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Wyszukujesz frazę "technology forecasting" wg kryterium: Temat


Wyświetlanie 1-3 z 3
Tytuł:
Applying the repertory grid method for technology forecasting: civil unmanned aviation systems for Germany
Autorzy:
Eimecke, J.
Baumert, K.
Baier, D.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/407117.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
Tematy:
civil drones
innovative product development
multistage expert surveys
quality requirements
qualitative research
quantitative research
repertory grid method
technology forecasting
Opis:
Multistage expert surveys like the Delphi method are proven concepts for technology forecasting that enable the prediction of content-related and temporal development in fields of innovation (e.g., [1, 2]). Advantages of these qualitative multistage methods are a simple and easy to understand concept while still delivering valid results [3]. Nevertheless, the literature also points out certain disadvantages especially in large-scale technology forecasts in particularly abstract fields of innovation [4]. The proposed approach highlights the usefulness of the repertory grid method as an alternative for technology forecasting and as a first step for preference measurement. The basic approach from Baier and Kohler [5] is modified in-so-far that an online survey reduces the cognitive burden for the experts and simplifies the data collection process. Advantages over alternative approaches through its simple structure and through combining qualitative and quantitative methods are shown and an adaption on an actual field of innovation – civil drones in Germany – is done. The measurement of a common terminology for all experts minimizes misunderstandings during the interview and the achievement of an inter-individual comparable level of abstraction is forced by the laddering technique [6] during the interview.
Źródło:
Management and Production Engineering Review; 2017, 8, 3; 22-30
2080-8208
2082-1344
Pojawia się w:
Management and Production Engineering Review
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A review of TRIZ tools for forecasting the evolution of technical systems
Autorzy:
Chybowska, Dorota
Chybowski, Leszek
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/410063.pdf
Data publikacji:
2019
Wydawca:
STE GROUP
Tematy:
PRST – laws of the evolution of technical systems
technology forecasting
S-shaped curve
analysis of evolutionary potential
innovation roadmap
TRIZ
Opis:
This article presents tools used in the Theory of Inventive Problem Solving (TRIZ) which are useful when assessing the evolution direction of technical systems. The following matters are discussed: the S-shaped curve, laws (trends and lines) of the evolution of technical systems, multi-screen diagrams, as well as analysis of evolutionary potential. Inventive laws formulated by Gienrich Altshuller as well as laws previously formulated by a Polish writer and promoter of knowledge, Aleksander Głowacki, writing under the pen name Bolesław Prus, have been presented. Finally the innovation roadmaps have been shown. The use of individual tools has been supported by practical examples taken from research performed by the authors, and the usefulness of individual methods was evaluated. All methods have been compared and evaluated.
Źródło:
Management Systems in Production Engineering; 2019, 3 (27); 174-182
2299-0461
Pojawia się w:
Management Systems in Production Engineering
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Applicable technologies to forecast, analyze and optimize reliability and risks for complex systems
Autorzy:
Kostogryzov, A.
Nistratov, G.
Nistratov, A.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069444.pdf
Data publikacji:
2012
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
analysis
forecasting
model
quality
reliability
risk
safety
software tools
system engineering
technology
Opis:
The paper is concerned with the application of the original mathematical models and supporting them software technologies to forecast, analyze and optimize reliability and risks for complex systems (system is defined as a combination of interacting elements organized to achieve one or more stated purposes). Functionality and usability to analyze information system processes and standard processes in system life cycle are presented. Rational use of the proposed results allows to go «from a pragmatical filtration of information to generation of the proved ideas and effective decisions». Effects are demonstrated by examples.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2012, 3, 1; 1--14
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
    Wyświetlanie 1-3 z 3

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