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Wyświetlanie 1-2 z 2
Tytuł:
Calculating Hurst Exponent with the Use of the Siroky Method in Developed and Emerging Markets
Autorzy:
Borowski, Krzysztof
Matusewicz, Michał
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1022839.pdf
Data publikacji:
2020-09-30
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Łódzki. Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego
Tematy:
Hurst exponent
market efficiency
developed countries
Opis:
The purpose of the article This paper analysis Hurst exponents calculated with the use of the Siroky method in two time intervals of 625 (H625) and 1250 (H1260) sessions for the following assets: (the number of assets for a given group in brackets): Stock indices (74), currency pairs divided into segments: USD exchange rate in relation to 42 other currencies (USDXXX), EURO exchange rate in relation to 41 other currencies (EURXXX), JPY exchange rate in relation to 40 other currencies (JPYXXX) and other currency pairs (12). In total, 209 financial instruments were analyzed. Methodology: Hurst coefficient calculation with the use of the following methods; Siroky, Detrended Moving Average (DMA) and Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA). Results of the research: The Hurst coefficient values calculated with the use of Siroky method are similar to the results obtained using DFA and DMA methods. The second main conclusion that was drawn from the research may be formulated as follows: exchange rates calculated for the developed-developed country currencies are more effective than in the case of the developed-emerging countries group.
Źródło:
Finanse i Prawo Finansowe; 2020, 3, 27; 25-61
2391-6478
2353-5601
Pojawia się w:
Finanse i Prawo Finansowe
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Application of the Hurst coefficient, calculated with the use of the Siroky method on financial markets
Autorzy:
Borowski, Krzysztof
Matusewicz, Michał
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/18104690.pdf
Data publikacji:
2021-12-28
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie. Kolegium Zarządzania i Finansów
Tematy:
Hurst exponent
market efficiency
developed countries
Opis:
The paper analyses the Hurst exponents calculated with the use of the Siroky method in two time intervals of 625 and 1250 sessions for the group of 570 financial instruments (Warsaw Stock Exchange equities – 320, equity indexes – 7, commodities – 41, and FX market – 135). The study also covers an analysis of the normality of the distribution of logarithmic rates of return, and the verification of statistical hypotheses with the use of the following statistical tests: Jarque-Bera (JB), Shapiro-Wilk (SW), and d’Agostino-Pearson (DA). In the second part of the paper, the change of the Hurst coefficient over time was analysed, while in the third part two linear regressions of the form H(t) = a + m ∙ t were performed for each of the analysed assets, as well as the determination factor R2. This part of the study aims to answer the question whether the slope of the regression line has a positive or negative value and what the quality of such a fit is with the use of linear regression. Such an analysis enables to observe changes in the fractal dimension, and thus the risk in financial markets over a long period of time. The main conclusion that was drawn from the research may be formulated as follows: the value of the H exponents decreased in the analysed time windows, which means an increase in the fractal dimension (d), and thus the investment risk in financial markets. The obtained results can be used in the process of constructing an investment portfolio in financial markets. The research is part of the ongoing discussion on the effectiveness of financial markets.
Źródło:
Journal of Management and Financial Sciences; 2021, 42; 39-75
1899-8968
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Management and Financial Sciences
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
    Wyświetlanie 1-2 z 2

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