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Wyświetlanie 1-3 z 3
Tytuł:
Predykcja cen surowca drzewnego na podstawie siedmioletniego modelu tendencji rozwojowej
Forecasting prices of timber raw material based on a seven-year development trend model
Autorzy:
Górna, A.
Adamowicz, K.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/979018.pdf
Data publikacji:
2020
Wydawca:
Polskie Towarzystwo Leśne
Tematy:
rynek drzewny
surowce drzewne
ceny
prognozy cen
modele liniowe
leśnictwo
wood market
prediction
price of wood
forest marketing
linear model
forestry economics
Opis:
The article analyzes the possibility of using a seven−year development trend model to forecast the average price of wood sales (CGUS). Price models and forecasts were made on the basis of three different time series covering 7−year periods. The forecast of timber prices in individual years was developed on the basis of extrapolation going beyond the set of information adopted for research used to build the development trend model. We found that the size of the indicators of determination of the analyzed functions ranged from 0.5 to 0.6, and the convergence rates from 0.5 to 0.4. This means that the linear functions were characterized by poor adjustment to real prices. Despite this, the timber price forecasts differed from the empirical prices from PLN 1.81 to 13.91. In relative categories, the forecast error was in the range from 0.92 to 7.28%. Therefore, in our opinion, the research process presented can be a reference point as a comparative element to verify forecast results for other (non−linear) price forecasting models. The process of modeling timber raw material prices should be extended to other predictors related to the forest marketing chain. The predicted results from these models cannot be worse than those obtained by forecasting using linear functions
Źródło:
Sylwan; 2020, 164, 03; 206-215
0039-7660
Pojawia się w:
Sylwan
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Rynek drzewnego surowca brzozowego w Polsce w latach 2008-2012
Silver birch timber market in Poland in 2008-2012
Autorzy:
Lachowicz, H.
Wysocka-Fijorek, E.
Paschalis-Jakubowicz, P.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/989465.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Polskie Towarzystwo Leśne
Tematy:
lesnictwo
drzewa lesne
brzoza brodawkowata
Betula pendula
surowce drzewne
drewno brzozowe
struktura sortymentowa
podaz
ceny
rynek drzewny
analiza rynku
lata 2008-2012
Panstwowe Gospodarstwo Lesne Lasy Panstwowe
silver birch
timber market
sales of timber
wood prices
Opis:
The article presents an analysis of the birch market in Poland in 2008−2012, including the acquisition (supply) of birch wood, the income structure, prices of birch wood, the structure of birch wood recipients and the volume of purchased timber. The necessary materials were obtained from the Forest Data Bank (BDL) and the State Forests Information System (SILP). The S2 wood assortment representing more than 54% of all assortment groups is most often harvested in Poland. Next come M1 representing 14%, as well as S4 and WC – each with share slightly exceeding 11%. The vast majority of the harvested and handled birch wood is in the group of medium−sized assortments S representing 66%, and in the group of small−sized assortments M representing 14%. Birch wood classified as large−sized W totals 20%. Similarly, timber assortments from group S2 also generate the largest portion of revenues (over 50% of total revenues from birch wood sales). High fluctuations in the prices of certain groups of birch wood assortments constitute a significant problem from the point of view of both the State Forests and wood consumers. A possible reduction in the supply of wood of this species in the future may deepen this phenomenon. Average sales prices of birch wood on the Polish market are lower than the prices obtained by timber producers in the neighbouring countries. The price differences in favour of foreign timber producers reach up to 20% and relate to roundwood in different quality and size classes. The exceptionally high technical quality of birch wood in our country does not translate to higher prices per cubic meter of raw timber in the domestic turnover. The sharp increase in the demand for a special type of fibres for the manufacture of many products characterized by exceptional strength (i.e. products from polymers) and textiles with special insulating properties, as well as the production of certain grades of paper and board, will stimulate the consumption of birch wood in the future.
Źródło:
Sylwan; 2016, 160, 12; 971-980
0039-7660
Pojawia się w:
Sylwan
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Wyniki submisji drewna cennego na przykładzie RDLP Krosno
Submission sale of valuable wood on the example of the Krosno Regional Directorate of the State Forests
Autorzy:
Zastocki, D.
Dobosz, L.
Moskalik, T.
Sadowski, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/972767.pdf
Data publikacji:
2012
Wydawca:
Polskie Towarzystwo Leśne
Tematy:
lesnictwo
drewno
sprzedaz
submisje
RDLP Krosno
ceny
rynek drzewny
analiza cen
drewno cenne
drewno bukowe
drewno brzozowe
drewno czeresniowe
drewno debowe
drewno jesionowe
drewno jaworowe
drewno klonowe
drewno lipowe
drewno modrzewiowe
drewno olszowe
drewno orzecha
drewno osiki
drewno sosnowe
drewno wiazowe
submission
assortment
valuable wood
timber market
Polska
Opis:
Sale of valuable wood assortments in the State Forests takes place in submissions and other forms of timber sale. In response to the growing demand for a specific timber, the forest administration of the Krosno Regional Directorate of the State Forests (RDSF) offers customers the ever−increasing amount of high−quality wood for sale in the submission. This has resulted in an increased interest in purchases of large amounts of wood in one place to be processed by veneer wood companies, and at the same time contributed to the promotion of the Podkarpacie region.The paper presents sale results and prices of veneer wood obtained in submissions and in other forms of sale in the territory of the Krosno RDSF in the years 2000−2009. A detailed analysis of the value of sales of valuable wood in submissions and in other forms of sale in individual years allowed to draw conclusions confirming the correctness of the decisions made in choosing such forms of timber sale.
Źródło:
Sylwan; 2012, 156, 07; 483-493
0039-7660
Pojawia się w:
Sylwan
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
    Wyświetlanie 1-3 z 3

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