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Wyszukujesz frazę "extreme weather" wg kryterium: Wszystkie pola


Tytuł:
Extreme Weather Events and their Consequences
Autorzy:
Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2079198.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
Tematy:
Nauki o Ziemi
Opis:
The damage (in real terms after adjusting for infl ation) caused by extreme weather events globally has increased dramatically over the past few decades. This is a result of an increase in the amplitude and frequency of weather extremes, as well as of human factors causing a widespread increase in levels of exposure and vulnerability. There are a number of reasons to consider that, in many regions of the globe, weather extremes (e.g. heat waves, droughts, forest fi res, intense rainfall, fl oods and landslides) are becoming both yet more extreme and more frequent. Projections for the future based on climate and impact models point to a further strengthening of this trend. There has already been an increase in rainfall intensity in conditions of a warmer climate, and a continuation of this trend is expected, with adverse consequences for fl ood risk. However, the development of fl ood-prone areas and increase in damage potential are often the dominant factors underpinning growing fl ood damage and fl ood risk. In warmer climates, an increased risk of river and fl ash fl ooding caused by heavy rainfall, as well as an increasing risk of coastal fl ooding associated with sea level rise can be expected over large areas. By the same token, a reduction in the risk of snowmelt fl ooding events is projected in the warmer climate. Projections also indicate an increased risk of drought in many areas. The projections for climate change in Poland point to several risks associated with an increase in the frequency, intensity and severity of weather extremes (heat waves, intensive rainfall, fl ooding and landslides, coastal surges, drought during the growing season and winter, strong winds and pathogens associated with warming). Heat waves will become more frequent, more intense and more troublesome for the ageing population of Poland.
Źródło:
Papers on Global Change; 2016, 23; 59-69
2300-8121
1730-802X
Pojawia się w:
Papers on Global Change
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Problems with the classification and prediction of extreme weather phenomena
Autorzy:
Warakomski, W.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/25927.pdf
Data publikacji:
1998
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Instytut Agrofizyki PAN
Tematy:
classification
prediction
weather phenomenon
extreme weather phenomenon
Źródło:
International Agrophysics; 1998, 12, 4
0236-8722
Pojawia się w:
International Agrophysics
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for maritime ferry
Autorzy:
Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068960.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
extreme weather hazard states
maritime ferry
Opis:
The climate-weather change process for the maritime ferry operating at Port Gdynia and at Baltic Sea open waters between Gdynia bay and Karlskrona bay is considered and its states are defined. Further, the semi-Markov process is defined and used to create a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the maritime ferry operating at considered areas.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 41--46
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Critical infrastructure operating area climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068851.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
critical infrastructure
operation
prediction
climate-weather change
Opis:
The climate-weather change process for a critical infrastructure operating area is considered and its states are introduced. A semi-Markov approach is used to construct a general probabilistic model of this process by defining its basic parameters. Further, the procedure of the climate-weather change process characteristics prediction is proposed.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 15--24
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Critical infrastructure operation process related to operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068860.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
critical infrastructure
operation
prediction
environment threats
extreme weather hazards
Opis:
Considering a significant influence of the critical infrastructure operating environment threats on its operation process and safety, more precise and convergent to reality model of the critical infrastructure operation process related to critical infrastructure operating environment threats is built. The method of defining the parameters of this operation process is presented and a new procedure of their determining in the case when the critical infrastructure operating threats are not explicit separated in this process is proposed.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 41--58
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068838.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
critical infrastructure
identification
climate-weather change process
Opis:
There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 85--106
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Critical infrastructure operation process related to climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazard
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068843.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
critical infrastructure
operation
prediction
climate-weather change
Opis:
The operation process of the critical infrastructure is considered and its operation states are introduced. The semi-Markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the critical infrastructure operation process. The semi-Markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 25--40
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for critical infrastructure operating area
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068981.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather states
climate-weather change process
modelling
extreme weather hazards
Opis:
The climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area is considered and its states are introduced. The semi-Markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area. To build this model the vector of probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the initials climate-weather states, the matrix of probabilities of the climate-weather change process transitions between the climate-weather states, the matrix of conditional distribution functions and the matrix of conditional density functions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states are defined. To describe the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states the uniform distribution, the triangular distribution, the double trapezium distribution, the quasi-trapezium distribution, the exponential distribution, the Weibull distribution, the chimney distribution and the Gamma distribution are suggested and introduced.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 149--154
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
General Approach to Modelling Operation Threats and Extreme Weather Hazards Impact on Critical Infrastructure Safety
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068804.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
modelling
operation threats
extreme weather hazards
critical Infrastructure
safety
Opis:
The paper presents the theoretical, general approach to safety modelling of operation threats and extreme wather hazards impact on Critical Infrastructures. To achieve this aim, the scheme of the operation and climate-weather influence on CI is presented and described. Furthermore, the basic critical infrastructure safety indicators and IMCISM Model 1 are introduced.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 3; 1--8
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for port oil piping transportation system
Autorzy:
Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068975.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
extreme weather hazard states
port oil transportation syste
Opis:
The climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area is considered and its states are defined. Further, the semi-Markov process is used to create a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area. To construct this model the vector of probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the initials climate-weather states, the matrix of probabilities of the climate-weather change process transitions between the climate-weather states, the matrix of conditional distribution functions and the matrix of conditional density functions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states are defined. Preliminary applications of the proposed model to the climate-weather change process for the port oil transportation system operation area are presented.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 31--40
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł

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