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Wyszukujesz frazę "climate analysis" wg kryterium: Temat


Wyświetlanie 1-4 z 4
Tytuł:
Climate analysis as a basis for a sustainable water management at the Lusatian Neisse
Autorzy:
Pluntke, T.
Schwarzak, S.
Kuhn, K.
Lünich, K.
Adynkiewicz-Piragas, M.
Otop, I.
Miszuk, B.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/108580.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Instytut Meteorologii i Gospodarki Wodnej - Państwowy Instytut Badawczy
Tematy:
climate analysis
water availability
climate projections
trend analysis
Polish-Saxon border region
Opis:
Current and future climate conditions and their impact on water balance, ecosystems, air quality and bio and agro-climatology were investigated in the region of the Lusatian Neisse within the two EU -projects – NEYMO and KLAPS. This work focuses on the climate analysis of the region at the German-Polish border as a preliminary step for a hydrological analysis of current and future conditions. Observed climatological data were processed and analysed using the indicators air temperature, precipitation, sunshine duration, potential evapotranspiration and the climatic water balance (CWB). The latter defines the difference between precipitation and potential evapotranspiration and is a measure for the climatological water availability in the region. Observations were used to statistically downscale data from Global Circulation Models under various scenarios regarding greenhouse gas emissions (A1B, RCP 2.6, RCP 8.5) and applying the WETTREG-method for regionalization. In total, 50 climate projections for periods up until the end of the 21st century were analysed, with the application of the mentioned indicators. For the period 1971-2010, increasing trends of temperature, precipitation, sunshine duration and potential evapotranspiration were found. This leads to a reduced CWB in the summer half-year (SHY), which could be partly compensated by an increase in the winter half-year (WHY). Trends of temperature, sunshine duration and potential evapotranspiration remain positive for the far future (2071-2100), but precipitation decreases. These climatic conditions aggravate water availability, especially in the SHY. Impacts on water management are very probable and were therefore further investigated in the NEY MO project that applied hydrological models.
Źródło:
Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management. Research and Operational Applications; 2016, 4, 1; 3-11
2299-3835
2353-5652
Pojawia się w:
Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management. Research and Operational Applications
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Change-point detection and trend analysis in monthly, seasonal and annual air temperature and precipitation series in Bartın province in the western Black Sea region of Turkey
Autorzy:
Yaman, Barbaros
Ertuğrul, Mertol
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1841778.pdf
Data publikacji:
2020
Wydawca:
Akademia Górniczo-Hutnicza im. Stanisława Staszica w Krakowie. Wydawnictwo AGH
Tematy:
climate change
homogeneity
precipitation
temperature
trend analysis
Opis:
Studies associated with climate change and variability are of great importance at both the global and local scale in the global climate crisis. In this study, change-point detection and trend analysis were carried out on mean, maximum, minimum air temperatures and total precipitation based on monthly, seasonal and annual scale in Bartın province located in the western Black Sea Region of Turkey. For this aim, 4-different homogeneity tests (von Neumann test, Pettitt test, Buishand range test and standard normal homogeneity test) for changepoint detection, Modified Mann–Kendall test and Şen’s innovative trend test for trend analysis, and Sen’s slope test for the magnitude estimation of trends were used. According to the test results, the summer temperatures in particular show increasing trends at the 0.001 significance level. Mean maximum temperature in August, mean minimum temperature in June and August, and mean temperature in July and August are in increasing trend at the 0.001 significance level. Over a 51 year period (1965–2015) in Bartın province, the highest rate of change per decade in air temperatures is in August (0.55°C for Tmax, 0.46°C for Tmin and 0.43°C for Tmean) based on Sen’s slope. However, the study showed that apart from October precipitation, there is no significant trend in monthly, seasonal and annual precipitation in Bartın. Increasing trends in mentioned climate variables are also visually very clear and strong in Şen’s innovative trend method, and they comply with the statistical results. As a result, the study revealed some evidence that temperatures will increase in the future in Bartın and its environs.
Źródło:
Geology, Geophysics and Environment; 2020, 46, 3; 223-237
2299-8004
2353-0790
Pojawia się w:
Geology, Geophysics and Environment
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Effects of climate change on rice production at Khulna District, Bangladesh
Autorzy:
Hossain, N.
Saifullah, A.S.M.
Bhuiyan, S.H.
Uddin, N.
Rahman, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2049750.pdf
Data publikacji:
2019
Wydawca:
Fundacja na Rzecz Młodych Naukowców
Tematy:
rice
production
climate change
trend analysis
Bangladesh
gross domestic product
Mann-Kendall (MK) test
Rice Production
Opis:
In Bangladesh 164 million people depend on rice but due to climate change (CC) vulnerabilities the yield of rice is severely reducing. Therefore, this study aimed to explore the effects of CC on rice yield using recent trend analysis, Mann-Kendall (MK) trend test and correlation. For this study, the required climate and selected rice production data were collected from Bangladesh Meteorological Department (BMD) and Department of Agriculture Extension (DAE), Khulna. In time series statistics both parametric and nonparametric methods were applied to detect a monotonic trend of climatic variability and Aman rice production. Correlation between climatic variability and rice production was also investigated. The study exposed that the temperature and rainfall had an increasing trend and statistically significant whereas the relative humidity found decreasing. Overall, the bright Sunshine had positive trend but week. According to nonparametric trend test of climatic variability and Aman yield only minimum temperature showed a positive trend which found statistically significant. In contrast, Mann-Kendall trend test revealed that rainfall had positively significant while temperature had negative significant. The correlation revealed the Aman production is a strong response with minimum temperature whereas the Lona Coche showed a positive correlation with maximum temperature. The variation of Aman production exhibited a positive correlation with both Rainfall and humidity respectively and Lona Coche found a negative correlation. The sunshine had a week correlation against both yields. The findings suggest should give attention of temperature-tolerant rice varieties to mitigate possible adverse effects of CC.
Źródło:
Environment, Earth and Ecology; 2019, 3, 1; 42-54
2543-9774
2451-4225
Pojawia się w:
Environment, Earth and Ecology
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Wieloletnia zmienność odpływu z małej zlewni rzecznej w regionie Puszczy Kozienickiej
Long-term variability of runoff from a small catchment in the region of the Kozienice Forest
Autorzy:
Banasik, K.
Hejduk, L.
Hejduk, A.
Kaznowska, E.
Banasik, J.
Byczkowski, A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/994346.pdf
Data publikacji:
2013
Wydawca:
Polskie Towarzystwo Leśne
Tematy:
lesnictwo
Puszcza Kozienicka
zlewnie rzek
zlewnie male
zlewnia Zagozdzonki
opady atmosferyczne
zmiennosc opadow
odplyw wody
zmiennosc odplywu
forested watershed
climate change
runoff decrease
trend analysis
Opis:
Kozienice Forest (central Poland) belongs to very valuable areas from touristic and ecological point of view. Water resources are important factor of further development of this region. Analysis of 49−year (1963−2011) annual and seasonal rainfall and runoff characteristics from a small (82 km²) catchment of Zagożdżonka River, with forestation ratio of 0.40, indicated a statistically significant decrease for six of the nine considered parameters. Mann−Kendall test was used for trend analysis. Decreased trend was indicated for annual runoff and annual runoff coefficient, median discharge, summer half−year runoff coefficient, median summer discharge and for low mean 30−day discharge. No trend was detected for annual precipitation and summer half year precipitation nor for summer half year runoff.
Źródło:
Sylwan; 2013, 157, 08; 578-586
0039-7660
Pojawia się w:
Sylwan
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
    Wyświetlanie 1-4 z 4

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