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Tytuł:: Critical price of sulphur dioxide emission allowances
Autorzy:: Sowiński, J.
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/206196.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2001
Wydawca:: Polska Akademia Nauk. Instytut Badań Systemowych PAN
Tematy:: decision-making investment model
emission of sulphur dioxide
tradable emission allowances
Opis:: The paper presents a decision-making model of environmental modernization in a power plant. The goal of the model is to analyse strategies implemented by power producers trying to comply with environmental regulations. Detailed analysis is related to the sulphur dioxide emission. Tradable emission allowances might be a new economic tool in fighting environmental problems in Poland. The model applies the real options approach. The approach is appropriate to model investments that are irreversible and an investor can afford to wait rather than invest immediately. The model assumes price uncertainty. The investment rule takes the form of a critical value optimal for immediate investment. The critical value of the project is calculated using dynamic programming. The project value follows a geometric Brownian motion. The results presented demonstrate that it is possible to calculate a critical price of emission allowances.
Źródło:: Control and Cybernetics; 2001, 30, 2; 191-201
0324-8569
Pojawia się w:: Control and Cybernetics
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 2.

Tytuł:: Cognitive model of intuition in solving investment problems
Autorzy:: Ziuziakowski, Milan
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2197544.pdf
Data publikacji:: 2022
Wydawca:: Politechnika Gdańska
Tematy:: EPAM model
decision making
intuition
Opis:: The problem of rational investment and allocation of funds for an agent with individual goals and experiences is presented in this paper. Simon Herbert’s model of decision making, the EPAM model of intuition as a decision tree with the accompanying Soar so!ware which is a modern cognitive architecture for modeling intelligent agents are considered. The state space and selection of decision rules for determining the optimal solution are presented, emphasizing the role of intuition. A decision making scheme is presented, leading to the acquisition of distinct experiences resulting in an increase in the procedural knowledge stored in the long-term memory. The next stage is to visualize the decision making process in the working memory in order to satisfactorily allocate funds into three categories. The results obtained indicate the intuitively correct decision according to an assumed quality factor which is the level of overall agent satisfaction. Reference is also made to the possible application of GAN neural networks, showing their potential in supporting intuitive decision making in the stock market. The considerations confirm the validity of an intuitive approach to business solutions and also enable a closer look at multidimensional aspects of intuition. The considerations confirm the validity of the intuitive approach to business solutions, as well as presenting an insight into multidimensional aspects of intuition itself.
Źródło:: TASK Quarterly. Scientific Bulletin of Academic Computer Centre in Gdansk; 2022, 26, 1; 1-24
1428-6394
Pojawia się w:: TASK Quarterly. Scientific Bulletin of Academic Computer Centre in Gdansk
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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