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    Wyświetlanie 1-6 z 6
    Tytuł:
    Statistical modelling and forecasting of wheat and meslin export from Ukraine using the singular spectral analysis
    Autorzy:
    Chala, Tetyana
    Korepanov, Oleksiy
    Lazebnyk, Iuliia
    Chernenko, Daryna
    Korepanov, Georgii
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/10184472.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2023-02-24
    Wydawca:
    Główny Urząd Statystyczny
    Tematy:
    export
    forecasting
    singular spectrum analysis
    Ukraine
    wheat and meslin
    Opis:
    The article addresses the problems related to the functioning of the worldwide market of wheat and meslin. The authors identify the countries that over the past 17 years have been among the top 10 world leaders in terms of the value of export and import of wheat and meslin. The structure of wheat export by Ukrainian regions is analysed in comparison with the total export. The localisation coefficient is applied to measure the regional unevenness of the distribution of wheat export volumes and the total export by regions of the country. The modelling and forecasting of the volumes and prices of export of wheat and meslin from Ukraine are based on Singular Spectrum Analysis. The study particularly focuses on the individual components of time series, such as trend, annual, semi-annual, four-month, three-month seasonal components. The reliability of the forecast is confirmed by the calculation of the MAPE forecast error and Henry Theil’s inequality coefficient. The article proposes an algorithm for calculating the relative indicators of the structure for the individual components of the reconstructed time series, identified through the singular spectral analysis.
    Źródło:
    Statistics in Transition new series; 2023, 24, 1; 169-197
    1234-7655
    Pojawia się w:
    Statistics in Transition new series
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Stable or not stable? Recognizing surge based on the pressure signal
    Autorzy:
    Garcia, D.
    Liśkiewicz, G.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/175253.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2016
    Wydawca:
    Polska Akademia Nauk. Czytelnia Czasopism PAN
    Tematy:
    singular spectrum analysis
    nonlinear dynamics
    statistical pattern recognition
    compressor
    surge
    Opis:
    The surge protection may be worth millions of dollars. This is typical price of a centrifugal compressor repair combined with additional cost of nonfunctionality of an industry employing it. This threat is normally secured by application of an antisurge systems. Typically they are activated at predefined working conditions when compressor mass flow rate approaches region affected by the surge. As a result those systems are vastly limiting its operational range usually by a desirable region where compressor attains large pressure ratio. Therefore, a modern antisurge systems are aiming at diminishing this tradeoff by reacting to the real pressure signal gathered at high frequency. This paper presents one of those methods employing singular spectrum analysis. This algorithm has not been widely used for this application, while it was shown herein that it may bring clear distinction between stable and nonstable working condition, even at presurge conditions. Hence in further perspective it may bring anti-surge protection quality, that was not met with another methods.
    Źródło:
    Transactions of the Institute of Fluid-Flow Machinery; 2016, 133; 55-68
    0079-3205
    Pojawia się w:
    Transactions of the Institute of Fluid-Flow Machinery
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Singular spectrum analysis as a smoothing method of load variability
    Analiza widma szczególnego jako metoda wygładzania zmienności obciążenia
    Autorzy:
    Cempel, C.
    Tabaszewski, M.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/327782.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2010
    Wydawca:
    Polska Akademia Nauk. Polskie Towarzystwo Diagnostyki Technicznej PAN
    Tematy:
    diagnostyka
    rozkład na wartości szczególne
    analiza widma szczególnego
    condition monitoring
    singular value decomposition
    singular spectrum analysis
    Opis:
    Application of SVD to fault extraction from the machine symptom observation matrix (SOM) seems to be validated enough, especially by data taken from many real diagnostic cases. However, frequently we have situation of varying machine load during the production process, where by observed primary symptoms are influenced greatly. This concerns generalized symptoms too, so decision making process and forecasting is disturbed. But we can apply some new data smoothing procedure called singular spectrum analysis (SSA), to eliminate load influenced symptom fluctuation, and obtain the machine wear trend only. This seems to be true, as it was shown in the paper, but special care should be taken to choose smoothing approximation order properly.
    Zastosowanie rozkładu SVD do wydobycia informacji o uszkodzeniu z symptomowej macierzy obserwacji (ang. SOM) wydaje się być wystarczająco uzasadnione, szczególnie dla danych pochodzących z wielu rzeczywistych przypadków diagnostycznych. Jednakże w wielu przypadkach mamy do czynienia z sytuacją zmiennych obciążeń maszyny podczas procesu produkcji, silnie wpływających na obserwowane symptomy. Dotyczy to także symptomów uogólnionych, co utrudnia proces podejmowania decyzji i prognozowania. Możemy jednak zastosować pewną nową procedurę wygładzania nazywaną analizą widma szczególnego (ang. SSA), aby wyeliminować obciążenia wpływające na fluktuacje symptomu i otrzymać tylko trend zużycia maszyny. Wydaje się to być prawdą, jak zostało pokazane w pracy, jednak z zachowaniem szczególnej uwagi w poprawnym wyborze rzędu przybliżenia w procedurze wygładzania.
    Źródło:
    Diagnostyka; 2010, 4(56); 3-8
    1641-6414
    2449-5220
    Pojawia się w:
    Diagnostyka
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Long period oscillations in the longshore current on a sandy, barred coast investigated with singular spectrum analysis
    Autorzy:
    Kaczmarek, J.
    Rozynski, G.
    Pruszak, Z.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/47837.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2005
    Wydawca:
    Polska Akademia Nauk. Instytut Oceanologii PAN
    Tematy:
    beach process
    nearshore region
    longshore current
    coastal process
    infragravity wave
    singular spectrum analysis
    Opis:
    The presence of infragravity waves in nearshore regions can be sought in the records of both water levels and wave-driven longshore currents. For this reason, time series of such currents in close proximity to the shoreline were analysed using Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA). Simultaneously, the results obtained with this method were confronted with the output of Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT), which had previously been applied to this data. The records of longshore currents were collected on a daily basis during field experiments in the autumns of 2002 and 2003 with sampling rates of 3 Hz and 0.5 Hz. This produced a large data set that allowed for the use of an advanced signal processing technique, capable of extracting patterns characteristic of low-, medium- and high-frequency bands. It provided similar evidence to that produced by DWT for the existence of infragravity waves along a dissipative coast with multiple bars. The study also demonstrated the utility of SSA for studies on coastal hydrodynamics. It also showed up the better user-friendliness of DWT in terms of pattern extraction and interpretation. On the other hand, SSA demonstrated a higher precision of pattern extraction once the DWT output was known, which is a manifestation of the synergy of the two methods when applied jointly.
    Źródło:
    Oceanologia; 2005, 47, 1
    0078-3234
    Pojawia się w:
    Oceanologia
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Some characteristic wave energy dissipation patterns along the Polish coast
    Autorzy:
    Rozynski, G.
    Szmytkiewicz, P.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/49190.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2018
    Wydawca:
    Polska Akademia Nauk. Instytut Oceanologii PAN
    Tematy:
    energy dissipation
    wave energy
    statistical parameter
    empirical mode decomposition
    singular spectrum analysis
    Polish coast
    Źródło:
    Oceanologia; 2018, 60, 4
    0078-3234
    Pojawia się w:
    Oceanologia
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
    Tytuł:
    Wave Climate in the Gulf of Gdańsk vs. Open Baltic Sea near Lubiatowo, Poland
    Autorzy:
    Różyński, G.
    Powiązania:
    https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/241345.pdf
    Data publikacji:
    2010
    Wydawca:
    Polska Akademia Nauk. Instytut Budownictwa Wodnego PAN
    Tematy:
    Baltic Sea
    climate changes
    global processes
    North Atlantic Oscillation
    significant wave height
    singular spectrum analysis
    Opis:
    The paper analyses long-term variability in the wave climate near Lubiatowo, ca. 15 km east of Łeba harbor, and in the Gulf of Gdańsk, near the Vistula river mouth. The wave climate was reconstructed for the 1958-2001 period by the German Institute for Coastal Research (GKSS). Using basic statistical tools - empirical mean values of significant wave height, estimation of the number of threshold crossings above a prescribed value of that height and conditional empirical probability density functions of wave approach directions - a comparison of wave height at the two locations was executed. A substantial reduction in wave height inside the Gulf (sheltering effect) was measured. Further, the increased storminess over the winter season was estimated for the open sea location. Finally, the analysis of wave approach direction in the open sea location revealed substantial growth in extreme waves from the western sector. Given the geographic configuration of the Gulf and the combined rise in storminess and evolution in extreme wave direction, it can be inferred that the sheltering effect of the Gulf can vary depending on locations within the Gulf. Identification of sheltering patterns in the Gulf emerges as obvious follow-up research. This study could also prove useful in analyses aiming at integrated management of coastal zones in the Gulf, mainly in the implementation of Coastal Protection Law (Apr. 2003), which postulates maintenance of the 2001 shoreline configuration along the entire Polish coast.
    Źródło:
    Archives of Hydro-Engineering and Environmental Mechanics; 2010, 57, 2; 167-176
    1231-3726
    Pojawia się w:
    Archives of Hydro-Engineering and Environmental Mechanics
    Dostawca treści:
    Biblioteka Nauki
    Artykuł
      Wyświetlanie 1-6 z 6

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