- Tytuł:
- Crash Course in prediction and mitigation for a crashing system
- Autorzy:
- DeVita, Laurenc
- Powiązania:
- https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/13925591.pdf
- Data publikacji:
- 2023-04-01
- Wydawca:
- Wyższa Szkoła Bankowa we Wrocławiu
- Tematy:
-
complex systems
disaster management - Opis:
- Aim: To present a condensed but inclusive discussion of the nature of the complex global system and the impediments to, but also the advantages of, means of prediction and action in a rapidly declining society to offer a compendium of the potential to assess the difficulty of predicting complex social systems. Research methods: A review and synthesis of research material on: the function of dissipative systems, most specifically the global social system; the means to discern, measure and assess three kinds of energy through functional networks; the intractable difficulties with prediction and agency. Conclusions: Regardless the inherent difficulty in prediction and agency in complex systems, there is a benefit to having some methodology. That is, it is better to understand how the system works, and to be able to identify, if just a short while in advance, what might happen and what responses we might have, and to do that we need to have an organized way to look at things. Originality / value of the article: Offers, to a broad variety of large and small organizations, a brief guide to conceptualizing the global system, its functioning parts and sources of energy, and the imperative and difficulty of predicting and strategizing for changes in a declining system. Implications of the research: There is benefit to a thorough understanding of the complex social system, if it allows prediction and response to system changes. Limitations of the research: It is a “crash course”, and ideas are explored but not exhaustively described. JEL: D91, E71, H12
- Źródło:
-
Central European Review of Economics and Management; 2023, 7, 1; 31-61
2543-9472 - Pojawia się w:
- Central European Review of Economics and Management
- Dostawca treści:
- Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł