- Tytuł:
- Economic Dynamic Modelling of Climate Policy in Poland
- Autorzy:
-
Kiuila, Olga
Lewczuk, Emilia - Powiązania:
- https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1964858.pdf
- Data publikacji:
- 2021-08-20
- Wydawca:
- Uniwersytet Warszawski. Wydział Nauk Ekonomicznych
- Tematy:
-
computable general equilibrium modelling
decarbonization
energy technologies - Opis:
- Poland is responsible for 9% of CO2 emission in the European Union (EU), making it the fifth biggest emitter in the region. The energy sector is dominated by electricity produced from coal (around 70%). The country currently uses massive subsidies to boost the coal sector. We propose a dynamic intertemporal hybrid general equilibrium model to simulate the economic effects of sector regulations and new policy targets within environmental taxation scenarios, by accounting for a complex set of linkages between the energy sector and other components of the economy. Our simulation results suggest that positive economic growth is possible with a realistic energy mix, but it will not offer considerable emission reduction, as required by the European Commission. In the short-time horizon, the best choice is renewable energy sources indicated by less capital-intensive technologies (such as biomass). In the long-time horizon, more capital-intensive technologies (such as wind turbines) will be a better choice for economic growth. Carbon tax plays a crucial role in optimal energy mix targets, since its elimination ceteris paribus implies negative economic growth.
- Źródło:
-
Central European Economic Journal; 2021, 8, 55; 246-255
2543-6821 - Pojawia się w:
- Central European Economic Journal
- Dostawca treści:
- Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł