Wszystkie pola: Climate-Weather Change Process - Katalog OPAC zbiorów

Skocz do pozycji: 1.

Tytuł:: Identification and prediction of climate-weather change process for port oil piping transportation system operating area
Autorzy:: Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068856.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2017
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:: climate-weather change process
identification
prediction
piping operating area
extreme weather hazards
Opis:: The paper is concerned with an application of the climate-weather change process for a critical infrastructure operating area model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system operating area. For the considered piping operating area, there are distinguished three different climate-weather change processes and their states. Further, there are identified the unknown parameters of those processes, i.e. the probabilities of the climate-weather change processes staying at the initial climate-weather states, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the mean values of the climate-weather change processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.
Źródło:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 107--112
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 2.

Tytuł:: Identification and prediction of port oil piping transportation system operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weathers hazards
Autorzy:: Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068849.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2017
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:: climate-weather change process
identification
prediction
operating environment threats
piping transportation system
Opis:: The paper is concerned with an application of the critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system. There are distinguished three processes for the considered piping operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the operation process including operating environment threats and the climate-weather change processes for the piping operating area, there are determined the unknown parameters of these processes. Namely, the probabilities of the piping processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the piping processes transitions between the states and the mean values of the piping processes conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the piping operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards at the distinguished operating area.
Źródło:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 121--128
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 3.

Tytuł:: Analiza ryzyka pogodowego w branży rolnej jako istotny element działań adaptacyjnych do zmian klimatu
The analysis of a weather risk in agriculture as an important part in the process of adaptation to the climate change
Autorzy:: Michalak, D.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/96626.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2016
Wydawca:: Fundacja Ekonomistów Środowiska i Zasobów Naturalnych
Tematy:: ryzyko pogodowe
zmiany klimatu
przemysł rolniczy
analiza ryzyka
weather risk
climate change
agricultural industry
risk analysis
Opis:: Celem artykułu jest przedstawienie kroków analizy ryzyka pogodowego, jakie powinno podjąć przedsiębiorstwo rolne, aby skutecznie zarządzać ryzykiem pogodowym, co stanowi nieodłączny element działań adaptacyjnych do zmian klimatu. Aby podkreślić istotność omawianego tematu, biorąc pod uwagę koncepcję zrównoważonego rozwoju, na wstępie omówiono społeczny, ekonomiczny i środowiskowy wymiar zmian klimatu. Następnie przedstawiono metody identyfikacji ryzyka pogodowego, elementy efektywnego zarządzania ryzykiem pogodowym w rolnictwie, proponowane zabezpieczenia finansowe i fizyczne, tak aby na końcu zaprezentować schemat analizy ryzyka pogodowego w przedsiębiorstwie rolnym.
Every year, the climate change is gaining momentum. One of the primary objectives of the European Union is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. However, we need to keep in mind that even if carbon dioxide emissions levels will be reduced to the stated level it does not change the fact, that some climate changes are inevitable. Therefore it is now when the adaptive actions should be carried out, to adapt the economy, the local society and the environment. to the new reality. The aim of this paper is to present the stages of the weather risk analysis, which should be carried out by the farm owner to efficiently manage the weather risk. This stands an inherent element of adapting to the climate change. To emphasise the importance of the subject, also taking the concept of sustainable development into account, the introduction presents the social, economic and environmental dimensions of the climate change. This is followed by the weather risk identification methods, elements of an effective weather risk management in agriculture, the proposed financial and physical security, so that at the end of the present scheme of weather risk analysis in agricultural busines.
Źródło:: Ekonomia i Środowisko; 2016, 2; 95-111
0867-8898
Pojawia się w:: Ekonomia i Środowisko
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 4.

Tytuł:: Identification and prediction of climate-weather change process for maritime ferry operating area
Autorzy:: Kuligowska, E.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068854.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2017
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:: climate-weather change process
identification
prediction
maritime ferry operating area
Opis:: The paper is concerned with an application of the climate-weather change process for a critical infrastructure operating area model to identification and prediction of this process for maritime ferry operating area. For the considered ferry operating area, there are distinguished four different climate-weather change processes and their states. Further, there are identified the unknown parameters of those processes, i.e. the probabilities of the climate-weather change processes staying at the initial climate-weather states, the probabilities of the climateweather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the mean values of the climate-weather change processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.
Źródło:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 129--134
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 5.

Tytuł:: Identification and prediction of maritime ferry operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards
Autorzy:: Kuligowska, E.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068836.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2017
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:: climate-weather change process
identification
prediction
operating environment threats
maritime ferry
Opis:: The paper is concerned with an application of the model of critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards to identification and prediction of this process for the maritime ferry. There are investigated four processes for the considered maritime ferry operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the operation process including operating environment threats and the climate-weather change processes for the maritime ferry operating area, there are determined the unknown parameters of these processes. Namely, the probabilities of the ferry processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the ferry processes transitions between the states and the mean values of the ferry processes conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the maritime ferry operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards at the distinguished operating areas.
Źródło:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 145--156
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 6.

Tytuł:: Monte Carlo simulation of climate-weather change process at maritime ferry operating area
Autorzy:: Kuligowska, E.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/298021.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2018
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Warmińsko-Mazurski w Olsztynie
Tematy:: Monte Carlo simulation
climate-weather change process
critical infrastructure operating area
Opis:: The paper presents a computer simulation technique applied to generating the climate-weather change process at Baltic Sea restricted waters and its characteristics evaluation. The Monte Carlo method is used under the assumption of semi-Markov model of this process. A procedure and an algorithm of climate-weather change process’ realizations generating and its characteristics evaluation are proposed to be applied in C# program preparation. Using this program, the climate-weather change process’ characteristics are predicted for the maritime ferry operating area. Namely, the mean values and standard deviations of the unconditional sojourn times, the limit values of transient probabilities and the mean values of total sojourn times for the fixed time at the climate-weather states are determined.
Źródło:: Technical Sciences / University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn; 2018, 21(1); 5-17
1505-4675
2083-4527
Pojawia się w:: Technical Sciences / University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 7.

Tytuł:: Critical infrastructure operating area climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards
Autorzy:: Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068851.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2017
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:: critical infrastructure
operation
prediction
climate-weather change
Opis:: The climate-weather change process for a critical infrastructure operating area is considered and its states are introduced. A semi-Markov approach is used to construct a general probabilistic model of this process by defining its basic parameters. Further, the procedure of the climate-weather change process characteristics prediction is proposed.
Źródło:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 15--24
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 8.

Tytuł:: Critical infrastructure operation process
Autorzy:: Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068841.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2017
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:: critical infrastructure
operation
prediction
climate-weather change
Opis:: The operation process of the critical infrastructure is considered and its operation states are introduced. The semi- Markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the critical infrastructure operation process.
Źródło:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 1--6
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 9.

Tytuł:: Critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats
Autorzy:: Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068865.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2017
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:: critical infrastructure
operation
prediction
climate-weather change
Opis:: Considering a significant influence of the critical infrastructure operating environment threats on its operation process and safety, based on semi-Markov processes theory, a convergent to reality model of the critical infrastructure operation process related to critical infrastructure operating environment threats is built. The method of defining the parameters of this operation process is presented and new procedures of their determining in the case when the critical infrastructure operating threats are not explicit separated in this process are proposed.
Źródło:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 7--14
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 10.

Tytuł:: Critical infrastructure operation process related to climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazard
Autorzy:: Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068843.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2017
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:: critical infrastructure
operation
prediction
climate-weather change
Opis:: The operation process of the critical infrastructure is considered and its operation states are introduced. The semi-Markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the critical infrastructure operation process. The semi-Markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area.
Źródło:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 25--40
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 11.

Tytuł:: Identification and prediction of maritime ferry operation process related to climate-weather change
Autorzy:: Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068863.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2017
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:: operation process
identification
prediction
climate-weather change
maritime ferry
Opis:: The paper is concerned with an application of the critical infrastructure operation process related to climate-weather change model to identification and prediction of this process for maritime ferry. There are distinguished four different processes for the corresponding ferry operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the ferry operation process and the ferry operating area climate-weather change processes, there are determined the unknown parameters of those processes. Namely, there are determined the probabilities of the processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the transitions between the states and the mean values of the processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the ferry operation process related to climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.
Źródło:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 135--144
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 12.

Tytuł:: Identification and prediction of port oil piping transportation system operation process related to climate-weather change
Autorzy:: Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068858.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2017
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:: operation process
climate-weather change
identification
prediction
piping transportation system
Opis:: The paper is concerned with an application of the critical infrastructure operation process related to climateweather change model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system. There are distinguished three different processes for the corresponding piping operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the piping operation process and the piping operating area climate-weather change processes, there are determined the unknown parameters of those processes. Namely, there are determined the probabilities of the processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the transitions between the states and the mean values of the processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the piping operation process related to climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.
Źródło:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 113--120
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 13.

Tytuł:: Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards
Autorzy:: Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068838.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2017
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:: critical infrastructure
identification
climate-weather change process
Opis:: There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states.
Źródło:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 85--106
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 14.

Tytuł:: Identification methods and procedures of critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats
Autorzy:: Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069003.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2016
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:: climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
modelling
identification
transportation system
Opis:: In the paper, there are presented the methods for identification of the critical infrastructure operation process on the basis of statistical data coming from this process realizations related to the critical infrastructure operating environment threats. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the critical infrastructure operation process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the critical infrastructure operation process conditional critical infrastructure operation process sojourn times at the particular operation states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the critical infrastructure operation process straying at the particular operation states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the critical infrastructure operation process transitions between the operation states. Moreover, there are given formulae for the estimator of unknown parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the critical infrastructure operation process conditional sojourn times at the operation states. Namely, the parameters of the uniform distribution, the triangular distribution, the double trapezium distribution, the quasi-trapezium distribution, the exponential distribution, the Weibull’s distribution and the chimney distribution are estimated using the statistical methods such as the method of moments and the maximum likelihood method. The chi-square goodness-of-fit test is described and proposed to be applied to verifying the hypotheses about these distributions choice validity. The procedure of statistical data sets uniformity analysis based on Kolmogorov-Smirnov test is proposed to be applied to the empirical conditional sojourn times at the operation states coming from different realizations of the same critical infrastructure operation process.
Źródło:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 155--168
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 15.

Tytuł:: Integrated Impact Model on Critical Infrastructure Safety Related to Climate-Weather Change Process Including Extreme Weather Hazards
Autorzy:: Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068792.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2017
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:: climate change process
weather hazards
impact
model
safety
Opis:: In the paper a general safety analytical model of complex technical system related to the climateweather change process in its operating area is defined. First, the system operation at climate-weather variable conditions is given. Additionally, the semi-Markov approach is used. Further, the safety model of the multistate system at climate-weather variable conditions is introduced. The notions of the conditional safety functions at the climate-weather particular states, the unconditional safety function and the risk function of the complex system at changing in time climate-weather conditions are presented. The other safety indices like mean lifetime up to the exceeding a critical safety state, the moment when the risk function value exceeds the acceptable safety level, the intensities of ageing of the critical infrastructure and its components and the coefficients of the climate-weather impact on the critical infrastructure and its components intensities of ageing are defined.
Źródło:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 4; 21--32
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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