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Wyszukujesz frazę "short term prediction" wg kryterium: Temat


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Tytuł:
Performance analysis of LSTM model with multi-step ahead strategies for a short-term traffic flow prediction
Autorzy:
Doğan, Erdem
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2134868.pdf
Data publikacji:
2021
Wydawca:
Politechnika Śląska. Wydawnictwo Politechniki Śląskiej
Tematy:
traffic flow
LSTM
short-term prediction
multi-step ahead strategies
przepływ ruchu
prognozowanie krótkoterminowe
strategie wieloetapowego wyprzedzania
Opis:
In this study, the effect of direct and recursive multi-step forecasting strategies on the short-term traffic flow forecast performance of the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model is investigated. To increase the reliability of the results, analyses are carried out with various traffic flow data sets. In addition, databases are clustered using the k-means++ algorithm to reduce the number of experiments. Analyses are performed for different time periods. Thus, the contribution of strategies to LSTM was examined in detail. The results of the recursive based strategy performances are not satisfactory. However, different versions of the direct strategy performed better at different time periods. This research makes an important contribution to clarifying the compatibility of LSTM and forecasting strategies. Thus, more efficient traffic flow prediction models will be developed and systems such as Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) will work more efficiently. A practical implication for researchers that forecasting strategies should be selected based on time periods.
Źródło:
Zeszyty Naukowe. Transport / Politechnika Śląska; 2021, 111; 15--31
0209-3324
2450-1549
Pojawia się w:
Zeszyty Naukowe. Transport / Politechnika Śląska
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Analysis and comparison of long short-term memory networks short-term traffic prediction performance
Autorzy:
Dogan, Erdem
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2091136.pdf
Data publikacji:
2020
Wydawca:
Politechnika Śląska. Wydawnictwo Politechniki Śląskiej
Tematy:
deep learning
traffic flow
short-term
prediction
LSTM
nonlinear autoregressive
training set size
uczenie głębokie
ruch uliczny
krótki termin
prognoza
autoregresja nieliniowa
Opis:
Long short-term memory networks (LSTM) produces promising results in the prediction of traffic flows. However, LSTM needs large numbers of data to produce satisfactory results. Therefore, the effect of LSTM training set size on performance and optimum training set size for short-term traffic flow prediction problems were investigated in this study. To achieve this, the numbers of data in the training set was set between 480 and 2800, and the prediction performance of the LSTMs trained using these adjusted training sets was measured. In addition, LSTM prediction results were compared with nonlinear autoregressive neural networks (NAR) trained using the same training sets. Consequently, it was seen that the increase in LSTM's training cluster size increased performance to a certain point. However, after this point, the performance decreased. Three main results emerged in this study: First, the optimum training set size for LSTM significantly improves the prediction performance of the model. Second, LSTM makes short-term traffic forecasting better than NAR. Third, LSTM predictions fluctuate less than the NAR model following instant traffic flow changes.
Źródło:
Zeszyty Naukowe. Transport / Politechnika Śląska; 2020, 107; 19--32
0209-3324
2450-1549
Pojawia się w:
Zeszyty Naukowe. Transport / Politechnika Śląska
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
    Wyświetlanie 1-2 z 2

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