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    Wyświetlanie 1-7 z 7
    Tytuł:
    Predicting a Migration Transition in Poland and its Implications for Population Ageing
    Autorzy:
    Fihel, Agnieszka
    Janicka, Anna
    Okólski, Marek
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2233821.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2023
    Wydawca:
    Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
    Tematy:
    population ageing
    international migration
    migration projection
    demographic transition
    migration transition
    Polska
    Opis:
    Poland, traditionally a country of emigration, started to record a positive migration balance in recent years. However, thus far, no forecast has indicated the possibility of Poland’s transition from a net sending to a net receiving regime. This study indicates the theoretical underpinnings of such a change and provides an international migration projection. To this end, we refer to the historical experiences of other European countries, more advanced in terms of the Demographic Transition (DT), Second Demographic Transition (SDT) and Migration Transition. We develop a deterministic migration projection of four types of flow (the in- and out-migration of nationals and foreign citizens) up until 2060, combined with the United Nations’ Bayesian probabilistic models of fertility and mortality projections. The results show that Poland will evolve from having a net sending to having a net receiving status around 2030–2034. The combined effect of migration flows on population ageing will not be significant but, in the long run, when considered separately, the four types of flow will have non-negligible, though opposite, effects: the outflows will contribute to population rejuvenation, while the inflows will accelerate population ageing.
    Źródło:
    Central and Eastern European Migration Review; 2023, 12, 1; 265-292
    2300-1682
    Pojawia się w:
    Central and Eastern European Migration Review
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    To Settle or to Leave Again? Patterns of Return Migration to Poland During the Transition Period
    Autorzy:
    Fihel, Agnieszka
    Górny, Agata
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/498755.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2013
    Wydawca:
    Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
    Tematy:
    return migration
    Polska
    re-emigration
    temporary migration
    Opis:
    The article discusses the notion of return migration with regard to its permanency and temporariness. In reference to selective patterns of return migration, factors conducive to permanent returns and to re-emigration, i.e. subsequent migration after the return, are examined with the use of a logistic regression model. Analyses demonstrated in the article are devoted to return migration to Poland in 1989-2002 and based on the 2002 Polish census data. The obtained results confirm earlier findings on the major role of the level of human capital and family attachments in shaping the nature of the return waves. It was revealed that return migrants who decided on a longer stay in Poland were more often living in Polish urban areas, and had higher human capital and stronger family attachments to Poland, when compared to re-emigrants. It was also observed that return migrants possessing dual nationality were the most likely to engage in re-emigration, while descendants of Polish emigrants tended to settle in Poland on a more permanent basis.
    Źródło:
    Central and Eastern European Migration Review; 2013, 2, 1; 55-76
    2300-1682
    Pojawia się w:
    Central and Eastern European Migration Review
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Selektywność emigracji i migracji powrotnych Polaków – o procesie „wypłukiwania”
    Autorzy:
    Anacka, Marta
    Fihel, Agnieszka
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/498739.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2012
    Wydawca:
    Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
    Tematy:
    return migration
    selectivity of migration
    washing-out of population
    Opis:
    The paper contains the analysis of selectivity of emigration and return migration to Poland in years 2004-2008. By using Migration Selectivity Index with comparable data (Labour Force Survey) we were able to confirm the hypothesis of ‘washing-out’ of selected categories of Polish population: men, people with post-secondary, secondary and vocational level of education, inhabitants of rural areas and those who live in agricultural households. We made an attempt to estimate the scale of the phenomenon and described its demographic consequences. Our analysis corresponds with the ‘crowding out’ hypothesis (Okólski 2011, 2012; cf. Grabowska-Lusińska, Okólski 2009; Anacka, Okólski 2010) stating that the post-accession emigration from Poland gave a chance to an economically ‘redundant’ labour force to move to regions and economic sectors with high demand for labour.
    Źródło:
    Central and Eastern European Migration Review; 2012, 1, 1; 57-67
    2300-1682
    Pojawia się w:
    Central and Eastern European Migration Review
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Recent Trends in International Migration in Poland
    Autorzy:
    Fihel, Agnieszka
    Kaczmarczyk, Paweł
    Stefańska, Renata
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/498769.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2012
    Wydawca:
    Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
    Tematy:
    international migration
    emigration
    immigration
    migration policy
    Polska
    SOPEMI report
    Opis:
    The article presents the main recent developments in migration policy and migration trends to and from Poland. Polish migration policy has been becoming more open to immigrants in the years 2009-2011, especially immigrants needed by the Polish economy. At the same time, according to the new migration strategy, it is going to devote more attention to the issue of immigrants’ integration. As for trends in international migration, the trans-border mobility remained elevated and intensified, among others due to agreements on the Local Border Traffic with the Eastern neighbours. Since 2006 the emigration for a permanent stay has been decreasing and immigration for a permanent stay has been increasing, mostly due to return migration of Polish citizens, but still, in 2010 a negative net migration was registered. The number of long-term Polish emigrants stabilized, while the number of short-term emigrants declined abruptly, which suggests that Poland is already in a ‘late’ or ‘mature’ phase of post-accession emigration, characterized by stabilization of the outflow of settlement type and intensification of return migration. The latter is to some extent reflected by the statistics referring to immigration for a permanent stay and to mixed marriages. Labour immigration and foreign employment in Poland have been increasing constantly over recent years.
    Źródło:
    Central and Eastern European Migration Review; 2012, 1, 1; 69-90
    2300-1682
    Pojawia się w:
    Central and Eastern European Migration Review
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    CHARAKTERYSTYKA MIGRANTOW POWRACAJACYCH DO POLSKI ORAZ ICH AKTYWNOSC ZAWODOWA NA RODZIMYM RYNKU PRACY
    THE CHARACTERISTICS OF MIGRANTS RETURNING TO POLAND AND THEIR ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ON THE DOMESTIC LABOUR MARKET
    Autorzy:
    Fihel, Agnieszka
    Anacka, Marta
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/579564.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2013
    Wydawca:
    Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
    Tematy:
    RETURN MIGRATION
    POST-ACCESSION MIGRATION FROM POLAND
    ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
    LFS
    Opis:
    The accession of Poland to the European Union was followed by increased international mobility of the population of our country. Today, several years after May 1, 2004, a wave of returns to Poland is observed. The aim of this analysis is twofold: fi rst, to identify a selective pattern of return migration with regard to the socio-demographic features and geographical directions of mobility, and second, to investigate the impact of migratory experience on the probability of economic activity, employment and unemployment after returning to the Polish labour market. The econometric analysis is based on the Labour Force Survey. The obtained results show that during the period 1999–2009 middle-aged persons, with vocational education, originating from rural areas, choosing traditional destinations (i.e. Germany) were most prone to return to Poland. Migrants had less chances to fi nd employment after their return to Poland than persons who have not undertaken migration, which could result both from a selection of persons experiencing labour market diffi culties and from a negative impact of migration on human and social capital. Contemporary return migration of Polish nationals is not determined by domestic labor market opportunities but by other factors – diffi culties with fi nding employment abroad, reaching one’s migration objectives, and other non-occupational problems, whereas settlement emigration is shaped by pull factors related to the destination countries.
    Źródło:
    Studia Migracyjne - Przegląd Polonijny; 2013, 39, 4(150); 57 - 71
    2081-4488
    2544-4972
    Pojawia się w:
    Studia Migracyjne - Przegląd Polonijny
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    International Migration from Ukraine: Will Trends Increase or Go into Reverse?
    Autorzy:
    Vakhitova, Hanna
    Fihel, Agnieszka
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/972683.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2020
    Wydawca:
    Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
    Tematy:
    Central and Eastern Europe
    international migration
    migration transition
    quantitative data
    Ukraine
    Opis:
    Ukraine remains today one of the main migrant sending countries in Europe, with thousands of Ukrainians working in Czechia, Italy, Poland and Russia. In this regard, Ukraine shares the previous experience of Central European countries such as the Baltic States, Poland and Slovakia, that in the 1990s and early 2000s registered first temporary, and later permanent, outflows. In more recent years, however, many Central and Eastern European countries started to register increasing numbers of immigrants and some of them have switched from net sending to net receiving migration regimes. The objective of this article is to discuss the possibility of a similar turnaround in Ukraine; to this end, we investigate the main quantitative data on migration from and to Ukraine, and interpret this information in the light of selected theoretical approaches that have been used to explain migration in Central and Eastern Europe. The available data reveal high levels of labour emigration of both temporary and permanent character, the increasing propensity of migrants to settle down in the host countries, and the growing involvement of the youngest cohorts in the emigration. Despite this evidence we argue that the current situation by no means constitutes a premise for reversing the outflow from Ukraine. We conclude that the most recent improvements in general economic indicators will not lead to high levels of immigration without an active labour market policy towards foreigners.
    Źródło:
    Central and Eastern European Migration Review; 2020, 9, 2; 125-141
    2300-1682
    Pojawia się w:
    Central and Eastern European Migration Review
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Wpływ czasowych migracji zagranicznych na perspektywy demograficzne Polski
    The Impact of Temporary Migration for Demographic Perspective in Poland
    Autorzy:
    Fihel, Agnieszka
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/543021.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2015
    Wydawca:
    Główny Urząd Statystyczny
    Tematy:
    Migration
    Demographic situation
    Demographic forecasts
    Migracja
    Sytuacja demograficzna
    Prognozy demograficzne
    Opis:
    Celem podjętej analizy jest przedstawienie, jak mogą się zmienić perspektywy ludnościowe Polski, jeżeli potraktujemy tę najnowszą emigrację czasową jako odpływ o charakterze długookresowym lub definitywnym. W perspektywie demograficznej emigracja czasowa może mieć wpływ na: - obecny stan i strukturę wieku ludności Polski, - strumień urodzeń ze względu na wyjazdy młodych osób, - przyszły stan i strukturę wieku ludności, wynikające z tych dwóch czynników. W takiej też kolejności przedstawiono demograficzne konsekwencje emigracji czasowej trwającej przynajmniej 12 miesięcy. W analizie celowo pominięto tzw. krótkookresowych emigrantów czasowych, przebywających za granicą od 3 do 12 miesięcy, ponieważ uznano, że ich plany migracyjne mogą być wciąż nieprecyzyjne lub ograniczać się wyłącznie do mobilności cyrkulacyjnej. W obliczeniach dotyczących stanu ludności Polski w przyszłości uwzględniono również imigrantów czasowych mieszkających w Polsce przez okres co najmniej 12 miesięcy zarejestrowanych w NSP 2011. Dzięki temu analiza w większym stopniu odzwierciedla mające obecnie miejsce rzeczywiste międzynarodowe przepływy ludności. (fragment tekstu)
    The National Population Census 2011 showed that over 2 million of Polish citizens have been temporarily staying abroad for at least 3 months. The aim of analysis is to present an impact of temporary emigration on the present and future demographic situation of our country, especially the change in the population size and number of births, as well as the advancement of aging process in the coming years. The results of the census 2011 indicate that the population losses due to temporary emigration may exceed 10% in the age groups 25-29 and 30-34. The results for 2014-2050 based on the CSO modified forecast including temporary emigration and immigration show a relevant decrease in the number of population at the age of economic activity. The possible return of emigrants could counteract the depopulation of our country, but in the long run will be intensified by the aging of the population. (original abstract)
    Źródło:
    Wiadomości Statystyczne. The Polish Statistician; 2015, 7; 74-89
    0043-518X
    Pojawia się w:
    Wiadomości Statystyczne. The Polish Statistician
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
      Wyświetlanie 1-7 z 7

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