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Wyświetlanie 1-4 z 4
Tytuł:
Fuzzy trading system on the forex market for deriving the portfolio of instruments
Autorzy:
Juszczuk, Przemysław
Kruś, Lech
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/31342748.pdf
Data publikacji:
2022
Wydawca:
Polska Akademia Nauk. Instytut Badań Systemowych PAN
Tematy:
trading system
forex market
fuzzy sets
multicriteria optimization
Opis:
Decision support and trading systems for the forex market mostly derive a single signal for the decision-maker. This is so, because instruments are evaluated based on a single criterion, which creates a ranking of instruments, from which the best one is selected. At the same time, one can observe a lack of tools al- lowing one to derive the set of non-dominated trading opportunities considered in the multicriteria space. This article focuses on multicriteria analysis, in which several different market indicators describe a single instrument on the forex market (currency pair), leading to definite criteria. Thus, for a given time horizon, we consider a set of currency pairs described by a group of technical market indicators in every trading session. However, instead of deriving crisp information, based on the buy-no buy binary logic, we use concepts from the fuzzy sets theory, in which each criterion for a single variant takes a value from the h0, 1i interval. We select only the non-dominated variants from such a set, which will be used as elements of the portfolio of currency pairs on the forex market. We test our idea on the real-world data covering more than ten years, several technical market indicators, and over twenty different currency pairs. The preliminary results show that the proposed idea can be treated as a promising concept for deriving a portfolio of currency pairs instead of focusing on only a single currency pair.
Źródło:
Control and Cybernetics; 2022, 51, 4; 467-486
0324-8569
Pojawia się w:
Control and Cybernetics
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
A Fuzzy Multicriteria Approach for the Trading Systems on the Forex Market
Autorzy:
Juszczuk, Przemysław
Kruś, Lech
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/578475.pdf
Data publikacji:
2019
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Katowicach
Tematy:
Trading
Wielokryterialne podejmowanie decyzji
Zbiory rozmyte
Fuzzy sets
Multicriteria decision making
Opis:
The paper relates to the trading systems supporting traders ma- king decision on the forex market. Typical trading systems using tech- nical analysis generate a buy or sell signal when the technical indicator crosses a given oversell or overbought levels. The paper extends the approach in which the above strict crisp conditions are replaced by fuzzy relations. The indicators are treated not independently as it is in the typical systems but jointly. Currency pairs are compared in the muliticriteria space in which each criterion is dened by a membership function referring to a given indicator. New formulations of the mem- bership functions for dierent indicators are proposed. General ideas of the algorithm generating non-dominated alternatives in the multi- criteria space are presented. The algorithm has been implemented in an experimental system. Computational results for dierent time win- dows using real-world data from the forex market are presented and discussed.
Źródło:
Multiple Criteria Decision Making; 2019, 14; 29-43
2084-1531
Pojawia się w:
Multiple Criteria Decision Making
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Supporting Multicriteria Fuzzy Decisions on the Forex Market
Autorzy:
Juszczuk, Przemysław
Kruś, Lech
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/578572.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Katowicach
Tematy:
Decision support
Foreign exchange
Fuzzy sets
Obrót dewizowy
Wspomaganie decyzji
Zbiory rozmyte
Opis:
This paper deals with decisions made by a decision maker using technical analysis on the Forex market. For a number of currency pairs on the market the decision maker obtains buy or sell signals from transaction systems using technical analysis indicators. The signal is generated only when the assumed conditions are satised for a given indicator. The information characterizing every market situation and presented to the decision maker is binary: he either obtains the signal or does not. In this paper a fuzzy multicriteria approach is proposed to extend and valuate information for the analysis of the market situation. The traditional approach with binary characterization of the market situations, referred to as a crisp approach, is replaced by a fuzzy approach, in which the strict conditions for which the crisp signal was generated are fuzzy. The eciency of a given currency pair is estimated using values from the range <0,1> and is dened by the membership function for each technical indicator. The values calculated for dierent indicators are treated as criteria. The eciency of a given currency pair can be analyzed jointly for several indicators. The currency pairs are compared in the multicriteria space in which domination relations, describing preferences of the decision maker, are introduced. An algorithm is proposed which generates Pareto-optimal variants of currency pairs presented to the decision maker. The method proposed allows to extend the number of analyzed currency pairs, without signicantly increasing the computation time.
Źródło:
Multiple Criteria Decision Making; 2017, 12; 60-74
2084-1531
Pojawia się w:
Multiple Criteria Decision Making
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Supporting decisions on the Forex market using fuzzy approach
Autorzy:
Juszczuk, Przemysław
Kruś, Lech
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/384399.pdf
Data publikacji:
2020
Wydawca:
Sieć Badawcza Łukasiewicz - Przemysłowy Instytut Automatyki i Pomiarów
Tematy:
trading system
Forex
fuzzy membership function
multicriteria analysis
Opis:
A new concept of the multicriteria fuzzy trading system using the technical analysis is proposed. The existing trading systems use different indicators of the technical analysis and generate buy or sell signal only when assumed conditions for a given indicator are satisfied. The information presented to the trader – decision maker is binary. The decision maker obtains a signal or no. In comparison to the existing traditional systems called as crisp, the proposed system treats all considered indicators jointly using the multicriteria approach and the binary information is extended with the use of the fuzzy approach. Currency pairs are considered as variants in the multicriteria space in which criteria refer to different technical indicators. The introduced domination relation allows generating the most efficient, non‐dominated (Pareto optimal) variants in the space. An algorithm generated these non-dominated variants is proposed. It is implemented in a computer‐based system assuring the sovereignty of the decision maker. We compare the proposed system with the traditional crisp trading system. It is made experimentally on different sets of real‐world data for three different types of trading: short‐term, medium and long‐term trading. The achieved results show the computational efficiency of the proposed system. The proposed approach is more robust and flexible than the traditional crisp approach. The set of variants derived for the decision maker in the case of the proposed approach includes only non‐dominated variants, what is not possible in the case of the traditional crisp approach. The reservation point and its impact on the overall results are measured with the use of the sensitivity analysis.
Źródło:
Journal of Automation Mobile Robotics and Intelligent Systems; 2020, 14, 2; 50-62
1897-8649
2080-2145
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Automation Mobile Robotics and Intelligent Systems
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
    Wyświetlanie 1-4 z 4

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