- Tytuł:
- Forecasting of Migration Matrices in Business Demography
- Autorzy:
-
Gurgul, Piotr
Zając, Paweł - Powiązania:
- https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/465689.pdf
- Data publikacji:
- 2012
- Wydawca:
- Główny Urząd Statystyczny
- Tematy:
-
Births and deaths of enterprises migration in branches of industry prediction
updating methods - Opis:
- This paper demonstrates that the forecast of migration matrices can be conducted by means of updating procedures, well-known in the I-O theory. The authors use some of the most popular I-O updating procedures (RAS and some non-biproportional approaches) and calculate measures of the ex-post error of predictions. While taking into account the measures of distance between two matrices, a ranking of forecasting methods of migration matrices (forecast horizon one) is established. Finally, the advantages and drawbacks of particular forecasting methods with respect to one-step ex-post forecasts of migration matrices are discussed.
- Źródło:
-
Statistics in Transition new series; 2012, 13, 2; 387-404
1234-7655 - Pojawia się w:
- Statistics in Transition new series
- Dostawca treści:
- Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł