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    Wyświetlanie 1-15 z 15
    Tytuł:
    Integrated Impact Model on Critical Infrastructure Safety Related to Its Operation Process and Climate-Weather Change Process
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068789.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    impact model
    climate-weather process
    operation process
    safety
    model
    critical infrastructure
    Opis:
    The main aim of the paper is to define the operation and climate change influence on the safety of a critical infrastructure considered as a complex system in its operating environment. As the result, a general safety analytical model of a complex technical system under the influence of the operation process related to climateweather change process is proposed. Further, the conditional safety functions at the operation process related to climate-weather change process, the unconditional safety function and the risk function of the complex system at changing in time operation and climate-weather conditions are defined. Moreover, the mean lifetime up to the exceeding a critical safety state, the moment when the risk function value exceeds the acceptable safety level, the intensities of ageing of the critical infrastructure and its components and the coefficients of the operation and climate-weather impact on the critical infrastructure and its components intensities of ageing are proposed as the other significant safety indices for any critical infrastructure.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 4; 33--48
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068838.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    critical infrastructure
    identification
    climate-weather change process
    Opis:
    There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 85--106
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Integrated Impact Model on Critical Infrastructure Safety Related to Climate-Weather Change Process Including Extreme Weather Hazards
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068792.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate change process
    weather hazards
    impact
    model
    safety
    Opis:
    In the paper a general safety analytical model of complex technical system related to the climateweather change process in its operating area is defined. First, the system operation at climate-weather variable conditions is given. Additionally, the semi-Markov approach is used. Further, the safety model of the multistate system at climate-weather variable conditions is introduced. The notions of the conditional safety functions at the climate-weather particular states, the unconditional safety function and the risk function of the complex system at changing in time climate-weather conditions are presented. The other safety indices like mean lifetime up to the exceeding a critical safety state, the moment when the risk function value exceeds the acceptable safety level, the intensities of ageing of the critical infrastructure and its components and the coefficients of the climate-weather impact on the critical infrastructure and its components intensities of ageing are defined.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 4; 21--32
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification and prediction of port oil piping transportation system operation process related to climate-weather change
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068858.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    operation process
    climate-weather change
    identification
    prediction
    piping transportation system
    Opis:
    The paper is concerned with an application of the critical infrastructure operation process related to climateweather change model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system. There are distinguished three different processes for the corresponding piping operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the piping operation process and the piping operating area climate-weather change processes, there are determined the unknown parameters of those processes. Namely, there are determined the probabilities of the processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the transitions between the states and the mean values of the processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the piping operation process related to climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 113--120
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Integrated Impact Model on Critical Infrastructure Safety Related to Its Operation Process Including Operating Environment Threat and Climate-Weather Change Process Including Extreme Weather
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068791.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    integrated model
    critical infrastructure
    operation process
    environment threat
    weather hazard
    safety
    Opis:
    The paper presents the general safety analytical model of a complex technical system under the influence of the operation process including its operating environment threats related to climate-weather change process, The system operation process including environment threats under influence of climate-weather variable conditions is defined. Moreover, the safety model of multistate systems at variable conditions related to operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards is proposed. The conditional safety functions at the operation process including operating environment threats and related to climate-weather change process particular states, the unconditional safety function and the risk function of the complex system at changing in time operation and climate-weather conditions and other, practically significant, critical infrastructure safety indices are defined. Furthermore, the same safety indicators are defined for exponential systems.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 4; 49--66
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards of port oil piping transportation system operating at land Baltic seaside area
    Autorzy:
    Jakusik, E.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068953.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2016
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    semi-Markov model
    modelling
    identification
    transportation system
    Opis:
    There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for the port oil piping transportation system operating at land Baltic seaside area are presented.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 57--64
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for maritime ferry operating at Baltic Sea open waters
    Autorzy:
    Jakusik, E.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068984.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2016
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    semi-Markov model
    modelling
    identification
    transportation system
    Opis:
    There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for maritime ferry operating at Baltic Sea open waters are presented.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 73--80
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for the maritime ferry operating at Gdynia port area
    Autorzy:
    Jakusik, E.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068991.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2016
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    semi-Markov model
    modelling
    identification
    transportation system
    Opis:
    There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for the maritime ferry operating at Gdynia port area are presented.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 65--72
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Reliability of large port grain transportation system
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069510.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2014
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    reliability
    multistate system
    ageing
    large system
    operation process
    grain transportation system
    Opis:
    The combination of the results on the reliability of complex multi-state systems related to their operation processes and the results concerning the limit reliability functions of the multistate systems is proposed, to obtain the results on the asymptotic approach to the evaluation of the large complex multi-state systems reliability at the variable operation conditions. The asymptotic approach to the large complex system reliability evaluation and the large complex system limit reliability function are defined. Limit reliability functions of selected large complex systems composed of components having Weibull reliability functions are fixed. The way of using this results is illustrated by their application to the evaluation of reliability characteristics of the large complex port grain transportation subsystem composed of three large multistate non-homogeneous series systems and changing its reliability structure and its components reliability parameters at variable operation conditions.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2014, 5, 2; 77--86
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for port oil piping transportation system operating at under water Baltic Sea area
    Autorzy:
    Jakusik, E.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068999.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2016
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    semi-Markov model
    modelling
    identification
    transportation system
    Opis:
    There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for the initial point of the port oil piping transportation system are presented.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 47--56
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification and prediction of port oil piping transportation system operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weathers hazards
    Autorzy:
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068849.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    identification
    prediction
    operating environment threats
    piping transportation system
    Opis:
    The paper is concerned with an application of the critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system. There are distinguished three processes for the considered piping operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the operation process including operating environment threats and the climate-weather change processes for the piping operating area, there are determined the unknown parameters of these processes. Namely, the probabilities of the piping processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the piping processes transitions between the states and the mean values of the piping processes conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the piping operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards at the distinguished operating area.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 121--128
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Identification and prediction of climate-weather change process for port oil piping transportation system operating area
    Autorzy:
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068856.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    identification
    prediction
    piping operating area
    extreme weather hazards
    Opis:
    The paper is concerned with an application of the climate-weather change process for a critical infrastructure operating area model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system operating area. For the considered piping operating area, there are distinguished three different climate-weather change processes and their states. Further, there are identified the unknown parameters of those processes, i.e. the probabilities of the climate-weather change processes staying at the initial climate-weather states, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the mean values of the climate-weather change processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 107--112
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for maritime ferry
    Autorzy:
    Jakusik, E.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068960.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2016
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    semi-Markov model
    extreme weather hazard states
    maritime ferry
    Opis:
    The climate-weather change process for the maritime ferry operating at Port Gdynia and at Baltic Sea open waters between Gdynia bay and Karlskrona bay is considered and its states are defined. Further, the semi-Markov process is defined and used to create a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the maritime ferry operating at considered areas.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 41--46
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Oil transport in port. Part 3. Port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience impacted by the climate-weather change process and operation process
    Autorzy:
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068783.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2018
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    piping system
    operation process
    climate-weather change impacts
    safety
    resilience
    cost analysis
    optimization
    Opis:
    The paper is concerned with the application of the model of critical infrastructure safety prediction with considering its operation and climate-weather change impacts. The general approach to the prediction of critical infrastructure safety and resilience is proposed and the safety and resilience indicators are defined for a critical infrastructure impacted by its operation process and the climate-weather change process. Moreover, there is presented the model application for port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience prediction. Further, the cost analysis and optimisation of critical infrastructure operation process impacted by climateweather change is proposed and applied to the considered piping system.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 2; 43--64
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for port oil piping transportation system
    Autorzy:
    Jakusik, E.
    Kołowrocki, K.
    Kuligowska, E.
    Soszyńska-Budny, J.
    Torbicki, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068975.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2016
    Wydawca:
    Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
    Tematy:
    climate-weather change process
    semi-Markov model
    extreme weather hazard states
    port oil transportation syste
    Opis:
    The climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area is considered and its states are defined. Further, the semi-Markov process is used to create a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area. To construct this model the vector of probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the initials climate-weather states, the matrix of probabilities of the climate-weather change process transitions between the climate-weather states, the matrix of conditional distribution functions and the matrix of conditional density functions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states are defined. Preliminary applications of the proposed model to the climate-weather change process for the port oil transportation system operation area are presented.
    Źródło:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 31--40
    2084-5316
    Pojawia się w:
    Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
      Wyświetlanie 1-15 z 15

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