- Tytuł:
-
Nieklasyczne metody budowy prognoz zatrudnienia w gospodarce województwa śląskiego
Non-Classical Methods of Constructing Employment Forecast in the Economy of the Silesian Province - Autorzy:
-
Szkutnik, Tomasz
Wójciak, Mirosław - Powiązania:
- https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/592625.pdf
- Data publikacji:
- 2013
- Wydawca:
- Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Katowicach
- Tematy:
-
Prognozowanie makroekonomiczne
Prognozowanie zatrudnienia
Prognozowanie zjawisk ekonomiczno-społecznych
Economic and social phenomenon forecasting
Employment forecasting
Macroeconomic forecasting - Opis:
- The article presents the method of constructing an econometric model of employment on the basis of expert research, for the need of determining long-term forecasts. In classical models, based merely on the historical data, it is often impossible to consider non-standard factors that may influence the forecasts of values. The lack of historical information regarding events that may occur in the future with a specified probability extorts the application of non-classical methods of estimation of model parameters as well as the correction of forecast values. The methodology adopted in the research included the analysis based on type II formal models and the correction of base forecasts obtained from the initial model with the application of cross effect method as well as the variable trend method in connection with simulation research.
- Źródło:
-
Studia Ekonomiczne; 2013, 142; 83-104
2083-8611 - Pojawia się w:
- Studia Ekonomiczne
- Dostawca treści:
- Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł