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    Wyświetlanie 1-4 z 4
    Tytuł:
    Predicting a Migration Transition in Poland and its Implications for Population Ageing
    Autorzy:
    Fihel, Agnieszka
    Janicka, Anna
    Okólski, Marek
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2233821.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2023
    Wydawca:
    Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
    Tematy:
    population ageing
    international migration
    migration projection
    demographic transition
    migration transition
    Polska
    Opis:
    Poland, traditionally a country of emigration, started to record a positive migration balance in recent years. However, thus far, no forecast has indicated the possibility of Poland’s transition from a net sending to a net receiving regime. This study indicates the theoretical underpinnings of such a change and provides an international migration projection. To this end, we refer to the historical experiences of other European countries, more advanced in terms of the Demographic Transition (DT), Second Demographic Transition (SDT) and Migration Transition. We develop a deterministic migration projection of four types of flow (the in- and out-migration of nationals and foreign citizens) up until 2060, combined with the United Nations’ Bayesian probabilistic models of fertility and mortality projections. The results show that Poland will evolve from having a net sending to having a net receiving status around 2030–2034. The combined effect of migration flows on population ageing will not be significant but, in the long run, when considered separately, the four types of flow will have non-negligible, though opposite, effects: the outflows will contribute to population rejuvenation, while the inflows will accelerate population ageing.
    Źródło:
    Central and Eastern European Migration Review; 2023, 12, 1; 265-292
    2300-1682
    Pojawia się w:
    Central and Eastern European Migration Review
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    International Migration from Ukraine: Will Trends Increase or Go into Reverse?
    Autorzy:
    Vakhitova, Hanna
    Fihel, Agnieszka
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/972683.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2020
    Wydawca:
    Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
    Tematy:
    Central and Eastern Europe
    international migration
    migration transition
    quantitative data
    Ukraine
    Opis:
    Ukraine remains today one of the main migrant sending countries in Europe, with thousands of Ukrainians working in Czechia, Italy, Poland and Russia. In this regard, Ukraine shares the previous experience of Central European countries such as the Baltic States, Poland and Slovakia, that in the 1990s and early 2000s registered first temporary, and later permanent, outflows. In more recent years, however, many Central and Eastern European countries started to register increasing numbers of immigrants and some of them have switched from net sending to net receiving migration regimes. The objective of this article is to discuss the possibility of a similar turnaround in Ukraine; to this end, we investigate the main quantitative data on migration from and to Ukraine, and interpret this information in the light of selected theoretical approaches that have been used to explain migration in Central and Eastern Europe. The available data reveal high levels of labour emigration of both temporary and permanent character, the increasing propensity of migrants to settle down in the host countries, and the growing involvement of the youngest cohorts in the emigration. Despite this evidence we argue that the current situation by no means constitutes a premise for reversing the outflow from Ukraine. We conclude that the most recent improvements in general economic indicators will not lead to high levels of immigration without an active labour market policy towards foreigners.
    Źródło:
    Central and Eastern European Migration Review; 2020, 9, 2; 125-141
    2300-1682
    Pojawia się w:
    Central and Eastern European Migration Review
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Determinanty spadku płodności w Polsce – próba syntezy
    Autorzy:
    Fihel, Agnieszka
    Kiełkowska, Marta
    Radziwinowiczówna, Agnieszka
    Rosińska, Anna
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1827707.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017-12-10
    Wydawca:
    Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
    Tematy:
    natality
    fertility trends
    nuptiality
    post-communist transition
    conceptual model of fertility change
    Opis:
    This paper presents a theoretic synthesis of determinants of fertility decline in Poland in the post-war period. The differences in fertility determinants between the communist and post-communist periods are of particular interest. First, we present the changes in the number of births and their direct determinants: the number of women in reproductive age, forming lasting heterosexual relationships and the quantum and timing of fertility. The births’ decline in Poland is attributed to both quantum and timing effects and changes of union formation. In the second part, we discuss indirect determinants of fertility change by referring to main theoretical approaches to nuptiality and fertility, and by making use of research conducted in Poland. In the last section, we present a conceptual model distinguishing fertility determinants operating on the interconnected levels of production and reproduction system (the macro level), labour market and family (the meso level), and work and family social roles (the micro level). By showing how different factors operated differently in the Polish People’s Republic (until 1989) and during the post-communist transition, we analyse links between these determinants and importance of each of them.
    Źródło:
    Studia Demograficzne; 2017, 172, 2; 35-69
    0039-3134
    Pojawia się w:
    Studia Demograficzne
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    To Settle or to Leave Again? Patterns of Return Migration to Poland During the Transition Period
    Autorzy:
    Fihel, Agnieszka
    Górny, Agata
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/498755.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2013
    Wydawca:
    Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
    Tematy:
    return migration
    Polska
    re-emigration
    temporary migration
    Opis:
    The article discusses the notion of return migration with regard to its permanency and temporariness. In reference to selective patterns of return migration, factors conducive to permanent returns and to re-emigration, i.e. subsequent migration after the return, are examined with the use of a logistic regression model. Analyses demonstrated in the article are devoted to return migration to Poland in 1989-2002 and based on the 2002 Polish census data. The obtained results confirm earlier findings on the major role of the level of human capital and family attachments in shaping the nature of the return waves. It was revealed that return migrants who decided on a longer stay in Poland were more often living in Polish urban areas, and had higher human capital and stronger family attachments to Poland, when compared to re-emigrants. It was also observed that return migrants possessing dual nationality were the most likely to engage in re-emigration, while descendants of Polish emigrants tended to settle in Poland on a more permanent basis.
    Źródło:
    Central and Eastern European Migration Review; 2013, 2, 1; 55-76
    2300-1682
    Pojawia się w:
    Central and Eastern European Migration Review
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
      Wyświetlanie 1-4 z 4

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