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    Tytuł:
    Integrated Impact Model on Critical Infrastructure Safety Related to Its Operation Process and Climate-Weather Change Process
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068789.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    impact model
    climate-weather process
    operation process
    safety
    model
    critical infrastructure
    Opis:
    The main aim of the paper is to define the operation and climate change influence on the safety of a critical infrastructure considered as a complex system in its operating environment. As the result, a general safety analytical model of a complex technical system under the influence of the operation process related to climateweather change process is proposed. Further, the conditional safety functions at the operation process related to climate-weather change process, the unconditional safety function and the risk function of the complex system at changing in time operation and climate-weather conditions are defined. Moreover, the mean lifetime up to the exceeding a critical safety state, the moment when the risk function value exceeds the acceptable safety level, the intensities of ageing of the critical infrastructure and its components and the coefficients of the operation and climate-weather impact on the critical infrastructure and its components intensities of ageing are proposed as the other significant safety indices for any critical infrastructure.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 4; 33--48
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for maritime ferry
    Autorzy:
    Jakusik, E.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068960.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2016
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    semi-Markov model
    extreme weather hazard states
    maritime ferry
    Opis:
    The climate-weather change process for the maritime ferry operating at Port Gdynia and at Baltic Sea open waters between Gdynia bay and Karlskrona bay is considered and its states are defined. Further, the semi-Markov process is defined and used to create a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the maritime ferry operating at considered areas.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 41--46
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Critical infrastructure operating area climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068851.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    critical infrastructure
    operation
    prediction
    climate-weather change
    Opis:
    The climate-weather change process for a critical infrastructure operating area is considered and its states are introduced. A semi-Markov approach is used to construct a general probabilistic model of this process by defining its basic parameters. Further, the procedure of the climate-weather change process characteristics prediction is proposed.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 15--24
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Monte Carlo simulation of climate-weather change process at maritime ferry operating area
    Autorzy:
    Kuligowska, E.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/298021.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2018
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Warmińsko-Mazurski w Olsztynie
    Tematy:
    Monte Carlo simulation
    climate-weather change process
    critical infrastructure operating area
    Opis:
    The paper presents a computer simulation technique applied to generating the climate-weather change process at Baltic Sea restricted waters and its characteristics evaluation. The Monte Carlo method is used under the assumption of semi-Markov model of this process. A procedure and an algorithm of climate-weather change process’ realizations generating and its characteristics evaluation are proposed to be applied in C# program preparation. Using this program, the climate-weather change process’ characteristics are predicted for the maritime ferry operating area. Namely, the mean values and standard deviations of the unconditional sojourn times, the limit values of transient probabilities and the mean values of total sojourn times for the fixed time at the climate-weather states are determined.
    Źródło:
    Technical Sciences / University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn; 2018, 21(1); 5-17
    1505-4675
    2083-4527
    Pojawia się w:
    Technical Sciences / University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068838.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    critical infrastructure
    identification
    climate-weather change process
    Opis:
    There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 85--106
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification and prediction of climate-weather change process for maritime ferry operating area
    Autorzy:
    Kuligowska, E.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068854.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    identification
    prediction
    maritime ferry operating area
    Opis:
    The paper is concerned with an application of the climate-weather change process for a critical infrastructure operating area model to identification and prediction of this process for maritime ferry operating area. For the considered ferry operating area, there are distinguished four different climate-weather change processes and their states. Further, there are identified the unknown parameters of those processes, i.e. the probabilities of the climate-weather change processes staying at the initial climate-weather states, the probabilities of the climateweather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the mean values of the climate-weather change processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 129--134
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Critical infrastructure operation process related to climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazard
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068843.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    critical infrastructure
    operation
    prediction
    climate-weather change
    Opis:
    The operation process of the critical infrastructure is considered and its operation states are introduced. The semi-Markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the critical infrastructure operation process. The semi-Markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 25--40
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for critical infrastructure operating area
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068981.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2016
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather states
    climate-weather change process
    modelling
    extreme weather hazards
    Opis:
    The climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area is considered and its states are introduced. The semi-Markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area. To build this model the vector of probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the initials climate-weather states, the matrix of probabilities of the climate-weather change process transitions between the climate-weather states, the matrix of conditional distribution functions and the matrix of conditional density functions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states are defined. To describe the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states the uniform distribution, the triangular distribution, the double trapezium distribution, the quasi-trapezium distribution, the exponential distribution, the Weibull distribution, the chimney distribution and the Gamma distribution are suggested and introduced.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 149--154
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Integrated Impact Model on Critical Infrastructure Accident Consequences Related to Climate-Weather Change Process
    Autorzy:
    Bogalecka, M.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068795.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    critical infrastructure
    accident
    initiating events
    environment threats
    environment degradation
    losses
    climateweather impact
    Opis:
    An integrated general model of critical infrastructure accident consequences including the process of initiating events, the process of environment threats and the process of environment degradation models related to the climate-weather change process in its operating area is presented. The model is proposed to the evaluation of losses associated with the environment degradation caused by the critical infrastructure accident and to investigate the climate-weather influence on these lossess.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 4; 67--76
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for port oil piping transportation system
    Autorzy:
    Jakusik, E.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068975.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2016
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    semi-Markov model
    extreme weather hazard states
    port oil transportation syste
    Opis:
    The climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area is considered and its states are defined. Further, the semi-Markov process is used to create a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area. To construct this model the vector of probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the initials climate-weather states, the matrix of probabilities of the climate-weather change process transitions between the climate-weather states, the matrix of conditional distribution functions and the matrix of conditional density functions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states are defined. Preliminary applications of the proposed model to the climate-weather change process for the port oil transportation system operation area are presented.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 31--40
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification and prediction of climate-weather change process for port oil piping transportation system operating area
    Autorzy:
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068856.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    identification
    prediction
    piping operating area
    extreme weather hazards
    Opis:
    The paper is concerned with an application of the climate-weather change process for a critical infrastructure operating area model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system operating area. For the considered piping operating area, there are distinguished three different climate-weather change processes and their states. Further, there are identified the unknown parameters of those processes, i.e. the probabilities of the climate-weather change processes staying at the initial climate-weather states, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the mean values of the climate-weather change processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 107--112
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Integrated Impact Model on Critical Infrastructure Safety Related to Climate-Weather Change Process Including Extreme Weather Hazards
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068792.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate change process
    weather hazards
    impact
    model
    safety
    Opis:
    In the paper a general safety analytical model of complex technical system related to the climateweather change process in its operating area is defined. First, the system operation at climate-weather variable conditions is given. Additionally, the semi-Markov approach is used. Further, the safety model of the multistate system at climate-weather variable conditions is introduced. The notions of the conditional safety functions at the climate-weather particular states, the unconditional safety function and the risk function of the complex system at changing in time climate-weather conditions are presented. The other safety indices like mean lifetime up to the exceeding a critical safety state, the moment when the risk function value exceeds the acceptable safety level, the intensities of ageing of the critical infrastructure and its components and the coefficients of the climate-weather impact on the critical infrastructure and its components intensities of ageing are defined.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 4; 21--32
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Minimization of Operation Cost of Critical Infrastructure Network with Cascading Effects Considering Climate-Weather Change Influence
    Autorzy:
    Blokus-Roszkowska, A.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068787.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2018
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    critical infrastructure
    operation process
    climate-weather change process
    operation cost minimization
    Opis:
    In the paper optimization of operation process and minimization of operation cost for interconnected and interdependent critical infrastructure (CI) networks with cascading effects at variable operation conditions related to the climate-weather change are proposed. A multistate series network with assets dependent according to local load sharing (LLS) rule is analyzed and optimization of operation and safety of CI network with the LLS rule is introduced. For such CI network, the optimal transient probabilities that minimize the mean value of the total operation costs are found. Finally, cost analysis of CI network operation impacted by climate-weather change is presented in case the CI network is non-repairable and in case it is repairable after exceeding its critical safety state.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 1; 71--80
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Prediction of climate-weather change process for port oil piping transportation system and maritime ferry operating at Baltic Sea area
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068988.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2016
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    semi-Markov model
    modelling
    identification
    transportation system
    Opis:
    There are presented the methods of prediction of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for the initial point of the port oil piping transportation system are presented.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 143--148
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification and prediction of maritime ferry operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards
    Autorzy:
    Kuligowska, E.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068836.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    identification
    prediction
    operating environment threats
    maritime ferry
    Opis:
    The paper is concerned with an application of the model of critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards to identification and prediction of this process for the maritime ferry. There are investigated four processes for the considered maritime ferry operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the operation process including operating environment threats and the climate-weather change processes for the maritime ferry operating area, there are determined the unknown parameters of these processes. Namely, the probabilities of the ferry processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the ferry processes transitions between the states and the mean values of the ferry processes conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the maritime ferry operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards at the distinguished operating areas.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 145--156
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for port oil piping transportation system operating at under water Baltic Sea area
    Autorzy:
    Jakusik, E.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068999.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2016
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    semi-Markov model
    modelling
    identification
    transportation system
    Opis:
    There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for the initial point of the port oil piping transportation system are presented.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 47--56
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for maritime ferry operating at Baltic Sea open waters
    Autorzy:
    Jakusik, E.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068984.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2016
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    semi-Markov model
    modelling
    identification
    transportation system
    Opis:
    There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for maritime ferry operating at Baltic Sea open waters are presented.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 73--80
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for the maritime ferry operating at Gdynia port area
    Autorzy:
    Jakusik, E.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068991.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2016
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    semi-Markov model
    modelling
    identification
    transportation system
    Opis:
    There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for the maritime ferry operating at Gdynia port area are presented.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 65--72
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards of port oil piping transportation system operating at land Baltic seaside area
    Autorzy:
    Jakusik, E.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068953.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2016
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    semi-Markov model
    modelling
    identification
    transportation system
    Opis:
    There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for the port oil piping transportation system operating at land Baltic seaside area are presented.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 57--64
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification methods and procedures of critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069003.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2016
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    semi-Markov model
    modelling
    identification
    transportation system
    Opis:
    In the paper, there are presented the methods for identification of the critical infrastructure operation process on the basis of statistical data coming from this process realizations related to the critical infrastructure operating environment threats. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the critical infrastructure operation process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the critical infrastructure operation process conditional critical infrastructure operation process sojourn times at the particular operation states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the critical infrastructure operation process straying at the particular operation states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the critical infrastructure operation process transitions between the operation states. Moreover, there are given formulae for the estimator of unknown parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the critical infrastructure operation process conditional sojourn times at the operation states. Namely, the parameters of the uniform distribution, the triangular distribution, the double trapezium distribution, the quasi-trapezium distribution, the exponential distribution, the Weibull’s distribution and the chimney distribution are estimated using the statistical methods such as the method of moments and the maximum likelihood method. The chi-square goodness-of-fit test is described and proposed to be applied to verifying the hypotheses about these distributions choice validity. The procedure of statistical data sets uniformity analysis based on Kolmogorov-Smirnov test is proposed to be applied to the empirical conditional sojourn times at the operation states coming from different realizations of the same critical infrastructure operation process.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 155--168
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    EU-CIRCLE : A pan-European framework for strengthening critical infrastructure resilience to climate change Project taxonomy and methodology – Climate-weather change terminology and methodology
    Autorzy:
    Blokus-Roszkowska, A.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068903.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate change
    extreme weather event
    climate-weather state
    climate-weather change process
    Opis:
    The paper presents climate-weather change terminology, selected from the fourth chapter of the report prepared in the scope of the EU-CIRCLE project. This project titled “A pan-European framework for strengthening Critical Infrastructure resilience to climate change – EU-CIRCLE” is realized under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program. The improved terms and definitions coming from this chapter are presented. Moreover, methodology related to climate-weather change in the scope of project issues is introduced.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 1; 217--230
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification and prediction of port oil piping transportation system operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weathers hazards
    Autorzy:
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068849.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    identification
    prediction
    operating environment threats
    piping transportation system
    Opis:
    The paper is concerned with an application of the critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system. There are distinguished three processes for the considered piping operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the operation process including operating environment threats and the climate-weather change processes for the piping operating area, there are determined the unknown parameters of these processes. Namely, the probabilities of the piping processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the piping processes transitions between the states and the mean values of the piping processes conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the piping operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards at the distinguished operating area.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 121--128
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Safety and Resilience of Baltic Port and Shipping Critical Infrastructure Network Related to Cascading Effects and Climate-Weather Change
    Autorzy:
    Blokus-Roszkowska, A.
    Guze, S.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068784.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2018
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    safety
    critical infrastructure
    network
    cascading effects
    climate-weather change process
    coefficient of impact
    Opis:
    The paper is devoted to presentation the safety model for Baltic Port and Shipping Critical Infrastructure Network (BPSCIN) taking into account interactions between Baltic Port Critical Infrastructure Network, Baltic Shipping Critical Infrastructure Network and Baltic Ship Traffic and Port Operation Information Critical Infrastructure Network. First of all, the BPSCIN and its safety parameters are introduced. Next, the basic information and necessary data to describe the interactions in considered critical infrastructure network are given. Finally, the safety, resilience and risk indicators of the BPSCIN are presented.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 2; 87--98
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Optimization of Operation and Safety of Baltic Port and Shipping Critical Infrastructure Network with Considering Climate-Weather Change Influence – Minimizing Critical Infrastructure Network Operation Cost
    Autorzy:
    Guze, S.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068751.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2018
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    critical infrastructure network
    operation process
    climate-weather change process
    operation cost
    optimization
    port
    shipping
    Opis:
    The paper is devoted the optimization of operation process and minimization of operation cost for Baltic Port and Shipping Critical Infrastructure Network (BPSCIN) at variable operation conditions related to the climateweather change. For this network, the optimal transient probabilities that minimize the mean value of the total operation costs are found. Finally, cost analysis of BPSCIN operation impacted by climate-weather change is presented in case the BPSCIN is non-repairable and in case it is repairable after exceeding its critical safety state.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 1; 61--70
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Oil transport in port. Part 2. Port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience impacted by the climate-weather change process
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068778.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2018
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    port oil piping transportation system
    climate-weather change impacts
    safety
    resilience
    cost analysis
    Opis:
    The paper is concerned with the application of the model of critical infrastructure safety prediction with considering its climate-weather change impacts. The general approach to the prediction of critical infrastructure safety and resilience is proposed and the safety and resilience indicators are defined for a critical infrastructure impacted by climate-weather change process. Moreover, there is presented the model application for port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience prediction. Further, the cost analysis of critical infrastructure impacted by climate-weather change process is proposed and applied to the considered piping system.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 2; 29--42
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Optimization of Operation and Safety of Baltic Port and Shipping Critical Infrastructure Network with Considering Climate-Weather Change Influence – Maximizing Lifetime in the Set of Safety States Not Worse Than a Critical Safety State
    Autorzy:
    Guze, S.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068746.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2018
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    critical infrastructure network
    operation process
    climate-weather change process
    safety lifetime maximization
    port
    shipping
    Opis:
    The paper is devoted the optimization of operation process and maximization of safety lifetimes for Baltic Port and Shipping Critical Infrastructure Network (BPSCIN) at variable operation conditions related to the climateweather change. For this network, the optimal transient probabilities of BPSCIN operation process at operation states related to climate-weather change that maximize the mean value of BPSCIN safety lifetimes are found. Finally, the optimal safety and resilience indicators of considered network are presented.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 1; 27--34
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Maximization of Safety Lifetime of Critical Infrastructure Network with Cascading Effects Considering Climate-Weather Change Influence
    Autorzy:
    Blokus-Roszkowska, A.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068749.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2018
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    critical infrastructure
    operation process
    climate-weather change process
    critical state
    critical infrastructure safety lifetime maximization
    Opis:
    In the paper optimization of operation process and maximization of safety lifetimes for interconnected and interdependent critical infrastructure (CI) networks at variable operation conditions related to the climateweather change are proposed. A multistate series network with assets dependent according to local load sharing (LLS) rule is analyzed and optimization of operation and safety of CI network with the LLS rule is introduced. For such CI network, the optimal transient probabilities of CI network operation process at operation states related to climate-weather change that maximize the mean value of CI network safety lifetimes are found. Finally, the optimal safety and resilience indicators of CI network are presented.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 1; 35--42
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Optimization of Operation and Safety of Global Baltic Network of Critical Infrastructure Networks (GBNCIN) with Considering Climate-Weather Change Process (C-WCP) influence – Minimizing GBNCIN Operation Cost
    Autorzy:
    Dziula, P.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068743.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2018
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    critical infrastructure
    critical infrastructure network
    operation process
    climate-weather change process
    network of critical infrastructure networks
    Opis:
    The paper presents a method of the GBNCIN operation and safety, with considering the climate-weather change process, safety optimization. Basic characteristics of the critical infrastructure operation process related to climateweather change process are shown. Then, the GBNCIN operation cost related to climate-weather change is introduced. Furthermore, by analysis of the operation cost of the GBNCIN impacted by the operation process, related to the climate-weather change process, and its conditional safety functions, mean values of the total sojourn times at particular operation states during certain sufficiently large GBNCIN operation time are fixed. Finally, the GBNCIN operation cost related to climate-weather change minimization, and cost analysis of the GBNCIN operation impacted by climate-weather change, are presented.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 1; 53--60
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Oil transport in port. Part 3. Port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience impacted by the climate-weather change process and operation process
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068783.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2018
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    piping system
    operation process
    climate-weather change impacts
    safety
    resilience
    cost analysis
    optimization
    Opis:
    The paper is concerned with the application of the model of critical infrastructure safety prediction with considering its operation and climate-weather change impacts. The general approach to the prediction of critical infrastructure safety and resilience is proposed and the safety and resilience indicators are defined for a critical infrastructure impacted by its operation process and the climate-weather change process. Moreover, there is presented the model application for port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience prediction. Further, the cost analysis and optimisation of critical infrastructure operation process impacted by climateweather change is proposed and applied to the considered piping system.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 2; 43--64
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Integrated Impact Model on Critical Infrastructure Safety Related to Its Operation Process Including Operating Environment Threat and Climate-Weather Change Process Including Extreme Weather
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068791.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    integrated model
    critical infrastructure
    operation process
    environment threat
    weather hazard
    safety
    Opis:
    The paper presents the general safety analytical model of a complex technical system under the influence of the operation process including its operating environment threats related to climate-weather change process, The system operation process including environment threats under influence of climate-weather variable conditions is defined. Moreover, the safety model of multistate systems at variable conditions related to operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards is proposed. The conditional safety functions at the operation process including operating environment threats and related to climate-weather change process particular states, the unconditional safety function and the risk function of the complex system at changing in time operation and climate-weather conditions and other, practically significant, critical infrastructure safety indices are defined. Furthermore, the same safety indicators are defined for exponential systems.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 4; 49--66
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Oil pipeline critical infrastructure network
    Autorzy:
    Drzazga, M.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068939.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2016
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    critical infrastructure
    oil pipeline
    Baltic Oil Pipeline Critical Infrastructure Network
    BOPCIN
    operation process
    Climate-Weather Change Process
    Opis:
    In the article there are described main oil pipeline installations and main oil terminals in the Baltic Sea region. Oil facilities are gathered in the network of critical infrastructure. Impact of changing climate/weather on that infrastructure is taken into account. One medium size terminal is described in details and weather impact on the operation of that terminal is considered.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 2; 53--60
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Shipping critical infrastructure network
    Autorzy:
    Bogalecka, M.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Ledóchowski, M.
    Reszko, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068933.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2016
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    critical infrastructure
    shipping
    Baltic Shipping Critical Infrastructure Network
    BSCIN
    maritime ferry operation process
    Climate-Weather Change Process
    C-WCP
    Opis:
    In the article there are described shipping density, condition and ship accidents at the Baltic Sea waters. Shipping is gathered in the network of critical infrastructure. Impact of changing climate/weather on that infrastructure is taken into account. The maritime ferry – a passenger Ro-Ro ship operating at the Baltic Sea between Gdynia and Karlskrona ports on regular everyday line is described. Next, the climate-weather impact on the technical system operation and safety of maritime ferry is considered.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 2; 43--52
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Optimization of Operation and Safety of Global Baltic Network of Critical Infrastructure Networks (GBNCIN) with Considering Climate-Weather Change Process (C-WCP) influence – Maximizing GBNCIN Lifetime in the Set of Safety States not worse than a Critical Safety State
    Autorzy:
    Dziula, P.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068745.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2018
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    critical infrastructure
    critical infrastructure network
    operation process
    network of critical infrastructure networks
    Opis:
    The paper presents a method of the GBNCIN operation and safety, with considering the climate-weather change process, safety optimization. Basic characteristics of the critical infrastructure operation process related to climateweather change process are shown. Then, optimal transient probabilities of the GBNCIN Operation Process at Operation States Related to Climate-Weather Change Process, and the GBNCIN optimal safety and resilience indicators, are introduced. By defining unconditional multistate safety function of the GBNCIN, and corresponding optimal risk function, the optimal coefficients of the operation process related to the climateweather change impact on the GBNCIN intensities of degradation, have been determined. Finally, optimal sojourn times of the GBNCIN operation process at operation states, related to climate-weather change process and operation strategy, are presented.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 1; 17--26
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Optimization of Critical Infrastrucutre operation and Safety With Considering Climate-Weather Change Impact - Minimizing Operation Cost
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068786.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2018
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    critical infrastructure
    safety
    operation process
    climate-weather change
    operation cost
    optimization
    Opis:
    The general model of a critical infrastructure changing its safety structure, its components safety parameters and its operation cost during the variable operation process and linear programming are applied to optimize the critical infrastructure operation process in order to get the critical infrastructure operation cost optimal value. The optimization problem allowing to find the optimal values of the transient probabilities of the critical infrastructure operation process at the particular operation states that minimize the critical infrastructure operation cost mean value in the safety states subset not worse than a critical safety state is presented. The optimization of operation cost of the critical infrastructure is proposed with considering climate-weather change process influence on the system safety.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 1; 43--52
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification and prediction of maritime ferry operation process related to climate-weather change
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068863.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    operation process
    identification
    prediction
    climate-weather change
    maritime ferry
    Opis:
    The paper is concerned with an application of the critical infrastructure operation process related to climate-weather change model to identification and prediction of this process for maritime ferry. There are distinguished four different processes for the corresponding ferry operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the ferry operation process and the ferry operating area climate-weather change processes, there are determined the unknown parameters of those processes. Namely, there are determined the probabilities of the processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the transitions between the states and the mean values of the processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the ferry operation process related to climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 135--144
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification and prediction of port oil piping transportation system operation process related to climate-weather change
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068858.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    operation process
    climate-weather change
    identification
    prediction
    piping transportation system
    Opis:
    The paper is concerned with an application of the critical infrastructure operation process related to climateweather change model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system. There are distinguished three different processes for the corresponding piping operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the piping operation process and the piping operating area climate-weather change processes, there are determined the unknown parameters of those processes. Namely, there are determined the probabilities of the processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the transitions between the states and the mean values of the processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the piping operation process related to climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 113--120
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Critical infrastructure operation process
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068841.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    critical infrastructure
    operation
    prediction
    climate-weather change
    Opis:
    The operation process of the critical infrastructure is considered and its operation states are introduced. The semi- Markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the critical infrastructure operation process.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 1--6
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Optimization of critical infrastructure operation and safety with considering climate-weather change influence : maximizing safety lifetime
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068785.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2018
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    critical infrastructure
    safety
    operation process
    climate-weather change
    optimization
    safety lifetime
    Opis:
    The method based on the results of the joint model linking a semi-Markov modelling of the critical infrastructure operation process with a multistate approach to critical infrastructure safety and linear programming are proposed to the critical infrastructure operation and safety optimization. This method determining the optimal values of limit transient probabilities at the critical infrastructure operation states that maximize the critical infrastructure safety lifetime in the safety state subsets is proposed.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 1; 1--10
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068865.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    critical infrastructure
    operation
    prediction
    climate-weather change
    Opis:
    Considering a significant influence of the critical infrastructure operating environment threats on its operation process and safety, based on semi-Markov processes theory, a convergent to reality model of the critical infrastructure operation process related to critical infrastructure operating environment threats is built. The method of defining the parameters of this operation process is presented and new procedures of their determining in the case when the critical infrastructure operating threats are not explicit separated in this process are proposed.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 7--14
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Analiza ryzyka pogodowego w branży rolnej jako istotny element działań adaptacyjnych do zmian klimatu
    The analysis of a weather risk in agriculture as an important part in the process of adaptation to the climate change
    Autorzy:
    Michalak, D.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/96626.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2016
    Wydawca:
    Fundacja Ekonomistów Środowiska i Zasobów Naturalnych
    Tematy:
    ryzyko pogodowe
    zmiany klimatu
    przemysł rolniczy
    analiza ryzyka
    weather risk
    climate change
    agricultural industry
    risk analysis
    Opis:
    Celem artykułu jest przedstawienie kroków analizy ryzyka pogodowego, jakie powinno podjąć przedsiębiorstwo rolne, aby skutecznie zarządzać ryzykiem pogodowym, co stanowi nieodłączny element działań adaptacyjnych do zmian klimatu. Aby podkreślić istotność omawianego tematu, biorąc pod uwagę koncepcję zrównoważonego rozwoju, na wstępie omówiono społeczny, ekonomiczny i środowiskowy wymiar zmian klimatu. Następnie przedstawiono metody identyfikacji ryzyka pogodowego, elementy efektywnego zarządzania ryzykiem pogodowym w rolnictwie, proponowane zabezpieczenia finansowe i fizyczne, tak aby na końcu zaprezentować schemat analizy ryzyka pogodowego w przedsiębiorstwie rolnym.
    Every year, the climate change is gaining momentum. One of the primary objectives of the European Union is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. However, we need to keep in mind that even if carbon dioxide emissions levels will be reduced to the stated level it does not change the fact, that some climate changes are inevitable. Therefore it is now when the adaptive actions should be carried out, to adapt the economy, the local society and the environment. to the new reality. The aim of this paper is to present the stages of the weather risk analysis, which should be carried out by the farm owner to efficiently manage the weather risk. This stands an inherent element of adapting to the climate change. To emphasise the importance of the subject, also taking the concept of sustainable development into account, the introduction presents the social, economic and environmental dimensions of the climate change. This is followed by the weather risk identification methods, elements of an effective weather risk management in agriculture, the proposed financial and physical security, so that at the end of the present scheme of weather risk analysis in agricultural busines.
    Źródło:
    Ekonomia i Środowisko; 2016, 2; 95-111
    0867-8898
    Pojawia się w:
    Ekonomia i Środowisko
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
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