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Wyświetlanie 1-15 z 16
Tytuł:
Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for maritime ferry
Autorzy:
Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068960.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
extreme weather hazard states
maritime ferry
Opis:
The climate-weather change process for the maritime ferry operating at Port Gdynia and at Baltic Sea open waters between Gdynia bay and Karlskrona bay is considered and its states are defined. Further, the semi-Markov process is defined and used to create a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the maritime ferry operating at considered areas.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 41--46
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Monte Carlo simulation of climate-weather change process at maritime ferry operating area
Autorzy:
Kuligowska, E.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/298021.pdf
Data publikacji:
2018
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Warmińsko-Mazurski w Olsztynie
Tematy:
Monte Carlo simulation
climate-weather change process
critical infrastructure operating area
Opis:
The paper presents a computer simulation technique applied to generating the climate-weather change process at Baltic Sea restricted waters and its characteristics evaluation. The Monte Carlo method is used under the assumption of semi-Markov model of this process. A procedure and an algorithm of climate-weather change process’ realizations generating and its characteristics evaluation are proposed to be applied in C# program preparation. Using this program, the climate-weather change process’ characteristics are predicted for the maritime ferry operating area. Namely, the mean values and standard deviations of the unconditional sojourn times, the limit values of transient probabilities and the mean values of total sojourn times for the fixed time at the climate-weather states are determined.
Źródło:
Technical Sciences / University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn; 2018, 21(1); 5-17
1505-4675
2083-4527
Pojawia się w:
Technical Sciences / University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Identification and prediction of climate-weather change process for maritime ferry operating area
Autorzy:
Kuligowska, E.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068854.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather change process
identification
prediction
maritime ferry operating area
Opis:
The paper is concerned with an application of the climate-weather change process for a critical infrastructure operating area model to identification and prediction of this process for maritime ferry operating area. For the considered ferry operating area, there are distinguished four different climate-weather change processes and their states. Further, there are identified the unknown parameters of those processes, i.e. the probabilities of the climate-weather change processes staying at the initial climate-weather states, the probabilities of the climateweather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the mean values of the climate-weather change processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 129--134
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for port oil piping transportation system
Autorzy:
Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068975.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
extreme weather hazard states
port oil transportation syste
Opis:
The climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area is considered and its states are defined. Further, the semi-Markov process is used to create a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area. To construct this model the vector of probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the initials climate-weather states, the matrix of probabilities of the climate-weather change process transitions between the climate-weather states, the matrix of conditional distribution functions and the matrix of conditional density functions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states are defined. Preliminary applications of the proposed model to the climate-weather change process for the port oil transportation system operation area are presented.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 31--40
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Identification and prediction of maritime ferry operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards
Autorzy:
Kuligowska, E.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068836.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather change process
identification
prediction
operating environment threats
maritime ferry
Opis:
The paper is concerned with an application of the model of critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards to identification and prediction of this process for the maritime ferry. There are investigated four processes for the considered maritime ferry operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the operation process including operating environment threats and the climate-weather change processes for the maritime ferry operating area, there are determined the unknown parameters of these processes. Namely, the probabilities of the ferry processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the ferry processes transitions between the states and the mean values of the ferry processes conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the maritime ferry operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards at the distinguished operating areas.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 145--156
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for port oil piping transportation system operating at under water Baltic Sea area
Autorzy:
Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068999.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
modelling
identification
transportation system
Opis:
There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for the initial point of the port oil piping transportation system are presented.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 47--56
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for maritime ferry operating at Baltic Sea open waters
Autorzy:
Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068984.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
modelling
identification
transportation system
Opis:
There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for maritime ferry operating at Baltic Sea open waters are presented.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 73--80
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for the maritime ferry operating at Gdynia port area
Autorzy:
Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068991.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
modelling
identification
transportation system
Opis:
There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for the maritime ferry operating at Gdynia port area are presented.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 65--72
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards of port oil piping transportation system operating at land Baltic seaside area
Autorzy:
Jakusik, E.
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068953.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
climate-weather change process
semi-Markov model
modelling
identification
transportation system
Opis:
There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for the port oil piping transportation system operating at land Baltic seaside area are presented.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2016, 7, 3; 57--64
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Oil transport in port. Part 2. Port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience impacted by the climate-weather change process
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068778.pdf
Data publikacji:
2018
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
port oil piping transportation system
climate-weather change impacts
safety
resilience
cost analysis
Opis:
The paper is concerned with the application of the model of critical infrastructure safety prediction with considering its climate-weather change impacts. The general approach to the prediction of critical infrastructure safety and resilience is proposed and the safety and resilience indicators are defined for a critical infrastructure impacted by climate-weather change process. Moreover, there is presented the model application for port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience prediction. Further, the cost analysis of critical infrastructure impacted by climate-weather change process is proposed and applied to the considered piping system.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 2; 29--42
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Oil transport in port. Part 3. Port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience impacted by the climate-weather change process and operation process
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068783.pdf
Data publikacji:
2018
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
piping system
operation process
climate-weather change impacts
safety
resilience
cost analysis
optimization
Opis:
The paper is concerned with the application of the model of critical infrastructure safety prediction with considering its operation and climate-weather change impacts. The general approach to the prediction of critical infrastructure safety and resilience is proposed and the safety and resilience indicators are defined for a critical infrastructure impacted by its operation process and the climate-weather change process. Moreover, there is presented the model application for port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience prediction. Further, the cost analysis and optimisation of critical infrastructure operation process impacted by climateweather change is proposed and applied to the considered piping system.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 2; 43--64
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Integrated Impact Model on Critical Infrastructure Safety Related to Its Operation Process Including Operating Environment Threat and Climate-Weather Change Process Including Extreme Weather
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Torbicki, M.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068791.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
integrated model
critical infrastructure
operation process
environment threat
weather hazard
safety
Opis:
The paper presents the general safety analytical model of a complex technical system under the influence of the operation process including its operating environment threats related to climate-weather change process, The system operation process including environment threats under influence of climate-weather variable conditions is defined. Moreover, the safety model of multistate systems at variable conditions related to operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards is proposed. The conditional safety functions at the operation process including operating environment threats and related to climate-weather change process particular states, the unconditional safety function and the risk function of the complex system at changing in time operation and climate-weather conditions and other, practically significant, critical infrastructure safety indices are defined. Furthermore, the same safety indicators are defined for exponential systems.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 4; 49--66
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Optimization of Critical Infrastrucutre operation and Safety With Considering Climate-Weather Change Impact - Minimizing Operation Cost
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068786.pdf
Data publikacji:
2018
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
critical infrastructure
safety
operation process
climate-weather change
operation cost
optimization
Opis:
The general model of a critical infrastructure changing its safety structure, its components safety parameters and its operation cost during the variable operation process and linear programming are applied to optimize the critical infrastructure operation process in order to get the critical infrastructure operation cost optimal value. The optimization problem allowing to find the optimal values of the transient probabilities of the critical infrastructure operation process at the particular operation states that minimize the critical infrastructure operation cost mean value in the safety states subset not worse than a critical safety state is presented. The optimization of operation cost of the critical infrastructure is proposed with considering climate-weather change process influence on the system safety.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 1; 43--52
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Identification and prediction of maritime ferry operation process related to climate-weather change
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068863.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
operation process
identification
prediction
climate-weather change
maritime ferry
Opis:
The paper is concerned with an application of the critical infrastructure operation process related to climate-weather change model to identification and prediction of this process for maritime ferry. There are distinguished four different processes for the corresponding ferry operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the ferry operation process and the ferry operating area climate-weather change processes, there are determined the unknown parameters of those processes. Namely, there are determined the probabilities of the processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the transitions between the states and the mean values of the processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the ferry operation process related to climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2017, 8, 2; 135--144
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Optimization of critical infrastructure operation and safety with considering climate-weather change influence : maximizing safety lifetime
Autorzy:
Kołowrocki, K.
Kuligowska, E.
Soszyńska-Budny, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2068785.pdf
Data publikacji:
2018
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
critical infrastructure
safety
operation process
climate-weather change
optimization
safety lifetime
Opis:
The method based on the results of the joint model linking a semi-Markov modelling of the critical infrastructure operation process with a multistate approach to critical infrastructure safety and linear programming are proposed to the critical infrastructure operation and safety optimization. This method determining the optimal values of limit transient probabilities at the critical infrastructure operation states that maximize the critical infrastructure safety lifetime in the safety state subsets is proposed.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2018, 9, 1; 1--10
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Wyświetlanie 1-15 z 16

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