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Wyszukujesz frazę "macroeconomic imbalance" wg kryterium: Temat


Wyświetlanie 1-2 z 2
Tytuł:
Macroeconomic Imbalances in the Euro Area
Autorzy:
Pietrucha, Jacek
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/969426.pdf
Data publikacji:
2019
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Warszawski. Centrum Europejskie
Tematy:
Euro;
Macroeconomic Stability;
EMU;
Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure;
Opis:
Macroeconomic imbalances constitute one of the most important threats to the cohesion of the monetary union. The aim of this article is to examine the current state of imbalances using the new composite indicator of macroeconomic stability. The calculated composite indicators of macroeconomic stability allow for the formulation of the following interpretations regarding changes and the current level of macroeconomic imbalances in the Euro area: 1. The aggregate pressure from macroeconomic imbalances in the Euro area is currently the lowest in the whole period for which data is available; 2. The imbalances in the Euro area have been partially limited, but more precisely, it should be said that they have changed their face rather than disappeared; 3. A significant reduction of imbalances occurred in the case of variables which, in the majority of interpretations, were directly blamed for the exacerbation of the post-2008 crisis phenomena: current account balance, unit labour costs, or credit growth. At the same time, imbalances in terms of international net investment position and public and private debt, as well as imbalances in the labour market, have significantly increased.
Źródło:
Studia Europejskie - Studies in European Affairs; 2019, 4; 73-90
1428-149X
2719-3780
Pojawia się w:
Studia Europejskie - Studies in European Affairs
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Macroeconomic imbalance procedure (MIP) scoreboard indicators and their predictive strength of ?multidimensional crises?
Autorzy:
Biegun, Krzysztof
Karwowski, Jacek
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/22444434.pdf
Data publikacji:
2020
Wydawca:
Instytut Badań Gospodarczych
Tematy:
macroeconomic imbalance procedure
economic crisis
multidimensional crisis
ordered probit model
Opis:
Research background: The evaluation of the predictive strength of MIP indicators in relation to crises is extremely important for the process of coordinating the economic policies of the EU countries. MIP is one of the pillars of the economic crisis prevention procedure. Predictive power of individual indicators has not been tested before their introduction. Purpose of the article: Evaluation of the predictive strength of fourteen MIP indicators in relation to multidimensional crises in the EU countries. Methods: We used ordered probit model to test the ability of MIP indicators to correctly predict episodes of ?multidimensional crises? (as defined by the authors) in the period between 2008 and 2017 in all EU Member States. Findings & Value added: We defined ?multidimensional crises?, combining several negative phenomena into one limited dependent variable. This work is also novel in its application of probit regression to test the predictive strength of MIP indicators with an ordered probit model. We identified five MIP variables which were statistically significant in predicting ?multidimensional crises? for all EU countries: net international investment position, nominal unit labour cost index, house price index, private sector credit flow and general government gross debt. Other variables turned out to be less important or not effective in crises prediction.
Źródło:
Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy; 2020, 15, 1; 11-28
1689-765X
2353-3293
Pojawia się w:
Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
    Wyświetlanie 1-2 z 2

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