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    Tytuł:
    Some Remarks on the Application of Bayesian Analysis in Law
    Kilka uwag na temat zastosowania analizy bayesowskiej w prawie
    Autorzy:
    Janik, Bartosz
    Banaś, Paweł
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/927297.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2015-01-01
    Wydawca:
    Stowarzyszenie Filozofii Prawa i Filozofii Społecznej – Sekcja Polska IVR
    Tematy:
    Thomas Bayes
    Bayes’ theorem
    subjectivism
    objectivism
    twierdzenie Bayesa
    subiektywizm
    obiektywizm
    Opis:
    This paper discusses the use of Bayesian analysis in law. It introduces the key concepts of Bayesian analysis by giving some common examples of criminal cases. It focuses on the advantages of Bayesian analysis over some other probability interpretations (mainly the frequentist one). The last part of the text discusses the general notion of truth in legal proceedings and its possible interpretations within the probabilistic framework – given the Bayesian subjectivists-objectivists discussion.
    Źródło:
    Archiwum Filozofii Prawa i Filozofii Społecznej; 2015, 1(10); 31-40
    2082-3304
    Pojawia się w:
    Archiwum Filozofii Prawa i Filozofii Społecznej
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Jak oszacować prawdopodobieństwo Zmartwychwstania
    How to Assess the Probability of Resurrection
    Autorzy:
    Swinburne, Richard
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2015805.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2003
    Wydawca:
    Katolicki Uniwersytet Lubelski Jana Pawła II. Towarzystwo Naukowe KUL
    Tematy:
    zmartwychwstanie
    wcielenie
    Jezus
    dowód historyczny
    dowód z tła
    prawdopodobieństwo
    twierdzenie Bayesa
    resurrection
    incarnation
    Jesus
    historical evidence
    background evidence
    probability
    Bayes' theorem
    Opis:
    The author argues that a historical hypothesis h is probable in so far as it is intrinsically a simple hypothesis and (1) the posterior historical evidence is such as probably would occur if h is true, but not otherwise, (2) the general background evidence makes it probable that h is to be expected under certain conditions, and not otherwise, (3) there is evidence, the ‘prior historical evidence' such as probably would occur if these conditions were satisfied, but not otherwise. By the `posterior historical evidence' is meant the testimony of witnesses and physical traces caused by what happened at the time in question. In the case of the resurrection of Jesus the general background evidence which makes it probable that there is a God of the traditional kind who has good reason to become incarnate in order to provide atonement, to identify with us in our suffering, and to reveal teaching. The prior historical evidence that there was prophet who led the kind of life that incarnate God would need to lead if he had become incarnate for these reason. He will need to show us when some prophet has led the right sort of life that God has lived it, and that can be achieved by his life being culminated by a super-miracle such as the resurrection. The posterior historical evidence is the evidence of witnesses to the empty tomb and the appearances of Jesus. The stronger is the general background evidence, and the stronger is the prior historical evidence showing that one and only one prophet (Jesus) led the right sort of life, the less our need of posterior historical evidence. Given some modest values for (1), (2), (3), there is a very high probability that the resurrection occurred. This is illustrated by feeding some artificially precise values for these probabilities into the relevant theorem of the probability calculus, Bayes' Theorem.
    Źródło:
    Roczniki Filozoficzne; 2003, 51, 2; 65-82
    0035-7685
    Pojawia się w:
    Roczniki Filozoficzne
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    On the right approach to selecting a quality improvement project in manufacturing industries
    Autorzy:
    Mittal, K.
    Tewari, P. C.
    Khanduja, D.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/406569.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2017
    Wydawca:
    Politechnika Wrocławska. Oficyna Wydawnicza Politechniki Wrocławskiej
    Tematy:
    cost of poor quality
    COPQ
    decision tree
    Bayes’ theorem
    fuzzy TOPSIS
    project selection
    koszt niskiej jakości
    drzewo decyzyjne
    twierdzenie Bayesa
    TOPSIS
    wybór projektu
    Opis:
    Continuous improvement is the core of any successful firm. Talking about manufacturing industries, there is huge potential for continuous improvement to be made in various work areas. Such improvement can be made in any section of industry in any form such as quality improvement, waste minimization, system improvement, layout improvement, ergonomics, cost savings, etc. This case study considers an example of a manufacturing firm which wanted to start a quality improvement project (QIP) on its premises. Various products were available, but with dwindling quality levels. However, the real task was the choice of a product for upcoming QIP, as it is well known that success heavily depends upon the selection of a particular project. This is also because of the amount of effort in terms of time, money and manpower that is put into a project nowadays. The authors’ objective was to compare three techniques, namely, cost of poor quality (COPQ), conditional probability and fuzzy TOPSIS for selecting the right project based on this specific firm. The pros and cons of these approaches have also been discussed. This study should prove to be instructive for the realization of QIPs in similar types of industry.
    Źródło:
    Operations Research and Decisions; 2017, 27, 1; 105-124
    2081-8858
    2391-6060
    Pojawia się w:
    Operations Research and Decisions
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
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