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    Wyświetlanie 1-3 z 3
    Tytuł:
    COVID-19 and the Politics of Russia and Saudi Arabia: Oil Prices and Security
    Autorzy:
    Kozicki, Bartosz
    Mitkow, Szymon
    Jaśkiewicz, Paweł
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2010254.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2021
    Wydawca:
    Centrum Rzeczoznawstwa Budowlanego Sp. z o.o.
    Tematy:
    COVID-19
    oil prices
    Russian policy
    safety
    Saudi Arabia
    cena paliwa
    polityka Rosji
    bezpieczeństwo
    Arabia Saudyjska
    Opis:
    The aim of the study is an attempt to examine the impact of oil prices on the politics of Russia and Saudi Arabia in terms of economic security. This research covers the period from February 1, 2000 to March 10, 2020. This study uses qualitative and quantitative methods to measure the effectiveness of Russia's influence in Saudi Arabia. The research began with a multidimensional comparative analysis and evaluation of data on the price of one barrel of crude oil in the world on a daily basis in the period 2000-2020 in terms of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the politics of Russia and Saudi Arabia. The considered data obtained from the website www.eia.gov was grouped and specified in order to discover the regularities governing them. Then, advanced research tools were used to analyze and evaluate them dynamically in the form of categorized box-plot charts. The conclusion of the research is that low prices of crude oil per barrel over a long period of time may be a reason for the emergence of the global financial crisis. As a result, Russia suffers financial losses. Overcoming the crisis requires signing international agreements which are hampered due to the own interests of the leaders of world economies: the United States, China and Russia.
    Źródło:
    Safety & Defense; 2021, 3; 22-31
    2450-551X
    Pojawia się w:
    Safety & Defense
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    The Forecast of the Number of Soldiers in the Saudi Arabian Army in Terms of Military Security
    Autorzy:
    Kozicki, Bartosz
    Zelkowski, Jarosław
    Mitkow, Szymon
    Gontarczyk, Mariusz
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2020137.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2021-12-31
    Wydawca:
    Wydawnictwo Adam Marszałek
    Tematy:
    human resources policy
    forecasting
    the Armed Forces of Saudi Arabia
    Russia’s policy
    military security
    Opis:
    The study concerns forecasting the number of soldiers in the Saudi Arabian army based on information obtained from the website: https://data.worldbank.org (The World Bank, 9.03.2020). The research began with a comparative analysis of the number of soldiers in the armies of Saudi Arabia and Russia. The idea for a comparative analysis of the number of armies of Saudi Arabia and the Russian Federation arises from Russian policy in the region of the Middle East countries, including the impact on world oil prices. The comparative analysis showed the similarities and differences in the dynamics of changes in the number of both armies dynamically. Subsequently, the primary time series data analysis on the number of Saudi Arabian troops was performed. The study selected methods for predicting raw data: Holt’s exponential smoothing and Klein’s model for the future. The next stage of the research was forecasting and the analysis and evaluation of the obtained forecasts. Klein’s model was the best forecasting model. The forecast of the number of soldiers in the Saudi Arabian army for 2020 is 251454, and for 2021, it has increased to 251006. The study ends with a summary and conclusions.
    Źródło:
    Polish Political Science Yearbook; 2021, 4 (50); 149-158
    0208-7375
    Pojawia się w:
    Polish Political Science Yearbook
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    The Forecasting of Military Expenditure in Saudi Arabia in Terms of Military Security
    Autorzy:
    Kozicki, Bartosz
    Zelkowski, Jarosław
    Mitkow, Szymon
    Gontarczyk, Mariusz
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2120092.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2022-06-30
    Wydawca:
    Wydawnictwo Adam Marszałek
    Tematy:
    expenditure
    forecasting
    Russian and Saudi Arabian policy
    COVID-19
    military security
    Opis:
    The study attempts to forecast military expenditure in Saudi Arabia for 2020. The research began with a comparative analysis of military expenditure in Saudi Arabia and Russia between 2000–2019. For this purpose, bar charts were used on which the calculated values of the dynamics indices with a fixed (2000) and movable (previous year) base of the considered primary data were outlined. The study was preceded by constructing a multiple regression model to evaluate the impact of the increase in military expenditure in Russia on Saudi Arabia. This model shows that as military spending in Russia increases by one million dollars, military spending in Saudi Arabia increases by $ 0.085 million. Then, data on the expenditure incurred by both analyzed countries in 2020, obtained from various internet sources, was outlined. Their analysis made it possible to select only qualitative methods in the form of expert opinions for the forecast. Saudi Arabia's military expenditure forecast was $ 57 500 million.
    Źródło:
    Polish Political Science Yearbook; 2022, 2 (51); 61-68
    0208-7375
    Pojawia się w:
    Polish Political Science Yearbook
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
      Wyświetlanie 1-3 z 3

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