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    Wyświetlanie 1-5 z 5
    Tytuł:
    Macroeconomic factors in modelling the SMEs bankruptcy risk. The case of the Polish market
    Autorzy:
    Ptak-Chmielewska, Aneta
    Matuszyk, Anna
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/425179.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2019
    Wydawca:
    Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
    Tematy:
    bankruptcy risk model
    logistic regression
    macro variables
    Opis:
    The last financial crisis affected the SMEs sector in different countries at different levels and strength. SMEs represent the backbone of the economy of every country. Therefore, they need bankruptcy prediction models easily adaptable to their characteristics. In our analysis we verified hypothesis: including information about macroeconomic conditions significantly increases the effectiveness of the bankruptcy model. The data set used in our research contained information about 1,138 SMEs. All information was taken from the financial statements covering the period 2002-2010. The sample included enterprises from sectors: industry, trade and services. Selected financial ratios were used to build the model and the macroeconomic variables were added: GDP, inflation, and the unemployment rate. Logistic regression as the research method was applied. In our study we showed that the incorporation of the macro variables improved the prediction of the SMEs bankruptcy risk.
    Źródło:
    Econometrics. Ekonometria. Advances in Applied Data Analytics; 2019, 23, 3; 40-49
    1507-3866
    Pojawia się w:
    Econometrics. Ekonometria. Advances in Applied Data Analytics
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    ŹRÓDŁA RYZYKA MODELI BANKRUCTWA PRZEDSIĘBIORSTW
    Sources of risks for corporate bankruptcy models
    Autorzy:
    Szewc-Rogalska, Alina
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/950632.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2015
    Wydawca:
    Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
    Tematy:
    early warning model
    bankruptcy
    risk
    Opis:
    This study aims at identifying sources of risks for corporate bankruptcy models. The applied research method includes the presentation of conditions for the bankruptcy phenomenon to occur in an unstable economy, the analysis of differentiation between the predictive capability of early warning models, and the recognition of risks related to these models. Three major types of risks of corporate bankruptcy models have been distinguished. Firstly, the risks of these models arise from the uncertainty of reliability of financial statements, inter alia, interfering with information, and difficulties in measurement of some financial categories. Secondly, the risk arises from the constraints related to the design of these models, inter alia, being the adopted assumptions, sampling and bankruptcy predictors. Thirdly, the risk of models pertains to the conditions of their practical applications, inter alia, there are cases of their limited comprehensibility, a high volatility of business environment, and the impact of non-conventional bankruptcy factors.
    Źródło:
    Financial Sciences. Nauki o Finansach; 2015, 3(24); 160-176
    2080-5993
    2449-9811
    Pojawia się w:
    Financial Sciences. Nauki o Finansach
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Management of financial risks in Slovak enterprises using regression analysis
    Autorzy:
    Valaskova, Katarina
    Kliestik, Tomas
    Kovacova, Maria
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/18799016.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2018
    Wydawca:
    Instytut Badań Gospodarczych
    Tematy:
    financial risk
    default
    bankruptcy
    regression model
    Opis:
    Research background: Financial risk management is the task of monitoring financial risks and managing their impact. Financial risk is often perceived as the risk that a company may default on its debt payments. The issue of the debt, default or prosperity of the company are presented in the article as one of the ways of the risk management. A prediction of corporate default is an inseparable element of the risk management. Mainly the consequences of risk are the engine of research and development of methods and models, which enable to predict economic and financial situation in specific conditions of global economies. Purpose of the article: The main aim of the presented article is to assess financial risks of Slovak entities, realized by the identification of significant factors and determinants affecting the prosperity of Slovak companies. Methods: To conduct the research we have used the data of Slovak enterprises, obtained from annual financial reports covering the year 2015 and the calculated financial ratios of profitability, activity, liquidity and indebtedness that may affect the financial health of the company were applied in the regression analysis. Realizing the multiple regression analysis, the statistically significant determinants that affect the future financial development of the company are identified, as well as the regression model of the bankruptcy prediction. Findings & Value added: In the research aimed at the management of financial risks in Slovak enterprises, we focused on the revelation of significant economic risk factors using multiple regression. The results suggest that the most significant predictors are net return on capital, cash ratio, quick ratio, current ratio, net working capital, RE/TA ratio, current debt ratio, financial debt ratio and current assets turnover based on which the decision about the future company default can be made. These factors are significant enough to manage financial risks and to affect the profitability and prosperity of the company.
    Źródło:
    Oeconomia Copernicana; 2018, 9, 1; 105-121
    2083-1277
    Pojawia się w:
    Oeconomia Copernicana
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Modele predykcji upadłości MŚP w Polsce – analiza z wykorzystaniem modelu przeżycia Coxa i modelu regresji logistycznej
    Prediction models of SME bankruptcy in Poland – analysis using Cox survival model and logistic regression model
    Autorzy:
    Ptak-Chmielewska, Aneta
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/424998.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2014
    Wydawca:
    Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
    Tematy:
    survival analysis
    macrovariables
    Cox model
    bankruptcy risk
    Opis:
    Modele predykcji upadłości MŚP w Polsce – analiza z wykorzystaniem modelu przeżycia Coxa i modelu regresji logistycznej
    Źródło:
    Econometrics. Ekonometria. Advances in Applied Data Analytics; 2014, 4(46); 9-21
    1507-3866
    Pojawia się w:
    Econometrics. Ekonometria. Advances in Applied Data Analytics
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Modeling of security and risk of bankruptcy of enterprise
    Autorzy:
    Munjishvili, T.
    Kharabadze, E.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/906241.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2013
    Wydawca:
    Akademia Morska w Szczecinie. Wydawnictwo AMSz
    Tematy:
    risk of bankruptcy
    Altman Z-Score model
    mathematical methods
    automated risk
    computers product
    security
    modeling
    Opis:
    The management problem is especially important due to the risk of enterprise bankruptcy under a market economy. Management by a business risk and to economic stability and safety of enterprise. Now, different methods are used in order that to prevent enterprises’ bankruptcy on the basis of prognoses and safety of risk methods, among from that, maybe, would be marked the following to those: method of DuPont, model of Altman, model of Olson, statistical methods well-known as the “Winnings” methods. The practical use of these models gave us a high result in case of small and middle enterprise. In every model the used discoveries are undertaken from the documents of the official financial reporting. The article analyzes mathematical methods and algorithms used to evaluate financial stability of an enterprise, such as the Altman Z-Score model. The models are designed to evaluate enterprise bankruptcy risks. The central concept is evaluation of the enterprise bankruptcy risk and presentation of an automated risk calculation system.
    Źródło:
    Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie; 2013, 35 (107); 103-108
    1733-8670
    2392-0378
    Pojawia się w:
    Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
      Wyświetlanie 1-5 z 5

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