Temat: wskaźnik koniunktury - Katalog OPAC zbiorów

Skocz do pozycji: 1.

Tytuł:: Syntentyczne wskaźniki koniunktury dla gospodarki polskiej oparte na wynikach badań ankietowych GUS
Synthetic Indicators of Economic Activity for Poland Based on CSO Survey Data
Autorzy:: Matkowski, Zbigniew
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/500288.pdf
Data publikacji:: 1998
Wydawca:: Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:: Koniunktura gospodarcza, Syntetyczny wskaźnik koniunktury gospodarczej, Badania ankietowe
Business trends, Synthetic indicator of the business climate, Questionnaire survey
Opis:: Seven altemative formulas of a generał indicator of economic activity for Poland, based on UE harmonized standards, have beea developed and tested in this study. All of them were filled with the CSO survey data for manufacturing industry, construction and retail trade, supplemented by consumer sentiment indicator provided by DEMOSCOP and by the Warsaw exchange share - price - index. The resulting time series of general indicator, covering the period from Nov. 1993 till Jan. 1998, have been analyzed in order to find the most adequate formula. As the result, three variants of the general indicator have been selected for further testing. The final, operational version of the indicator, designed for monitoring purposes, will be chosen on the basis of forthcoming analysis using XI1 - ARIMA procedurę. The latter can be applied at the end of 1998 when the available time series reach the minimum length required (5 years). Cyclical components of the generał indicator ZGG now developed will be confronted with the reference indicator GCI developed by the author to make the ultimate choice.
Źródło:: Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH; 1998, 61; 75-103
0866-9503
Pojawia się w:: Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

Artykuł

Zmień widok

na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 2.

Tytuł:: Syntentyczne wskaźniki koniunktury dla gospodarki polskiej oparte na wynikach badań ankietowych SGH
Synthetic Indicators of Economic Activity for Poland Based on the Ried Survey Data
Autorzy:: Matkowski, Zbigniew
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/499918.pdf
Data publikacji:: 1998
Wydawca:: Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:: Koniunktura gospodarcza, Syntetyczny wskaźnik koniunktury gospodarczej, Badania ankietowe
Business trends, Synthetic indicator of the business climate, Questionnaire survey
Opis:: Ten alternative formulas of a generał indicator of economic activity for Poland, based on UE harmonized standards, have been developed and tested in this study, filled with the RIED survey data for industry, construction and trade, supplemented by consumer sentiment indicator provided by RIED or DEMOSKOP and by the Warsaw exchange share - price - index. The resulting time series of generał indicator, covering the period from Nov. 1993 till Jan. 1998, have been analyzed in order to find the most adequate formula. As the result, three variants of the general indicator have been selected for further testing. The final, operational version of the indicator, designed for monitoring purposes, will be chosen on the basis of forthcoming analysis using XII - ARIMA procedure. The latter can be applied at the end of 1998 when the available time series reach the minimum length required (5 years). Cyclical components of the generał indicator ZHG now developed will be confronted with the reference indicator GCI developed by the author to make the ultimate choice.
Źródło:: Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH; 1998, 61; 105-157
0866-9503
Pojawia się w:: Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

Artykuł

Zmień widok

na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 3.

Tytuł:: Barometry koniunktury dla gospodarki polskiej: edycja 1999
Composite Leading Indicators of Business Activity for Poland: 1999 Edition
Autorzy:: Matkowski, Zbigniew
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/500326.pdf
Data publikacji:: 1999
Wydawca:: Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:: Koniunktura gospodarcza, Cykl koniunkturalny, Syntetyczny wskaźnik aktywności gospodarczej, Barometry koniunktury
Business trends, Business cycles, Synthetic indicator of economic activity, Business cycle indicators
Opis:: The author presents a revised and up-to-date version of composite leading indicators of business activity for Poland, compiled according to the OECD methodology. They are projected against the reference index GCI, used to describe cyclical fluctuations of the aggregate economic activity. First part of the paper examines the chronology and the amplitude of growth cycles observed in the development of the economy in the period of 1975-1998. The second part presents 10 altemative versions of CLI for Poland. Ali are well correlated with the reference cycle, but most of them display very short leads. The barometer as proposed requires further testing and improvement, yet it may already be used for monitoring purposes. It also offers a possibility to generate extrapolative forecasts one year ahead. Updating of the composite indicators has revealed the peak of the aggregate economic activity in August 1998. This may suggest that the expansion which began in 1991 comes to its end, or that the growth ratę would be significantly reduced. Autoregressive forecast of the reference indicator for 1999 also indicates a slowdown in economic growth.
Źródło:: Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH; 1999, 64; 173-212
0866-9503
Pojawia się w:: Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

Artykuł

Zmień widok

na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 4.

Tytuł:: Barometry koniunktury dla gospodarki polskiej: edycja 1998
Composite Leading Indicators of Business Activity for Poland: 1998 Edition
Autorzy:: Matkowski, Zbigniew
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/500135.pdf
Data publikacji:: 1999
Wydawca:: Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Tematy:: Koniunktura gospodarcza, Cykl koniunkturalny, Monitoring gospodarczy, Syntetyczny wskaźnik aktywności gospodarczej, Barometry koniunktury
Business trends, Business cycles, Economic monitoring, Synthetic indicator of economic activity, Business cycle indicators
Opis:: The author presents a revised version of composite leading indicators of business activity for Poland, compiled according to the OECD methodology. They are projected against the reference index GCI, used to describe cyclical fluctuations of the aggregate economic activity. First part of the paper examines the chronology and the amplitude of growth cycles observed in the development of the economy in the period of 1975-1997. The second part presents seven altemative versions of CLI for Poland. All are well correlated with the reference cycle, but they display very short leads if any. Nonetheless, the barometer may be useful in monitoring cyclical developments in the economy. It also offers a possibility to generate extrapolative forecasts one year ahead. Updating of the composite indicators has revealed the peak of the aggregate economic activity in April 1997. This may suggest that the expansion, which started in 1991, comes to its end. Autoregressive forecast of the reference indicator for 1998 also indicates a slowdown in economic growth.
Źródło:: Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH; 1999, 64; 141-172
0866-9503
Pojawia się w:: Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

Artykuł

Zmień widok

na półce

Informacja

Wyszukujesz frazę "wskaźnik koniunktury" wg kryterium: Temat

Źródło danych

Dostawca treści

Kolekcja

Rok wydania

Wydawca

Temat

Autor

Typ dokumentu

Język