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Wyświetlanie 1-9 z 9
Tytuł:
Szacunki kwartalnego PKB w polskich województwach
Quarterly Estimates of Regional GDP in Poland
Autorzy:
Pipień, Mateusz
Roszkowska, Sylwia
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/574142.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015-10-31
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie. Kolegium Analiz Ekonomicznych
Tematy:
dezagregacja obserwowanych kategorii makroekonomicznych
klasyczny model regresji liniowej
niepewność estymacji
regionalny PKB
regional GDP
temporal and spatial disaggregation
linear regression
estimation uncertainty
Opis:
The paper uses a linear regression model to examine the temporal and spatial disaggregation of Poland’s gross domestic product. The authors develop an approach based on estimating the structural parameters of linear regression in which annual regional GDP and its growth rate are used as dependent variables and annual national GDP and its changes play the role of explanatory variables. Pipień and Roszkowska estimate quarterly regional GDP and its changes as functions of the regression parameters. They compare alternative approaches with respect to the level of statistical uncertainty associated with the estimates. The sample covers the 1995-2012 period and the results obtained offer precise estimates of the rate of change in regional GDP, the authors say. Their research shows that regional differences in GDP growth are relatively small.
Celem artykułu jest scharakteryzowanie zastosowania modelu regresji liniowej w problemie czasowej i przestrzennej dezagregacji PKB polskiej gospodarki. W opisywanym podejściu przedmiotem estymacji są parametry strukturalne regresji liniowej, w której roczne PKB województw lub jego tempo zmian stanowią zmienną objaśnianą, zaś roczne PKB krajowe lub jego tempo zmian odgrywa rolę zmiennej objaśniającej. Proponuje się, aby kwartalne PKB i jego zmiany szacować dla poszczególnych województw jako funkcje parametrów regresji. Proponowane alternatywne podejścia poddano ocenie ze względu na poziom niepewności statystycznej związanej z estymacją oraz ze względu na poziom przestrzennego zróżnicowania oszacowanych wartości. W artykule przedstawiono wyniki szacunków PKB i jego zmian w województwach w okresie 1995–2012, otrzymane na podstawie zaproponowanej dwustopniowej procedury. Uzyskane wyniki szacunków poziomów PKB charakteryzują się dużą precyzją oszacowań, ale regionalne zróżnicowanie stóp wzrostu PKB otrzymanych na podstawie tego podejścia jest niewielkie. Z kolei wykorzystanie w regresji wartości tempa zmian PKB powodowało większe zróżnicowanie stóp wzrostu PKB według województw, ale błędy szacunków były większe.
Źródło:
Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics; 2015, 279, 5; 145-169
2300-5238
Pojawia się w:
Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
THE IMPACT OF CAPITAL RATIO ON LENDING OF EU BANKS – THE ROLE OF BANK SPECIALIZATION AND CAPITALIZATION
Autorzy:
Olszak, Małgorzata
Pipień, Mateusz
Roszkowska, Sylwia
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/517156.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Instytut Badań Gospodarczych
Tematy:
loan supply
capital ratio
procyclicality
Opis:
In this paper we aim to find out whether bank specialization and bank capitalization affect the relationship between loans growth and capital ratio, both in expansions and in contractions. We hypothesize that the impact of bank capital on lending is relatively strong in cooperative banks and savings banks. We also expect that this effect is nonlinear, and is stronger in “low” capital banks than in “high” capital banks. In order to test our hypotheses, we apply the two-step GMM robust estimator for data spanning the years 1996–2011 on individual banks available in the Bankscope database. Our analysis shows that lending of poorly capitalized banks is more affected by capital ratio than lending of well-capitalized banks. Loans growth of cooperative and savings banks is more capital constrained that lending of commercial banks. Capital matters for the lending activity in contractions only in the case of savings and “low” capital banks.
Źródło:
Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy; 2016, 11, 1; 43-59
1689-765X
2353-3293
Pojawia się w:
Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Do Financial Sector Structure and Development Matter for the Effect of Bank Capital on Lending in Large EU Banks?
Autorzy:
Olszak, Małgorzata
Pipień, Mateusz
Roszkowska, Sylwia
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/629959.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:
loan supply, capital ratio, financial sector structure, financial sectordevelopment, procyclicality
Opis:
The paper aims at finding out what is the impact of bank capital ratios on loansupply in the EU and what factors explain the potential diversity of this impact.Applying the Blundell and Bond (1998) two step GMM estimator, we find that in thefull sample of large banks the role of capital ratio on loan growth in contractionsis relatively weak. However, if we take into account the differences in financial sector structure and development between EU countries, we find that the effectof capital ratio on lending is positive and statistically significant. Therefore, ourresults suggest that capital ratios are an important determinant of lending in thelarge EU banks in those countries where financial sector is more dominated bystock markets of is better developed. Thus, our results provide support for theview that more financially developed economies are prone to greater procyclicalimpact of capital ratios on lending of banks.
Źródło:
Kwartalnik Kolegium Ekonomiczno-Społecznego Studia i Prace; 2015, 3, 1; 167-180
2082-0976
Pojawia się w:
Kwartalnik Kolegium Ekonomiczno-Społecznego Studia i Prace
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
The impact of capital on lending in publicly-traded and privately- held banks in the EU
Autorzy:
Olszak, Małgorzata
Pipień, Mateusz
Kowalska, Iwona
Roszkowska, Sylwia
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/482947.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Warszawski. Wydawnictwo Naukowe Wydziału Zarządzania
Tematy:
loan supply
capital ratio
procyclicality
accounting conservatism privately-held and publicly-traded banks
Opis:
This paper extends the literature on the link between lending and capital by examining the role of equity ownership structure for this link in banks operating in the European Union. As theory predicts, publiclytraded banks are more prone to heightened agency problems (moral hazard and adverse selection) due to dispersed ownership and therefore have stronger incentives to engage in excessive risk-taking especially in economic expansions. This may bring about procyclical lending effect in economic downturns. Theory also predicts that these banks are also more affected by capital market frictions in economic downturns. Applying Blundell and Bond (1998) two step robust GMM estimator we predict and find that the link between lending and capital in economic downturns is stronger in publicly-traded banks than in privately- held banks, which may be a result of greater conditional accounting conservatism of publicly-traded banks. Additionally, the link between lending and capital during expansions is stronger in the case of privately- held banks reporting unconsolidated data, but not for banks reporting consolidated financial reports, consistent with the view that limited access to capital markets increases the cost of external finance of private banks. Finally, we find empirical support for the view that lending of privately- held banks is not constrained by capital ratio in economic downturns. Our results stress the importance of conditional conservatism for the effectiveness macroprudential policy, in particular countercyclical capital buffers.
Źródło:
Faculty of Management Working Paper Series; 2015, WPS 7/2015; 1-25
2300-4371
Pojawia się w:
Faculty of Management Working Paper Series
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
The impact of capital on lending in economic downturns and investor protection – the case of large EU banks
Autorzy:
Olszak, Małgorzata
Pipień, Mateusz
Kowalska, Iwona
Roszkowska, Sylwia
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/482952.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Warszawski. Wydawnictwo Naukowe Wydziału Zarządzania
Tematy:
capital ratio
lending
shareholders protection
creditor power
procyclicality
Opis:
This paper attempts to find out whether better quality of investor protection matters for the effect of capital ratio on loan growth of large EU banks in 1996-2011. We focus on several measures of the quality of investor protection with a proven track record in the banking literature, i.e.: anti-self-dealing index, ex-antecontrol and ex-post-control of anti-self-dealing indices, and creditor protection rights index. Our results show that better investor protection increases the procyclical impact of capital on lending in the sample of banks reporting unconsolidated data. This is consistent with the view that better shareholders rights protection induces bank borrowers to take more loans and to engage in more risk-taking, in particular during economic booms, which results in greater sensitivity of bank lending to capital ratios in economic downturns. The opposite effect is found in the sample of banks reporting consolidated data. This effect is consistent with the view that better minority shareholders protection may reduce risk-taking incentives of large banks and result in better risk management of credit portfolio (and other investments of such banks).
Źródło:
Faculty of Management Working Paper Series; 2015, WPS 6/2015; 1-33
2300-4371
Pojawia się w:
Faculty of Management Working Paper Series
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
The effects of capital on bank lending in large EU banks – the role of procyclicality, income smoothing, regulations and supervision.
Autorzy:
Olszak, Małgorzata
Pipień, Mateusz
Roszkowska, Sylwia
Kowalska, Iwona
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1203974.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Warszawski. Wydawnictwo Naukowe Wydziału Zarządzania
Tematy:
loan supply
capital crunch
procyclicality of loan loss provisions
income smoothing
bank regulation
bank supervision
Opis:
This paper aims to find out what the impact is of bank capital ratios on loan supply in the EU and what factors explain the potential diversity of this impact. Applying the Blundell and Bond (1998) two step GMM estimator, we show that, in the EU context, the role of capital ratio for loan growth is stronger than previous literature has found for other countries. Our study sheds some light on whether procyclicality of loan loss provisions and income smoothing with loan loss provisions contribute to procyclical impact of capital ratio on loan growth. We document that loan growth of banks that have more procyclical loan loss provisions and that engage less in income smoothing is more sensitive to capital ratios. This sensitivity is slightly increased in this sample of banks during contractions. Moreover, more restrictive regulations and more stringent official supervision reduce the magnitude of the effect of capital ratio on bank lending. Taken together, our results suggest that capital ratios are an important determinant of lending in large EU banks.
Źródło:
Faculty of Management Working Paper Series; 2014, WPS 5/2014; 1-41
2300-4371
Pojawia się w:
Faculty of Management Working Paper Series
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
The Impact of Capital on Lending in Economic Downturns and Investor Protection - the Case of Large EU Banks
Autorzy:
Olszak, Małgorzata
Pipień, Mateusz
Roszkowska, Sylwia
Kowalska, Iwona
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2076265.pdf
Data publikacji:
2018
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
Tematy:
capital ratio
lending
investor protection
creditor protection
largebanks
Opis:
This paper attempts to find out whether better quality of investor protection matters for the effect of capital ratio on loan growth of large EU banks in 1996- 2011. We focus on several measures of the quality of investor protection with a proven track record in the banking literature, i.e.: anti-self-dealing index, ex-ante-control and ex-post-control of anti-self-dealing indices, and creditor protection rights index. Our results show that better investor protection decreases the procyclical impact of capital on lending. This effect is statistically significant for the ex-post-control index. This is consistent with the view that better shareholders rights reduces bank risk-taking, in particular during economic booms, which results in weakened sensitivity of bank lending to capital ratios in economic downturns. This effect holds for both unconsolidated and consolidated data and is robust to sensitivity checks
Źródło:
Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics; 2018, 2; 133-167
2080-0886
2080-119X
Pojawia się w:
Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
What drives heterogeneity of procyclicality of loan loss provisions in the EU?
Autorzy:
Olszak, Olszak
Pipień, Mateusz
Kowalska, Iwona
Roszkowska, Sylwia
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1203986.pdf
Data publikacji:
2014
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Warszawski. Wydawnictwo Naukowe Wydziału Zarządzania
Tematy:
loan loss provisions
procyclicality
income smoothing
investor protection
bank regulation
bank supervision
Opis:
Using the two step system GMM Blundell and Bond estimator this paper documents a large cross-bank and cross-country variation in the relationship between loan loss provisions (LLP) and the business cycle and explores bank management specific, bank-activity specific and country specific (institutional and regulatory) features that explain this diversity in the European Union. Our results indicate that LLP in large, publicly traded and commercial banks, as well as in banks reporting consolidated statements, are more procyclical. Better investor protection and more restrictive bank capital regulations reduce the procyclicality of LLP. We do not find support for the view that better quality of market monitoring mitigates the sensitivity of LLP to business cycle. Our findings clearly indicate the empirical importance of income smoothing, capital management and credit risk management for decreased procyclicality of LLP.
Źródło:
Faculty of Management Working Paper Series; 2014, WPS 3/2014; 1-34
2300-4371
Pojawia się w:
Faculty of Management Working Paper Series
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Do regulations and supervision shape the capital crunch effect of large banks in the EU?
Autorzy:
Olszak, Małgorzata
Pipień, Mateusz
Kowalska, Iwona
Roszkowska, Sylwia
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/482945.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Warszawski. Wydawnictwo Naukowe Wydziału Zarządzania
Tematy:
capital ratio
lending, capital crunch
regulations
supervision
procyclicality
Opis:
This paper extends the literature on the capital crunch effect by examining the role of public policy for the link between lending and capital in a sample of large banks operating in the European Union. Applying Blundell and Bond (1998) two-step robust GMM estimator we show that restrictions on bank activities and more stringent capital standards weaken the capital crunch effect, consistent with reduced risk taking and boosted bank charter values. Official supervision also reduces the impact of capital ratio on lending in downturns. Private oversight seems to be related to thin capital buffers in expansions, and therefore the capital crunch effect is enhanced in countries with increased market discipline. We thus provide evidence that neither regulations nor supervision at the microprudential level is neutral from a financial stability perspective. Weak regulations and supervision seem to increase the pro-cyclical effect of capital on bank lending.
Źródło:
Faculty of Management Working Paper Series; 2015, WPS 3/2015; 1-27
2300-4371
Pojawia się w:
Faculty of Management Working Paper Series
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
    Wyświetlanie 1-9 z 9

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