linear equation with one variable (DG3L). Nevertheless, also in this case, the variance of the annual sea ice extent in the American Arctic is explained exceeding 50%. Variability of THC (described by the DG3L index) explains ~67% of the variance of annual sea ice extent and variability of atmospheric circulation (described by the D index) explains ~6% of the variance of annual sea ice extent of the entire Arctic. It allows claiming that THC and atmospheric circulation are the essential factors that influence the variability of sea ice extent of the Arctic. Both of these factors are natural factors. Further analysis of the results presented by various models and especially those affected by the DG3L variable (Fig. 5) delayed by three years suggests that the linear model is not the most appropriate model reflecting the changes in the sea ice extent of the entire Arctic and its parts. The action of DG3L variable, accumulated over several years, is saved and this causes that a strong significant correlation with the sea ice extent is prolonged. The analysis carried out by means of the segmented regression showed that the variability of sea ice extent was different where THC is lower than the average (DG3L ≤ 0), or different where THC is stronger than average (DG3L> 0; see equation [4a, 4b]). When the index is zero or less than zero, the impact of THC on the increase in sea ice extent is limited and the influence of changes in atmospheric circulation on sea ice extent is very small. Conversely, when the THC becomes intense and imports increased amounts of heat to the Arctic, the influence of DG3L index on the decrease in sea ice extent rises, like growing impact of atmospheric circulation on variation of sea ice extent (see equations [5a, 5b]. The segmented regression equations with these two variables explain 88.76% of the observed annual variation of sea ice extent of the entire Arctic (equations [5a, 5b]).This means that the sea ice extent of the Arctic is variable in two distinct regimes – ‘warm’, when the DG3L> 0 and ‘cold’, when the DG3L ≤ 0. This is similar to the results of Proshutinsky and Johnson (1997), Polyakov et al. (1999) and Polyakov and Johnson (2000) and their LFO oscillation. Time limits of the transition intensity of the THC phases from the positive to negative and vice versa correspond to similar limits of LFO, suggesting that the two different systems have the same cause. Polyakov and Johnson (2000) and Polyakov et al. (2002, 2003, 2004, 2005) can see the main reason for the change in the LFO regime in the transition of atmospheric circulation from anticyclonic regime to cyclonic regime and vice versa. The analysis of the reason for the transition of regime of changes in sea ice extent from ‘warm’ to ‘cold’ and vice versa – THC or atmospheric circulation – has shown that the D index is a function of previous changes in DG3L index. Atmospheric circulation over the Arctic shows a greater delay in response to changes in THC than the sea ice extent – this occurs with a 6-year delay (see Table 6, Equation 6). This allows replacing the D variable in the equations describing the change in sea ice extent, directly by DG3L variable from 6 years before (see Equation [7a, 7b]).These simultaneous equations explain about 90% of the observed annual variance of the sea ice extent of the entire Arctic in the years 1979-2013. Most importantly, however, it can be stated, with a high degree of certainty, that the variability of THC of the North Atlantic steers both the changes in sea ice extent and Basic features of atmospheric circulation over the Arctic. The effects of other factors than THC, having influence on variability of sea ice extent and the basic processes of the climate in the Arctic, in the short time scales, leave not too much space/place. The transition from ‘cold’ to ‘warm’ regime in the development of the sea ice extent in the Arctic requires an increase in the intensity of THC. If the values of DG3L index are greater than 0 for a period not shorter than three years, the decrease in the sea ice extent will start, initially in the period of its minimum development (August, September). If the resultant values of the DG3L index have positive values for further three years, the atmospheric circulation will transform into a cyclonic circulation (D index goes to positive values). The role of atmospheric circulation during the ‘warm’ season in the Arctic having influence on the change (reduction) of the sea ice extent becomes significant. The ‘warm’ regime will remain as long as long after its start the situation in which the algebraic sum of DG3L values is greater than 0. If such a situation lasts long, or in case of accumulation of high values of DG3L index, the sea ice cover can disappear almost completely in the warm period. The transition from the ‘warm’ regime to the ‘cold’ regime demands fulfillment of reverse conditions – a consistent decrease in the values of DG3L index into negative values for at least another three year period. After three years this will result in rapid increase in sea ice extent during warm period, thereby increasing the annual average of sea ice extent. If in subsequent years the value of DG3L index remains lower than zero, after the next 3-4 years, the atmospheric circulation will become the anticyclonic circulation. After that there will be gradual, slow growth in sea ice extent, decrease in air temperature, increase in ice thickness and change in the age of the ice structure towards the increase in the multi-year ice. The ice cover in the Arctic will become "self-sustaining", reducing interannual variability. Major changes will occur in the ‘warm’ season, minor in other seasons. The maximum sea ice extent of the Arctic in the cold season, with current conditions in the ‘cold’ regime, can reach ~13.5-14.5 million km2, the average annual sea ice extent should be ~12 (± 0.5) million km2. This area, especially in the winter season, may be in fact higher, since the weakening of the THC must also lead to a decrease in air temperature in the hemisphere.
Źródło:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej; 2015, 25; s. 249-334
1234-0715
Pojawia się w:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
O "arktycznych" i "atlantyckich" mechanizmach sterujących zmiennością temperatury powietrza na obszarze Europy i północo-zachodniej Azji
On "Arctic" and "Atlantic" mechanisms controlling the changeability in air temperature in the region of Europe and NW Asia
Autorzy:
Marsz, A. A.
Styszyńska, A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/260919.pdf
Data publikacji:
2006
Wydawca:
Stowarzyszenie Klimatologów Polskich
Tematy:
zmiany temperatury powietrza
zmiany temperatury wody powierzchniowej
NAO
Oscylacja Eurazjatycka
AO
Arktyka Atlantycka
NW Azja
Europa
Atlantyk Północny
NW Asia
Europe
changes in pressure
changes in air temperature
Opis:
Praca omawia wpływ zmian ciśnienia atmosferycznego w Arktyce Atlantyckiej (dalej AA) na kształtowanie zmienności temperatury powietrza na obszarze Europy (na N od 40°N) i NW Azji (do 120°E). Wpływ zmian ciśnienia w AA na temperaturę powietrza zaznacza się we wszystkich, z wyjątkiem czerwca, miesiącach roku, tworząc charakterystyczny cykl z maksimum siły oddziaływania zimą. Zimowe (01-03) zmiany ciśnienia w AA objaśniają od kilkunastu do ponad 60% zmienności temperatury rocznej (z maksimum na obszarze wokół-bałtyckim; 1951-2000). W pracy analizuje się współdziałanie zmian ciśnienia w Arktyce Atlantyckiej ze zmianami ciśnienia w Wyżu Syberyjskim w kształtowaniu zmienności temperatury powietrza na obszarze Europy i NW Azji. Dyskutuje się również kwestie związków zmian ciśnienia w AA z NAO, AO oraz frekwencją makrotypów cyrkulacji środkowotroposferycznej wg klasyfikacji Wangengejma-Girsa. Wyniki analiz wykazują, że o zimowych zmianach ciśnienia w AA decyduje wcześniejszy rozkład zasobów ciepła w wodach Atlantyku Północnego.
The research on relations between climatic elements of Europe and the Arctic has indicated that there are significant correlations between changes in atmospheric pressure in the Atlantic part of the Arctic and air temperature in northern Europe and NW Asia. The strongest correlations are observed between changes in pressure over relatively small area of the Atlantic part of the Arctic (72.5 - 80.0°N, 10.0 - 25.0°E), in addition, the point over which changes in pressure explain most of changes in air temperature is located 75.0°N, 015.0°E. Pressure at this point is further referred as P[75,15] with an index denoting a month (e.g. P[75,15]03 denotes mean pressure in March and P[75,15]01-03 defines mean pressure at this point from the period January till March). Over the Atlantic part of the Arctic within the pressure area there is no marked climatic centre which could be regarded as the centre of atmospheric activity. The research made use of monthly series of SLP values (reanalysis: set NOAA.NCEP-NCAR. CDAS-1.MONTHLY.Intrinsic.MSL.pressure) and the values of monthly air temperature from 211 stations (Fig. 1). The observational period common for both elements covers 50 years, i.e. the period from January 1951 to December 2000. The character of correlations between P[75,15] and air temperature in the following months, from June to May, and their spatial distribution have been presented by isocorrelates maps (Fig. 2). Changes in the strength of correlations between P[75,15] and the temperature over Europe and NW Asia form a clear annual cycle interrupted in June. In June the correlations between P[75,15] and air temperature became very weak and not significant over the most of the area and not continuous in space. During the months after June these correlations got stronger and stronger reaching their maximum during cold season (from November to April). This maximum is located in the region adjacent to the Baltic Sea, where annual and winter (01-03) changes in P[75,15] explain from more than 60% to 50% of annual temperature variances (Fig. 3) The strongest correlation between P[75,15] and air temperature in Siberia is located N of Baikal, where winter (01-03) changes in P[75,15] explain 43-45% of annual temperature variances. At the end of the cold season a visible delay of the decrease in the strength of correlation is observed in the region of Siberia in relation to the European region (in Europe after March, in Siberia after April). Variability in winter and annual values of pressure at 75°N, 015°E also indicates relatively strong correlations with the changeability in temperature of the warmest month in the year in the west and central region of Europe. The annual variability in P[75,15] explains from 40% to 30% changeability of maximum temperature in the region extending from the Atlantic coast of France to central Germany. This belt extends farther east towards the Baltic Sea. The latter correlation has not been explained in this work. The analysis of correlations of changes in pressure at 75°N, 15°E with NAO indicates to the occurrence of statistically significant correlations during months of cold season in the year (October - March, May and June; Tab. 2). Similar analysis of correlations of changes in P[75,15] with AO index (Arctic Oscillation) shows strong and highly statistically significant correlations in all months of the year with maximum falling in January and February. Annual changes in P[75,15], i.e. in pressure at one point explain 73% annual changeability in AO index (r = 0.86) and the winter changeability in (December - March) P[75,15] explains 78% of winter changeability in AO index (r = 0.88) which is the first vector EOF of pressure field (1000 hPa) covering the area from 20°N to the North Pole (90°N), that is the most area of the Northern Hemisphere. This analysis shows that the changes in pressure at the point 75°N, 15°E result in intensification of cyclogenesis over west and central part of the North Atlantic and the consequent long waves (waves of W type following Wangengejm-Girs classification) cause that anticyclones formed over the Atlantic will direct towards Fram Strait through the region of Iceland. The above process has nothing or almost nothing to do with the form of changeability in polar strato-spheric eddy, as assumed by Tomphson and Wallace (1998, 2000, Thompson, Wallace, Hegerl 2000) to be essential for the Arctic Oscillation functioning. Occurrence of correlations between P[75,15] and air temperature over vast areas from 10°W to 130°E suggests that also changes in pressure in the Siberian High are engaged in this process. Theanalysis shows that in a yearly process, changes in pressure in the Atlantic part of the Arctic and in the Siberian High occur in opposite phases (see Tab.1). Barometric gradient between the Atlantic part of the Arctic and the Siberian High becomes extremely strong during the cold season of the year contributing to "pumping" air from eastern Europe to the far end of the Siberia. During the summer season the gradient becomes very weak as the about-turn takes place. The cooperation of changes in pressure in the Atlantic part of the Arctic and pressure in region located farther Baikal -- Mongolia results in very strong oscillation which partly can be identified with Euro-Asian Oscillation (Monahan et al. 2000). During winter season interannual changes in pressure in the Siberian High are relatively small and explain 10.4% variances of barometric gradient between P[75,15] and point 45°N, 110°E (the region of the centre of the Siberian High), whereas the interannual changes in P[75,15] explain 77.5% of variances in this gradient. This means that in the cold season of the year the intensity of air transfer from the west towards Asian land depends on variability in pressure in the Atlantic part of the Arctic. Because in the months of the cold season of the year NAO is the strongest and significantly correlated with changes in P[75,15] therefore, a two-element, with the same phase "conveyor belt" is formed, which during positive phases of NAO transfers the air from over the Atlantic to Europe (NAO) and then towards and into the Siberia (Euro-Asian Oscillation). P[75,15] during cold season months of the year (01-03) indicates statistically significant negative trend (-0.153 hPa/year; p < 0.006) which enables to state that the observed, over the years 1951-2000, increase in air temperature in the Siberia can be, in great extent, attributed to the activity of the above described circulation mechanism. The analysis of reasons for interannual changes in P[75,15] has indicated that there are strong and significant correlations between variability in P[75,15] and the earlier variability in the thermal conditions of the Atlantic Ocean. A very important role in this relation plays thermal condition of three sea areas, i.e. waters of the subtropical region of central part of the North Atlantic (characterized by SST anomalies in grid 34°N, 40°W from August and September), waters of the middle latitudes zone of the central part of the North Atlantic (characterized by SST anomalies from August and September in grid 54°N, 30°W) and waters of the North Atlantic Current from the approach to the Farero-Shetland Passage (characterized by SST anomalies from January and April in grid 60°N, 10°W). Thermal state of these three sea water areas (see formulas [1] and [2]) explains 58% changeability in P[75,15] which will be observed in the following winter (DJFM). The cause of the described correlation is attributed to the fact that the earlier thermal state of the above mentioned sea areas controls the occurrence of long waves, of W and E Wangengejm-Girs type during the following winter. Further, these waves influence the occurrence of low cyclones over the Atlantic part of the Arctic during winter resulting in adequate changes in mean monthly pressure. As a result, it can be stated that the interannual variability in air temperature over vast areas of Europe and over NW Asia is influenced by the processes observed over the North Atlantic and the Atlantic part of the Arctic. The research covers years 1971-2003 (ano-malies in SST taken from 1970-2002) due to the fact that the data have been not only accessible and reliable but also homogeneous with respect to climatological data of SST (CACSST data set (Reynolds and Roberts 1987, Reynolds 1988) and SST OI v.1. (Reynolds et al. 2002).
Źródło:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej; 2006, 16; 47-89
1234-0715
Pojawia się w:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
O związkach między intensywnością cyrkulacji termohalinowej na Atlantyku Północnym a sumami opadów w Hornsundzie (Spitsbergen)
The relationship between intensity of thermohaline circulation on the North Atlantic and precipitation totals at Hornsund (Spitsbergen)
Autorzy:
Marsz, A. A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/260812.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Stowarzyszenie Klimatologów Polskich
Tematy:
Północny Atlantyk
THC (cyrkulacja termohalinowa)
sumy opadów
powierzchnia zlodzona
Spitsbergen
Hornsund
North Atlantic
THC (Thermohaline Circulation)
precipitation totals
sea-ice extent
Opis:
W pracy omówiono związki rocznych i kwartalnych sum opadów w Hornsundzie z intensywnością składowej powierzchniowej cyrkulacji termohalinowej (THC) na Atlantyku Północnym. Fazę i intensywność THC opisuje wskaźnik oznaczony jako DG3L. Analizy wykazują, że związki takie, silnie rozciągnięte w czasie, istnieją. Związki rocznych sum opadów oraz sum opadów w drugim półroczu (lipiec-grudzień) z THC są związkami pośrednimi. Wraz ze zwiększoną dostawą ciepła z transportem Wód Atlantyckich na północ, do Arktyki, rosną w wodach mórz Grenlandzkiego i Barentsa zasoby ciepła, w związku z czym wzrasta temperatura wody powierzchniowej (SST) i maleje pokrywa lodowa. Tym samym wzrasta powierzchnia wód wolnych od lodów, a powierzchnia morza ma wyższą temperaturę. Oba procesy prowadzą do wzrostu natężenia strumieni ciepła i pary wodnej z oceanu do atmosfery, co powoduje wzrost temperatury powietrza (SAT). Wzrost SAT prowadzi do podniesienia wysokości tropopauzy. W rezultacie ciągu procesów sterowanych przez zmienność THC powstają sprzyjające warunki do wzrostu sum opadów w okresie występowania zmniejszonej powierzchni lodów i silnej konwekcji w atmosferze (wzrost wodności i miąższości chmur). Te same procesy wyjaśniają wzrost udziału sum opadów ciekłych w sumie rocznej opadów w Hornsundzie oraz wystąpienie dodatniego trendu sum opadów. Opóźnienie (~6 lat) reakcji sum opadów względem zmian natężenia THC wynika z opóźnionego, w stosunku do przebiegu wskaźnika DG3L, przejścia cyrkulacji atmosferycznej nad Arktyką z reżimu cyrkulacji antycyklonalnej do reżimu cyrkulacji cyklonalnej. Zwiększenie frekwencji cyklonów nad Arktyką, poprzez wzrost częstości wypadania opadów frontalnych również sprzyja wzrostowi sum opadów. Bardziej rozszerzona analiza wskazuje, że zmienność THC reguluje, poprzez wzrost temperatury powietrza, sum opadów i zmianę struktury opadów (stałe/ ciekłe) również przebieg procesów ewolucji geosystemów lądowych.
The work discusses relationship between total annual and quarterly precipitation in Hornsund and intensity of surface component of thermohaline circulation (THC) on the North Atlantic. Phase and intensity of THC describes index marked as DG3L. Analysis shows that there are such dependencies, significantly extended in time. Relations between THC and total annual precipitation and sums of precipitation in second half of the year (July-December) are indirect dependencies. Together with increased heat supply with transport of Atlantic Water north to the Arctic, grow heat resources in waters of the Greenland and Barents seas. As a result, SST increases and decreases ice extent. Thereby increasing area of water free of ice cover and sea surface has a higher temperature. Both processes leads to an increase in intensity of heat flux and water vapor from ocean into atmosphere, causing an increase in air temperature (SAT). An increase in SAT leads to raise height of tropopause. As a result of a sequence of processes controlled by volatility of THC are generated favorable conditions for an increase of sum of precipitation during periods of reduced sea ice extent and strong convection into atmosphere (an increase in water content and thickness of clouds). These same processes explain an increase sum of liquid precipitation in annual precipitation structure in Hornsund and an occurrence of positive trend of sum of precipitation. Occurring delay (~ 6 years) reacting sum of precipitation in relation to course of indicator, that characterizes intensity variations of THC results from retarded, with respect to course of indicator DG3L, transition of atmospheric circulation over the Arctic from anticyclonic circulation regime to cyclonic circulation regime. Increased frequency of cyclones occurrence over the Arctic, through an increase in frequency of falling out frontal precipitation also favors growth of sum of precipitation. More extended analysis indicates that variability of THC regulates, by an increase in air temperature, total precipitation and change in precipitation structure (solid / liquid) and processes of evolution of land geosystems.
Źródło:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej; 2016, 26; 17-36
1234-0715
Pojawia się w:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
O związkach między zmianami temperatury powierzchni Morza Sargassowego a zmianami temperatury powietrza na półkuli północnej (1880-2007)
Correlations between changes in sea surface temperature of the Sargasso Sea and changes in air temperature of the Northern Hemisphere (1880-2007)
Autorzy:
Marsz, A. A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/295028.pdf
Data publikacji:
2011
Wydawca:
Stowarzyszenie Geomorfologów Polskich
Tematy:
globalne ocieplenie
AMO
Morze Sargassowe
półkula północna
global warming
Sargasso Sea
Northern Hemisphere
Opis:
W artykule przedstawiono występowanie bardzo silnych związków między zmiennością temperatury powierzchni Morza Sargassowego a zmianami globalnych i hemisferycznych anomalii temperatury powietrza. Zmiany temperatury powierzchni Morza Sargassowego najsilniej powiązane są ze zmiennością anomalii temperatury powietrza w Arktyce (64-94°N) i w szerokościach umiarkowanych (44-64°N) półkuli północnej. Przeprowadzone analizy szeregów, z których wyeliminowano trendy, wykazują, że zmienność temperatury powierzchni Morza Sargassowego steruje hemisferycznymi anomaliami temperatury powietrza, nie wykazuje natomiast związków ze zmianami koncentracji CO2 w troposferze. Zmienność temperatury powierzchni Morza Sargassowego odbija zmienność AMO (Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation), która jest procesem naturalnym. Konkluzją jest stwierdzenie, że obserwowany obecnie wzrost hemisferycznej i globalnej temperatury powietrza stanowi w zasadniczym stopniu wynik działania procesów naturalnych.
This article presents occurrence of very strong correlations between the changeability in sea surface temperature of the Sargasso Sea and changes in global and hemispherical anomalies in air temperature. Changes in sea surface temperature of the Sargasso Sea are correlated in the strongest way with the changeability in air temperature anomalies in the Arctic (64-94°N) and latitudes (44-64°N) of the northern hemisphere. The analysis of series, where trends have been eliminated, indicates that changeability in sea surface temperature of the Sargasso Sea has influence on hemispherical anomalies in air temperature, yet it does not show any correlation with the concentration of CO2 in troposphere. Changes in sea surface temperature of the Sargasso Sea reflect AMO (Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation) changeability, which is a natural process. A conclusion may be drawn that the currently observed increase in hemispherical and global air temperature is significantly influenced by natural processes.
Źródło:
Landform Analysis; 2011, 15; 17-38
1429-799X
Pojawia się w:
Landform Analysis
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Oceanic control of the warming processes in the Arctic - a different point of view for the reasons of changes in the Arctic climate
Kontrola oceaniczna procesów ocieplenia Arktyki - odmienny punkt spojrzenia na przyczyny zmian klimatu w Arktyce
Autorzy:
Marsz, A. A.
Styszyńska, A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/260709.pdf
Data publikacji:
2009
Wydawca:
Stowarzyszenie Klimatologów Polskich
Tematy:
Arktyka
delta Golfsztromu
ocieplenie
temperatura powietrza
temperatura powierzchni wody
czynniki naturalne
Arctic
Gulf Stream delta
warming
air temperature
SST
natural factors
Opis:
The paper describes the strong correlation between the sea surface temperature (SST) in the region of the Gulf Stream delta and anomalies in surface air temperature (SAT) in the Arctic over the period 1880-2007. This correlation results from the transfer of a variable amount of heat from the Atlantic tropics into the Arctic through oceanic circulation (AMO – Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation). Reaction of sea ice is the main mechanism controlling the heat content in water carried to the Arctic and influencing the SAT. Sea ice may either increase or limit the heat flow from the ocean to the atmosphere. The genesis of the ‘Great warming of the Arctic’ in the 1930s and ‘40s is the same as that of the present day. Both may be considered to be attributable to natural processes and are not demonstrably associated in any way with a supposed ‘Global greenhouse effect’. Changes in the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere could only explain 9% of variations in the SAT in the Arctic.
Praca wykazuje istnienie silnych związków między temperaturą powierzchni morza (SST) w rejonie delty Golfsztromu a przebiegiem anomalii temperatury powietrza w Arktyce (1880-2007). Związki te wynikają z transportu przez cyrkulację oceaniczną (AMO – Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation) zmiennych ilości ciepła z rejonu atlantyckich tropików do Arktyki. Głównym mechanizmem regulującym wpływ zasobów ciepła w wodach wnoszonych do Arktyki na temperaturę powietrza jest reakcja lodów morskich, zwiększająca lub ograniczająca strumienie ciepła z oceanu do atmosfery. Geneza wielkiego ocieplenia Arktyki w latach 30-40. XX wieku i współczesnego ocieplenia Arktyki jest taka sama. Oba epizody ocieplenia Arktyki stanowią rezultat działania procesów naturalnych i nie są związane z dzia-łaniem efektu cieplarnianego. Zmiany koncentracji CO2 w atmosferze objaśniają około 9% wariancji SAT w Arktyce.
Źródło:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej; 2009, 19; 7-31
1234-0715
Pojawia się w:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Ogólnopolskie seminaria meteorologii i klimatologii polarnej – wczoraj i dziś (1991-2015)
Polish polar meteorology and climatology seminars – yesterday and today (1991-2015)
Autorzy:
Marsz, A. A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/261071.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Stowarzyszenie Klimatologów Polskich
Tematy:
meteorologia i klimatologia polarna
seminarium
Polska
polar meteorology and climatology
seminar
Polska
Opis:
W pracy opisano genezę i historię organizacyjną Ogólnopolskich Seminariów Meteorologii i Klimatologii Polarnej. Tematyka seminariów dotyczyła zmian warunków hydroklimatycznych w obszarach polarnych i zagadnień pokrewnych wskazujących i dokumentujących charakter i konsekwencje zmian klimatycznych zachodzących w Arktyce i Antarktyce. Odbyło się 25 seminariów, na których wygłoszono 419 referatów.
This paper describes the principles and history of the organization Polish Polar Meteorology and Climatology Seminars. The topics of seminars related to changes in the hydro-climatic conditions in the polar regions and related issues indicating and documenting the nature and consequences of climate change taking place in the Arctic and Antarctic. It held 25 seminars in which 419 presentation were delivered.
Źródło:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej; 2015, 25; 99-104
1234-0715
Pojawia się w:
Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł

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