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Wyszukujesz frazę "macroeconomic" wg kryterium: Temat


Tytuł:
EKF macroeconomic consensus: forecasts, threats, opportunities and recommendations
Autorzy:
Pawłowicz, Leszek
Penczar, Marta
Bednarczyk, Teresa
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2052149.pdf
Data publikacji:
2019-12-31
Wydawca:
Bankowy Fundusz Gwarancyjny
Tematy:
macroeconomic forecasts
macroeconomic challenges
financial stability
Opis:
The rapid pace of change in economic phenomena combined with the high volatility of financial markets and the growing importance of irrational behavioral factors, encourages a wider use of expert knowledge in macroeconomic forecasting. The aim of the article is to present the results of the fourth edition of the project Macroeconomic challenges and forecasts for Poland. The survey was conducted in the period November 8, 2019 – December 6, 2019. The article presents the prognostic consensus of experts cooperating with the European Financial Congress. In addition to classic macroeconomic forecasts for Poland, it contains threats to sustainable economic development and financial system stability, together with estimates of the subjective probability of implementation. Using the knowledge and competences of experts cooperating with EKF, recommended actions for economic policy were formulated, aimed at weakening the impact of identified threats in the future.
Źródło:
Bezpieczny Bank; 2019, 77, 4; 110-126
1429-2939
Pojawia się w:
Bezpieczny Bank
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Macroeconomic Imbalances in the Euro Area
Autorzy:
Pietrucha, Jacek
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/969426.pdf
Data publikacji:
2019
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Warszawski. Centrum Europejskie
Tematy:
Euro;
Macroeconomic Stability;
EMU;
Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure;
Opis:
Macroeconomic imbalances constitute one of the most important threats to the cohesion of the monetary union. The aim of this article is to examine the current state of imbalances using the new composite indicator of macroeconomic stability. The calculated composite indicators of macroeconomic stability allow for the formulation of the following interpretations regarding changes and the current level of macroeconomic imbalances in the Euro area: 1. The aggregate pressure from macroeconomic imbalances in the Euro area is currently the lowest in the whole period for which data is available; 2. The imbalances in the Euro area have been partially limited, but more precisely, it should be said that they have changed their face rather than disappeared; 3. A significant reduction of imbalances occurred in the case of variables which, in the majority of interpretations, were directly blamed for the exacerbation of the post-2008 crisis phenomena: current account balance, unit labour costs, or credit growth. At the same time, imbalances in terms of international net investment position and public and private debt, as well as imbalances in the labour market, have significantly increased.
Źródło:
Studia Europejskie - Studies in European Affairs; 2019, 4; 73-90
1428-149X
2719-3780
Pojawia się w:
Studia Europejskie - Studies in European Affairs
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Macroeconomic stability as the condition for Bulgaria to join the euro area
Autorzy:
Moździerz, Anna
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/22446419.pdf
Data publikacji:
2019
Wydawca:
Instytut Badań Gospodarczych
Tematy:
macroeconomic equilibrium
macroeconomic stability
monetary union
convergence criteria
Opis:
Research background: The subject of research is the macroeconomic situation of Bulgaria in the context of the country's preparations for joining the euro area. In 2018, the Bulgarian government approved a plan of preparations covering the period until the end of June 2019, which assumes that the country will join the ERM II mechanism in July 2019, and the euro area on 1 January 2022. Bulgaria meets four nominal convergence criteria regarding inflation, long-term interest rate, budget deficit and public debt. The national currency is pegged to the euro under the currency board arrangement. Despite this, the implementation of this optimistic scenario may be difficult because since the 2007 crisis, the European institutions pay more attention to macroeconomic stability and the sustainability of convergence. Purpose of the article: The aim of the article is to identify the factors destabilising macroeconomic equilibrium in Bulgaria, which are a potential obstacle to the adoption of the euro by Bulgaria on schedule. Methods: The research was based on the changes in selected macroeconomic indicators, as well as on the method used by the European Commission to detect macroeconomic imbalances. The observation and analysis covered the 2007?2018 period.  Findings & Value added: The research results indicate that the low level of socio-economic convergence of Bulgaria and macroeconomic imbalances may delay its membership in the monetary union. Therefore, while respecting the country's aspirations to join the euro area, one cannot ignore the risk of another destabilisation of the euro area. 
Źródło:
Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy; 2019, 14, 2; 295-315
1689-765X
2353-3293
Pojawia się w:
Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Development of the Polish non-life insurance market and macroeconomic stabilization of the Polish economy in 2000-2020
Autorzy:
Rojek, Konrad
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/16729745.pdf
Data publikacji:
2022
Wydawca:
Instytut Naukowo-Wydawniczy "SPATIUM"
Tematy:
insurance market
macroeconomic stabilization
Opis:
The paper presents the results of research on the relationship between the deve-lopment of the Polish non-life insurance market and macroeconomic stability of the Polish economy in 2000-2020. The research was based on The Method of Zero Unitarization (construction of a synthetic indicator of the Polish non-life insurance market development), the Pentagon of Macroeconomic Stabilization and a cross-correlogram (study of the relationship between the two variables).
Źródło:
Central European Review of Economics & Finance; 2022, 39, 4; 5-23
2082-8500
2083-4314
Pojawia się w:
Central European Review of Economics & Finance
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Macroeconomic Challenges and Forecasts for Poland (Expert Opinion of the European Financial Congress)
Makroekonomiczne wyzwania i prognozy dla Polski (ekspertyza Europejskiego Kongresu Finansowego)
Autorzy:
Pawłowicz, Leszek
Penczar, Marta
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2035097.pdf
Data publikacji:
2019-02-25
Wydawca:
Bankowy Fundusz Gwarancyjny
Tematy:
Macroeconomic challenges
macroeconomic forecasts
financial stability
Makroekonomiczne prognozy
makroekonomiczne wyzwania
stabilność finansowa
Opis:
Rapid economic developments combined with the considerable volatility of financial markets and the growing importance of non-quantifiable behavioural factors all suggest that expert knowledge should be leveraged to a greater extent in macroeconomic forecasts. The purpose of this article is to present the results of the second edition of the “Macroeconomic Challenges and Forecasts for Poland” project. The survey was conducted in December 2018. The article presents a consensus forecast by EFC experts. In addition to traditional macroeconomic forecasts for Poland, it also lists threats to sustainable economic development and financial system stability together with subjective estimates of their probabilities. Using the knowledge and competence of EFC experts, recommendations concerning economic policy measures have been formulated with the aim of mitigating the future impact of the threats identified.
Szybkie tempo zmiany zjawisk gospodarczych połączonych z dużą zmiennością rynków finansowych oraz wzrostem znaczenia niewymiernych czynników behawioralnych, skłania do szerszego wykorzystania wiedzy eksperckiej w prognozowaniu makroekonomicznym. Celem artykułu jest przedstawienie wyników II edycji projektu pt. Makroekonomiczne wyzwania i prognozy dla Polski. Badanie zostało przeprowadzone w grudniu 2018 roku. W artykule zaprezentowany został konsensus prognostyczny ekspertów EKF. Obok klasycznych prognoz makroekonomicznych dla Polski zawiera zagrożenia dla zrównoważonego rozwoju gospodarczego oraz stabilności systemu finansowego wraz z szacunkami subiektywnego prawdopodobieństwa realizacji. Wykorzystując wiedzę i kompetencje ekspertów EKF sformułowane zostały rekomendowane działania dla polityki gospodarczej, ukierunkowane na osłabienie oddziaływania zidentyfikowanych zagrożeń w przyszłości.
Źródło:
Bezpieczny Bank; 2018, 73, 4; 7-26
1429-2939
Pojawia się w:
Bezpieczny Bank
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Macroeconomic conditions of the financial efficiency of food industry enterprises
Uwarunkowania makroekonomiczne efektywności finansowej przedsiębiorstw przemysłu spożywczego
Autorzy:
Juszczyk, S.
Balina, R.
Bąk, M.
Juszczyk, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2051174.pdf
Data publikacji:
2020
Wydawca:
Akademia Bialska Nauk Stosowanych im. Jana Pawła II w Białej Podlaskiej
Tematy:
financial efficiency
macroeconomic factors
food industry
pentagon of macroeconomic
stabilization
economic policy
Opis:
Subject and purpose of work: The subject of this research was the financial efficiency of large food industry enterprises in Poland, and its aim was to determine the strength and direction of the impact of key macroeconomic factors on the level of financial efficiency of those enterprises. Materials and methods: Data from the Central Statistical Office, the results of own research as well as literature on the problem were used. The research period covered the years 2005-2018. Dynamic panel models were applied in the study. Results: The results of the statistical analysis showed, inter alia, that the explanatory variable responsible for the increase in financial efficiency in the food industry was primarily the consumption dynamics in the preceding year. Its growth by 1 pp. ceteris paribus was related to an increase in the EBITDA margin of food industry enterprises by over 0.23 pp on average. Conclusions: The main conclusion concerned the statement that the rise in the inflation rate had a negative impact on the financial efficiency of food industry enterprises, while the increase in GDP, consumption and accumulation had a positive effect.
Źródło:
Economic and Regional Studies; 2020, 13, 4; 407-428
2083-3725
2451-182X
Pojawia się w:
Economic and Regional Studies
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Macroeconomic determinants of the standard of living – theoretical considerations
Autorzy:
Grzega, Urszula
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2128102.pdf
Data publikacji:
2018
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet w Białymstoku. Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu w Białymstoku
Tematy:
standard of living
macroeconomic determinants
Opis:
The aim of this paper is to make reflections on the macroeconomic determinants of the standard of living. They serve as the presentation of selected issues in terms of their impact on the degree of satisfying the needs of the population. They lead to the conclusion that the standard of living is the result of the comprehensive impact of many determinants of diverse nature (both macro- and microeconomic). There are numerous cause-and-effect connections between these determinants, but it is assumed that economic macro-determinants have a primary character in comparison with other determinants. They shape the basic conditions of the functioning of consumption entities. Thus, they constitute a kind of economic background and starting point as regards meeting the needs of particular groups and the standard of living in general. Although their influence is significant, it is also defined as indirect, deferred in time, and difficult to measure.
Źródło:
Optimum. Economic Studies; 2018, 2(92); 191-205
1506-7637
Pojawia się w:
Optimum. Economic Studies
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Macroeconomic determinants of savings in developing economies: a new empirical evidence from Nigeria
Makroekonomiczne determinanty oszczędności w gospodarce krajów rozwijających się: nowe dowody empiryczne z Nigerii
Autorzy:
Anthony-Orji, O.
Orji, A.
Ogbuabor, J.E.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2048786.pdf
Data publikacji:
2021
Wydawca:
Akademia Bialska Nauk Stosowanych im. Jana Pawła II w Białej Podlaskiej
Tematy:
macroeconomic
determinants
savings
empirical
evidence
Opis:
Subject and purpose of work: The issue of savings and what motivates them has continued to generate discussion. This study, therefore, investigated the determinants of savings in Nigeria over the period of 1980 to 2017. Materials and methods: The study employed the Classical Linear Regression Model in its analysis. Results: The results revealed that the determinants of savings include per capita income, gross fixed capital formation, financial deepening and exchange rate. Interest rate and inflation rate showed negative impact on savings. Conclusions: The study recommends that the variables that showed positive impact on savings rate should be properly maintained with relevant policy tools to ensure higher saving rates. Moreover, the government should control spending on economic activities that encourage the creation of more jobs and investments. This will help individuals, firms and governments find opportunities to save money. Finally, the Monetary Authorities should pursue financial deepening policies and implement strategies that will enhance the increase of savings in Nigeria.
Źródło:
Economic and Regional Studies; 2021, 14, 4; 428-444
2083-3725
2451-182X
Pojawia się w:
Economic and Regional Studies
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Macroeconomic stability in transition economies as an effect of eu membership in light of a comparative analysis
Stabilność makroekonomiczna krajów transformacji systemowej jako efekt członkostwa w Unii Europejskiej w świetle analizy porównawczej
Autorzy:
Kotliński, Kamil
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1182372.pdf
Data publikacji:
2020
Wydawca:
Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
Tematy:
Macroeconomic Stabilization Pentagon
macroeconomic stabilization
post‑transition economies
pięciokąt stabilizacji makroekonomicznej
stabilizacja makroekonomiczna
kraje posttransformacyjne
Opis:
Przygotowania przedakcesyjne i sama akcesja do Unii Europejskiej były znaczącymi zmianami instytucjonalnymi dla krajów w transformacji. Kraje niebędące członkami UE, takie jak Albania, Serbia, Ukraina, Białoruś, Gruzja i Rosja, również przechodziły transformację systemową. Czy dobre wyniki makroekonomiczne krajów Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej są rezultatem członkostwa w Unii Europejskiej, czy tylko transformacji od socjalizmu do gospodarki rynkowej? Celem badań jest porównanie stabilności makroekonomicznej dwóch grup krajów postsocjalistycznych będących członkami UE i niebędących jej członkami. W badaniach posłużono się metodą analizy porównawczej. Wykorzystano metodę pięciokąta stabilności makroekonomicznej. Badane kraje podążały różnymi ścieżkami transformacji, ale użyte wskaźniki stabilności makroekonomicznej są mierzalne i porównywalne. Wyniki badań wskazują, że kraje należące do UE charakteryzują się wyższym poziomem stabilności makroekonomicznej.
Źródło:
Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu; 2020, 64, 10; 31-42
1899-3192
Pojawia się w:
Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS FORECASTS ACCURACY AND REACTION OF INVESTORS ON THE WSE
Autorzy:
Wójtowicz, Tomasz
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/453019.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie. Katedra Ekonometrii i Statystyki
Tematy:
macroeconomic news announcements
WSE
event study
Opis:
Every day analysts and news agencies publish forecasts of important macroeconomic indicators. When the announced value of an indicator differs from its forecast, investors must revise their strategies. The strength of investors’ reaction depend on the difference between expectations and the true value of the indicator. In this paper we analyze the reaction of investors on the WSE to U.S. macroeconomic news announcements. We compare the strength of the reaction when forecasts are based on information from different financial services.
Źródło:
Metody Ilościowe w Badaniach Ekonomicznych; 2015, 16, 2; 142-151
2082-792X
Pojawia się w:
Metody Ilościowe w Badaniach Ekonomicznych
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
THE REACTION OF INTRADAY WIG RETURNS TO THE U.S. MACROECONOMIC NEWS ANNOUNCEMENTS
Autorzy:
Gurgul, Henryk
Suliga, Milena
Wojtowicz, Tomasz
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/453331.pdf
Data publikacji:
2013
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie. Katedra Ekonometrii i Statystyki
Tematy:
event study
macroeconomic announcements intraday data
Opis:
This paper analyses the reaction of stock returns on the Warsaw Stock Exchange to U.S. macroeconomic news announcements. The study is conducted on the basis of five-minute returns of WIG from January 2004 to December 2012. This nine-year period includes different stages of economic cycle and additionally the global financial crisis. Hence results of our analysis are not limited only to contraction or expansion and can be applied to bull and bear market. The application of event study analysis allows us to measure not only the strength of the impact of information release but also its duration.
Źródło:
Metody Ilościowe w Badaniach Ekonomicznych; 2013, 14, 1; 150-159
2082-792X
Pojawia się w:
Metody Ilościowe w Badaniach Ekonomicznych
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Budget deficit-macroeconomic variables nexus in Kenya
Autorzy:
Philip, Doris Syombua
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2027265.pdf
Data publikacji:
2021
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Katowicach
Tematy:
Budget deficit
Kenya
Selected macroeconomic variables
Opis:
Aim/purpose – The aim of this paper was to establish the nexus between a budget deficit and selected macroeconomic variables in Kenya. This adds to the existing literature while the methodology and choice of the econometric tools used improve the predictability of the link between a budget deficit and macroeconomic variables. The results are relevant to policy makers as they may help improve understanding of budget deficit management. Design/methodology/approach – The study used time series data for the period from 1976 to 2018 and employed the Vector Autoregression model reinforced by the Keynesian Mundell–Fleming framework. Findings – The impulse response function derived from the vector autoregression model revealed that shocks from both interest rate and exchange rate had a positive impact on budget deficit. External debt servicing and current account deficit shocks had a negative impact on the budget deficit. Research implications/limitations – Interest rate and exchange rate policies remain key in reducing the growth of the budget deficit. Policies on external debt servicing, such as timely payment of debts and prudent investment of borrowed funds, will also reduce the budget deficit. Originality/value/contribution – The study employed transmission mechanism which involves multiple equations to establish the nexus between a budget deficit and macroeconomic variables in Kenya.
Źródło:
Journal of Economics and Management; 2021, 43; 270-292
1732-1948
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Economics and Management
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
The Impact of US Macroeconomic News on the Prices of Single Stocks on the Vienna Stock Exchange
Autorzy:
Wójtowicz, Tomasz
Gurgul, Henryk
Mitterer, Christoph
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2075347.pdf
Data publikacji:
2021
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
Tematy:
event study
macroeconomic announcements
intraday data
Opis:
Recent studies have shown that announcements of information about the state of the US economy have had a significant impact on European stock markets. However, the importance of information about the US economy may vary in time. In order to analyze this issue, we examine the impact of announcements of unexpected US macroeconomic news on the prices of selected stocks listed on the Vienna Stocks Exchange. On the basis of the 5-minute returns of 13 stocks we examine how the strength and the significance of the reactions of investors to unexpected macroeconomic news from the US has changed over the last 15 years. Event study methodology allows us to describe precisely such reactions in the first minutes after news announcements
Źródło:
Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics; 2021, 3; 287-329
2080-0886
2080-119X
Pojawia się w:
Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
MACROECONOMIC DETERMINANTS OF INVESTMENT IN AGRICULTURE IN POLAND – DEMATEL METHOD
Autorzy:
Miłaszewicz, Danuta
Nermend, Kesra
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/453854.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie. Katedra Ekonometrii i Statystyki
Tematy:
agriculture
investment
macroeconomic factors
causal relations
DEMATEL
Opis:
Investments in agriculture have a direct impact on the sector as well as on the economy in general. These effects are determined by many internal (microeconomic) and external (macroeconomic) factors. In the literature there are many studies on the influence of microeconomic factors on decisions regarding investments in agriculture holdings. Few authors, however, have dealt with macroeconomic conditionality for such decisions. The paper presents the possibility to apply the DEcision MAking Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) method in examining the causal links between macroeconomic factors and investment in rural areas. Basing on the three independent experts’ opinions referring to the analyzed relationships, we reveal direct and indirect links between the investigated variables.
Źródło:
Metody Ilościowe w Badaniach Ekonomicznych; 2017, 18, 1; 99-109
2082-792X
Pojawia się w:
Metody Ilościowe w Badaniach Ekonomicznych
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
ORDOLIBERALISM AND THE MACROECONOMIC POLICY IN THE FACE OF THE EURO CRISIS
Autorzy:
Moszyński, Michał
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/517387.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Instytut Badań Gospodarczych
Tematy:
Germany
macroeconomic policy
ordoliberalism
rules
economic order
Opis:
The global economic crisis and the crisis in the euro zone exposed the deep differences of opinion between German economists and scientists from Anglo-Saxon countries. The German approach conceptually differs in the views on the strategies and tools of anti-crisis policy, especially fiscal stimulus in the Keynesian-style, quantitative easing monetary policy of the ECB, the question of financial assistance to Greece and restructuring its debt. The other areas of difference are the approach to the rules in macroeconomic policy, fiscal consolidation, and interpretation of current account surplus. Given the size and performance of the German economy it is important to understand the reasons for these opposites, which constitute the research goal of this article. Considerations are based on the thesis that ordoliberal thought still has a strong impact on the practice of macroeconomic policy in Germany and also at the European level. The analysis is built on the short overview of ideological foundations of the German social market economy and its most important postulates, which then will be applied for interpretation of intellectual distinctions between economists from Germany and other countries in the theoretical and practical dimensions of the economic policy observed in Europe. The methodology includes the critical literature studies and the comparative analysis of macroeconomic policy through the prism of economic thought.
Źródło:
Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy; 2015, 10, 4; 41-58
1689-765X
2353-3293
Pojawia się w:
Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł

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